2017 NBA offseason thread

snowmanny

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The reports we here now is that this was McDonough controlling this process and the timing to have the Celtics top tier staff kill a day away from their work and alter their sleeping patterns. Blaming a 19-year old kid for this is ludicrous.....it was 100% McDonough and Armstrong controlling this process. McDonough essentially admitted such.
I don't really see how the guy in charge is absolved of (edit: responsibility for)making decisions even if the decisions were based on recommendations of his older employees. I also always think it's weird when a player or an agent intentionally pisses off any GM or coach in any major sports league (or the other way around, GMs unnecessarily piss off agents all the time) because you never know when it might come back to bite you in the ass.
 

moondog80

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Oh please. This is a brilliant business move to not be a) Immediately named in trade talks to bring a veteran star to Boston, b) languish on the bench possibly behind any combination of these new stars coming in as well as Jaylen and c) getting limited minutes/touches on an established team.

It's all about getting minutes and numbers in your first couple seasons for shoe deals, endorsements, and your second contract. Armstrong handled this perfectly for his client to be in the best place for him to achieve all of these things.
I'd agree with this if rookies hit FA after one year. But with 5 years of control, JJ would have had ample opportunity to prove himself for his second deal, in a better market with a better coaching staff and better talent around him. Not to mention the fact that they cost him a couple mil from his rookie deal. Now, maybe JJ had some other reason for not wanting to go to Boston, and that's fine. But if he didn't give a shit and this was all cooked up by Armstrong and McDonough, they did him a disservice. And the flight thing was a total douche move, especially given McDonough's start with the Celtics. Is there some history of bad blood?
 

HomeRunBaker

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I'd agree with this if rookies hit FA after one year. But with 5 years of control, JJ would have had ample opportunity to prove himself for his second deal, in a better market with a better coaching staff and better talent around him. Not to mention the fact that they cost him a couple mil from his rookie deal. Now, maybe JJ had some other reason for not wanting to go to Boston, and that's fine. But if he didn't give a shit and this was all cooked up by Armstrong and McDonough, they did him a disservice. And the flight thing was a total douche move, especially given McDonough's start with the Celtics. Is there some history of bad blood?
No it's standard gamesmanship. This is a cutthroat business.

I disagree on JJ having better opportunity for a max deal in 4 years in Boston than in Phienix where they are committed to him. Boston would be committed to trying to turn him into a veteran asset or using him behind All-Stars. Could he get the same opportunities in Boston? Sure he could.....the road is clearly more muddled to get there though along with much less security.
 

Smokey Joe

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No it's standard gamesmanship. This is a cutthroat business.
I disagree strongly on this. If B J Armstrong purposely (or even close to purposely) made Danny and the team waste a day during the week before the draft, he is in danger of getting 86ed by the Wasserman group with a big apology to Wyc about wasting his employees time. Wasserman is a big group and I doubt that they are interested in pissing off future clients. B J Armstrong represents some important players, but not compared to the Wasserman group as a whole and some of those players would not be pleased either.
Trying to hide a client for what you think is their benefit is acceptable, wasting someone's time is not.

Most likely Armstrong is going to plea that it was all a misunderstanding and he is going to apologize profusely and get a talking to by the Groups directors. But jerking a potential client around is not cutthroat business, it is bad business.
 

moondog80

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I disagree strongly on this. If B J Armstrong purposely (or even close to purposely) made Danny and the team waste a day during the week before the draft, he is in danger of getting 86ed by the Wasserman group with a big apology to Wyc about wasting his employees time. Wasserman is a big group and I doubt that they are interested in pissing off future clients. B J Armstrong represents some important players, but not compared to the Wasserman group as a whole and some of those players would not be pleased either.
Trying to hide a client for what you think is their benefit is acceptable, wasting someone's time is not.

Most likely Armstrong is going to plea that it was all a misunderstanding and he is going to apologize profusely and get a talking to by the Groups directors. But jerking a potential client around is not cutthroat business, it is bad business.
Yes. If they had a deal with Phoenix, just refuse the workout with Boston and that's the end of it. That sort of thing happens all the time. This seems anything but standard.
 
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the moops

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There are gonna be some sweet PG bargains this offseason. Far too many available for # of open spots.

Paul, Lowry, Hill, Teague, Holiday, Rondo, Mills, etc. Plus Rubio is available by trade.

Would like to see MIN move on from Rubio and get someone like Hill in there. His shooting and defense would be sweet next to Wiggins, Butler, and Towns.
 

Kliq

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There are gonna be some sweet PG bargains this offseason. Far too many available for # of open spots.

Paul, Lowry, Hill, Teague, Holiday, Rondo, Mills, etc. Plus Rubio is available by trade.

Would like to see MIN move on from Rubio and get someone like Hill in there. His shooting and defense would be sweet next to Wiggins, Butler, and Towns.
I doubt Rubio is available Post-Butler trade. I think he's a good fit right now for Minnesota and he won that position with his play last year during the second half. Hill is not an upgrade for them, Rubio is a better defender and sets the table well for a bunch of guys that have the skills to score the ball but still need polish.
 

Cesar Crespo

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Rubio has been on the block forever but at this point I think even if they acquire a PG, Rubio still has a role on the team. Unless you want Tyus Jones being your backup.
 

HomeRunBaker

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I disagree strongly on this. If B J Armstrong purposely (or even close to purposely) made Danny and the team waste a day during the week before the draft, he is in danger of getting 86ed by the Wasserman group with a big apology to Wyc about wasting his employees time. Wasserman is a big group and I doubt that they are interested in pissing off future clients. B J Armstrong represents some important players, but not compared to the Wasserman group as a whole and some of those players would not be pleased either.
Trying to hide a client for what you think is their benefit is acceptable, wasting someone's time is not.

Most likely Armstrong is going to plea that it was all a misunderstanding and he is going to apologize profusely and get a talking to by the Groups directors. But jerking a potential client around is not cutthroat business, it is bad business.
I was referring to McDonough being the catalyst behind waiting until Ainge landed to promise to Armstrong and Jackson that thy would select him which is where he wanted to be. Jackson said himself that "the timing was bad." The timing wasn't "bad"......the timing was admittedly calculated by McDonough.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Yes. If they had a deal with Phoenix, just refuse the workout with Boston and that's the end of it. That sort of thing happens all the time. This seems anything but standard.
Right.....but they DIDN'T have a deal with Phoenix until Ainge and Co. were in descent on their flight.

This also calls bullshit into those who feel that Tatum was Ainge's guy all along. If that were the case he's not flying cross country two days before the draft to meet with someone else.
 

the moops

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I doubt Rubio is available Post-Butler trade. I think he's a good fit right now for Minnesota and he won that position with his play last year during the second half. Hill is not an upgrade for them, Rubio is a better defender and sets the table well for a bunch of guys that have the skills to score the ball but still need polish.
Rubio is a terrible fit, IMO. Butler and Wiggins are best with the ball in their hands making things happen. And while Rubio can get them the ball in a good spot, you need, need, need a shooter on the floor with those guys or the spacing is going to be gross. Even if they get a stretch 4 who can make shots, I still think they are one shooter light and the best way to do that is to get one from the glut of PG's available.

Actually heard a great idea (can't remember where) was to get both Beverly and Anderson from HOU, who is lookign to unload both guys in order to get max cap space. Those two would be great together on MIN
 

the moops

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This also calls bullshit into those who feel that Tatum was Ainge's guy all along. If that were the case he's not flying cross country two days before the draft to meet with someone else.
And what if LA took Tatum at # 2? BOS hadn't worked out Ball or Jackson, so Ainge wouldn't be doing his job if he refused to attend a workout just in case
 

the1andonly3003

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Rubio is a terrible fit, IMO. Butler and Wiggins are best with the ball in their hands making things happen. And while Rubio can get them the ball in a good spot, you need, need, need a shooter on the floor with those guys or the spacing is going to be gross. Even if they get a stretch 4 who can make shots, I still think they are one shooter light and the best way to do that is to get one from the glut of PG's available.

Actually heard a great idea (can't remember where) was to get both Beverly and Anderson from HOU, who is lookign to unload both guys in order to get max cap space. Those two would be great together on MIN
thought Rubio was only on the block because Kris Dunn was the heir apparent
 

Kliq

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Rubio is a terrible fit, IMO. Butler and Wiggins are best with the ball in their hands making things happen. And while Rubio can get them the ball in a good spot, you need, need, need a shooter on the floor with those guys or the spacing is going to be gross. Even if they get a stretch 4 who can make shots, I still think they are one shooter light and the best way to do that is to get one from the glut of PG's available.

Actually heard a great idea (can't remember where) was to get both Beverly and Anderson from HOU, who is lookign to unload both guys in order to get max cap space. Those two would be great together on MIN
Rubio is one of the only true pass-first point guards still in the NBA. He may bring the ball up but it doesn't stick in his hands so he doesn't get in the way of Butler/Wiggins creating. You would like to see him shoot the ball better but at the same time, you can't rely on Rubio alone to space the floor. The fact is Butler and Wiggins have to become better outside shooters or the team isn't going to reach its potential anyway; even if the PG is a good outside shooter. You can't really blame Rubio for the poor spacing when the guys taking 20+ shots a game are poor outside shooters.
 

Cesar Crespo

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They aren't that bad anyway. Wiggins improved from 3 a lot last year to a respectable .356. Butler has been all over the place but his career .337 mark is acceptable even if mediocre.
 

NoXInNixon

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And what if LA took Tatum at # 2? BOS hadn't worked out Ball or Jackson, so Ainge wouldn't be doing his job if he refused to attend a workout just in case
Danny had to have known whom the Lakers were taking at #2. If there was any doubt in anyone's mind, I don't see why they would make the Sixers trade before the draft.
 

Smokey Joe

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Danny had to have known whom the Lakers were taking at #2. If there was any doubt in anyone's mind, I don't see why they would make the Sixers trade before the draft.
How exactly, is he supposed to know that? If Magic Johnson or the World"s Biggest As_____, I mean Rob Pelinka, called him up and said "Hey Danny, we're taking Ball with the second pick, who you got?" He would be a fool to believe them.

He made the Sixers trade when he did so he had actual ownership of the assets that he was using in trade negotiations up to the draft. There is a limit to how many contingencies people will accept before they commit to a deal. They were clearly fine with any of the first 3-4 players in the draft, and were pretty sure their target was gonna be there, so why wait?
 

Smokey Joe

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Right.....but they DIDN'T have a deal with Phoenix until Ainge and Co. were in descent on their flight.

This also calls bullshit into those who feel that Tatum was Ainge's guy all along. If that were the case he's not flying cross country two days before the draft to meet with someone else.
If they didn't have a deal until Danny was flying out to talk to them, why did he refuse to work out with the Celts earlier? This wasn't "Oh I can't fit you guys with the number one pick into my schedule" It was, "We are not going to work out for you."
If McDonough manipulated them into stiffing the Celtics on the workout they finally agreed to, then that is still a huge blackmark on Armstrong. I can't imagine an agent allowing himself to get played like that without his intelligence and professionalism being called into question.

As for this somehow demonstrating that Tatum was not Ainge's guy all along, the words "Due Diligence" cover the myriad of reasons why that is probably not the case.
 

amlothi

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Not sure who this guy is but I can't imagine someone would fake this story.


For those on mobile app who still cannot see this for reasons I fail to understand:

The Great TPR @TPRx11

Per Source: UFA James Young will sign with the New Orleans Pelicans at the start of Free Agency [via @PerSources]

1:08 PM - 23 Jun 2017
 

SinCitySoxFan1973

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Are you using your phone's browser or that app thing? Use your phone's browser.
It's so simple on the app as well. Tap to highlight the link/tweet and click on more. It will take you to web view, click that, and it will allow you to see the tweet. I have an iPhone and have been doing it this way for months now.
 

Devizier

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What's amazing about Young is that the Celtics only missed out on one player who would have been clearly better. And given where Jokic was picked, it's pretty apparent that Ainge (among many other GMs) didn't have him on his radar.
 

mcpickl

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What's amazing about Young is that the Celtics only missed out on one player who would have been clearly better. And given where Jokic was picked, it's pretty apparent that Ainge (among many other GMs) didn't have him on his radar.
Gary Harris, Rodney Hood and Clint Capela vehemently disagree with this statement.
 

Kliq

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Clarkson, Jerami Grant, Bogdanovic, Kyle Anderson. Assuming the bar is Young, who pretty much can't play in the NBA, there are plenty of guys behind him that turned into better pros.
 

Devizier

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Most of those guys are better pros in the way that Ryan Gomes was a better pro than Hakim Warrick. The Wiggins draft looks like a contender for worst all time if Embiid doesn't get healthy.
 

Kliq

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Most of those guys are better pros in the way that Ryan Gomes was a better pro than Hakim Warrick. The Wiggins draft looks like a contender for worst all time if Embiid doesn't get healthy.
Outside of the lottery those are the players you tend to get. Other teams were able to find players that were significantly better contributors than James Young; if you are looking for All-Stars yeah you are not going to be able to find many, but a guy like Clint Capela is a key player on a very good team three years into his career, that's a find.

I think potentially Wiggins, Parker, Embiid and Saric could all turn into all-star players one day. Considering a bulk of the players came in at 19, it's way too early to judge and I think they will have to fall much further to reach something like the 2000 draft.
 

ishmael

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Totally agreed. This is also a draft that features a guy who could develop into a Serbian Bill Walton (Nokic), two efficient scoring wings (Jabari and Gary Harris), another potential 15-10 big man (Nurkic), and a human highlight reel (Aaron Gordon).

So much better than the 2000 NBA Draft, where the immortal Joel Pryzbilla ended up with the 11th best career out of all the guys in that draft and only 3 players ever made an all star team (1x each for Michael Redd, Kenyon Martin, and Jamaal Magloire).
Outside of the lottery those are the players you tend to get.

I think potentially Wiggins, Parker, Embiid and Saric could all turn into all-star players one day. Considering a bulk of the players came in at 19, it's way too early to judge and I think they will have to fall much further to reach something like the 2000 draft.
 

slamminsammya

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That is an interesting question. From a pure basketball perspective, assuming good health Blake probably fits the team better. Aldridge's game is in the post and the mid range, and I am not sure how well that would mesh with Horford on the floor. Blake on the other hand is capable of getting to the hoop, and has demonstrated better range out to the three point line. His defense isn't great, but if you have Aldridge either he or Horford is going to be checking someone on the perimeter, and I am not sure Aldridge/Horford is better than Griffin defensively matched up on a quick or athletic four.

However, other considerations favor LA. Namely, health, contract situation, and 'intangibles'. While I am not sure there is a such thing as a 'minor' heart irregularity such as Aldridge had last season, Blake has had tons of injuries through his career and Aldridge has, broken hearts aside, had a stellar injury record for a man that large.

Furthermore, Aldridge's contract expires in two seasons, at which point he will likely take a pay cut as a 33 year old. Contrast this with Griffin, who going to be a 28 year old with a significant injury history and almost certainly getting a maximum contract. There is big risk for Griffin turning into a massive albatross. Worst case scenario for Aldridge is it doesn't work out and after one season he becomes the all valuable 'expiring contract' to make trades and such work.

Finally, there are the intangibles. Specifically, Blake seems to disappear in the playoffs. In addition, he seems like an ass and I would not enjoy rooting for him. Thirdly, I loved Aldridge in Portlandia. Finally, I just find Aldridge's game very aesthetically pleasing and love what a throwback it is in today's NBA. Dunks are nice and all but as I grow older and more mature I am coming to savor a nice 18 foot jumper coming out the hands of a seven footer.
 

nighthob

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Rubio is a terrible fit, IMO. Butler and Wiggins are best with the ball in their hands making things happen. And while Rubio can get them the ball in a good spot, you need, need, need a shooter on the floor with those guys or the spacing is going to be gross. Even if they get a stretch 4 who can make shots, I still think they are one shooter light and the best way to do that is to get one from the glut of PG's available.
Wiggins is not very good with the ball in his hands, which is why the T'wolves should be looking to move on from him. Rubio, on the other had, is pretty good with the ball in his hands.
 

the moops

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Just to add on a little.

Griffin has better playoff numbers than Aldridge. Per game, more rebounds, points, assists, steals. Higher PER, VORP, WS, TS%.
 

nighthob

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Danny had to have known whom the Lakers were taking at #2. If there was any doubt in anyone's mind, I don't see why they would make the Sixers trade before the draft.
Because there were four guys on their radar, and Philly and LA could only pick two of them. While Ainge knew who Philly was drafting at #1, the Lakers made a lot of enquiries about trading down from #2, so there were no guarantees that Tatum would be there at #3. So they wanted to interview Jackson and Ball as well.

People make this stuff way too complicated, but it is almost entirely certain that they really did have Tatum #1 on their board, but wanted to know more about the other two guys just in case someone else traded up to #2 and picked their guy.
 

Sam Ray Not

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Paul Pierce on Rachel Nichols' show: "I wouldn't even trade *me* for [the current version of] LaMarcus Aldridge if I were Doc Rivers." The ultimate diss, lolz.

He may be overstating the case a tad, but I'd also consider the 32 year old Aldridge — ~30 lbs. overweight, with chronic knee soreness, coming off a season in which he put grabbed only 8 boards per 36 and put up .532 true shooting, and .500 ts in a generally horrific playoff showing — a pretty clearly negative asset at $22M a year.

I wouldn't take him over, for example, Dewayne Dedmon, Zaza Pachulia, David Lee, David West (tougher, higher hoops IQ, much better passer) or Mo Speights (younger and a much better three-point shooter), and all those guys played last year for the vet min or partial MLE.
 

slamminsammya

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Is Aldridge overweight? Some points I would like to make in defense of Aldridge:

1) His .532 TS% last year is right in line with his career average, which is .534. While this is not a classically good number for a big man, there is evidence that he is one of those players whose impact on an offense goes beyond box score - driven analytics. In particular, those Blazer teams he was on shot tons of midrange jumpers, and yet that 09-10 squad was either the second or third best offense in the league in the past 20 years.

2) It may be that his rebounding is nose diving. However, the Spurs rebounding as a team did not suffer last year as compared with the year before. Their DRB% went down 2% and their ORB% went up 1%. They were 6th in the league in defensive rebounding last year. Again, I think Aldridge here is suffering from the perspective of box score type analyses, when the on/off type analysis suggests he is still a good rebounder. So why would his rebounding numbers go down so much?

I posit this has a lot to do with who he was playing next to. I can't remember where the article was, but they have shown that big time defensive rebounders 'steal' rebounds from their teammates. What this means is that, for example on the Clippers where you have the beast Deandre Jordan gobbling up all the defensive boards, if you look just at a players DRB% it is going to be lower than it would be on another random team, but that doesn't mean that player is necessarily bad at rebounding. You have to consider context.

In the case of the Spurs, Aldridge went from spending minutes next to an ageing Tim Duncan, Boris Diaw (career REB% of 9.3%), and the undersized David West (career REB% 13.1%) in the frontcourt to this year playing with some bona fide rebounding beasts: Dewayne Dedmon, Pau Gasol (who is bizarrely having the best 3 year streak of rebounding numbers he's ever had), and David Lee.
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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If Alridge doesn't like the system Popovich runs, why is he going to be any happier playing in Boston?

Dunks are nice and all but as I grow older and more mature I am coming to savor a nice 18 foot jumper coming out the hands of a seven footer.
I guess you're getting to be unique in this regards as well as most people would like to savor a nice 25 footer coming out of the hands for virtually everyone.
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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Nice rundown of the current state of things (PG13, Hayward, Griffin, Celtics, Spurs, Clips, Rockets, etc.) by Kevin O'Connor at the Ringer: https://theringer.com/nba-free-agency-blake-griffin-paul-george-spurs-83e7a97d1cf0
Thanks. This article - https://theringer.com/nba-salary-cap-projection-99-million-7fe06be03dc9 - to which K.O'Connor linked - is also a good rundown of the effects of the lower salary cap projection.

Portland has to find someone who can take some salary off their hands. It will be interesting to see how they do it.
 

cheech13

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I doubt Rubio is available Post-Butler trade. I think he's a good fit right now for Minnesota and he won that position with his play last year during the second half. Hill is not an upgrade for them, Rubio is a better defender and sets the table well for a bunch of guys that have the skills to score the ball but still need polish.
They have to trade Rubio. You can't play him, Wiggins and Butler together. It's not enough shooting and too many guys trying to create with the ball. That would be running back the same type of team of Chicago had last year and we saw how that worked out. I'd bet he's traded in the next two weeks.
 

the1andonly3003

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Paul Pierce on Rachel Nichols' show: "I wouldn't even trade *me* for [the current version of] LaMarcus Aldridge if I were Doc Rivers." The ultimate diss, lolz.

He may be overstating the case a tad, but I'd also consider the 32 year old Aldridge — ~30 lbs. overweight, with chronic knee soreness, coming off a season in which he put grabbed only 8 boards per 36 and put up .532 true shooting, and .500 ts in a generally horrific playoff showing — a pretty clearly negative asset at $22M a year.

I wouldn't take him over, for example, Dewayne Dedmon, Zaza Pachulia, David Lee, David West (tougher, higher hoops IQ, much better passer) or Mo Speights (younger and a much better three-point shooter), and all those guys played last year for the vet min or partial MLE.
HAven't Celtics gone that route before? Danny gave up the corpse of Gerald Wallace and that didn't work out

If Alridge doesn't like the system Popovich runs, why is he going to be any happier playing in Boston?


I guess you're getting to be unique in this regards as well as most people would like to savor a nice 25 footer coming out of the hands for virtually everyone.
good point
 

Cellar-Door

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So did Damian Lillard and Austin Rivers, which in each case was one more vote than Hassan Whiteside.

edit: votes to become public tomorrow.
Rivers is a decent defender. Not All-Defense, but probably better than Hassan Whiteside who isn't good.

Bradley probably didn't make a team because of time missed, but if you check twitter a ton of current players talking about how he should have at least made 2nd if not 1st. (Lillard, McCollum, Fournier, Booker)
 

DJnVa

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Rivers is a decent defender. Not All-Defense, but probably better than Hassan Whiteside who isn't good.

Bradley probably didn't make a team because of time missed, but if you check twitter a ton of current players talking about how he should have at least made 2nd if not 1st. (Lillard, McCollum, Fournier, Booker)
Guy on radio said he didn't vote or Bradley because he only played 55 games.

15 minutes later he revealed his ROY vote--Embiid.