This started out as a post on the CV versus BS thread, but I want to break it out to start a more general thread looking at the influence of pitch framing in real world situations.
Here's the Brooks Baseball
The pitches that are most interesting are the pink squares that are outside the strike zone (gained strikes) and the green squares inside the strike zone (lost strikes). Yesterday, Porcello gained three strikes and lost one. Here are the game situations in which that happened:
Gained strikes
- 3-0 Red Sox, Second inning, Corey Dickerson leading off, count 3-0. Porcello's pitch missed a little bit outside on the upper end of the strike zone. Big game impact here as instead of a leadoff walk the count went to 3-1 and Dickerson would eventually fly out to left.
- 5-0 Red Sox, Fourth inning, runner on second with two outs, count 3-1. Desmond Jennings batting. Porcello's pitch looks to be wide by about two inches. Minimal game impact as Jennings walks on the next pitch anyway (the called strike required Porcello to throw an additional pitch).
- 7-3 Red Sox, 7th inning, runner on second with two outs, count 0-0 against Logan Forsythe. The opening pitch to Forsythe appears to be a few inches inside. Forsythe is a career .597 OPS hitter after starting the count 0-1, and an .818 OPS hitter with a 1-0 count. He flied out to right 3 pitches later.
Lost strikes
- 5-0 Red Sox, 5th inning, one out nobody on against Kevin Keirmeier. Count 2-2. Porcello's sinker was up and in on the lefty but clearly within the zone.Game impact was minimal as Keiermeier struck out on the next pitch, (although Porcello did have to throw 1 more pitch).
I didn't include relievers in this post because they neither gained nor lost by this analysis, but I will in future posts.
Here's the Brooks Baseball
The pitches that are most interesting are the pink squares that are outside the strike zone (gained strikes) and the green squares inside the strike zone (lost strikes). Yesterday, Porcello gained three strikes and lost one. Here are the game situations in which that happened:
Gained strikes
- 3-0 Red Sox, Second inning, Corey Dickerson leading off, count 3-0. Porcello's pitch missed a little bit outside on the upper end of the strike zone. Big game impact here as instead of a leadoff walk the count went to 3-1 and Dickerson would eventually fly out to left.
- 5-0 Red Sox, Fourth inning, runner on second with two outs, count 3-1. Desmond Jennings batting. Porcello's pitch looks to be wide by about two inches. Minimal game impact as Jennings walks on the next pitch anyway (the called strike required Porcello to throw an additional pitch).
- 7-3 Red Sox, 7th inning, runner on second with two outs, count 0-0 against Logan Forsythe. The opening pitch to Forsythe appears to be a few inches inside. Forsythe is a career .597 OPS hitter after starting the count 0-1, and an .818 OPS hitter with a 1-0 count. He flied out to right 3 pitches later.
Lost strikes
- 5-0 Red Sox, 5th inning, one out nobody on against Kevin Keirmeier. Count 2-2. Porcello's sinker was up and in on the lefty but clearly within the zone.Game impact was minimal as Keiermeier struck out on the next pitch, (although Porcello did have to throw 1 more pitch).
I didn't include relievers in this post because they neither gained nor lost by this analysis, but I will in future posts.