Recent content by EricFeczko

  1. EricFeczko

    Benintendi to Royals for Franchy Cordero, Mets RHP prospect Josh Winckowski, and 3 PTBNLs

    I think sampling variability and bias are at play with these comps here. Players with Cordero's frequency of play are likely to be injury prone and therefore drop out entirely. Injuries aside, future performance is probably too hard to predict when a player has only played 40 games at most in a...
  2. EricFeczko

    Might as well start talking about 2021

    I think depth is a big separation for the red sox here. I wouldn't be surprised if that distribution for that projection is wide and weird. 7.6 of the projected 13.1 pitching WAR is distributed to Chris Sale, Eduardo Rodriguez, and Nathan Eovaldi -- yet they are only projected for 415 of the...
  3. EricFeczko

    Revisiting the Xander-at-shortstop debate

    Agreed, he definitely recovered after crashing (see the chart), which is why I'm optimistic his bat will continue to improve. It's a shame we won't see whether he'll achieve the same spike he did in 2019. Still doesn't mean he should be slotted at 1B to make room for Xander at 3B ;)
  4. EricFeczko

    Revisiting the Xander-at-shortstop debate

    We weren't talking about "fine", we were talking about whether his bat will play at 1B. Longing for a player that's 10 percent better than Mitch Moreland performed at 1B is the definition of aiming low.
  5. EricFeczko

    Revisiting the Xander-at-shortstop debate

    For most of his career it, objectively, has been (YMMV) -- if we start from the premise that 1B average an .807 OPS (which I'm not so sure about, actually). He had a spike in 2019, which is encouraging, but its about a third of his games. It doesn't mean much unless its followed up.
  6. EricFeczko

    Revisiting the Xander-at-shortstop debate

    Agreed. The problem here is not the heavily discounted SS superstar Xander Bogaerts (2nd in SS fWAR over the past 4 seasons), but rather the lack of good players everywhere else. 2B and 1B are possibly poor positions for the Red Sox (Dalbec's K rate remains concerning, even if its largely driven...
  7. EricFeczko

    Revisiting the Xander-at-shortstop debate

    I'm saying that making any claim about true talent on the basis of a single season is ludicrous.
  8. EricFeczko

    Revisiting the Xander-at-shortstop debate

    I agree entirely with this sentiment, which is why I originally wrote this: I'm optimistic, but making a switch to 1B now seems extremely short-sighted. Well I certainly wouldn't make any claims on his true talent from May-August, especially when he crashed heading into 2020, unlike this...
  9. EricFeczko

    Revisiting the Xander-at-shortstop debate

    How arbitrary, reminds me of Eric Van trying to find signal by slicing the data so it fits his hypothesis. A 60 game rolling average is a far better indicator -- and clearly shows a spike of about 50 games, after which he came crashing back down. Even if one accepts your post-hoc narrative...
  10. EricFeczko

    Revisiting the Xander-at-shortstop debate

    Given how many players fluctuate over the early part of their career, this statement is almost certainly premature -- he had a hot streak late in 2019 that looked like development, and this year is striking out 27% of the time. There's a ton of uncertainty in how he'll develop.
  11. EricFeczko

    Revisiting the Xander-at-shortstop debate

    Its certainly possible that the 57 games he played this year should be considered a mulligan, but yes, he is slightly below average for 1B for most of his career -- except for a hot streak in 2019. Hence, why I said unless his bat continues to progress.
  12. EricFeczko

    Revisiting the Xander-at-shortstop debate

    Yeah, I don't get it either. Xander was far worse at 3B when he actually played there from 2013-2014. Besides, our defense at 2nd and 3rd are far weaker. Unless Devers's bat continues to improve, he'd be below average at 1B.
  13. EricFeczko

    Ryan Brasier retweets video mocking Jacob Blake response

    I just re-read the entire thread, front-to-back and back-to-front. While some early posts merely called for him to be removed without any explanation, I found no post advocating to cut him because of his beliefs. I found plenty of posts explaining that he should be gone for team chemistry, held...
  14. EricFeczko

    Ryan Brasier retweets video mocking Jacob Blake response

    Exactly. Brasier is welcome to believe whatever he likes. He's welcome to say whatever racist shit he likes, and when he does, the red sox fan base and management are welcome to hold his ass accountable.