https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/jackie-bradley-jr-and-the-error-rule/
The above article brings up an IMO fascinating point about the fairness of assessing errors on balls with low fielding probability,
Our own David Laurila brought up the play on Friday that clanked off JBJ' glove, which according to statcast, the typical fielder only had a 6% chance of making.
If the ball is a hit 94% of the time anyhow, should a fielder really be to blame when he is in a position to make the difficult play? What about a 25 or 50% probability? I should add that a much greater frequency of errors per play is a lot more for infielders than fly balls for outfielders.
Unlike the win stat discussion, reassessing error frequency would have a real impact when evaluating a pitchers worth (which I'm sure organizations already consider).
Also - holy shit Bradley made that look like a fairly routine play.
The above article brings up an IMO fascinating point about the fairness of assessing errors on balls with low fielding probability,
Our own David Laurila brought up the play on Friday that clanked off JBJ' glove, which according to statcast, the typical fielder only had a 6% chance of making.
If the ball is a hit 94% of the time anyhow, should a fielder really be to blame when he is in a position to make the difficult play? What about a 25 or 50% probability? I should add that a much greater frequency of errors per play is a lot more for infielders than fly balls for outfielders.
Unlike the win stat discussion, reassessing error frequency would have a real impact when evaluating a pitchers worth (which I'm sure organizations already consider).
Also - holy shit Bradley made that look like a fairly routine play.
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