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  1. PrometheusWakefield

    Maybe the Red Sox are good?

    What's working right now for the Red Sox is that all of a sudden it's offense that's the scarce commodity. Their .338 OBA is the exact same as it was in 2019. But in 2019 it ranked 5th in baseball at 6 percent above league average and today it ranks 1st at 15 percent above league average.
  2. PrometheusWakefield

    Maybe the Red Sox are good?

    We knew they were going to hit. JD Martinez, Rafael Devers, Xander Boegarts looks like a legit middle of the order. Frenchy Cordero, Christian Vasquez, and Alex Verdugo seem like solid offensive contributors and maybe Dalbec too. It's a deep lineup. I'm not sure if we have an answer at second...
  3. PrometheusWakefield

    Jeff Teague: 1 year deal with the Celtics

    Tough competition between Teague and Tremont Waters to be the 5th best PG on the team
  4. PrometheusWakefield

    Payton Pritchard drafted #26 overall

    Does that mean a ligament tear has been ruled out?
  5. PrometheusWakefield

    James Harden to Brooklyn

    This trade is bad for the league. If the Nets start to suck in a couple of years, which seems so possible, it's going to crush their franchise for a decade.
  6. PrometheusWakefield

    Tatum out 10-14 Days per Covid Policy

    It's only a disaster if you care about the regular season record, and we don't particularly. There's no home court advantage, we have to face the same teams eventually, who cares how many games we actually win this season. Its an opportunity to give more opportunities to our bench especially on...
  7. PrometheusWakefield

    I Believe in Time Lord...Why Can't You?

    If I'm reading this chart right, 5 of the top 6 performing lineups for the Celtics have Robert Williams as the only big: https://www.basketball-reference.com/teams/BOS/2021/lineups/
  8. PrometheusWakefield

    Week 5--Broncos @ Patriots (maybe)

    Unbelievable clock mismanagement
  9. PrometheusWakefield

    SD to acquire Mitch Moreland for Hudson Potts and Jeisson Rosario

    11th and 18th best prospects in the SDP system. Not top prospects but for Mitch Moreland a pretty good haul.
  10. PrometheusWakefield

    Bard is back! (on the Rockies, not the Red Sox)

    Yes. Especially since it becomes obvious from the movement of the arm which pitch is coming.
  11. PrometheusWakefield

    who would win between the

    I have complete confidence that the 1918 Red Sox would get destroyed by any modern baseball team, even the 1988 Orioles. I also think that if you put Babe Ruth in a time machine from 1920 and brought him to 2020 he'd have a hard time cracking a major league roster. That may seem obvious but I...
  12. PrometheusWakefield

    David Ortiz on the mend: shooting and recovery

    It's a fucking hit. There's no attempt to get any kind of money out of this. There's no question (imo, at least from that angle) that the shooter is looking right at David Ortiz and is targeting that guy specifically. Crazy to picture who thinks it's a good move to try to shoot David Ortiz...
  13. PrometheusWakefield

    David Ortiz on the mend: shooting and recovery

    It sounds like something people usually survive, but the word "clinic", as opposed to "hospital", has me very nervous.
  14. PrometheusWakefield

    Rosenthal: Sale extension 5 years, $145 million

    It's funny that we all take it for granted that NBA and NFL players will think like this but in MLB we assume everybody is out for themselves.
  15. PrometheusWakefield

    Let's Talk Exten$ions...

    Whoa, ok that's a big change. That takes expected WAR for the life of the contract up to 78.3, which means $ per WAR goes down to $5.5m. That would price Mookie's 54 WAR at 10/$297. Very good deal for the Angels.
  16. PrometheusWakefield

    Let's Talk Exten$ions...

    So that's an extension, meaning the new contract starts in 2021 and goes until 2032 (yikes!). Steamer projections (again declining .5 WAR for every year after 29) for Trout are 67.8 WAR during that period, which means $430m is $6.34m per WAR. Based on Mookie's 54 WAR over 10 years that would...
  17. PrometheusWakefield

    Let's Talk Exten$ions...

    Nice piece in the Globe today about Chris Sale that suggests he is the kind of player who values security over getting the last dollar, a good sign for a possible extension. Obviously it seems to me the question for the Sox is whether it makes sense to think about an extension now, or see how...
  18. PrometheusWakefield

    Peter Gammons on the Red Sox hitting philosophy

    Dalbec doesn't make Gallo look like Ichiro, Dalbec just looks like Gallo. When Gallo first got to AA, he struck out 39.5% of the time; Dalbec struck out 37.1% of the time in his first taste of AA. Gallo was 2 years younger at the time, still, Gallo proves that you can be a quality major league...
  19. PrometheusWakefield

    Let's Talk Exten$ions...

    At 34.1 WAR over the course of the contract, Arenado is closer to my WAR estimates for Sale (31.5 over 6 years) than Mookie (54 WAR over 10). It looks like the Rockies are paying $7.5 million per estimated WAR (of course, given that it's the Rockies they could also be factoring in his...
  20. PrometheusWakefield

    Let's Talk Exten$ions...

    Starting from Steamer estimates of projected WAR in 2019 (JBJ 2.6, Hicks 3.3) and declining 0.5 WAR every year for their 30s, I have Hicks being worth 12.6 wins over the course of the contract against 5.5 wins for JBJ. So a pretty big difference in value. Also Hicks was a FA after 2019, JBJ...