Recent content by Super Nomario

  1. Super Nomario

    How many of these pitchers with one career Red Sox save do you remember (2000-2021)?

    I remember getting into an argument with some writer (Baseball Prospectus?) about whether Pichardo or Wasdin was better (I was pro-Pichardo, obviously) and I can never get those hours of my life back.
  2. Super Nomario

    Pats Draft Rd.1/15: QB Michael McCorkle "Mac" Jones

    We should be careful with this, especially with respect to Tua. Tua and Mac arrived in the same recruiting class, and Tua was ahead of Mac the entire time - Mac redshirted, Tua was the backup (and famously won the National Championship game as a true freshman), Tua started over Mac as a...
  3. Super Nomario

    Pats Draft Rd.1/15: QB Michael McCorkle "Mac" Jones

    I think Brees is a good comp as far as a guy who was reasonably athletic but just didn't run much. Brees ran a 4.83 40 (just about the same as Mac or Mahomes) and actually ran for 500+ yards his last year in college. Like Jones, he was a tennis player growing up. The throwing on the run thing...
  4. Super Nomario

    Pats Draft Rd.1/15: QB Michael McCorkle "Mac" Jones

    I'm aware that's the argument, but a) I don't find it terribly persuasive (versus say, a null hypothesis that it's just a run of bad luck with a small sample in an enterprise fraught with failure) and b) even to the extent there may be a kernel of truth there, I don't think the conclusion is...
  5. Super Nomario

    Pats Draft Rd.1/15: QB Michael McCorkle "Mac" Jones

    If non-mobile QBs can still succeed (as they clearly can), but the league has done a poor job developing them lately, to me, that points to "we need to a do a better job developing non-mobile QBs" instead of "teams shouldn't draft non-mobile QBs." I see a lot of this argument as an extension of...
  6. Super Nomario

    Pats Draft Rd.2/38: DI Christian Barmore

    I think that perception is coloring your perception of some of the individual examples. To me, N'Keal Harry and Sony Michel were chances on high-end physical players that failed. So I don't necessarily agree that it "often pays off." Sometimes it does, sometimes it doesn't. The cupboard isn't...
  7. Super Nomario

    Pats Draft Rd.2/38: DI Christian Barmore

    The Patriots certainly value production, intelligence, and a good mentality, but your memory is having some issues here. Just last year, Dugger, Uche, and Keene were physical freaks. Vollmer and Solder were physical freaks with meh tape (especially in Vollmer's case). Chandler Jones had like 4...
  8. Super Nomario

    Pats Draft Rd.2/38: DI Christian Barmore

    I don't think that's a good characterization of either of those decisions, to be honest. When I think of the "high-floor, low-ceiling guys" I think more of dudes like Duron Harmon or Jordan Richards. But I guess the relevant takeaway here is that risk comes in several flavors. Is taking a...
  9. Super Nomario

    Favorite Patriots Newcomer (Draft Picks Included)

    The Patriots threw the ball 45 fewer times than the Titans last year, so I'm not sure volume is going to be much of an improvement.
  10. Super Nomario

    Packers: Rodgers’ Chances of Returning to GB in Jeopardy!

    I could see a Carson Palmer / Bengals situation where he sits out a few games to show them he's serious.
  11. Super Nomario

    Pats Depth Chart: an Early Look

    The issue is they're paying two TE 8-figure contracts. Those guys are going to be on the field almost every snap. So if you put a FB on there, you're going one WR. I could see them sprinkling that in occasionally but I don't think 1 WR sets will be a regular thing.
  12. Super Nomario

    Pats Depth Chart: an Early Look

    The bigger issue for Johnson is that, going to a primarily 2 TE offense, I'm not sure how many snaps even exist for a FB. They didn't carry one during the Gronknandez heyday. Keene fits as Jonnu Smith's backup, and if he can do some FB things on the handful of short yardage snaps they need that...
  13. Super Nomario

    Pats Draft Rd.4/120: RB Rhamondre Stevenson

    My sense (and I haven't studied it either) is that the late-round hit rate for RB isn't really any better than other positions, but it stands out more because RBs can play right away, so you get rookie late-round picks and UDFAs contributing almost immediately (like James Robinson last year or...
  14. Super Nomario

    Pats Draft Rd.4/120: RB Rhamondre Stevenson

    Is the bolded proven? I think there are two advantages to drafting a RB reasonably highly: 1) the vast majority of RB production is on rookie contracts; history is littered with RB who were good their first 4-5 years and completely washed up thereafter. 2) it's a position where rookies can...