Who is the next coach?

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Ralphwiggum

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The offense needs fixing so let's hire one of two guys who grew up in BB's defensive world. I'm not saying either would be a bad hire, I just hope they at least kick the tires on someone who would bring a fresh approach on offense. Compared to the sophisticated offenses being run around the league right now the Pats scheme looked tired, boring and simple even before Mac Jones crapped all over it.
 

dcdrew10

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I wonder if RK might offer both spots to Harbaugh
I hope not. I think the end of BB's tenure has shown that you need clear separation between the two or if you are going to have a coach that is final decision maker you need a "GM" who has enough autonomy and weight in the room to push against a "I'm smarter than everyone else in the building" kind of coach who would request final say over player acquisition (like Harbaugh). And I'd rather have a coach focused on fixing the offense and bringing in other more innovative assistants and who would work in tandem with a GM, rather than the GM essentially working for the coach. There are too many things to fix for one person to be doing both jobs. The Pats need to fix and offense and special teams. They also need to shore up fundamentals. I always thought that no matter how bad a BB team was, they'd always have good fundamentals, but clearly bad teams have bad players and bad players have bad fundamentals; if they had good fundamentals they probably wouldn't be bad players.
 

GPO Man

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I think we can all agree it’s going to be between Vrabel and Mayo. Do the Kraft’s value head coaching experience more? That’s what it boils down to.
 

joe dokes

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Seriously... shit-canning the Godfather so a bunch of bruised fruit from his coaching tree takes over seems like the fast track to spinning their wheels in the mud of mediocrity.

How about giving Eric Bieniemy a shot? The Chiefs' O taking a nosedive after he left seems to have strengthened his case.
Mayo is *not* BB-lite, though, from all accounts.
 

Arroyoyo

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Someone joked yesterday that if we end up with Vrabel we’re going to lose #3, because the NFL’s going to come marching in with tampering charges.

I want Vrabel with Mayo at DC (if he’d accept that), but I have to admit I actually am concerned about the Titans filing tampering charges. And as we know, when it comes to the Patriots, all “reason” goes out the window and the league drops the heaviest hammer it possibly can.
 

loshjott

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The guy following the GOAT is going to have a real rough go of it, especially with this roster. Mayo will be in an impossible position if he takes the job (not saying he wouldn't, of course). A roster severely depleted of O skill positions, more than likely a new hot shot QB under immense pressure, and a fan base with unreasonable expectations.
 

DJnVa

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Additionally, it’s been well reported that there was a succession plan in place and it’s Mayo. I don’t see any reason he will stray from that.
They've already strayed from that plan. That plan had BB coaching another season at least, then Mayo, per multiple reports.

Although, I never quite got that. BB would need more than 1 more season to break the record.
 

Dave Stapleton

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They've already strayed from that plan. That plan had BB coaching another season at least, then Mayo, per multiple reports.

Although, I never quite got that. BB would need more than 1 more season to break the record.
There’s a difference between accelerating a plan and blowing it up completely. I just don’t think it’s Roberts personality to do so. If they do then we know the keys have been passed to the next generation.
 

joe dokes

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Which accounts? Not challenging your point, I'm actually interested in reading up.
I've seen several like this. This was just the first google hit.
Why Patriots players say Jerod Mayo is the best LB coach they’ve ever had | FOX Sports



I think we can all agree it’s going to be between Vrabel and Mayo. Do the Kraft’s value head coaching experience more? That’s what it boils down to.
The Steelers would say, "not really that important."
Off the top of my head, McVay has had success off the bat. But, obviously, it's a legit consideration.
 

Petagine in a Bottle

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The guy following the GOAT is going to have a real rough go of it, especially with this roster. Mayo will be in an impossible position if he takes the job (not saying he wouldn't, of course). A roster severely depleted of O skill positions, more than likely a new hot shot QB under immense pressure, and a fan base with unreasonable expectations.
If the new guy was taking the job five years ago, I could see this, but I don’t think it’s really true. The team has been largely mediocre to bad in the past four years, I don’t think the immediate expectations will be that high.
 

DJnVa

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Which accounts? Not challenging your point, I'm actually interested in reading up.
This isn't really a counter to that, but a good article:

‘He’s Bill Belichick 2.0’: Could Jerod Mayo become the next Patriots coach? - The Athletic

What they have is a man capable of leading a locker room of professional athletes and discussing investments with hedge-fund executives. Someone who hangs out with Harvard business professors, ballet composers and “Jeopardy!” winners in his free time. Someone who only five years ago was working with the board of a major healthcare company and still theorizes about how blockchain technology could solve the healthcare backlog.
“Some people, I don’t know what it is, have that it factor. And he’s got it,” said Brandon Spikes, a former teammate. “He makes everyone around him better. He’s a perfect human being. If I had a son, I’d want him to be just like Jerod Mayo.”
“As far as on-field quickness, he is the smartest guy that I had ever been around. His ability to decipher formations and bark out calls and get people lined up — he was by far the fastest and best that I’ve ever been around.”
Every month, Mukunda organizes a dinner for interesting minds in the area, bringing together people from different walks of life who wouldn’t ordinarily meet. He invited Mayo and a small group of others to a tour of a new exhibit at the Institute of Contemporary Art and dinner at Del Frisco’s. At dinner, Mayo sat between William Forsythe, a renowned ballet choreographer, and Rodney Zemmel, the leader of McKinsey & Company’s digital division.

“And he could talk to both of them on even terms,” Mukunda said. “That’s part of the magic of Jerod.”

As part of his research, Mukunda has studied the qualities that make for the best leaders, writing two books on leadership selection. If he were picking a coach for a football team?

It’s something, Mukunda said, that most owners don’t consider, “a market inefficiency of stunning scale in the NFL.” And it’s a trait that Mayo personifies.

“If you get a chance to pick someone like Jerod, you pick them,” Mukunda said. “I don’t know if it’s with the Patriots or some other team, but Jerod will be a head coach in the NFL one day.
 

MuppetAsteriskTalk

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Nobody else is concerned that they seem to be moving ahead with a coach search without at least pretending that they need to hire a GM first? I am getting the sick feeling that Jonathon might fancy a more involved role in choosing the groceries.
 

tims4wins

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I have to disagree. There’s ample evidence that bad organizations ruin potentially good QBs. Geno Smith comes to mind immediately as an example. Can’t remember where I saw a good breakdown of this (The Ringer), but so many promising QBs have flamed out because they ended up in chaotic organizations.
My assumption here is that the Pats are a stable organization and won't Geno / Darnold / Wilson their QB. Of course, that could end up being untrue.
 

Ralphwiggum

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Nobody else is concerned that they seem to be moving ahead with a coach search without at least pretending that they need to hire a GM first? I am getting the sick feeling that Jonathon might fancy a more involved role in choosing the groceries.
There are multiple posts in this thread by people worrying about hiring a coach before a GM, so yes others are concerned about this.
 

ehaz

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I like Mayo but he scares me. What does the coaching staff look like on the offensive side of the ball? Are you running it back with BOB or going back to McDaniels? Are you keeping Troy Brown? Is a young first time HC internal guy going to have the recruiting cachet to bring in outside coaching talent on that side of the ball?

I am worried that a Mayo hire is basically a BB coaching staff with a worse head coach.
 

GPO Man

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Nobody else is concerned that they seem to be moving ahead with a coach search without at least pretending that they need to hire a GM first? I am getting the sick feeling that Jonathon might fancy a more involved role in choosing the groceries.
I agree, but the timing is the issue. If they drag there feet finding a GM, they risk losing Mayo and Vrabel to other teams. I’m sure both would wait ask long as possible to interview, but both want a HC job.
 

Cellar-Door

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If (as I think it will be) it's between Vrabel and Mayo because Kraft is a hoping to "build his legacy" more than hire the best coach he can, I hope it's Mayo.

This team needs a strong voice on the offensive side of the ball, and a 1st time head coach with a lot of defensive experience is going to be far more likely and willing to allow that. Vrabel is available in part because he didn't work well with others and made terrible staffing choices on offense once the OC he was given (Smith) left.

Now ideally to me Vrabel wouldn't even be on the list. He's not a bad coach, but he's not what I think they need.
My list would be:
Mayo- gives you continuity on a good defense, young hungry coach who is likely willing to bring in outside OC help.
Ben Johnson- Young inventive offensive mind to pair with a young QB
Shane Waldron- Experience across a couple systems, did a really nice job reviving Geno Smith
Bobby Slowick- Did a real nice job with CJ Stroud this year, might be a bit green
Brian Callahan- OC in Cinci


Overall though, I want them to get a GM first (which is it's own thread)
 

CR67dream

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Vrabel seems the most logical.
Please explain, those of you claiming this. Legit curious about that logic.

Mayo is widely reported to be the top choice, and has been patiently waiting. All I see with Vrable is history, his HC resume is decent, but is it good enough to be worth blowing up the relationship so carefully cultivated with Mayo? Never mind the Rooney rule, and the optics of a highly qualified minority coach in waiting being left twisting in the wind and unceremoniously passed over.

I just don't think it's going to be that quick and simple. I'm not even sure if we know a coach before a GM, and that is probably not a bad way for them to go.

And I gotta say, I'm really not even ready to go there in depth yet, IMO just a little quick to approach rationally. I need a day.
 

cornwalls@6

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Retro-fitting a GM to the coach you’ve already hired, or know you are going to hire, feels like bad business for this organization, at this time. They really need to hire the GM, and let that person hire the HC. I think anything else sets up all kinds of potential conflicts and trouble.
 

Eddie Jurak

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I'd go with Pete Carroll, who is pumped and jacked and ready for a new challenge.
That would be the absolutely most head exploding move that Kraft could possibly make. Move on from the 71 year old absolutely most accomplished NFL HC ever to hire a 72 year old coach with a good track record but who failed loudly here in the late 1990s. We're moving on from age to someone older, from the most acclaimed (by our fan base) coach we've ever had to one of the most hated. The victor in the Malcolm Butler game to the loser.

Edit: It is worth noting that Bob Kraft's track record in NFL coaching hires is a good one. BB, obviously, but Pete Carroll in retrospect was clearly a case of "right guy, wrong situation/time." The only demerit I'd give him is letting the Parcells situation blow up before the 1996 Superbowl.
 

yeahlunchbox

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We can only hope. I have connections to a former (recent) Pats player who said that Steve is pretty much the worst coach he’s ever played for, college or pro. And this guy has been in the league for a while.
This is interesting me considering the defense has been pretty good. Is it just that much talent on that side of the ball or does Bill help him out a ton?
 

joe dokes

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That would be the absolutely most head exploding move that Kraft could possibly make. Move on from the 71 year old absolutely most accomplished NFL HC ever to hire a 72 year old coach with a good track record but who failed loudly here in the late 1990s. We're moving on from age to someone older, from the most acclaimed (by our fan base) coach we've ever had to one of the most hated. The victor in the Malcolm Butler game to the loser.
I assumed the 1st was sacrasm. But it *is* interesting that Kraft's 2 HC hires turned out to be pretty fucking good coaches.
 
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If the new guy was taking the job five years ago, I could see this, but I don’t think it’s really true. The team has been largely mediocre to bad in the past four years, I don’t think the immediate expectations will be that high.
the fan base wanted the GOAT who delivered 9 Super Bowl appearances in 20 years tossed aside after last season after a couple of mediocre non-playoff years. I don’t think the anti-BB crowd will accept 3-4 more years of missing the playoffs and 3rd/4th place AFCE finishes. The BB supporters certainly won’t accept a non-competitive team for too long either

I think the grace period will be 1 year. If the team is awful next year, it will be “well Bill left this mess”. After that, the expectation to be in the playoffs will set in.
 

Cellar-Door

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If the new guy was taking the job five years ago, I could see this, but I don’t think it’s really true. The team has been largely mediocre to bad in the past four years, I don’t think the immediate expectations will be that high.
I think if he doesn't win 7 games minimum next year people will grumble, if they aren't in the playoffs by year 2 Kraft will get antsy in the media.
 

Eddie Jurak

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I think a bigger question than who is the next coach is whether the next coach is also the top decision-maker in the football operation or not, as BB was throughout his time here and as Pete Carroll for example was not. It's easier to go with Mayo as coach if someone else is the ultimate decider - hard to see that going to someone who has not even had a coordinator title.
 

JOBU

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Please explain, those of you claiming this. Legit curious about that logic.

Mayo is widely reported to be the top choice, and has been patiently waiting. All I see with Vrable is history, his HC resume is decent, but is it good enough to be worth blowing up the relationship so carefully cultivated with Mayo? Never mind the Rooney rule, and the optics of a highly qualified minority coach in waiting being left twisting in the wind and unceremoniously passed over.

I just don't think it's going to be that quick and simple. I'm not even sure if we know a coach before a GM, and that is probably not a bad way for them to go.

And I gotta say, I'm really not even ready to go there in depth yet, IMO just a little quick to approach rationally. I need a day.
My line of thinking here is that he’s part of the Belichick/Patriots family. He’s a proven head coach. As far as I know his players like him.

This isn’t a knock on Mayo. Some of those things above apply to him too but not the HC aspect. I’m sure Mayo will get an interview and maybe even offered the job (it wouldn’t surprise me). It wouldn’t surprise me if he interviewed and got offered a HC job outside of New England either. Kraft is in his 80’s and I believe he’s going to want to go with the most proven guy who gives the team the best chance to be successful in the quickest timeline possible. Putting myself in Kraft’s shoes I think he sees Vrabel as “that guy”.

There was also that report that came out about Mayo rubbing people the wrong way. I’m not sure where that came from nor do I personally believe it, but it’s out there.

I agree with you that I don’t think it’s a “quick and simple” by any stretch. There will be multiple interviews with multiple candidates and I’m sure both Mayo and Vrabel will be taking part. The Vrabel choice just seems like the most likely outcome.
 
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Eddie Jurak

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I think the grace period will be 1 year. If the team is awful next year, it will be “well Bill left this mess”. After that, the expectation to be in the playoffs will set in.
Maybe. An advantage for the new guy is that the "mess" BB left is only on one side of the ball.
 

Cellar-Door

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As a side note on Vrabel, I've already heard some people (I think Florio) suggest that if he goes to NE Strunk might file tampering charges.
 

cshea

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This is interesting me considering the defense has been pretty good. Is it just that much talent on that side of the ball or does Bill help him out a ton?
Kinda hard to parse out who does what, and to credit or blame, on that side of the ball between Bill, Steve and Mayo.
 
Oct 12, 2023
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I assumed the 1st was sacrasm. But it *is* interesting that Kraft's 2 HC hires turned out to be pretty fucking good coaches.
Carroll turned out to be a good coach but he was not the right fit for the Pats and he certainly wasn’t a good coach in 1997. I’d view him and Grier as a swing and miss from Kraft.
 

joe dokes

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I think if he doesn't win 7 games minimum next year people will grumble, if they aren't in the playoffs by year 2 Kraft will get antsy in the media.
People will grumble if the 4th string QB doesn't get enough reps in the 1st exhibition game. If the new coach is able to hear the grumbling, he'll be gone before Halloween.
 

EvilEmpire

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I think there has been enough signaling that it will be Mayo. Can't picture Mayo sticking around in another role if the they pick Vrabel instead and I think they want to keep him with the organization. But I'm sure Vrabel is of some interest too.
 

Hoya81

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If the goal was to move on from BB and rebuild from the ground up, hiring one of his assistants who has never coached anywhere else seems at odds with that.
 

Cellar-Door

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If the goal was to move on from BB and rebuild from the ground up, hiring one of his assistants who has never coached anywhere else seems at odds with that.
I mean, that definitely wasn't the goal. Every leak indicated that Kraft wanted to keep it in the "Patriot Way" family. The goal was to move on from Bill as the ultimate power over football. I would guess Jonathan plans to expand his power base into the football side a bit more.

Bill was probably sunk by his GM work far more than his coaching work.
 

rodderick

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One thing I'll say is that Kraft has entered the line of fire now. Just like Henry/FSG with Bloom, Bill was taking all of the bullets concerning lack of spending. His firing will set some expectations in the fanbase, and if Bob doesn't deliver people won't be blaming the next guy on the personnel side.
 

joe dokes

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If the goal was to move on from BB and rebuild from the ground up, hiring one of his assistants who has never coached anywhere else seems at odds with that.
I dont think we should get too hung up on the connection to BB being irretrievably at odds with going in a different direction. It's logical, of course. But seems way too simplistic.
 
Oct 12, 2023
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Maybe. An advantage for the new guy is that the "mess" BB left is only on one side of the ball.
I think the mess could extend to defense. BB the GM had a knack for finding players who he knew he could get to play well in his scheme and got the most out of a lot of castoffs, retreads and undrafted/lower round guys. The sum of the whole often was more than the sum of the parts.

I don’t think it’s as simple as “the defense was good in 2023 therefore 2024 and moving forward are set up for success”. There’s a lot of work to be done on that side of the ball and I’m not confident a new GM can consistently find the guys to do the things that made that unit successful while the offense struggled. There’s not a lot of standout talent (Gonzalez and perhaps Barmore are the exceptions) on that unit, other than the aging Judon and unsigned Dugger. It’s very likely IMO that the defense regresses quite a bit post-BB.
 

BaseballJones

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If the goal was to move on from BB and rebuild from the ground up, hiring one of his assistants who has never coached anywhere else seems at odds with that.
How much more "ground up" does it get than hiring a guy that has never done it before?
 

EvilEmpire

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If the goal was to move on from BB and rebuild from the ground up, hiring one of his assistants who has never coached anywhere else seems at odds with that.
Eh. I think what they're going to build from the ground up is a new GM and player evaluation shop. Find a QB. Add talent. Not sure that keeping the culture of the team will be seen as a bad thing.
 

DennyDoyle'sBoil

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Usually when coaches get fired, it is because they were bad. So every year at this time we have a market of guys with dings against them or possible first timers. This year there are two guys on the market that are perceived to be a bit of a cut above. Vrabel is perceived to have been fired too hastily by a weird owner and Bill is the goat.

With Vrabel, I think there may develop a sentiment that this is kind of falling into the Patriot’s lap in a bit of good timing — a coach who is a cut above the ordinary early January dregs who we have the inside track with due to history. This may be perceived as an opportunity not to pass up, even if the presumption had been Mayo.
 

CR67dream

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Maybe. An advantage for the new guy is that the "mess" BB left is only on one side of the ball.
And the biggest problem in that mess was easily identifiable. As were the surrounding ones. And they have the #3 pick in the draft. If the offense doesn't improve in a big way, the villagers will riot.

And I wonder if Bill's taking a big part of the core on the other side of the ball with him, which could lead to a mess of its own.

My line of thinking here is that he’s part of the Belichick/Patriots family. He’s a proven head coach. As far as I know his players like him.

This isn’t a knock on Mayo. Some of those things above apply to him too but not the HC aspect. I’m sure Mayo will get an interview and maybe be offered the job (it wouldn’t surprise me). It wouldn’t surprise me if he interviewed and got offered a HC job outside of New England either. Kraft is in his 80’s and I believe he’s going to want to go with the most proven guy who gives the team the best chance to be successful. Putting myself in Kraft’s shoes I think he sees Vrabel as “that guy”
Thanks! Part of what I see as a problem is that Mayo has been a good soldier, and a token interview with Kraft resulting in Vrabel getting the job is not going to appease Mayo. Does Kraft want the optics of letting go of the GOAT and then shivving a member of the family who has been so loyal? With all the Flores stuff going on in the background (his case against the NFL, not talk of coming to NE)?

Make no mistake, the media, and rightfully so, will grab onto that like a starving pit bull.

Your logic checks out for sure, but man is it fraught with land mines. :)
 
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