Recent content by SirPsychoSquints

  1. SirPsychoSquints

    The Frailty of the Modern Pitcher

    Correct, it’s a crazy idea. There’s already a thing of people getting preemptive TJ, you want to incentivize players to get it?
  2. SirPsychoSquints

    The Frailty of the Modern Pitcher

    You can’t just make pitching easier. The hitters are responding to pitchers they can’t string together hits against. The pitchers didn’t decide to strike out 1 of every 3 batters because the batters hit the ball too far.
  3. SirPsychoSquints

    Are the risks of "Max Effort" worth the cost?

    fWAR is probably better, because we’re talking about replacement level talent, not performance. They’re also tiny sample sizes of imperceptibly lower than replacement level.
  4. SirPsychoSquints

    Are the risks of "Max Effort" worth the cost?

    The Sox were pretty bad, and weren't legitimate postseason contenders.
  5. SirPsychoSquints

    Are the risks of "Max Effort" worth the cost?

    The WAR calculations assume the other innings will be taken by replacement level performance. That's just the math of how it works. In reality, most teams don't give many innings to replacement level pitchers, so I think it actually tilts the math too far in Gibson's favor.
  6. SirPsychoSquints

    Are the risks of "Max Effort" worth the cost?

    So the WAR calculation assumes the difference in playing time is taken by a replacement level pitcher. Sale put up 1.7 bWAR and 2.1 fWAR. The WAR calculation assumes his 1.9 WAR (averaging) over 102.2 innings plus 89.1 innings of a replacement level pitcher is worth around as much as Kyle...
  7. SirPsychoSquints

    Are the risks of "Max Effort" worth the cost?

    Yes. We want fewer strikeouts and more singles/doubles/triples. It's really, really hard to engineer both of those outcomes. The core problem is pitchers are too good - so the only chance to score is to try to hit a homer. Job 1 is reducing strikeouts (by making pitchers less effective).
  8. SirPsychoSquints

    Are the risks of "Max Effort" worth the cost?

    Incredibly? You're describing 2023 JP Sears (90 ERA+), Kyle Gibson (87), and stretching slightly, Patrick Corbin (83), Giolito (91), Miles Mikolas (91), Cristian Javier (92). Each of these guys started at least 31 games. They range from bWAR of 0.3 (Corbin) to 2.5 (Sears), and fWAR of 0.6...
  9. SirPsychoSquints

    Shohei Ohtani’s attorneys accuse interpreter of ‘massive theft’ tied to alleged gambling

    RR - are any of those laws applied differently if he was physically in Japan using an account from, say, MUFG Bank?
  10. SirPsychoSquints

    Shohei Ohtani’s attorneys accuse interpreter of ‘massive theft’ tied to alleged gambling

    Yes, under the Bank Secrecy Act and other regulations, banks are required to look for unusual activity and lots of other things. It's not as simple as "over $10,000," though. I also don't know if we know what bank he used? Is it a US bank?
  11. SirPsychoSquints

    Shohei Ohtani’s attorneys accuse interpreter of ‘massive theft’ tied to alleged gambling

    That appears to be an article in Japanese. Any summary?
  12. SirPsychoSquints

    Odds and Ends

    He got all but two MVP votes.
  13. SirPsychoSquints

    Odds and Ends

    Well, the Sox won 87 games and came in third in the division. Killebrew's Twins won their division and 97 games. The 2nd & 3rd place finishers were with the division-winning Orioles. Those were the only players with any first place votes, and Rico wasn't far behind 4th place ultimately...