I know it's not exactly news to say Lonzo's 3 pt. shot looks like garbage. And, three years from now, I suppose he could shooting 40% from 3. But I saw him take a couple of 3's late in the game last night and they reminded me of that kid on the JV team who cocks the ball back on his shoulder and lets it fly and everyone crosses their fingers. On those two misses, he really missed -- not an unlucky bounce, or a Tatum miss. Because of that, I do wonder how much improvement can be hoped for.
When Durant shot 28% (actually looks like 29% with rounding) from 3 as a rookie, he was shooting a much lower volume (0.7 3's per game) than Ball (5.8). With Durant, I wonder if it was more small sample size from game to game that was to blame.
BTW, I realize Ball did shoot about 40% from 3 pt. range in college, so yes, there's that. To me, that's the bigger mystery.
Edit: added Ball's college % and "rounding"