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    Koji's Split Personality

    I hope at some point I have the time to compile all of this into a database and analyze it to that level.  I do agree that his feel for the pitch on a particular night is a factor, as are the hitters faced, the count, etc.  However, that's exactly why I'm splitting the data into relatively large...
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    Koji's Split Personality

    I went back and looked at the game logs and every single one of Koji's April and July appearances he was throwing to Hanigan, and all of his other appearances he was throwing to someone other than Hanigan.   Hanigan 113 splitters, 36 fastballs (75.8% splitters) Non-Hanigan 167 splitters, 154...
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    Koji's Split Personality

    Actually, it seems like it may be related to Ryan Hanigan.  Hanigan was out for May and June, and active in April and so far in July.  The data below includes tonight's appearance...   Koji pitch mix by month: April 79 splitters, 24 fastballs (76.7% splitters) May 69 splitters, 61 fastballs...
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    What should the Sox do with Swihart when Hanigan returns?

    I was running the 2015 to-date numbers through my xBABIP/xAVG spreadsheet, and noticed Hanigan's extreme line drive rate (30% before the 3 hits to right today) so far this year.  For all the hand-wringing around here about his ineptitude with the bat, he's certainly been extremely unlucky with a...
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    The unprojectable Clay Buchholz

    As much as selling high on a wildly inconsistent pitcher does make sense, this year really is a different Clay.  He's traded four-seamers for more sinkers and changeups, which is a great move considering the four-seamer is his worst pitch for whiffs and also his worst for groundballs.  The...
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    Red Sox have hired Carl Willis as their pitching coach

    Further breaking it down...   Starters SIERA: April 3.74 May 4.45 June 3.47   Relievers SIERA: April 3.65 May 4.05 June 4.02   The bullpen really needs to be better than that.
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    Red Sox have hired Carl Willis as their pitching coach

      SIERA: April 3.69 May 4.31 June 3.63   No real trend, and SIERA is much more reliable in small samples than ERA.
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    Red Sox acquire Alejandro de Aza

    No.  An organization this deep in OF doesn't start a warm body in the OF.  Did you completely miss that he's starting in LF tonight?  Give it up instead of taking ignorant shots at me in a thread that's supposed to be about De Aza.
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    Red Sox acquire Alejandro de Aza

    He was, and so is a healthy Craig.  I never said Peguero was super valuable, just useful.  He's starting tonight.  Maybe he sticks around.  If not, well, this organization is super deep at OF and yet they still found a way to put him on the active roster and even get him some playing time...
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    Red Sox acquire Alejandro de Aza

    Agree completely.  I like De Aza as a pickup, but Gunkel has been surprisingly good and is still young.
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    The Offense

    vs. RHP           OPS Splits Player   Pos  Career 3-Year MiLB Betts     CF   .758         .869 Pedroia   2B   .794   .734 Ortiz     DH  1.007   .991 Hanley    LF   .854   .822 Sandoval  3B   .850   .806 Napoli    1B   .819   .801 Xander    SS   .623         .881 Castillo  RF   .796         .747...
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    The Offense

    I'd love to see Ortiz and Sandoval each sitting against 50% of LHP, with Hanley sliding into their positions.  This should keep them happy, as I'm sure neither Sandoval nor Ortiz would take well to sitting against all LHP.  At this stage of their careers, they are both pretty close to equally...
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    Another outfielder - Carlos Peguero

    Have you two been living under a rock for the last 10 years?  Simple platooning is EV-level cherry picking in your minds?  I don't know what to say other than thank god you two aren't making any important baseball decisions.  Simple platooning is probably the lowest hanging fruit as far as...
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    Another outfielder - Carlos Peguero

    Those of you throwing insults around should realize that you don't know everything and maybe you're actually the idiot sometimes.   Anyway, I said I see him as Papi insurance.  As in, if Papi suffers a year-ending injury.  I also said I hope it never comes to that.   I said he had 30+ HR...
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    Another outfielder - Carlos Peguero

    http://minorleaguecentral.com/player?pid=451713&split=3000&type=batter   Since 2011 - .286 AVG, 69 HR, .922 OPS in 1108 PA vs. RHP in AAA despite 31.4 K%.  When he makes contact, he hits the snot out of the ball.     Edit: vs. RHP AAA 69 HR / 1108 PA * 650 PA = 40.5 HR MLB 13 HR / 282 PA * 650...
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    Another outfielder - Carlos Peguero

    I see him as Papi insurance.  He strikes out a ton and is completely useless against LHP, but against RHP this guy has legit 30+ HR power potential and could be useful as a DH vs. RHP.  Hopefully it never comes to that.
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    Time to move Joe Kelly to the pen?

    All 3 of his secondary pitches get plenty of whiffs and ground balls.  His issue is lack of command.  He seems to either throw right down the middle or misses badly with non-competitive pitches.   His SIERA is still around 4.00, which I don't think Eduardo would beat right now.  I'd keep sending...
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    The Victorino conundrum

    With Hanley's defense in LF as bad as it is, he's either a DH or he's a below average fielder somewhere (other than maybe 1B?), so you might as well use him where he's needed to maximize the rest of the lineup, keep the 4th OF fresh, and get guys appropriate rest while still managing egos.
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    The Victorino conundrum

    The 864 innings that Hanley has played as a major league 3B.
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    The Victorino conundrum

    Ignoring the calf injury and talking about a healthy Victorino, I see the ideal fit for him on this roster in a platoon role with Sandoval (Hanley as the middle-man) along with giving the regular OF days off:   Regular lineup vs. LHP LF Castillo CF Betts RF Victorino 3B Hanley BN Sandoval  ...
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