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  1. simplicio

    2024 MLB Draft - Potential future Sox

    Honestly, the thing that's keeping my excitement low is that, while we've obviously seen a tremendous shift in pitching in Boston, the pitching in the minors feels a lot less revelatory so far? One of the stories of 2023 was the Worcester rotation being surprisingly disappointing and I was...
  2. simplicio

    What *is* the Breslow/Bailey/Willard pitching philosophy, after all?

    Here's the fangraphs explanation: https://library.fangraphs.com/pitching/stuff-location-and-pitching-primer/ And driveline (founded by Kyle Boddy, who Breslow hired as a consultant) on stuff+: https://www.drivelinebaseball.com/2021/12/what-is-stuff-quantifying-pitches-with-pitch-models/ The...
  3. simplicio

    When Is It Okay To Worry About Triston Casas: An Attempt at the Reverse Jinx

    I'm a full time resident of Casastan. They are such idiots if they can't find a way to extend this kid.
  4. simplicio

    What *is* the Breslow/Bailey/Willard pitching philosophy, after all?

    That's a great article. The thing I keep banging on is pitching+ metrics. The whole idea of "throw your good pitches" seems pretty prevalent in the Bailey era, and I think the pitching+ models are a really good shortcut for the team's evaluation of what makes a good pitch. Here's Chase...
  5. simplicio

    Home Run Derby Game thread

    Wait I just watched this, best part of the night, I'm dying.
  6. simplicio

    Home Run Derby Game thread

    I think he was doing some pre-game TikTok thing?
  7. simplicio

    Home Run Derby Game thread

    Same as it ever was.
  8. simplicio

    NY draft 2024

    The overslot thing is such an interesting dance of commerce and valuation. Like would Whitney have been signable by someone if Kiley hadn't mocked him in the first round? Did that put it in his head that he wasn't getting offered what he was worth? I supposed NIL money may change the equation too.
  9. simplicio

    2024 MLB Draft - Potential future Sox

    Very curious to see if Cason is signable. He seems almost certainly over slot but I don't have a good sense of where we saved.
  10. simplicio

    MLB Draft 2024 - Potential future Red Sox

    Will Turner Bats: L Class: 4YR JR Height: 6' 1" Pick Value: $274.60k Throws: L DOB: 09/18/02 Weight: 200 Birthplace: USA Ranked No. 84 on MLB Pipeline's preseason Draft Top 100, Turner saw his stock tumble after he batted .218/.409/.421 with nine homers and 12 steals. He lowered his hands in an...
  11. simplicio

    2024 All-Star Game Voting

    Tatis isn't playing, he's on the IL.
  12. simplicio

    Who to buy at the trade deadline?

    Casas also doesn't appear to be part of the "too many LHB" problem; he had a 121 wrc+ vs LHP last year and started this year with a reverse split. Interesting that Devers, in his best offensive season ever, is actually below average vs LHP for the first time since 2020.
  13. simplicio

    Who to buy at the trade deadline?

    I'd much rather have Casas.
  14. simplicio

    My Ideal Metric - TOTAL bases

    Mostly, his era is only 2.45 though. And wintgenter's is 27.
  15. simplicio

    My Ideal Metric - TOTAL bases

    Something is wrong with Horn's numbers.
  16. simplicio

    Red Sox, Ceddanne Rafaela agree to contract extension

    Having watched a ton of his play, I both agree that his defensive metrics and WAR valuation in no way capture the player, and that he made a ton of unforced errors, especially at SS. I do think it's getting better as he gets more comfortable, but there's an amount of overenthusiasm to his...
  17. simplicio

    2024 MLB Draft - Potential future Sox

    There aren't 16 inches in a foot. 7'4" is somewhere around top 15 in MLB, Aroldis Chapman territory.
  18. simplicio

    Red Sox select Payton Tolle in the second round of the 2024 MLB Draft

    For reference, a 7'4" extension would be something around top 15 in MLB this year.
  19. simplicio

    MLB Draft 2024 - Potential future Red Sox

    Payton Tolle at 50, LHP with enormous extension.
  20. simplicio

    MLB Draft 2024 - Potential future Red Sox

    It's like the Grammys out here.