Celts are 6 games up on Cleve (in the loss column) with 16 to go (Wizards and Pacers 8 losses back).
Note that the celts have a 69.7 win %, about 66% at home and 70% on the road!
Being slightly pessimistic, or assuming the celts rest players, a rough guess (see the table below) is the celts go 9 and 7 (0.56).
IOW: unless your worry that Cleveland basically runs the table (18 games)--- or you think you can catch Toronto --- starting right about NOW is time to rest ALL injuries.
(I am sure a much better simulation is possible that the following,...)
(Damn, my table got messed up, hence the coarse formatting)
For simplicity, I use 4 classes with the following probability of winnng:
Easy win (80%), WIn (60%), Toss up (50%), Loss (40%)
Team Road? Outcome
----------------------------------------
Ind (3/11) Win
Wash (3/14) Win
Orl (3/16) Road Win
NO (3/18) Road Loss
OKC (3/20) Win
Por (3/23) Road Loss
SAC (3/25) Road Win
Pho (3/26) Road Win
Uta (3/28) Road Loss
Tor (3/31) Tossup
Mil (4/3) Road Tossup
Tor (4/4) Road Loss
Chi (4/6) Easy
Atl (4/8) Easy
Was (4/10) Road Tossup
Bkn (4/11) Easy
Expected wins=9.1 ( 3*0.8 + 6*0.6+ 3*0.5 + 4*0.4)