Matt McGloin is available - and there's the BO'B-Patriots connection.
At the rate he's going, so is Christian Hackenberg. Anyway...
From the trade thread:
Where is this narrative that Kaep is a great QB coming from?
2015-16 Hoyer was a better QB than 2015-16 Kaep in every stat except rushing yards.
Hoyer was much more accurate, threw for more yards per game, higher average YPA and more TDs, fewer INTs.
Hoyer sucked this year but he has an abysmal cast around him.
Hoyer is fine as a backup.
I tend to prefer DVOA, at least as a rate stat for QBs. Rushing is like 10% of their value; let's stipulate that Kaepernick is still as mobile as he was, and say that he only needs to be >90% as good a passer as Hoyer to be more valuable overall.
2012: Kaep 25.8% (#3), Hoyer -26.5% (N/R, 57 attempts)
2013: Kaep 16.6% (#7), Hoyer -10.4% (#28) -- T. Brady 10.9%, #11
2014: Kaep -8.4% (#29), Hoyer -5.3% (#26)
2015: Kaep -21.5% (#34), Hoyer -3.0% (#20) -- Kaepernick played 9 games, Hoyer 11
2016: Kaep -17.5% (#30), Hoyer 19.4% (#7) -- That's in 6 games, 5 GS for Hoyer
edit to add 2017 YTD: Hoyer -20.8% (#27)
Avg 2014-16, weighted by games started:
Kaep -14.3%, Hoyer 0.0% (
seriously?)
I guess I had no idea that Kaepernick was so bad 2014-present. That said, let's not sugarcoat that Hoyer is mostly dogshit as well when he gets on an NFL field.
The argument for Kaepernick would have to be "Tomsula and Chip Kelly didn't know how to use him. Belichick will simplify the playbook and get him to do only that of which he's capable." Which is plausible, but there's more than enough data to be skeptical about the odds.
Fun fact: Hoyer's
profile picture on PF-Ref is of him handing off the ball to Lawfirm while on the Patriots.