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  1. Frisbetarian

    Monty Fired - Sacco to take over

    You are 100% correct! Can I use ESL as an excuse? :rolleyes:
  2. Frisbetarian

    Monty Fired - Sacco to take over

    Jajaja. I can’t write any letters because I lost all interest in hockey after I retired from the team. I haven’t watched a hockey game in since I left. Hell, I didn’t watch any sports until the Celtics playoffs last year when I came back from Mexico. I’m a front runner pink hat fan now I guess...
  3. Frisbetarian

    Mark Bellhorn: Hero or zero?

    Mark Bellhorn is the Dorothy Mantooth of Red Sox baseball.
  4. Frisbetarian

    Monty Fired - Sacco to take over

    Great work. I have some perspective on this. It’s been a while so I think it’s ok to share the following. I did a study for the Bruins during the 2015-16 season looking at the extreme penalty discrepancies they faced vs their opposition. I used power play opportunities in my study, so the data...
  5. Frisbetarian

    Cy Young winner Chris Sale thread

    Think a little about what you know about Chris Sale’s personality and how he would react if he were told he was not getting the game 5 start. Do you think he’d be fine with it? I will not discuss what I know about the game 5 start or how, but am quite comfortable with how I worded my post. Now...
  6. Frisbetarian

    Cy Young winner Chris Sale thread

    Chris Sale was not even close to dependable in the 2018 postseason. He started just 3 games, had just 1 win (none after Oct 5), posted a 4.11 ERA, and most damningly did not take the ball for his regular start in the deciding game of the World Series forcing Price to pitch on just 3 days rest...
  7. Frisbetarian

    Cy Young winner Chris Sale thread

    It’s absolutely easier to do this in hockey if you manage your (hard cap) salaries intelligently. Some NHL teams, even ones with large analytics departments, did struggle with this, however. See Toronto and Andersen;) Even though it’s more problematic to get a pitcher rest during the regular...
  8. Frisbetarian

    General Celtics thread: 24-25 edition

    Thanks for this. You wouldn’t happen to know the percentage of made 3s for each team by category, would you?
  9. Frisbetarian

    Cy Young winner Chris Sale thread

    I wrote the following a few years ago, but it’s relevant to this discussion. Sale was fantastic in 2024. It was, arguably, his best season ever because, unlike 2017, he was able to pitch well late into the season. But he still broke down, predictably I’d say considering the above. And I remain...
  10. Frisbetarian

    Off-season Game Thread 2024

    Unfortunately, I didn’t start until the 2014-15 season, so I have nada for you. And most of my early work with the draft was looking at talent value vs market value (what you could receive in trade). What I found after looking at 15 years of drafts was there was a significant discrepancy between...
  11. Frisbetarian

    Blower, Pow, Cold Smoke - Skiing 24-25

    I’m coming back to Massachusetts (from Mexico) for 6 weeks this winter so I can try skiing for the first time since I had a significant brain bleed (from an inoperable cavernous malformation) 10 years ago. I bought used equipment on FB Marketplace, and will probably start with a morning at...
  12. Frisbetarian

    Cy Young winner Chris Sale thread

    In his last 2 starts, Chris Sale’s K% has been just under 20% vs over 33% in his previous starts. His swinging strike rate in these 2 starts is just under 10% vs ~14.5% in all other starts. Also, his xFIP these recent starts is 3.35 vs just over 2.50 for the rest of the season. It’s a small...
  13. Frisbetarian

    Cy Young winner Chris Sale thread

    Chris Sale’s ERA in September and October is 1.2 runs higher than his overall career ERA. He tired and was ineffective or injured with the Red Sox late in the season every year he was here (with the possible exception of 2023), even in his “healthy” years. Sale has shown some possible signs of...
  14. Frisbetarian

    5/23/2024 - A Thursday Mata-nee

    I’m at the game. Mata was cruising until 2 outs in the 3rd when he lost command, went deep into counts, and the Yard Dogs got their first good swings of the game on him. I think it’s still an encouraging start; Mata was hitting 97 seemingly effortlessly with his 4 seam, and his slider froze a...
  15. Frisbetarian

    Round 1 Bruins-Leafs

    Thanks SJM, but I’m really happily retired. That’s a great question that unfortunately I cannot answer. And tbh, even if I could I have little faith in the accuracy of the response. One thing I can say is that we were always trying to determine how a potential acquisition would perform in a...
  16. Frisbetarian

    Round 1 Bruins-Leafs

    To some degree it is true in other sports, but I think it's more so in hockey. It's harder for an individual player to impact the game in hockey than baseball or especially basketball. In hockey you have 4 lines, 3 pairs, and a goalie (19 players) playing every game, and sans goalies those...
  17. Frisbetarian

    Round 1 Bruins-Leafs

    That’s a billion dollar question. I don’t think anyone has developed a wins above replacement metric that’s even close to accurate in hockey. I have some thoughts and estimates that I can’t share here, but a better question might be what’s a player like Bergeron worth compared to Pasta? Really...
  18. Frisbetarian

    Round 1 Bruins-Leafs

    When over 55% of the salary cap is allocated to just 4 players in a sport where even the (non goalie) players with the most ice time get just 20 minutes a game and there are 5 players on the ice at all times you are going to have huge holes elsewhere. Hockey is not a sport where a non goalie can...
  19. Frisbetarian

    Round 1 Bruins-Leafs

    Hold my beer hermano. I was positive we were going to win that night, and even brought a case of exceptional tequila to the Garden for the all night party. I would have received a ring, the Cup for a day, my name on the Cup, and a very healthy check (which would have been spent on the Stanley...
  20. Frisbetarian

    Sox trade John Schreiber to KC for minor league right-hander David Sandlin

    Schneider has just 6.46 K/9 this year, the lowest of his career and much lower than the 10.25 and 10.22 K/9 he had the last 2 seasons with the Red Sox. His strand rate, as @PrometheusWakefield mentioned above, is 94%, the highest of his career and well above the 77-78% he posted with the Red Sox...
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