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  1. buckner's_ankles

    Most Disappointing Red Sox Team of Your Lifetime

    '86 It was the most [insert any negative word here] experience ever. Broke me.
  2. buckner's_ankles

    The Kutter Crawford thread

    (Just moved this from the Buehler thread) How about scenario #5?: From the beginning of the season, Crawford is needed primarily (or even exclusively) in the rotation. At some point, if other SPs are healthy and performing well and Sandoval is on track to add SP depth for the end of the season...
  3. buckner's_ankles

    Red Sox sign Walker Buehler

    The recent MLB report on pitching injuries shows that injuries to pitchers from spring training to opening day have been rising significantly over the past several years. Last year, it looks like about 112 pitchers got put on IL during that period. That's about 3.7 pitchers per team. Very...
  4. buckner's_ankles

    Red Sox sign Walker Buehler

    If each of the five projected members of the rotation has an 87% chance of being healthy, the probability of all five being healthy when the year begins is under 50%. Obviously, this is just math without any actual predictions around the health of those SPs, but maybe it's helpful to see the...
  5. buckner's_ankles

    Much like Newman, the Sox are not “Ready to deliver”– The 2025 Offseason News (& rumors?) Thread

    My favorite post of 2024. Agree 100%.
  6. buckner's_ankles

    Much like Newman, the Sox are not “Ready to deliver”– The 2025 Offseason News (& rumors?) Thread

    Buehler reclamation deal plus Crochet trade (Mayer and Abreu)? I could live with that.
  7. buckner's_ankles

    The Red Sox Payroll Poll

    I voted for "Up to $265M," but I want to point out that getting up to that range by signing mediocre players to long-term deals is a really bad approach. This year, it looks very unlikely that we have a real shot at contending, so I'd rather see a $230M payroll with a lot of expiring deals than...
  8. buckner's_ankles

    Moves I'd Make

    What are the odds of that team winning it all this year? I'm not sure what we accomplish by fielding a middle-of-the-pack team in 2024 (especially when I look at what the Dodgers are doing). Why commit to a 6/7-year deal for a 31-year-old pitcher? I don't see either the short-term or long-term...
  9. buckner's_ankles

    Offseason rumors

    Porter's got a great fastball, great change and improving sweeper. 6'4", 20 years old. Seems to be on track for a 2025 arrival. If he improves his control, maybe he's a #2/3 at some point. I'd like to see more young arms with upside in the organization, and I think there's a package we could put...
  10. buckner's_ankles

    Offseason rumors

    Leiter is interesting, but I'd be inclined to send more money and/or a prospect if it would get us Brock Porter instead.
  11. buckner's_ankles

    Offseason rumors

    Bello Giolito Crawford Pivetta SP5 Houck and Whitlock both go to the pen. Martin and Jansen both get traded. OR Houck/Whitock serve as SP5 if only one of Martin/Jansen gets traded. This is the scenario I'm expecting, and I'm totally fine with it. If we sign someone to be SP5, it ought to be a...
  12. buckner's_ankles

    Moves I'd Make

    Sure--I like them about as much as Paxton. Carrasco, Junis, Alex Wood... I won't be surprised if we fill the rotation with a guy like that.
  13. buckner's_ankles

    Moves I'd Make

    I'm coming at this from the perspective that 2024 is a transition year, which means that guys with some upside who are open to 1-year deals are great. This year, if we can get roughly the same performance out of Paxton at roughly the same cost, that seems fine. If the alternative is to overpay...
  14. buckner's_ankles

    Moves I'd Make

    Signing Paxton to a short deal with incentives makes sense to me, too. Moving at least two of Houck, Whitlock and Pivetta to the bullpen also makes sense. I'll keep banging the drum to trade both Jansen and Martin. Selling high on Martin is a bit of a gamble--he might be good this year--but the...
  15. buckner's_ankles

    Moves I'd Make

    Breslow says that a goal is "to acquire controllable, young starting pitching." That leaves me thinking that the more likely scenario for the remainder of this offseason involves Jansen and/or Martin being traded for SP prospects who might be ready to help in 2025 and beyond. If they're...
  16. buckner's_ankles

    Moves I'd Make

    Looking over the teams that are rumored to be going after Hader: Yankees, Dodgers, Rangers (and maybe the Phillies) The teams that miss out on him might be destinations for Jansen. It doesn't seem like Dodger fans are excited to bring back Kenley, and LA might continue to stick with an approach...
  17. buckner's_ankles

    Moves I'd Make

    Cotillo's new article is full of good stuff: https://www.masslive.com/redsox/2023/12/with-chris-sale-traded-whats-next-for-red-sox-more-subtraction-possibly.html?utm_campaign=masslivesports&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter Highlights include: "...one obvious trade candidate is closer...
  18. buckner's_ankles

    The Newest Vaughn

    Doesn't it make sense to give Grissom a full season to see if his glove at 2B is passable OR if his bat is so good that it either makes up for bad defense at 2B or warrants a move to another position?
  19. buckner's_ankles

    Moves I'd Make

    White flag in 2024 is absolutely fine with me as long as it's because they're working hard for the checkered flag in 2025.
  20. buckner's_ankles

    Moves I'd Make

    Definitely thought that Jansen and Martin were more likely to get dealt this offseason. Trading Sale, especially for a young player with so much upside, felt like too much to hope for.
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