Recent content by koufax37

  1. koufax37

    Red Sox, Ceddanne Rafaela agree to contract extension

    It is a great gamble and the type of deal that if we make five of, the sum of the parts is very likely to be a team benefit (the singular one is a risk for injuries, or the chance that the player does not pan out). Obviously how the hit tool plays out determines whether we have JBJ v2 or Betts...
  2. koufax37

    When Is It Okay To Worry About Triston Casas: An Attempt at the Reverse Jinx

    There is more than SSS to go on here, if you saw his at bats. 1) Seattle clearly had a plan and was relentless with it. 2) He was unable to make any adjustment and got beat on sliders in the zone. 3) On a positive, no Javy Baez here, his discipline on the sliders is excellent. But the core is...
  3. koufax37

    X Leaves the Spot for San Diego: 11 years, $280M

    But we both know that X can and will play elsewhere. And while I am bullish on Meyer (my son played against him in high school) he is not yet Tatís or even Kim, and might be a ways away. Mookie moved because he was blocked and it worked out fine. And yes SS is covered with Story to Meyer, but...
  4. koufax37

    X Leaves the Spot for San Diego: 11 years, $280M

    A 11 year contract to a 30 year old is silly at some levels and this reminds me of when the Cards were so far away when Pujols went to the Angels. But remember that the Pujols deal wasn’t bad because of being 41 and 42. It was bad because he didn’t perform from 35 to 38. Years 10 and 11 aren’t...
  5. koufax37

    What's going on with Rodriguez?

    For me this is eerily similar to Lester's 2012, which was also his 28 year old season (like ERod) In that year as he put up a 4.82 (in 33 starts and 205 IP) and: Lester's H/9 jumped up (8.6,8.2,7.2,7.8, ***9.5***) while his HR9 went up slightly, his walks trended down a little and his Ks...
  6. koufax37

    Sale's Return - When and in What Capacity?

    I don't think there is a medically significant reason to differentiate a start in Worcester and a start in Fenway at this point in Sale's recovery. I also think he is deep enough into his pitch count and arsenal and stuff that his in game approach wouldn't be different from a stepping stone...
  7. koufax37

    Boston Red Sox 2021 Draft Class

    Not exactly expecting or wishing for Rocker to be our pick. It was just a reference to the uncertainty of future draft position and how things can change. From #1 lock to #10 unsigned to potential surgery and the unknown. Great player and I hope he gets back to being healthy and goes much...
  8. koufax37

    Boston Red Sox 2021 Draft Class

    Completely agree, with complicated age shifting as an argument I made years ago against the Cubs manipulating Kris Bryant's service time. Betting on himself is a double edged sword. If you think you are good enough to dominate in the spring and get back to a top 10 pick to get more money as a...
  9. koufax37

    Marcelo Mayer, and his gorgeous hair, drafted by Sox / 4 Overall

    I live a couple miles from him, my son played against him this year. Speed isn't there, but the bat and defense are legit. I think the Seager comp is a really good one. Everyone has him sticking at short, but I can see him shifting to third as a plus defender there because I would worry that his...
  10. koufax37

    Kevin Pillar to Sox for 1 year, 4.25 million

    I think most people are evaluating him as a normal player, not a 4th outfielder. As a 4th outfielder he is protected by his platoon splits as he has consistently done better against LHP, and he should be facing primarily LHP except when the schedule or an injury requires otherwise, so we are...
  11. koufax37

    Sox talking Mookie trade with Dodgers, Padres - News & Discussion

    The part I'm confused about is if you really value David Price at less than $16M for the next three years. If you pick up 50% for him not to play for you, then you are choosing $16M No Price over $32M Yes Price. In my mind that is too steep a subsidy if you have any optimism about his...
  12. koufax37

    JDM

    Unless (like the Astros bidding on pitch tipping Darvish) you think you can fix it and get much more future than the past. I don't think that myself, but that is a pretty reasonable assumption for a team going high on Hosmer, whether they prove to be right or wrong. Although launch angle at...
  13. koufax37

    Winter Meetings 2018: Rumors and Speculation

    Yes. I wish him well, but a good time to refer to MORNEAU, JUSTIN and I don't think any analytics department can accurately assess brain injuries. Giants have to take the risk and wish for the best, but we don't.
  14. koufax37

    Winter Meetings 2018: Rumors and Speculation

    Bradley+ for Abreu, sign Martinez and we have added a lot more RH Power than the MFYs. The interesting thing is going to be how aggressively we go after RH relievers with the idea of neutralizing the Stanton/Judge/Sanchez core. Someone threw out Addison Reed's numbers against Stanton (which...
  15. koufax37

    Putting Pedroia Out To Pasture?

    The decline phase will not always be a pleasure, but I think we are jumping the gun. His four years starts at $16M and goes down each year, so it is not difficult to envision him with enough WAR to cover that, Mojo/History/Legacy aside. I remember when this town had decide Roger was done...
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