Who's on Third? I don't know

Red(s)HawksFan

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The Red Sox would gain the benefit of deducting the pro-rated minimum salary from their books IF Sandoval signs on somewhere else this season (on an MLB contract, that is). Pretty sure that is not the case beyond this season, though.
 

DanoooME

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Even if he makes the roster, the Sox are on the hook for his contract. If he isn't traded for and refuses his assignment, it's over. He's a free agent, the Sox are paying his full contract and he can latch on anywhere he wants for league minimum while still cashing his 19 million per year.

And that ability to sign for league minimum is why he'll get a shot with someone. There's no downside for the team to give him a shot if they're in dire straits mid season because of injuries or want to bring him on board in spring training after he gets into "the best shape of his life" this winter.

He may never be effective again (and I'd certainly bet on that being the most likely outcome) but he'll get at least one more chance before he hangs up the cleats (officially or otherwise).
Yeah, someone will do what the Sox did with Peralta and give him a minor league deal and see if he can figure something out. If he does, the new team gets a cheap player. If he doesn't, he goes and sits on his couch or, if he's motivated, gets a deal with the Atlantic League.
 

Wayapman

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What happens if Panda goes to play overseas, ie Japan? Do the sox still have to pay his contract and count him toward the LT?
 

Sampo Gida

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Wouldnt be surprised if Lin was included in that deal, if it comes to be. CWS just released Everth Cabrera
 

Sampo Gida

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What happens if Panda goes to play overseas, ie Japan? Do the sox still have to pay his contract and count him toward the LT?
Yes. No different than him laying on the beach or playing softball. They only save a bit if he plays in MLB with another team.
 

grimshaw

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Wouldnt be surprised if Lin was included in that deal, if it comes to be. CWS just released Everth Cabrera
The White Sox had a "clerical error" on Thursday where Moncada was coming up today. Kind of weird timing. Lin makes sense to go to AAA since they don't really have anyone below Moncada.
Hope not.
 

Harry Hooper

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Clerical error? It would be nice to get Moncada back from the White Sox in some sort of reverse-Fisk maneuver.
 

SouthernBoSox

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If I've learned anything from the DD era it's to expect the expected.

He's a blunt to the point General Manager.

Todd Frazier feels a need at a muted price. It makes a ton of sense.
 

bosockboy

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Frazier has a 923 OPS since June 1st. He solves a giant problem and really lengthens a short lineup by Red Sox standards. Hope this gets done.
 

gedman211

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Frazier had a nice June, but now he's scuffling again. He might be just another .700 ops guy. Hope I'm wrong
 

burstnbloom

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Regarding Frazier, I think it would be a mistake to expect much more out of him than he's already given the white sox. His BABIP is staggeringly low and will likely improve but he's at .767 OPS and has never been much more than that (one season over .800), so I expect other things to come back to normal (his walk rate is an outlier from his career norms) and he'd likely be a mid .700 OPS player going forward. That said, he would provide a little stability as I think its crazy to expect better than that from Holt/Lin/Marrero. I just hope DD pays for a league average 3b and not a "40 Home run guy!"
 

grimshaw

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Agree - this is more or less in line with what he was last year. His .obp is even 30 points higher.
I'm expecting about what Hanley has done this year except solid in the field which is fine for what the team needs.
 

Savin Hillbilly

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The wrong side of the bridge....
Regarding Frazier, I think it would be a mistake to expect much more out of him than he's already given the white sox. His BABIP is staggeringly low and will likely improve but he's at .767 OPS and has never been much more than that (one season over .800), so I expect other things to come back to normal (his walk rate is an outlier from his career norms) and he'd likely be a mid .700 OPS player going forward. That said, he would provide a little stability as I think its crazy to expect better than that from Holt/Lin/Marrero. I just hope DD pays for a league average 3b and not a "40 Home run guy!"
A league average 3b would be a major upgrade, and it's all anybody should be expecting. I don't think anybody's suggesting that Frazier is a superstar. Mid-.700s OPS and competent defense--how many fatted calves would we have sacrificed to get that from Sandoval? We have a chance to get it now for maybe a couple of fungible prospects. That's what people are excited about, not that he's Beltre redux or anything.
 

burstnbloom

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A league average 3b would be a major upgrade, and it's all anybody should be expecting. I don't think anybody's suggesting that Frazier is a superstar. Mid-.700s OPS and competent defense--how many fatted calves would we have sacrificed to get that from Sandoval? We have a chance to get it now for maybe a couple of fungible prospects. That's what people are excited about, not that he's Beltre redux or anything.
Ya, I may not have been clear, I was responding to the post above mine saying that he may just be a .700 OPS guy. I think he probably is, maybe closer to .750/.760, but a stabilizing force at the position. My only concern is price and my hope is that DD pays for what he is and not his "former all star, 40 home run" reputation. The report of not a big price is appealing, for sure.
 

dynomite

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This isn't like pitching, which most contenders could use. How many contenders are in the market to upgrade to a league average 3rd baseman? The White Sox will be as motivated to dump salary as the Red Sox are to acquire Frazier. There's no reason to believe this will be a big prospect from Boston.
I agree with this. Seems to me that the Red Sox and Yankees are the only two contenders really looking to add a 3B. Now that they've lost Pineda to TJ, the Yankees probably need a SP more than 3B.

Let's also remember that trading Frazier would give the White Sox an opening to call up Moncada and ease him into a major league role, so even if they have to eat some of Frazier's salary they're motivated to move him.

Two additional pieces per MLBTR:

While the White Sox are known to be open for business, Heyman reports that there isn’t presently much of a market for Todd Frazier or Melky Cabrera. He hears that the Sox would “have to practically give [Frazier] away” or at eat virtually all of his salary in a trade.
And the second:

The Red Sox should be able to add about $9MM to their payroll this summer without crossing the luxury tax barrier, per Alex Speier of the Boston Globe.
 

johnnywayback

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Even if all we get is a 700 OPS with adequate defense, the lineup looks a lot better with a RH power bat at the bottom: Betts, Pedroia, Bogaerts, Moreland*, Ramirez, Benintendi*, Frazier, Bradley Jr*, Vazquez. And it sounds like we might be able to get him just for guys who would be caught in the 40-man squeeze this winter (Callahan and Darwinzon Hernandez?).
 

dynomite

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So Dombrowski will presumably try to negotiate a deal with the White Sox where they eat just enough of the salary ($3M-ish) to keep the Red Sox under the threshold, with whatever talent sweetening that requires (hopefully more a matter of quantity than quality).
Exactly -- it's a deal that makes sense for both sides.

Edit: And if the Sox are genuinely interested in Philly's Neshek and his prorated $6.5M, that could impact things as well, as Dombrowski may have to choose between salary flexibility and prospect talent.
 
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Red(s)HawksFan

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So Dombrowski will presumably try to negotiate a deal with the White Sox where they eat just enough of the salary ($3M-ish) to keep the Red Sox under the threshold, with whatever talent sweetening that requires (hopefully more a matter of quantity than quality).
Keep in mind that the Red Sox would only be "charged" for the pro-rated portion of his salary he'd earn with them. So they could take Frazier on without the White Sox paying anything and still stay under the cap. If they acquired him today, there's about 45% of the season left so they'd only be responsible for ~45% of his $12M salary, or about $5.4M.
 

Savin Hillbilly

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The wrong side of the bridge....
Keep in mind that the Red Sox would only be "charged" for the pro-rated portion of his salary he'd earn with them. So they could take Frazier on without the White Sox paying anything and still stay under the cap. If they acquired him today, there's about 45% of the season left so they'd only be responsible for ~45% of his $12M salary, or about $5.4M.
D'oh! Of course. No sweetener needed, unless the Sox want to allow themselves a little extra room for another deadline acquisition like a bullpen arm. Thanks for the correction.

BTW, Interesting article here points to Frazier's improved walk rate:

http://m.mlb.com/news/article/242100678/todd-frazier-a-good-trade-fit-for-red-sox/

It's not because pitchers are throwing him fewer strikes -- in fact his Zone% is the highest it's been since his rookie year. He has dramatically reduced his swing rate. It has been in the upper 40s most of his career, even going as high as 53% in 2015. This year it's 41.6%.

Also, he has had bizarrely extreme home/road splits this year. At home he has been just terrible: .141 BABIP, 10.2% HR/FB, slash of .141/.300/.297. On the road, those numbers respectively are .283, 22.9%, .267/.368/.555. Just sample size?
 

redsox2020

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I was looking at Todd Frazier's stats and his Home / Away splits have been crazy this year. Can we draw any kind of conclusions from this or do we just write if off as small sample size variance?
Code:
2017     G  PA HR RBI   BA  OBP  SLG  OPS BAbip
Home    38 155  5  17 .143 .290 .302 .592  .144
Away    41 171 11  27 .267 .368 .555 .923  .283
For what it's worth, he had a slight split with Chicago last year as well. In his career with Cincinnati, he almost always hit significantly better at home.
Code:
2016     G  PA HR RBI   BA  OBP  SLG  OPS BAbip
Home    79 322 16  41 .218 .293 .425 .717  .230
Away    79 344 24  57 .233 .311 .502 .813  .242
 

nvalvo

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The weird split is probably just BABIP squirrelliness, kind of like Hanley's first half numbers against LHP. There can be a lot of noise in a split like that, because it's only like 150 PA.

He's basically missing 20 hits on BIP over 3+ months.
 

MikeM

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I just hope DD pays for a league average 3b and not a "40 Home run guy!"
Fans may still dig the long ball, but the market value of Frazier 40 HR types has certainly plummeted of late among the front offices writing the checks. I'll be fairly surprised here if the return beyond cash relief isn't based around names 90% of this board isn't even going to be familiar with. Unless maybe they want to take a last ditch flyer on Swihart or something.

If nothing else I'd like the trade just because it gives us an in-house preview of one of the guys we might decide to turn around and grab up on the relative cheap this winter. Whether it be at 3rd with Devers shifting to first, or at 1B with the insurance potential to move back to 3rd if things go south with Devers.
 

Rasputin

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If nothing else I'd like the trade just because it gives us an in-house preview of one of the guys we might decide to turn around and grab up on the relative cheap this winter. Whether it be at 3rd with Devers shifting to first, or at 1B with the insurance potential to move back to 3rd if things go south with Devers.
There's no guarantee Devers is going to be healthy and/or ready next year. Assuming Moreland goes somewhere else, we're going to want to have cheap veteran options at first and third.
 

Rasputin

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I get the feeling that the White Sox are talking to both the Sox and the Yanks and the Yanks want to wait until the end of this series before finalizing a deal.

Maybe it's just stupid fancasting, but this series has a pretty huge effect on the Yanks' outlook at the deadline. Were the Sox to sweep, the Yanks would be at .500 in third place and probably looking up at the second wild card.
 

Green Monster

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With Pinetaraeda heading for TJ, I can't imagine a 3Bman is the Yankees top priority, but it does seem reasonable that they would try to complicate matters for the Red Sox.
 

Sampo Gida

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Frazier can play 1B too. Since breaking his toe last month Moreland has 6 RBI in 21 GS and is batting 164 with a sub 550 OPS. Hit 3 balls well tonight but nothing to show for it but a SF. Travis has fared worse in his starts batting only 125 with 435 OPS since getting recalled. SSS of course but 1B has become more of a concern than the Lin/Marrero tandem at 3B and Frazier being able to play both positions is a bonus
 

Sampo Gida

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With Pinetaraeda heading for TJ, I can't imagine a 3Bman is the Yankees top priority, but it does seem reasonable that they would try to complicate matters for the Red Sox.
They are interested in him for 1B or moving Headley to 1B with Frazier at 3B
 

107beers

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Why not go ahead and trade for Frazier and let him hold down 3rd the rest of the season and then re-sign him as FA so that next year he can play 1st with devers at 3rd. That way don't have to sign Moreland and maybe while at it can move hanram in a trade for a potentially better DH. Frazier can play 1st next year and also a little at dh and third.
 

MikeM

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A healthy Moreland seems to be a far better option than Frazier at 1B for 2018. Other than Frazier being shiny and new (to us) that is.
Frazier offers an overall level of flexibility and insurance that Moreland doesn't/won't though.

Although I still can't see us signing either anyway atm, barring the possibility Frazier makes a really solid post-trade impression. Which I guess some people here should be rooting pretty hard to see happen, since I doubt DD cares nearly as much as they do about what Devers' potential WAR value on paper is looking like in the aftermath of a bigger lineup upgrade.
 

Snodgrass'Muff

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Bob Nightengale‏Verified account @BNightengale 42s42 seconds ago




The #Whitesox would get only fringe prospect in return for Frazier, and eating part of contract too, in any deal
With how thin the system is, it might still be a name we'd all cringe at. Don't be surprised to hear something like Dalbec or Swihart. And if the deal expands beyond Frazier, maybe even Chavis.