Recent content by mikcou

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    Red Sox Rumors

    Guys like Wikelman almost never get added - its counter productive - there's zero risk that he's going to stick on a MLB roster for a full season and you're materially increasing risk of running out of option years. He has great stuff, but his results in A ball were not good, he likely needs a...
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    Red Sox Rumors

    I dont think so, but he's pretty stuff limited. He has some value during his option years of being a guy in AAA who can come up and not be terribad and maybe he ultimately plays himself into an old-school long man in the pen/6th starter (i.e., more of the mop up soak up innings than the quality...
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    What does 2023 look like?

    The post your replied to specifically mentioned making offers to players in their first two years or so. Xander signed at the beginning of his last year of arb. The offer to Betts was right before he was traded. Devers' offer was after four years of service time. I agree that there is some...
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    What does 2023 look like?

    Sure, the best time to sign is usually after a year or two in majors. They didnt do that and there werent any rumors that they even tried with any of Xander, Mookie, or Devers. This effectively goes to my point - occasionally not signing your homegrown stars is fine - it is a nature occurence...
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    What does 2023 look like?

    The big distinction with these teams is that they do lock up a lot of their talent. The Braves signed (i) Austin Riley to a 10/215; (ii) Matt Olson to a 8/168; (iii) Acuna to 8/100; (iv) Strider 6/75; (v) Harris 8/72; (vi) Albies 7/35. You're never going to sign everyone when you bring up as...
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    One of two choices: Blow it up or build it back up?

    2 WAR is the definition of a league average starter. The only players who recorded more than 2 fWAR last season were: 1) Xander 2) Devers 3) Story What definition are you using?
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    One of two choices: Blow it up or build it back up?

    If a model is projecting a starter to have more starts than 80% of his 10+ season long career, you might want to take it with a massive grain of salt. That was my point above - a good part of my life is spent in models - there is never one "correct" answer - especially when applied to a...
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    One of two choices: Blow it up or build it back up?

    40? That would be 31-32 for Eovaldi and high single digits for Paxton. Sale is the same age as Paxton and made 9 starts in 2021 after coming off surgery that was done 6-7 weeks earlier than Paxtons. That's before bringing up that Paxton has had an extensive history of arm injries. Eovaldi has...
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    One of two choices: Blow it up or build it back up?

    If thats the message you took from that post, I guess we dont have much to discuss. The point is when you collect a bunch of injury prone pitchers, they get hurt - portraying 2022 as some ridiculously unlucky event is a complete mischaracterization of what occurred. Wacha and Hill produced more...
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    One of two choices: Blow it up or build it back up?

    Projections arent always accurate. Injuries happen to all teams (Harper only played in 100 games) - expecting perfect health is silly especially when the injuries are to guys coming off TJS in their mid 30s. Wacha (127 - consistent with most of his career) and Hill (124 - 5th most of his career...
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    One of two choices: Blow it up or build it back up?

    Post went through twice.
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    One of two choices: Blow it up or build it back up?

    There is the whole thing that they were pretty far away from 87 wins last year and are unlikely to have one of their top two players from last season. Blowing it up as a big market team in baseball is idiotic, but they have a ton of work to put together a roster that has a chance at the playoffs.
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    What does 2023 look like?

    These trades rarely happen because most teams fringe roster guys arent any better than other teams fringe roster guys - at least not in anyway that is material enough to do a deal. You have a long list of guys who are are pretty fringe and a number (Reed, Caleb Hamilton, Chang, Ort) who arent...
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    2022 Boston College Football

    Troy would have been a solid enough ACC WR if they just told him that was what he was going to be - he was a 6'0 guy with nice athleticism. The insane idea that he was a QB was just that, insane. Billy Flutie couldnt do anything. He wasnt a punter. He held FGs so maybe they listed him as that...
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    What does 2023 look like?

    A 108 OPS+ for a below league average defensive 1B is a pretty terrible player. At the trade deadline last year there was only one team that had worse production at first than the Padres - that was the Dalbec/Cordero awfulness. Again there is a reason, the Padres paid for everything for a...