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  1. Pedroia's Itchy Nose

    How to Fix Baseball

    Apologies if this is already covered somewhere else in the thread, but unless something is done to curb scalping/ticket reselling, your plan won't actually help anyone but scalpers.
  2. Pedroia's Itchy Nose

    Red Sox agree to terms with Garrett Crochet, Tanner Houck, and Kutter Crawford for 2025 (and Jarren Duran with a 2026 club option --1/17 update)

    Despite being a Duran optimist and major proponent of early extensions, I've gotta disagree with you on this one. Duran is about the only major piece that I don't really want to see the Sox extend given that they have him until he's 31 already. I guess if the deal is quite team friendly I...
  3. Pedroia's Itchy Nose

    Red Sox hook Crochet for Kyle Teel, Braden Montgomery, Chase Meidroth and Wikelman Gonzalez

    From a traditional contract perspective this scaling makes sense, but IMO it makes more sense from a baseball standpoint to do the opposite. Give him a big payday upfront and frontload the contract as teh team is likely to have fewer cash obligations in the next couple years. As the contract...
  4. Pedroia's Itchy Nose

    Alex Bregman and Adding a Bat

    I remain a Bregman skeptic. He's upgrade the team over the short term, but he's just such an awkward roster fit. If he takes over 3b and the Sox find a home for Yoshida then fine, but I don't see that happening. If they can trade Casas for a legit pitcher then I could live with that too, but it...
  5. Pedroia's Itchy Nose

    Much like Newman, the Sox are not “Ready to deliver”– The 2025 Offseason News (& rumors?) Thread

    I'm less familiar with bWAR for pitchers, but fWAR is FIP based and so, no, improving the defense would not improve pitcher WAR. The defensive value of the position player is baked into their WAR already through the dWAR component, so saying they will add X WAR and also make our pitchers better...
  6. Pedroia's Itchy Nose

    Cam Booser to White Sox for Yhoiker Fajardo

    The Yhoiker acquisition salves my disappointment at the failure to draft Jurrangelo Cintije, but only partially.
  7. Pedroia's Itchy Nose

    Red Sox sign Patrick Sandoval

    While deals like this are never exciting, I'll keep sticking to the line that this kind of signing is generally good. When I looked at free agent signings and resulting value generated, pillow contracts were the best performing deals for both pitchers and hitters. You can't build your team...
  8. Pedroia's Itchy Nose

    Much like Newman, the Sox are not “Ready to deliver”– The 2025 Offseason News (& rumors?) Thread

    I think fangraphs projections just don't believe defensive improvements from Duran and Abreu are real. Projecting some decline from them (especially Duran) is totally reasonable, but I think fangraphs projections tend to be very heavily weighted towards history/pedigree over recent performance...
  9. Pedroia's Itchy Nose

    Much like Newman, the Sox are not “Ready to deliver”– The 2025 Offseason News (& rumors?) Thread

    Just to piggyback on @8slim's post, in 2024 among starters with at least 100 IP: 14 were between age 20-24 (12%) 54 were between age 25-29 (47%) 33 were between age 30-34 (33%) 9 were between age 35+ (8%) It's also worth noting that there were 17 starters with 100+ IP at age 28 and only 6 at...
  10. Pedroia's Itchy Nose

    Red Sox hook Crochet for Kyle Teel, Braden Montgomery, Chase Meidroth and Wikelman Gonzalez

    Thanks, @Auger34. I've pretty consistently been a defender of the FO over the past few years and I still think that their wariness of committing to top tier contracts during that time was likely the right move. I'm not trying to call the ownership cheap now. I'm trying to suggest that my...
  11. Pedroia's Itchy Nose

    Red Sox hook Crochet for Kyle Teel, Braden Montgomery, Chase Meidroth and Wikelman Gonzalez

    If there truly were no connection between the quality of the players on the roster and the cost of the roster, then I wouldn't. In the real world, spending more enables a better roster. I don't expect the Red Sox to spend like the Mets, but I do expect them to be willing to carry a payroll...
  12. Pedroia's Itchy Nose

    Red Sox hook Crochet for Kyle Teel, Braden Montgomery, Chase Meidroth and Wikelman Gonzalez

    Very mixed feelings about this trade. On the one hand I think it's fine if Crochet can build on his success last season and especially if they extend him. I'm not worried about the downside risk of Teel and/or Montgomery becoming stars -- that risk is going to be present with any realistic trade...
  13. Pedroia's Itchy Nose

    Boston’s taxing pursuit of Juan Soto is over. (Mets)

    I'm not going to be upset if the Sox match that, but I'm not exactly going to be cheering either. That's a lot of eggs in one basket.
  14. Pedroia's Itchy Nose

    Boston’s taxing pursuit of Juan Soto is over. (Mets)

    Just to be clear, I completely agree that there is added marginal value in each additional WAR a player provides. Money is a resource, but roster space is also a resource. The additional points about added value of star players and the likely increase in $/WAR are also well taken. I'm certainly...
  15. Pedroia's Itchy Nose

    Boston’s taxing pursuit of Juan Soto is over. (Mets)

    I'm excited by the prospect of the Sox landing Soto, but those of you thinking that the contract will pay for itself based on his peak years alone are off base. If we use $10m/WAR as market rate, a 600-700mm contract would require an output of 60-70 total WAR to "break even." Even if we are...
  16. Pedroia's Itchy Nose

    Boston’s taxing pursuit of Juan Soto is over. (Mets)

    If we're going to dream, throw Mayer, Teel, and Casas in there too. If all of those guys somehow hit it'd be ridiculous. And RF is likely going to be a decent bat, too.
  17. Pedroia's Itchy Nose

    Mark Bellhorn: Hero or zero?

    I'm sorry, I can't get past this. When you fold the laundry don't you always fold until you run out of clothes? Isn't that, like, folding the laundry once? Or did you go fold a single shirt or whatever every time he struck out and leave the rest of the pile just sitting there? And yeah...
  18. Pedroia's Itchy Nose

    Roki Sasaki to be posted this winter

    He might want to be THE guy. It's going to be much harder for him to stand out on a team with Yamamoto and Ohtani. While everything seems to point to the Dodgers being the favorite, IMO Sasaki signing with the Dodgers would be horrible for baseball. The competitive imbalance in spending is less...
  19. Pedroia's Itchy Nose

    NPB & other Asia-Pac leagues 2024

    The area considering years of experience and posting is not one that I have a great understanding of to say the least. As far as I know, NPB players with a certain amount of service time can be posted to the MLB as a UFA, while NPB players under that threshold instead enter MLB under the IFA...
  20. Pedroia's Itchy Nose

    Hooking Crochet? 12/8 update: Rumors of Red Sox "just on the periphery," "not aggressors at all" at this point.

    Personally I'd only even consider trading one of the big four for Crochet if he is willing to sign a quite team friendly extension. Otherwise I'd offer Abreu+ or a package of lower minors position player prospects (not Montgomery). I like Abreu a lot, but a LH platoon OF bat is basically the...
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