Will the real Red Sox please stand up? I repeat, will the real Red Sox please stand up?

RedOctober3829

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If folks are going to continue to post this narrative, i'm going to continue to play whack-a-mole with it.

None of us have any idea what Bloom tried to get done and couldn't during the trade deadline. None of us has any idea how close they were at getting Rizzo.

People who post as they know exactly what happened -- and what Bloom's thought-process was -- are just talking out of their ass
I wasn’t specifically talking about Rizzo in this instance although of course as you know he’d be perfect. The defense at first has been horrid all year and you’d think they would’ve addressed it in a better manner. Hopefully they’ll go after Rizzo in the offseason and fix the position.
 

Red(s)HawksFan

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The facts kind of speak for themselves; they are well below replacement level at the position both offensively and defensively and their attempts to address it were Arroyo, Franchy Cordero and now, Travis Shaw, and maybe Schwarber will play some first at some point. I wouldn’t say any of these moves have been terribly effective…
Two of those options were simply using internal pieces to try to patch together a solution. Why not exhaust such ideas before going shopping? I know if the batteries in my TV remote die, I go checking the junk drawer for spares rather than run right out and buy a new pack of AAs. Shaw I don't think belongs in the discussion. He came available out of the blue at a time when acquiring anyone else is impossible. He's a round peg for a round hole. Maybe not an ideal fit, but he costs them nothing and maybe he bridges the gap for a bit.

Now acquiring Schwarber as the 1B solution versus alternatives is something that's debatable. For the last three weeks, he's not been a solution at all. The same thing may not be the case in three more weeks. Sometimes you can't just get the shiny new toy because you want it.
 

cornwalls@6

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If folks are going to continue to post this narrative, i'm going to continue to play whack-a-mole with it.

None of us have any idea what Bloom tried to get done and couldn't during the trade deadline. None of us has any idea how close they were at getting Rizzo.

People who post as they know exactly what happened -- and what Bloom's thought-process was -- are just talking out of their ass
This. My guess is(and yes, its only a guess) all options for improvement were exhausted, and they settled on what they could realistically get done with the prospects/resources they were willing to deal. I don't doubt that their inability to upgrade the team more than they did may be driving their poor on field play of late, in the sense that they have run out of the ability to overcome some of their flaws any further. I remain extremely skeptical that the deadline moves and non moves had some morale killing effect on the clubhouse. That sounds like a talk radio theory, and I think it's pretty divorced from how a group of independent contractors, all of whom are likely thinking about their next contracts to some degree, actually go about their business.
 

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I wasn’t specifically talking about Rizzo in this instance although of course as you know he’d be perfect. The defense at first has been horrid all year and you’d think they would’ve addressed it in a better manner. Hopefully they’ll go after Rizzo in the offseason and fix the position.
He's 32 and he's been trending down for the past two seasons. Going after him in the offseason could do the opposite of fixing the position.
 

YTF

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This. My guess is(and yes, its only a guess) all options for improvement were exhausted, and they settled on what they could realistically get done with the prospects/resources they were willing to deal. I don't doubt that their inability to upgrade the team more than they did may be driving their poor on field play of late, in the sense that they have run out of the ability to overcome some of their flaws any further. I remain extremely skeptical that the deadline moves and non moves had some morale killing effect on the clubhouse. That sounds like a talk radio theory, and I think it's pretty divorced from how a group of independent contractors, all of whom are likely thinking about their next contracts to some degree, actually go about their business.
Agreed. IMO if there is a morale issue with this team it stems from their inability to play fundamentally sound baseball. We can set the pitching aside for a moment, those poor bastards have their own issues. This team has played horrendous defense, they strike out to much, don't walk enough and I'm not sure if it's been mentioned at all in any of these threads, but the base running is less than desirable. While this calamity coincides with the period following the trade deadline, I have no earthly idea how anyone can suggest that a team that was close to 100 win pace WITH THE PLAYERS THAT THEY HAD gets a collective case of the sads over what was or wasn't done at the deadline.
 

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They’re going to have to address X’s defense. He will have to be moved - ideally 3B but with Devers there I’m not sure what you do.
 

Petagine in a Bottle

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Free agent 1b this off-season:

Freddie Freeman
Brandon Belt
Anthony Rizzo
CJ Cron
Mitch Moreland

That’s about it…if the Sox think Casas is the future and ready for 2023, I’d assume Cron or Moreland are the only real options here. Moreland is 35 and his numbers are very similar to Dalbec’s; low obp, maybe if you squint a platoon with him and Bobby is a stopgap if you upgrade other positions….

Another FA who has some 1b experience and would be an idea fit for this lineup is Mark Canha; can play 1b and of, gets on base…
 

cornwalls@6

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Agreed. IMO if there is a morale issue with this team it stems from their inability to play fundamentally sound baseball. We can set the pitching aside for a moment, those poor bastards have their own issues. This team has played horrendous defense, they strike out to much, don't walk enough and I'm not sure if it's been mentioned at all in any of these threads, but the base running is less than desirable. While this calamity coincides with the period following the trade deadline, I have no earthly idea how anyone can suggest that a team that was close to 100 win pace WITH THE PLAYERS THAT THEY HAD gets a collective case of the sads over what was or wasn't done at the deadline.
Yes, you stated it more clearly than I did: I think there’s definitely some collective frustration and pressing going on, that sort of spirals as they keep scuffling. None of which, IMO, has to do with the trade deadline.
 

GB5

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Infield defense is destroying this team. Do most think this team returns next year with X at short and Raffi at third?
 

Minneapolis Millers

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Anyone else concerned about Barnes? His fastball and curve have both flattened out, and he obviously isn't confident throwing either. Really ugly to watch...
 

Red(s)HawksFan

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Infield defense is destroying this team. Do most think this team returns next year with X at short and Raffi at third?
Yes they will. They're the core of the team, they're not going anywhere. I think a bunch of their defensive issues are solved with a competent defensive 1B. Mitch Moreland elevated the infield defense simply by giving the other guys a reliable target to throw at, and in doing so covered a lot of potential miscues. That's what they've missed the most about him since he's been gone. 14 of the 26 errors Bogaerts and Devers have committed this season have been throwing errors. And it's not just making plays to convert poor throws from errors to outs, it's the confidence instilled by having a good receiver at 1B. The less you feel you have to throw it on a dime, the more often you'll actually throw it on a dime. The less you're concerned about making a perfect throw, the less you rush things and bobble the transfer or try to make a throw before you have the ball secured.

Acquiring (or developing) a reliable 1B solves more problems than shuffling those guys around to other defensive positions does, and much more simply.
 

Sandy Leon Trotsky

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Yes they will. They're the core of the team, they're not going anywhere. I think a bunch of their defensive issues are solved with a competent defensive 1B. Mitch Moreland elevated the infield defense simply by giving the other guys a reliable target to throw at, and in doing so covered a lot of potential miscues. That's what they've missed the most about him since he's been gone. 14 of the 26 errors Bogaerts and Devers have committed this season have been throwing errors. And it's not just making plays to convert poor throws from errors to outs, it's the confidence instilled by having a good receiver at 1B. The less you feel you have to throw it on a dime, the more often you'll actually throw it on a dime. The less you're concerned about making a perfect throw, the less you rush things and bobble the transfer or try to make a throw before you have the ball secured.

Acquiring (or developing) a reliable 1B solves more problems than shuffling those guys around to other defensive positions does, and much more simply.
I agree with this.... the Dalbec potential is significant but I don't think it's in the Sox interests to keep exploring it. Of course, we all know he'll go to Tampa or Oakland and figure out some plate discipline and end up an All-Star, right?
Rafi's problem is still mental... a lack of focus. X's range is getting Jeter-esque and I don't know if it'll improve. It's worth noting that when Arroyo was bumped from 2nd, that X's defense seemed to really take a nose-dive. I still think the best situation defensively is for Kiké to get back to CF (Verdugo in LF and Renfroe in RF) with Arroyo at 2nd. X is still the range-based weak-link there but I still don't think IF defense matters as much over a season in this day and age over the course of a full season and that OF configuration is top notch.
But yeah... Devers and X will be at 3rd and SS respectively next season again.
 

RedOctober3829

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Yes they will. They're the core of the team, they're not going anywhere. I think a bunch of their defensive issues are solved with a competent defensive 1B. Mitch Moreland elevated the infield defense simply by giving the other guys a reliable target to throw at, and in doing so covered a lot of potential miscues. That's what they've missed the most about him since he's been gone. 14 of the 26 errors Bogaerts and Devers have committed this season have been throwing errors. And it's not just making plays to convert poor throws from errors to outs, it's the confidence instilled by having a good receiver at 1B. The less you feel you have to throw it on a dime, the more often you'll actually throw it on a dime. The less you're concerned about making a perfect throw, the less you rush things and bobble the transfer or try to make a throw before you have the ball secured.

Acquiring (or developing) a reliable 1B solves more problems than shuffling those guys around to other defensive positions does, and much more simply.
What is Casas’ reputation defensively?
 

JimD

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What is Casas’ reputation defensively?
SoxProspects has this: "Confident picking out throws in the dirt. Moves well enough for first base. Potential above-average defender there. Drafted as a third baseman but footwork was choppy, lacked range, and looked awkward fielding the ball there given his size."
 

Rovin Romine

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I agree with this.... the Dalbec potential is significant but I don't think it's in the Sox interests to keep exploring it. Of course, we all know he'll go to Tampa or Oakland and figure out some plate discipline and end up an All-Star, right?
As much as I would have preferred Dalbec to not have learned his trade in our 2021 L column, his development is a cost the Sox have already paid. Given that he's hitting now, they should have a reasonable upside/downside projection (for both offense and defense) and will trade accordingly.

Defensively, I don't see a problem with his athleticism, so much as his consistency. If the Sox are serious about keeping him there, they ought to explore intensive off-season training/coaching in 1B skills.

If he finishes strong, I still can't say I'd be entirely comfortable with him as the starting 1B in 2022, but on the surface, I don't think that's an unreasonable proposition or risk. If he tanks again though. . .
 

grimshaw

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There is definitely something to the loss of Moreland who was +9 and +5 in DRS his first two seasons helping to scooping up some of X's throws.

If we're going solely by defensive runs saved (which IMO is far better than UZR which ought to be retired from WAR calculations due to shifting), a 1b generally doesn't make a huge impact on the bottom line of wins and losses. This season for example, 33 out of 38 1b have a range of +4 to -3 runs saved. That range could maybe be a win one way or the other. Goldschmidt is at the top at +6.

Then you've got Dalbec all by his lonesome at -9. -9 BTW is 12th worst in MLB out of all players. It's not like he has played every inning of every game either. That shows me why Marwin Gonzalez had 15 games there even while missing batting practice fastballs and perhaps why Shaw was acquired since he is +8 in his career.

I think it'll be a minute before X (who is 7th worse in MLB at -10) is moved off of shortstop. That's not gonna be for a while, nor would it it make sense to because of the lack of big leaguers capable of even playing short.

I'm a Bloom believer, but the lack of even AAAA depth at first has cost this team a few games at least. I trust the process, but this does seem like a completely valid criticism.
 
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burstnbloom

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Anyone else concerned about Barnes? His fastball and curve have both flattened out, and he obviously isn't confident throwing either. Really ugly to watch...
The curve ball seems like it's still pretty effective, though he's had some bad luck on it. Since 7/1 he has given up a .300 BA with his curve ball but his xBA is .173. From 4/1-7/1 he was getting a .117 BA against on a .164 xBA. So it looks like the curve is roughly the same, he just took a fairly fortunate run and turned it into a decidedly unfortunate run since 7/1.

43704

The fastball appears to be the problem. He's getting half the swings and misses he was getting earlier in the year. He was getting an xBA of .138 until July 1 on his 4 seamer (.213 BA) and striking out 35% of the guys who got one 0-2. They were hitting it hard only 30% of the time. you can see below that he's not getting the K's on the pitch and they are hitting it a lot harder. If I had to handicap it, I would say he has a small mechanical regression that they haven't been able to perceive yet that is giving the hitter a slight advantage over where he was earlier in the year. That said, you have no idea how much the difference in results is effecting Barnes's ability to throw the pitch with conviction.





43705
 

cantor44

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There is a motte-and-bailey maneuver going on here. You assert references to entirely unverifiable psychologisms like "morale," and then, when challenged, you retreat to characterizing player performance (perhaps hyperbolically — our rotation of all #5 pitchers is somehow 3rd in the AL in SP WAR). The quoted above was not the argument everyone was responding to, which was much more focused on vibes.

You don't know what Dalbec's season means to the other players in the clubhouse. Maybe they consider supporting a struggling teammate to be an important aspect of being a good team mate, rather than demoralizing. I don't know. And that's the point: I don't know. And I really can't know. I don't think the clichéd quotes that make it into the press really have much of a bearing on this. No one is going to tell Jen McCaffrey, "Bobby's been hitting terribly and Chaim didn't replace him, and that bums me out, so now I will also hit terribly."

With that I will drop it.
We can drop it here, though indulge me with a response.

I trust I might have some faulty logic in there. Though maybe not. To clarify: I'm simply saying that the players most notice the poor performance of their mates, and certainly notice when their competition out does them by acquiring talent to help with the final push. And that that combination of facts perceived and digested could hurt morale. Which in turn might have an impact - temporary as it may be - on performance level.

Sure, we may not know what Dalbec's season means to the players in the clubhouse. Just like we don't know what anything means to anyone in any circumstance, frankly. It seems you've retreated to an epistemological argument that basically trumps discussion by asserting there is no basis for an impressionistic observation about anything that has any merit in any circumstance.

But our own experiential understanding of things can provide some insight. I offer again my own experience being in a public performance field (theater and TV). When you're in a play, and one cast member just can't hack it ... they can't keep pace, they're too quiet or selfish on stage, can't remember their lines ... as much as people might like that person, they'd prefer a quality pro at the top of their game comes in in their place ... and then, THEN, the person gets fired and people feel badly for a minute. And then their replacement comes in and it's a hot shit super talented actor who's had some big gigs recently, and they come in prepared and energized, and everyone is pysched as shit and the performance level of the entire ensemble gets better. This is not conjecture but something I've experienced in iterations over and over again over 30 years in the field.

And if management didn't fire that actor who couldn't hack it, that actor who was bringing the whole enterprise down, the other actors are pissed, let me tell you. Again - doesn't mean they don't feel for that person as a person.

So ... it might be common sense: the players want to win. They are pros. They want the best team possible. And when the guys who run the organization don't help provide the best team possible, it could feel like a gut punch, and that might have a temporary effect on performance levels.
 

Rovin Romine

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So ... it might be common sense: the players want to win. They are pros. They want the best team possible. And when the guys who run the organization don't help provide the best team possible, it could feel like a gut punch, and that might have a temporary effect on performance levels.
It's time to put this to bed. They're adults who have no lack of confidence in themselves.
 

cantor44

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It's time to put this to bed. They're adults who have no lack of confidence in themselves.
Okay, Chief.

But let me ask you: Did the Sox go 19-1 after McNamara was fired and replaced by Morgan a coincidence? It's not that Morgan was a baseball genius, but that human dynamics had an impact on performance; clearly the team felt liberated without McNamara around anymore. To deny this - as if the players were super human robotrons - seems to deny what we all know in our lives.

If psychology weren't a factor in performance why are there sports psychologists? Why do almost all teams in all sports have better records at home than on the road?

Again, I'll use the parallel in the entertainment world: I've worked with many a famous actor and director, well established, and crazy talent and success does not make a person automatically have confidence in themselves, or impervious to the impacts circumstance and psychology have on performance.

Alright ... tucking myself in now.
 

BringBackMo

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As much as I would have preferred Dalbec to not have learned his trade in our 2021 L column, his development is a cost the Sox have already paid. Given that he's hitting now, they should have a reasonable upside/downside projection (for both offense and defense) and will trade accordingly.

Defensively, I don't see a problem with his athleticism, so much as his consistency. If the Sox are serious about keeping him there, they ought to explore intensive off-season training/coaching in 1B skills.

If he finishes strong, I still can't say I'd be entirely comfortable with him as the starting 1B in 2022, but on the surface, I don't think that's an unreasonable proposition or risk. If he tanks again though. . .
Agreed. I’ll add that there’s a pretty good chance that he will tank again. Dalbec was very streaky throughout his minor league seasons and I think it’s reasonable to expect that as long as he’s with the Red Sox we’ll have to live through these boom and bust cycles as we did with JBJ. Of course they’re worse with Dalbec because when he’s not hitting he doesn’t add value with his defense, and even if he eventually does it will be at 1B rather than CF.

I agree that there’s a good chance Bloom keeps Dalbec around for a while, though. As he showed with the drafting of Blaze Jordan (off to a great start, BTW), and Jud Fabian, he seems willing to bet big on obscene raw power even when it comes with a mediocre to below-average hit tool.
 

grimshaw

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The unfortunate thing about Dalbec is that he got better and better in the minors, improving his k-rate and plate discipline at each level which was his worst tool.
His other above average tools were fielding and arm, at 3b. He just hasn't taken to 1st and his arm doesn't get to play into his value. He had plenty of time in the minors too.

The floor is just too low to roll the dice with and it's hard to see how he would fit on the bench next season either. Maybe he gets half a season, if they punt 1b until Casas is ready, but they have been scrambling for all options aside from Bobby this year already so I doubt he is given much if any more rope in 2022.
 
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soxhop411

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Cora on Barnes after today’s game
View: https://twitter.com/BillKoch25/status/1430371639242498048
Cora on Matt Barnes -- 'We're concerned. Yeah, we are.' 'Obviously we're not going to pick on the guy, but we have to make adjustments.' 'At the end of the day it's about winning the game. It's not about saves.' #RedSox
And on Robles
View: https://twitter.com/MacCerullo/status/1430371908898459648
Why Hansel Robles in the ninth inning? Alex Cora: "He's been a closer before, he throws 99, it's hard to catch up with 99." #RedSox
 
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Max Power

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Probably a better answer than the real answer which was "who the fuck else were we supposed to go to?"

The choices were Robles, Davis, or Richards, Robles was terrible as a closer this year, I hope they don't go to him over Ottavino if they're replacing Barnes.
Ottavino has a 1.4 WHIP and has allowed 19 steals in 49 innings this year. It's not clear anyone deserves the spot except maybe Whitlock. And since he can't pitch back to back days, I have no problem with Cora picking the closer at random.
 

scottyno

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Ottavino has a 1.4 WHIP and has allowed 19 steals in 49 innings this year. It's not clear anyone deserves the spot except maybe Whitlock. And since he can't pitch back to back days, I have no problem with Cora picking the closer at random.
He also has a 3.02 FIP and hasn't given up a HR all season. And he's pitched well this month.
 

BringBackMo

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In a vacuum, I’d like to see Seabold brought up for a turn or two in the rotation, Houck moved into Whitlock’s bulk-reliever role, and Whitlock moved into the closer role. That would allow Barnes to work in a lower-leverage role for a few appearances and hopefully regain his form.

Complicating the scenario is that there were already concerns about Whitlock’s innings pitched, and there’s a pretty good chance that this is Barnes for the rest of the season. This is certainly not the first time that we’ve seen the wheels come off for him in the middle of a season where he’d previously been pitching great.

Someone earlier mentioned Houck as closer and I think that’s also an idea worth pursuing.
 

Philip Jeff Frye

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Maybe Houck's future is in the bullpen, but another failure to develop a starter from our farm system would certainly be disappointing. Is this team really going to become a contender again if the rotation depends on expensive-but-injury-prone Chris Sales and Nate Eovaldis* plus a bunch of Garrett Richards/Nick Pivetta-type castoffs?

* and it seems doubtful that we'll even be seeing contracts like these in the future
 

RobertS975

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Will the real Red Sox please stand up? About 6 weeks ago, I thought that maybe things were settling up perfectly for the end of the season... several game lead over Tampa Bay for the division, hopefully clinch the division a few days prior to end of regular season to allow the perfect setup of the rotation for the first playoff series. Maybe best record in AL if not all of MLB. Sale was coming back, I figured Rizzo or Chron would be on board.

Well, that vision flashed away quickly, didn't it! Now it is peddle to the metal until game 162 just to clinch the second WC spot. Another single game playoff in the cards, against the MFY probably at the toilet.
 

BringBackMo

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Maybe Houck's future is in the bullpen, but another failure to develop a starter from our farm system would certainly be disappointing. Is this team really going to become a contender again if the rotation depends on expensive-but-injury-prone Chris Sales and Nate Eovaldis* plus a bunch of Garrett Richards/Nick Pivetta-type castoffs?

* and it seems doubtful that we'll even be seeing contracts like these in the future
Seabold, Bello, and Mata, are all legitimate SP prospects in the upper minors. Groome seems poised to be promoted soon to Portland. Mata (TJ surgery) and Groome (injuries, conditioning, makeup) each have major questions to answer, of course. Lower down in the system are other SP who are highly regarded. So while we won’t know for a while whether the system can produce a couple of decent starters, there is more hope than there’s been for a while.

Beyond that, though, what makes you think that we’re unlikely here in Boston to give market-rate contracts for top starting pitchers?
 

sean1562

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One of the big reasons this team has flamed out down the stretch is our one farm system pitcher, ERod, has been awful all season. I think they need to do whatever they can to give Houck and Whitlock as many innings as possible in the seasons to come and let Bloom assemble a bullpen like they did in Tampa.

At the end of the day, if the NYY keep winning games at the pace they have been winning them, we are not going to catch them. If they keep up their .757 post ASB pace they are gonna win like 100 games. This seems unlikely. We are 6-4 in our last ten games and still facing the Twins and then the Indians. The Yankees will eventually lose some games. The Athletics, even with the "vote of confidence" provided by their front office going out and getting Starling Marte at the deadline, are also faltering. We will get a WC spot, then it is all on Sale, Houck, Whitlock to get us into the ALDS. Our final 6 games are against the Orioles and the Nationals so hopefully we don't have to dig deep into the pen to win those games.
 

BringBackMo

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One of the big reasons this team has flamed out down the stretch is our one farm system pitcher, ERod, has been awful all season. I think they need to do whatever they can to give Houck and Whitlock as many innings as possible in the seasons to come and let Bloom assemble a bullpen like they did in Tampa.

At the end of the day, if the NYY keep winning games at the pace they have been winning them, we are not going to catch them. If they keep up their .757 post ASB pace they are gonna win like 100 games. This seems unlikely. We are 6-4 in our last ten games and still facing the Twins and then the Indians. The Yankees will eventually lose some games. The Athletics, even with the "vote of confidence" provided by their front office going out and getting Starling Marte at the deadline, are also faltering. We will get a WC spot, then it is all on Sale, Houck, Whitlock to get us into the ALDS. Our final 6 games are against the Orioles and the Nationals so hopefully we don't have to dig deep into the pen to win those games.
Rodriguez, who had serious repercussions from covid, has been inconsistent this year. He was awful then very good then awful. His last start was dreadful but the three prior to it were very good to excellent. Can we count on him to pitch well the rest of the way? No. Is there a decent chance he’ll have some excellent starts down the stretch and in the post-season? Yes.
 

chawson

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The unfortunate Bassitt injury hurts Oakland quite a bit. The A’s and Jays are slipping hard their last couple weeks and I don’t buy that Seattle keeps it up. It’s not what I’d have wanted a month ago but I’d take our chances in a Cole vs. Sale/Eovaldi matchup for the WC.
 
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shanks

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not sure if this is the right thread, but my search turned up lacking…

re: bullpen and closer/barnes problems. brasier shouldn’t be too far away (over a wk or rehab so far?) and maybe ort, who’s been pretty great all season in wooster, should maybe be considered. who they replace on the roster…? thoughts?
 

Petagine in a Bottle

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Ort has been pretty mediocre lately. But if they have to clear 40-man spots, than Perez, Rosario, Potts, and Santana seem particularly vulnerable and not likely to be missed.
 

grepal

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SoxProspects has this: "Confident picking out throws in the dirt. Moves well enough for first base. Potential above-average defender there. Drafted as a third baseman but footwork was choppy, lacked range, and looked awkward fielding the ball there given his size."
I read an article today grading him at 55 defensively. Will look for it for others to reference.
 

grepal

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the article is on Mass Live today. The rating is from Baseball America.
Baseball America ranks Casas No. 19 on its Top 100 prospect list and it gives him a 55 grade (above average) for both his hit and field tools. It grades his power at 60 (plus).
 

RobertS975

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Well, here's hoping that we lock up that second WC spot far enough in advance to be sure that our starters line up after the WC playoff game. I seem to remember years past where we had John Burkett ( who won) and Pete Schoureck (pitched great but lost) have to start elimination games.
 

Rovin Romine

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Jul 14, 2005
24,552
Miami (oh, Miami!)
Well, here's hoping that we lock up that second WC spot far enough in advance to be sure that our starters line up after the WC playoff game. I seem to remember years past where we had John Burkett ( who won) and Pete Schoureck (pitched great but lost) have to start elimination games.
This is looking far ahead, but:
1) assume we get a WC berth.​
2) assume we start Sale/Whitlock.​
3) assume any team can get a 6 game swing in the standings.​
4) assume our opponent will start their current best starter.​

How do we rank these possible opponents in a single elimination game?
Tampa​
Yanks​
Blue Jays​
Astros​
Atheltics​
Mariners​
 

scottyno

late Bloomer
SoSH Member
Dec 7, 2008
11,342
not sure if this is the right thread, but my search turned up lacking…

re: bullpen and closer/barnes problems. brasier shouldn’t be too far away (over a wk or rehab so far?) and maybe ort, who’s been pretty great all season in wooster, should maybe be considered. who they replace on the roster…? thoughts?
I had the same thought because he was good last year and has closing experience, then I went and checked bref and Brasier has a 19 era in 5 appearances with the Woosox, so I'm not sure he's the answer at closer right now. As far as who he would replace he doesn't necessarily have to replace anyone, rosters will expand to 28 on September 1st anyway, though they would need a 40 man spot for him.
 

Sandy Leon Trotsky

Member
SoSH Member
Mar 11, 2007
6,472
This is looking far ahead, but:
1) assume we get a WC berth.​
2) assume we start Sale/Whitlock.​
3) assume any team can get a 6 game swing in the standings.​
4) assume our opponent will start their current best starter.​

How do we rank these possible opponents in a single elimination game?
Tampa​
Yanks​
Blue Jays​
Astros​
Atheltics​
Mariners​
I'd prefer Mariners or A's... then Blue Jays, Yankees, Tampa and Houston.
Houston, IMO, is the best team in the AL far and away.
 

chawson

Member
SoSH Member
Aug 1, 2006
4,678
Well, here's hoping that we lock up that second WC spot far enough in advance to be sure that our starters line up after the WC playoff game. I seem to remember years past where we had John Burkett ( who won) and Pete Schoureck (pitched great but lost) have to start elimination games.
It’ll be Sale-to-Whitlock if we can help it, but the plus side is that Eovaldi’s handles the Yanks exceptionally well. One of the very lowest wOBA allowed marks against them in baseball since 2018 (.276), which is impressive considering how often he’s faced them.

This is looking far ahead, but:
1) assume we get a WC berth.​
2) assume we start Sale/Whitlock.​
3) assume any team can get a 6 game swing in the standings.​
4) assume our opponent will start their current best starter.​

How do we rank these possible opponents in a single elimination game?
Tampa​
Yanks​
Blue Jays​
Astros​
Atheltics​
Mariners​
Seattle’s the favorite. We’d rough up any of their three LHP, leaving Flexen or Logan Gilbert. They’re also worst against southpaws by team of the bunch.

Tampa may be more preferable than we’d think. Hitting LHP is one of their few weaknesses (besides Cruz), and I like a healthy Sale against those young hitters. They’d probably hit us with McClanahan/McHugh/Kittredge for the first 7 innings or so, which would be tough.

I’ll say Seattle (Gilbert), Tampa (McC), Oakland (Montas), Houston (McCullers, maybe Greinke), Yankees (Cole), Blue Jays (Berrios)