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  1. billy ashley

    Baseball America Top 100 ‘23: 5 Red Sox

    I like Kavadas a lot but I don't think anyone is credibly arguing he's an important prospect. He's a top 20 guy in this system, with an interesting skill set and serious questions about his ability to make contact in the high minors. If he answers those questions, he's a fascinating DH prospect...
  2. billy ashley

    Baseball America Top 100 ‘23: 5 Red Sox

    The biggest weakness for the farm, imo, is that beyond the top core guys, there aren't many folks who profile as major league contributors in the upper minors (outside of relievers and swingmen, which AAA is rich with). Worcester Prospects: Likely major leaguers: Cedanne Rafeala. Lots of...
  3. billy ashley

    Matt Barnes DFA'd, traded to Marlins for LH reliever Bleier

    Ort or possibly Duran. Would think Ort being more likely. Reportedly, Boston has been trying to make trades to consolidate these end-of-the-40-man types all winter. Maybe we see some more activity in the coming days.
  4. billy ashley

    Baseball America Top 100 ‘23: 5 Red Sox

    I like Law more than most, but that's a really odd comment given that he thinks Boston currently has 3 top 50 prospects, and that Bleis at 72, is a guy who could easily be top 25 next season, with kind words for Romero and Lugo, thrown in as well. Yeah, pitching is thin. It's hard to develop...
  5. billy ashley

    Baseball America Top 100 ‘23: 5 Red Sox

    I'm not terribly surprised. Kavadas has enormous offensive upside. Pretty much everyone just accepted that he'd hit at all levels before AA, and he crushed. His AA deubut wasn't great but it wasn't horrific in a limited sample. The gap between High A and AA has never been wider and you'd expect...
  6. billy ashley

    Baseball America Top 100 ‘23: 5 Red Sox

    Would also offer up that Downs' status was in far worse shape than Yorke. Yorke had a bad 2022, with some mitigating circumstances (injuries). Downs just flat out forgot to hit. As bad as Yorke might have been last season, he was still far better than Downs in 21. Nevermind the fact that Downs...
  7. billy ashley

    Red Sox Rumors - Just Kidding

    Last off-season I tried to think of ways the Sox could "buy" Adell through absorbing a bad contract. He seemed like a great candidate for that at the time in that he'd lost a lot of the hype but there was still a pretty could chance he could be a good low average/obp high power player with...
  8. billy ashley

    How long will Chaim last?

    I voted Bloom forever, but that's because there was no appropriate option for "we'll have to see how this season goes, and how the team is positioned going forward." If this is a bridge year (it sure feels like it) but they position themselves to re-open a serous contender window by season's...
  9. billy ashley

    Red Sox sign Justin Turner

    that's fair, some recency bias on my part.
  10. billy ashley

    What is the greatest need right now?

    Okay, so the team has filled the DH spot. What do you think the greatest area of need is at this exact moment? For this exercise, let's pretend we don't need clarity on the Devers situation.
  11. billy ashley

    Red Sox sign Justin Turner

    Yes. I think there are reasons to be optimistic for the rotation. Is there significant risk? Sure. But I really like Whitlock and Bello. If Sale gives them anything there is some upside, there. Right now the Outfield Defense features a bad left fielder playing right, a bad left fielder playing...
  12. billy ashley

    Red Sox sign Justin Turner

    Ort seems like the most likely person to be DFA's. Though I have to think there are potential trades in the work. Right now the OF defense projects to be pretty ghastly.
  13. billy ashley

    Red Sox Rumors - Just Kidding

    The pen actually looks like an area of strength so I'm fine with that.
  14. billy ashley

    Red Sox Rumors - Just Kidding

    I like all 3, if just don't know if I'd be thrilled with trading Devers for two guys likely ranked around 75 nationally and a guy who was a somewhat controversial first round pick. I think it's fair to say Romero's stock is up but none of those guys are close to being impact major leaguers.
  15. billy ashley

    Red Sox Rumors - Just Kidding

    Yeah, that's another good point as to why to not trade him. Like, I have trouble accepting that Boston would trade him and not get some sort of blue chip prospect that's near contributing. The trouble is, with how service time works, those players could theoretically be more valuable than Devers...
  16. billy ashley

    Red Sox Rumors - Just Kidding

    I don't love the trade simulator tool, but it assumes Devers medium surplus value to be 37 million. To put that in Red Sox terms, if we wanted the Red Sox to match 37 million in surplus value, a trade could look like: I'm not sure I'd be happy with getting a similiar return (and I love Bleis...
  17. billy ashley

    Red Sox Rumors - Just Kidding

    RE these Blaze Jordan posts. It's unfair to call him mediocre. He put up really solid numbers across age-advanced competition in two separate levels this year. Early in the season, there were significant concerns about how he wasn't pulling the ball with any authority, but those concerns...
  18. billy ashley

    Red Sox acquire Wyatt Mills for Jacob Wallace, DFA Eric Hosmer

    FWIW, I think there has to be another move coming shortly. I think Hosmer + Dalbec would have been an acceptable cheap "platoon" option if the Red Sox had spent big on Xander. Hosmer is pretty meh against both righties and lefties whereas Dalbec can be downright useful against lefties. It...
  19. billy ashley

    Red Sox acquire Wyatt Mills for Jacob Wallace, DFA Eric Hosmer

    folks eager to drop Hernandez must know about some other high minors left handed relievers that I've been unable to locate on Soxprospects.com. It's a huge organizational gap, right now.
  20. billy ashley

    Red Sox acquire Wyatt Mills for Jacob Wallace, DFA Eric Hosmer

    I get folks are frustrated, but this is just silly. Groome was a DFA candidate. Almost every scouting report listed Groome as having seen his fastball decline, and his one 70 curveball falling behind his average to average plus change up. I like Groome a lot: I think he got a raw deal during...