If the poll were still open today, I'd change my vote to 0%; not because I think there was no plan, but because I think the plan is not working and my faith in Bloom turning it around is now closer to 0% than it is to 20%.
I'm agreeing with a lot of what you're saying
@tims4wins, and I don't want to quote everything, but I think we're on a lot of the same page.
Yes, Bloom has come in and done a good to very good job rebuilding the farm system to somewhere in the top 10 in the game (seems to be a pretty fair consensus average). Looking at SoxProspects.com, he "gets credit" for 5 of the top 10 with Mayer, Bleis, Yorke, Romero and Anthony - and 10 of the top 20 going further down the list (so about half the farm I think is fair to say). This no longer includes Casas or Bello, both of whom were here before Bloom, but also doesn't include someone like Whitlock whom Bloom gets a ton of credit for. (Quick mention that there is a guy we all know out in Pittsburgh that has been on the job the same amount of time and has a top 4 system per Fangraphs and a top 7 per MLB; vs 9th and 11th, respectively).
While I believe he was hired to turn around the farm system and pretty much to negotiate the Mookie Deal (ie get under the before the 2020 season), I also seriously doubt that FSG expected that to come with flushing $415m down the toilet in 2022 and 2023 (number comes from the 2022 Luxury Tax payroll and the 2023 Luxury Tax payroll, minus $50m for Sale as that is not Bloom's fault. I'm also assuming we'll spend a combined $30m or so on "meh" players like Segura at 2b, Wacha and Syndergaard for the rotation - and that a team with that roster is going to suck - maybe they'll surprise like they did in 2021 but with the current roster and what's left on the FA market, I'm betting on the 67% outcome like 2020 and 2022 and not the 33% outcome of 2021).
Maybe I'm a sucker, but I kind of believe FSG's philosophy (and it's been a good one) is to give their Front Office around $225m to use each year (or whatever the Luxury Tax number is) and then to let them spend it. In years where it looks promising, they seem to have no problem going over the tax - and I don't blame them for either of these mindsets. It's worked REALLY FREAKING WELL for the past 20 years.
Thus far for next season (using projected arb totals from MLBTR) Bloom has spent approximately $58m combined on Hernandez, Matt Barnes, Chris Martin, Bradley Jr (buyout), Hosmer, James Paxton, Brasier, Arroyo, JRodriguez, T Pham (buyout), Refsnyder, Arroyo and JTaylor. I'm not feeling great about that ~$60m and it's ability to achieve much of consequence.
Yes, Bloom had an excellent 2021. Everything he did seemingly went right - most notably acquiring Pivetta and Whitlock and I credit him for that. However I think the standings in 2020 (yes, 60 games) and 2022 are a lot more like what 2023 and probably 2024 are going to look like, especially losing two of our three best players from those teams.
Maybe Bloom swings some amazing trades like posters on here have suggested, it's possible. But based on what he's gotten back in aggregate for dealing Betts, Benintendi, Workman (great trade), Renfroe, Vazquez (good trade), and whatever he gave up to take on $5.7m of Eric Hosmer and $1.5m of Tommy Pham for some reason I can't ascertain AND the guys he has elected NOT to trade in wasted seasons (Eovaldi, Martinez, Hill and Wacha) I have very little confidence in this transpiring.
As mentioned, I isolate the two. I have between 0-5% confidence in Bloom turning this around. I have 100% confidence that if 2023 turns out like 2020 and 2022 FSG will hire someone else and hope for better.