I'm not really weighing in on the general premise. Was just looking at the odds for fun.Looking back from 2021, through the lens of how the Chiefs have been the last few years with Mahomes, it may be hard to remember. But no one thought that team was winning a Super Bowl with Alex Smith, including Andy Reid and KC management.
The Chiefs started that season beating the Patriots 42-27 @ Foxboro, then beat the Eagles 27-20 in week 2 on their way to a 5-0 start. I'm sure they thought of themselves at SB contenders at some point.
& there's no reason for the Eagles to think they were more likely to win the SB than the Chiefs in the preseason that year, & they did win the SB, so I guess I don't really understand the point?