16 Days in January—Determining Trade Deadline Activity

teddykgb

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Absent an incredible deal I think Schroder should have a say in what happens. If he wants to go play as a starter or a 6th man on a contender who will give up value then fine. I think there’s value in Stevens doing right by agents/players when they got Schroder under such weird circumstances. Show that you’ll take care of a guy who lost a game of musical chairs and maybe you become a top option next time it happens
 

benhogan

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Myles Turner is not the stretch big that we all thought he could be, but he is perhaps the 2nd best defensive center in the league. With one year left after this at 18 million, Pritchard woudl for sure get one first round pick for him. Two may be a stretch, but depending on the protections, it is not completely outrageous.
There aren't really any Contenders looking to add 5's, that make $18MM. They'd have to move too much talent to fit that contract. I actually can't think of one NBA team that would offload talent, & then pay Turner's salary for one 1st round pick

Center's are really tough to trade, there are plenty of them and you only need one. Hence Indiana's plight.

That $18MM counts towards this season and next season's cap. With a flat cap that salary is tough to swallow, it would force a team into the tax.

Turner is great at blocking shots, but there are several better defensive Centers. The dude plateaued about 3 seasons ago, right about the time Pritchard handed him that deal. He's taking a pay cut next time up
 

Cellar-Door

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There aren't really any Contenders looking to add 5's, that make $18MM. They'd have to move too much talent to fit that contract. I actually can't think of one NBA team that would offload talent, & then pay Turner's salary for one 1st round pick

Center's are really tough to trade, there are plenty of them and you only need one. Hence Indiana's plight.

That $18MM counts towards this season and next season's cap. With a flat cap that salary is tough to swallow, it would force a team into the tax.

Turner is great at blocking shots, but there are several better defensive Centers. The dude plateaued about 3 seasons ago, right about the time Pritchard handed him that deal. He's taking a pay cut next time up
LAL could use him. They're starting DeAndre Jordan. They just don't have attractive picks. Dallas should be interested too.
 

chilidawg

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There aren't really any Contenders looking to add 5's, that make $18MM. They'd have to move too much talent to fit that contract. I actually can't think of one NBA team that would offload talent, & then pay Turner's salary for one 1st round pick

Center's are really tough to trade, there are plenty of them and you only need one. Hence Indiana's plight.

That $18MM counts towards this season and next season's cap. With a flat cap that salary is tough to swallow, it would force a team into the tax.

Turner is great at blocking shots, but there are several better defensive Centers. The dude plateaued about 3 seasons ago, right about the time Pritchard handed him that deal. He's taking a pay cut next time up
Turner might be a better fit in Chicago than Vucevic, that team really needs a rim protector.
 

mcpickl

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LAL could use him. They're starting DeAndre Jordan. They just don't have attractive picks. Dallas should be interested too.
I think this is going to be the story of this trade deadline, and why I'm skeptical of Schroder level guys fetching a first round pick, most of the best teams don't have picks to trade.

Milwaukee can't trade any first round pick
Brooklyn can't trade one til 2028
Miami can't trade one til 2025, and don't have any good salary match options
Utah can't trade one til 2026 at the earliest
Dallas can't trade one til 2025 at the earliest
Clippers can't trade one til 2028
Lakers can't trade one til 2026 at the earliest
Phoenix can't trade one til 2024 at the earliest
Denver can't trade any first round pick

Of the teams sitting in the top six in each conference, the only teams that can trade a first in the next two drafts are Golden State, Chicago(who can only trade this years and no future ones), Philly(who have some bigger 6'10" fish to fry), and the two young teams in Memphis and Cleveland. I wouldn't expect Memphis/Cleveland to make an aggressive move this early in their building process, but could be wrong.

Having so many of these contenders having weak picks to trade has me hoping Boston will have an opportunity to strike at the deadline if someone is trying to move a good player. Would be the best time to take advantage of the Horford and Juancho contracts as well.
 

Jakarta

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LAL have nothing of value to trade.

If the Cs are determined to play 2 bigs, I would trade Horford, Romeo (back home to Indiana) and a top 20ish protected first for Turner and whatever filler is needed for salary matching purposes. That deal might allow the Cs to sneak under the luxury tax this year, while creating cap room for Indiana next year.
 

the moops

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CHA would be a great place for Turner to land. I would have to look more closely, but I think I would give up Oubre, a first, and filler for Turner.
 

HomeRunBaker

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It was actually before.
1 game doesn't change anything to me. This team isn't going to do anything without a major change, and that change isn't going to be Schroder becoming a different player than he's been almost all of his career. The only way I could see Schroder really mattering to this team is if Smart got traded, but that seems unlikely, so getting future assets is worth more.
The problem with the “Move Schroder” team is that the reasoning is that he will bring future value…..which is unlikely. My position has been, barring a complete blow up and tank the season which I admit isn’t likely, that Schroder provides much more value to the team this season than what anything he could fetch in a trade would bring in the future.

Whst result would you take this year for keeping him through the end of the season? I’d say a first round series win validates keeping him. Winning playoff games and a series is big…..and fun for the fans. Competing deep in a second round series is even better. Watching Pritchard be a turnstile against most starting 1’s and missing the playoffs for no apparent reason isn’t fun.
 

Cellar-Door

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The problem with the “Move Schroder” team is that the reasoning is that he will bring future value…..which is unlikely. My position has been, barring a complete blow up and tank the season which I admit isn’t likely, that Schroder provides much more value to the team this season than what anything he could fetch in a trade would bring in the future.

Whst result would you take this year for keeping him through the end of the season? I’d say a first round series win validates keeping him. Winning playoff games and a series is big…..and fun for the fans. Competing deep in a second round series is even better. Watching Pritchard be a turnstile against most starting 1’s and missing the playoffs for no apparent reason isn’t fun.
I guess I just don't see him as a particularly positive player for this team. I think he's not impactful, and his being here or not isn't a signficant factor in the wins and losses of this team, particularly in the playoffs. I think you can get 90% or more of the value out of playing a combination of wings with a sprinkling of PP.

Edit- now others may disagree. DPM thinks he's better than the bench guys, BUT... Box DPM hates him (like lowest Box DPM on the team after Bruno hates him), and RAPTOR thinks he brings the same value as Romeo.

My feeling on him is that his fit stinks, particularly once Smart is back, so you're not really sacrificing anything much this year by moving him.
 

HomeRunBaker

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I guess I just don't see him as a particularly positive player for this team. I think he's not impactful, and his being here or not isn't a signficant factor in the wins and losses of this team, particularly in the playoffs. I think you can get 90% or more of the value out of playing a combination of wings with a sprinkling of PP.

Edit- now others may disagree. DPM thinks he's better than the bench guys, BUT... Box DPM hates him (like lowest Box DPM on the team after Bruno hates him), and RAPTOR thinks he brings the same value as Romeo.

My feeling on him is that his fit stinks, particularly once Smart is back, so you're not really sacrificing anything much this year by moving him.
Yeah I pretty much disagree with all of this so agree to disagree.
 

benhogan

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LAL could use him. They're starting DeAndre Jordan. They just don't have attractive picks. Dallas should be interested too.
Lakers have AD coming back and Dwight Howard is a fine playing backup. They want AD playing the 5

Dallas isn't a bad idea for Turner. They have Powell, Kleber, Boban, Moses Brown, & they just cut WCS to add Chriss. They have the flotsam to match salaries & have a first this year, can they trade it?
 

Cellar-Door

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Lakers have AD coming back and Dwight Howard is a fine playing backup. They want AD playing the 5

Dallas isn't a bad idea for Turner. They have Powell, Kleber, Boban, Moses Brown, & they just cut WCS to add Chriss. They have the flotsam to match salaries & have a first this year, can they trade it?
AD has consistently for his entire career said he was gonna play the 5 more, then not played the 5. Maybe this is the year.... I really doubt it. "AD is gonna play the 5 this year" is the Lucy football hold of the NBA
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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I guess I just don't see him as a particularly positive player for this team. I think he's not impactful, and his being here or not isn't a signficant factor in the wins and losses of this team, particularly in the playoffs. I think you can get 90% or more of the value out of playing a combination of wings with a sprinkling of PP.

Edit- now others may disagree. DPM thinks he's better than the bench guys, BUT... Box DPM hates him (like lowest Box DPM on the team after Bruno hates him), and RAPTOR thinks he brings the same value as Romeo.

My feeling on him is that his fit stinks, particularly once Smart is back, so you're not really sacrificing anything much this year by moving him.
DS is a bit redundant when Smart is healthy but DS seems super important to the team if Smart isn't able to play. That's probably why POBOBS isn't going to get rid of DS for a 2nd round pick. And if DS is unhappy once Smart gets back for lack of playing time because DS and MS can't really play together, well at least the Cs aren't going to have to worry about the next contract.
 

DeJesus Built My Hotrod

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Once again, if Schroder isn't bringing back an NBA body, what is the value of a trade? Do some people really think Schroder will net a first? Seconds are loose change and if you assume that Tatum/Brown would prefer more talent on the roster than the team getting a shot at a late 2020s deep bench player or an after dinner mint to throw in with a trade down the road, its hard to see a compelling argument.

Does anyone really think you are getting a first, heavily protected or otherwise, for half a season of Schroder?
 

HomeRunBaker

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Once again, if Schroder isn't bringing back an NBA body, what is the value of a trade? Do some people really think Schroder will net a first? Seconds are loose change and if you assume that Tatum/Brown would prefer more talent on the roster than the team getting a shot at a late 2020s deep bench player or an after dinner mint to throw in with a trade down the road, its hard to see a compelling argument.

Does anyone really think you are getting a first, heavily protected or otherwise, for half a season of Schroder?
Exactly. I will include the caveat of there being an exception for every rule. In this case I could see Philly (#22) or the Bucks (#23) being involved should they lose Maxey or Holiday for the year, respectively. Aside from a specific injury to a contender it isn’t happening. He’s simply more valuable to the Celtics, with or without Smart playing, this year than what he could realistically fetch in future assets.
 

Eddie Jurak

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Once again, if Schroder isn't bringing back an NBA body, what is the value of a trade? Do some people really think Schroder will net a first? Seconds are loose change and if you assume that Tatum/Brown would prefer more talent on the roster than the team getting a shot at a late 2020s deep bench player or an after dinner mint to throw in with a trade down the road, its hard to see a compelling argument.

Does anyone really think you are getting a first, heavily protected or otherwise, for half a season of Schroder?
I'd look for a flyer-worthy recent first round pick who hasn't lived up to potential.
 

PedroKsBambino

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Brandon Boston, or someone similar (young, upside, not yet proven) is another possibility for the small set of teams---including Clippers--for whom Schroder would clearly be an upgrade for 25ish playoff minutes.

Cleveland is another possiblity---with Sexton and Rubio down there's some minutes, but only if they conclude Rondo is truly done. Yes, Schroder isn't a pefect fit next to Garland but they need to solve for the minutes he's off court too. Dylan Windler? An interesting concept is to package Schroder and a better asset for Sexton, but for a bunch of reasons probably can't get to a deal there.
 

JakeRae

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The problem with the “Move Schroder” team is that the reasoning is that he will bring future value…..which is unlikely. My position has been, barring a complete blow up and tank the season which I admit isn’t likely, that Schroder provides much more value to the team this season than what anything he could fetch in a trade would bring in the future.

Whst result would you take this year for keeping him through the end of the season? I’d say a first round series win validates keeping him. Winning playoff games and a series is big…..and fun for the fans. Competing deep in a second round series is even better. Watching Pritchard be a turnstile against most starting 1’s and missing the playoffs for no apparent reason isn’t fun.
We definitely agree on the main points here. The option for trading Schroder I see as most likely is either a swap that helps both teams with fit or a 3 team trade where Schroder goes to another playoff team (Cleveland is an obvious potential fit) and we get a different player back from a seller. One benefit of this is that we have trade exceptions we can use to take on more salary. For example, if Portland is selling and Brad wants Covington (used not necessarily because he’s the right fit but because he works from a contract and selling team standpoint), we could trade Schroder, take Covington into a TPE, and Cleveland could send assets and a small salary to Portland, plus whatever seconds need to be added in whatever directions to make it work.

We could then try to pick up another backup pg option to replace Schroder. TJ McConnell, for example, can do a lot of similar things to Schroder and might be available as a salary dump if Indy is rebuilding.

These aren’t serious ideas or proposals, just illustrations of how Brad could potentially take, say, Schroder and Juancho and spin them and TPEs and maybe a second or two into an additional rotation player and a more balanced and deeper roster.

To head off the critique that what we really need is a pg/distributor, I’m just not sure who that player is where there is a realistic trade fit. I also think it’s more likely than not we don’t do something like the above. If we find a player we want to add, we can just add them instead of sending Schroder out at the same time.
 

DeJesus Built My Hotrod

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We definitely agree on the main points here. The option for trading Schroder I see as most likely is either a swap that helps both teams with fit or a 3 team trade where Schroder goes to another playoff team (Cleveland is an obvious potential fit) and we get a different player back from a seller. One benefit of this is that we have trade exceptions we can use to take on more salary. For example, if Portland is selling and Brad wants Covington (used not necessarily because he’s the right fit but because he works from a contract and selling team standpoint), we could trade Schroder, take Covington into a TPE, and Cleveland could send assets and a small salary to Portland, plus whatever seconds need to be added in whatever directions to make it work.

We could then try to pick up another backup pg option to replace Schroder. TJ McConnell, for example, can do a lot of similar things to Schroder and might be available as a salary dump if Indy is rebuilding.

These aren’t serious ideas or proposals, just illustrations of how Brad could potentially take, say, Schroder and Juancho and spin them and TPEs and maybe a second or two into an additional rotation player and a more balanced and deeper roster.

To head off the critique that what we really need is a pg/distributor, I’m just not sure who that player is where there is a realistic trade fit. I also think it’s more likely than not we don’t do something like the above. If we find a player we want to add, we can just add them instead of sending Schroder out at the same time.
As @mcpickl pointed out, many of the "contending" teams lack liquid draft capital so perhaps there is an opportunity to snag a good player who has limited landing spots, take a "fallen first" or use Schroder to opportunistically jump into another transaction that nets useful pieces. Trading him for a dollar off coupon that can be used at most retailers makes less sense, especially since the Celtics are still trying to make the playoffs and are already thin on NBA level production.
 

benhogan

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Brad probably won't trade Schroder if the team is above .500

If they are below .500 & the best offer is a 2nd(s) then I'd also expect Brad to keep DS.
 

Jeff Van GULLY

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Absent an incredible deal I think Schroder should have a say in what happens. If he wants to go play as a starter or a 6th man on a contender who will give up value then fine. I think there’s value in Stevens doing right by agents/players when they got Schroder under such weird circumstances. Show that you’ll take care of a guy who lost a game of musical chairs and maybe you become a top option next time it happens
Look at the Pelicans--JJ Redick saga for how not to handle it.
 

Cesar Crespo

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Brad probably won't trade Schroder if the team is above .500

If they are below .500 & the best offer is a 2nd(s) then I'd also expect Brad to keep DS.
What if they are above .500, 6 games back of the 6 seed, and 2 games back of the 10 seed? So they'd basically be playing for a play in game.

I don't think their record matters much, it's where they are in the standings. Over .500 isn't saying that much when 10 teams in the east are over .500 and another is at .500. Only 4 teams are playing below that mark and one wants to make the playoffs (Atlanta).
 

Cesar Crespo

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THe interesting (and I think encouraging) thing in that is that they clearly have placed TL a tier above Smart. I think that's a good move. I see a lot more rosters that work with TL/Tatum/Brown than with Tatum/Brown/Smart.
Yeah. Ideally you space the Jays with at least 2 other shooters and shooting is easier to find at the 1-4 than the 5. TL also has some more room for growth. I get the hesitation people have with TL being a 30 minute player due to injuries, but he's held up well this season and his rate stats are rebounding after a slow start. If he were only a 24-25 minute player, Smart would end up ahead by default.

Plus Smart isn't exactly Mr. Ironman himself and isn't known for being particularly fit. He has incentive clauses in his contract if he's under a certain % of body fat.

And as much as I like Josh Richardson, I think signing him for an extra year could make him a very valuable trade chip.

What exactly is meant by other "2nd and 3rd year" players though? Does that mean AN, RL, Grant, PP? I think it would be better to just gamble on AN and RL as their value is minimal. Grant and PP I could see having some value around the league, though I'm not sure how much. Maybe as add ons, or 2nd pieces or whatever people prefer.
 

Cellar-Door

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Yeah. Ideally you space the Jays with at least 2 other shooters and shooting is easier to find at the 1-4 than the 5. TL also has some more room for growth. I get the hesitation people have with TL being a 30 minute player due to injuries, but he's held up well this season and his rate stats are rebounding after a slow start. If he were only a 24-25 minute player, Smart would end up ahead by default.

Plus Smart isn't exactly Mr. Ironman himself and isn't known for being particularly fit. He has incentive clauses in his contract if he's under a certain % of body fat.

And as much as I like Josh Richardson, I think signing him for an extra year could make him a very valuable trade chip.

What exactly is meant by other "2nd and 3rd year" players though? Does that mean AN, RL, Grant, PP? I think it would be better to just gamble on AN and RL as their value is minimal. Grant and PP I could see having some value around the league, though I'm not sure how much. Maybe as add ons, or 2nd pieces or whatever people prefer.
yeah, basically the exec was saying they were gauging interest in packages with those guys, likely combined with Smart/Richardson.
 

benhogan

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What if they are above .500, 6 games back of the 6 seed, and 2 games back of the 10 seed? So they'd basically be playing for a play in game.

I don't think their record matters much, it's where they are in the standings. Over .500 isn't saying that much when 10 teams in the east are over .500 and another is at .500. Only 4 teams are playing below that mark and one wants to make the playoffs (Atlanta).
See I'm the opposite. I'm not getting hung up on standings as much as I want to see them playing well, turning a corner with the potential to finish the season strong (~10 games over .500)

I've resigned myself to them not being contenders this season.

Brad can wait until Feb. 10 to decide. The schedule is pretty friendly
 

lovegtm

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Yeah. Ideally you space the Jays with at least 2 other shooters and shooting is easier to find at the 1-4 than the 5. TL also has some more room for growth. I get the hesitation people have with TL being a 30 minute player due to injuries, but he's held up well this season and his rate stats are rebounding after a slow start. If he were only a 24-25 minute player, Smart would end up ahead by default.
...
Yeah, I'd say TL's fairly consistent availability this year, and his ability to go to 30 minutes consistently, have increased his projected value by a good bit.
 

Devizier

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What value are the Celtics going to get for Smart? Plenty of teams might want him, but if they’re going to be sending stuff back like expiring contracts or injured players, that’s a tough pill to swallow. What this does make me wonder is if he is not meshing with the current roster.
 

Cesar Crespo

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See I'm the opposite. I'm not getting hung up on standings as much as I want to see them playing well, turning a corner with the potential to finish the season strong (~10 games over .500)

I've resigned myself to them not being contenders this season.

Brad can wait until Feb. 10 to decide. The schedule is pretty friendly
Yeah, but if there are that many teams over .500, they are just beating up on the same teams.

https://www.espn.com/nba/standings/_/view/expanded Shows up in the standings too. Not sure what good it is being 10 games over .500 if you are 2 games below .500 vs teams with winning records. Then again, they are 11/15 in the East in W% vs sub .500 teams. They are tied for 6th/15 in W% vs .500+. If they were 6th in W% vs sub .500 teams, they'd have 2 more wins and be 25-20.

Memphis, GS and Phoenix are just destroying everyone.
 

Cesar Crespo

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What value are the Celtics going to get for Smart? Plenty of teams might want him, but if they’re going to be sending stuff back like expiring contracts or injured players, that’s a tough pill to swallow. What this does make me wonder is if he is not meshing with the current roster.
I've been mentioning Kevin Huerter for like a year now. It would be a total change of play though. I love the deal for both teams too. They both make similar money after this season. so it's about making it match this year.
 

NomarsFool

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Yeah, I'd say TL's fairly consistent availability this year, and his ability to go to 30 minutes consistently, have increased his projected value by a good bit.
I enjoy TL as a fan, certainly, but he's far from untouchable in my opinion. I just don't see his ceiling being much higher than he is, and I think he has a pretty low floor given his injury risk. He's a good passer, and he's a good rim runner, and I think he could potentially develop a 10 foot jumper. But, that's his ceiling as an offensive player, I think. That just doesn't seem all that valuable or hard to replace.

Again, I enjoy TL, and would much rather have him on the team than not have him on the team. But, if we got back another young player with equal or greater promise - I'd be fine with giving him up. I just don't see the 5 as being a terribly valuable position in the NBA.
 

Deathofthebambino

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What value are the Celtics going to get for Smart? Plenty of teams might want him, but if they’re going to be sending stuff back like expiring contracts or injured players, that’s a tough pill to swallow. What this does make me wonder is if he is not meshing with the current roster.
He hasn't played the last 4 games, and IMO, I barely notice it, honestly. I just don't know what he brings to the table that makes this team better, other than some flashy defensive plays at opportune moments every couple of weeks. I like Marcus, but I think he's best trade chip not named Jay or TL, and I think Brad needs to absolutely see what's out there for him, even if it's something that doesn't help this year, but will help next year and the years after that.
 

Cesar Crespo

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I enjoy TL as a fan, certainly, but he's far from untouchable in my opinion. I just don't see his ceiling being much higher than he is, and I think he has a pretty low floor given his injury risk. He's a good passer, and he's a good rim runner, and I think he could potentially develop a 10 foot jumper. But, that's his ceiling as an offensive player, I think. That just doesn't seem all that valuable or hard to replace.

Again, I enjoy TL, and would much rather have him on the team than not have him on the team. But, if we got back another young player with equal or greater promise - I'd be fine with giving him up. I just don't see the 5 as being a terribly valuable position in the NBA.
He's not untouchable. He's just our 3rd best building block and by the sounds of it, not actively being shopped. It doesn't mean he wouldn't be out the door if the team could acquire Ben Simmons, or maybe even Sabonis or Fox.

And that's the correct evaluation. He's also going to be considerably cheaper than Smart for the next 4 years and could end up on a bargain of a contract. His trade value could potentially rise, I don't see Smart's trade value rising at all.

I also think TL is a much better fit with the Jays. He can clean up on the offensive boards for easy offense and can move the ball around. I think the Jays would also be better off with more of a pure PG who can hit the 3 than Smart.

If you are going to pick 3 players to build around on the C's, the Jays and TL is a good start. If the C's could dump Al and trade JRich and Smart for draft picks and expiring contracts, the team would be Tatum/Brown/TL/PP/AN/RL/GW and an $83 million payroll in the offseason.
 

128

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I've been mentioning Kevin Huerter for like a year now. It would be a total change of play though. I love the deal for both teams too. They both make similar money after this season. so it's about making it match this year.
He's been a binkie of mine, too. Not at all ball-dominant, and with the attention defenses must pay Jaylen and Tatum, Huerter would get a ton of open looks.

I'd prefer to acquire him while holding on to Smart, but that might not be possible.
 

benhogan

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Yeah, but if there are that many teams over .500, they are just beating up on the same teams.

https://www.espn.com/nba/standings/_/view/expanded Shows up in the standings too. Not sure what good it is being 10 games over .500 if you are 2 games below .500 vs teams with winning records. Then again, they are 11/15 in the East in W% vs sub .500 teams. They are tied for 6th/15 in W% vs .500+. If they were 6th in W% vs sub .500 teams, they'd have 2 more wins and be 25-20.

Memphis, GS and Phoenix are just destroying everyone.
I'm not getting hung up on the trade deadline. I agree with you that it will be quiet.

My focus is more on the team performing well. Not only do we need the JAYs to start shooting better, BUT I want to see IME finish his rookie year before Brad makes some huge moves. IME hasn't really impressed me with his roster approach/use

What to do with DS? is the only thing that needs to be decided by Feb.10
 

Tony C

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AD has consistently for his entire career said he was gonna play the 5 more, then not played the 5. Maybe this is the year.... I really doubt it. "AD is gonna play the 5 this year" is the Lucy football hold of the NBA
His minutes this year have been over 60% at the 5, and much of that was before DeAndre Jordan was benched, so am guessing he was closer to 80% in the stretch before he got injured. Now that the Lakers have moved to not just bench Jordan but also leave Howard on the bench for many games even without Davis playing, I think it's pretty certain AD will be 85%+ at the 5 when (if?) he returns.
 

NomarsFool

Member
SoSH Member
Dec 21, 2001
8,233
It's certainly not exactly "Sophie's Choice" but which of the following would you prefer as a fan?

OPTION A: Celtics more or less stand pat at the deadline. Maybe they staple a 2nd rounder to Hernandgomez to make sure they are under the tax. Celtics finish the season with around 41 wins, win the necessary play-in game(s), and lose in the first round of the playoffs in 5 games. Nesmith, Pritchard, and Langford are used minimally the rest of the season as Ime goes with his top 8 guys (Grant, Schroder, Richardson) the rest of the season.

OPTION B: Celtics offload anything of value. Schroder and Richardson are both off-loaded for some constellation of ~3 second rounders, or a late first, or whatever. Celtics win around 37 games, don't make the play-in game, or they are the 10th seed and lose (so no first round series). Nesmith, Pritchard, and Langford are used extensively the rest of the season (at least 20 minutes a game). Celtics get some sort of late lottery pick (10-14).
 

benhogan

Granite Truther
SoSH Member
Nov 2, 2007
20,303
Santa Monica
It's certainly not exactly "Sophie's Choice" but which of the following would you prefer as a fan?

OPTION A: Celtics more or less stand pat at the deadline. Maybe they staple a 2nd rounder to Hernandgomez to make sure they are under the tax. Celtics finish the season with around 41 wins, win the necessary play-in game(s), and lose in the first round of the playoffs in 5 games. Nesmith, Pritchard, and Langford are used minimally the rest of the season as Ime goes with his top 8 guys (Grant, Schroder, Richardson) the rest of the season.

OPTION B: Celtics offload anything of value. Schroder and Richardson are both off-loaded for some constellation of ~3 second rounders, or a late first, or whatever. Celtics win around 37 games, don't make the play-in game, or they are the 10th seed and lose (so no first round series). Nesmith, Pritchard, and Langford are used extensively the rest of the season (at least 20 minutes a game). Celtics get some sort of late lottery pick (10-14).
I'd go with OPTION A.

The problem with OPTION B is I could see IME running the starters, esp. the JAYs, right into the ground to try and get that 38th win. While not bothering with the plan of developing Nesmith, Pritchard, Langford.
 

chilidawg

Member
SoSH Member
Jan 22, 2015
5,947
Cultural hub of the universe
The optimists view would be they stand pat, Ime starts to play the youngsters a little more as they earn it, team energy continues to rise accordingly, they win 48 games and have a pretty good playoff run.

Lot's of reason to believe this team is better than it's record (9th in SRS, bad close game luck/skill).
 

nighthob

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 15, 2005
12,704
What value are the Celtics going to get for Smart? Plenty of teams might want him, but if they’re going to be sending stuff back like expiring contracts or injured players, that’s a tough pill to swallow. What this does make me wonder is if he is not meshing with the current roster.
I think at this point Stevens is calling teams with disgruntled/potentially disgruntled stars to find packages that will work. Salary-wise that means Smart & Richardson as the ballast (you could use Horford, but they do sort of need the second C). I'm just not sure who'd really want the pupu platter that's Aaromeo Smartardson.
 

HomeRunBaker

bet squelcher
SoSH Member
Jan 15, 2004
30,273
He hasn't played the last 4 games, and IMO, I barely notice it, honestly. I just don't know what he brings to the table that makes this team better, other than some flashy defensive plays at opportune moments every couple of weeks. I like Marcus, but I think he's best trade chip not named Jay or TL, and I think Brad needs to absolutely see what's out there for him, even if it's something that doesn't help this year, but will help next year and the years after that.
Smart is like many veteran role players once they extend past their rookie contract. You can get similar value from smaller, more flexible deals while allocating these monies toward a max/near max impact player. This is one reason why I wasn’t a fan of extending him unless the idea was to do so and then move him as part of a larger deal.
 

cardiacs

Admires Neville Chamberlain
SoSH Member
Jul 15, 2005
3,001
Milford, CT
It's certainly not exactly "Sophie's Choice" but which of the following would you prefer as a fan?

OPTION A: Celtics more or less stand pat at the deadline. Maybe they staple a 2nd rounder to Hernandgomez to make sure they are under the tax. Celtics finish the season with around 41 wins, win the necessary play-in game(s), and lose in the first round of the playoffs in 5 games. Nesmith, Pritchard, and Langford are used minimally the rest of the season as Ime goes with his top 8 guys (Grant, Schroder, Richardson) the rest of the season.

OPTION B: Celtics offload anything of value. Schroder and Richardson are both off-loaded for some constellation of ~3 second rounders, or a late first, or whatever. Celtics win around 37 games, don't make the play-in game, or they are the 10th seed and lose (so no first round series). Nesmith, Pritchard, and Langford are used extensively the rest of the season (at least 20 minutes a game). Celtics get some sort of late lottery pick (10-14).
Take the A train
 

Cesar Crespo

79
SoSH Member
Dec 22, 2002
21,588
He hasn't played the last 4 games, and IMO, I barely notice it, honestly. I just don't know what he brings to the table that makes this team better, other than some flashy defensive plays at opportune moments every couple of weeks. I like Marcus, but I think he's best trade chip not named Jay or TL, and I think Brad needs to absolutely see what's out there for him, even if it's something that doesn't help this year, but will help next year and the years after that.
This made me think
21/22 3-4 without Marcus, 20-18 with.
20/21, 12-12 w/o, 24-24 with
19/20 9-3 w/o, 39-21 with
18/19 1-1 w/o, 48-32 with
17/18 17-14 w/o, 38-13 with
16/17 2-1 w/o, 51-28 with
15/16 12-9 w/o, 36-25 with
14/15 5-9 w/o, 35-33 with

61-52 w/o .540, 291-194 with .600 with.

Heh. I'm sure there are other reasons surrounding all that but that's impressive.17/18 was something. Had a lot to do with the 34-10 start and 21-17 finish.
 

Eddie Jurak

canderson-lite
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Dec 12, 2002
44,665
Melrose, MA
I enjoy TL as a fan, certainly, but he's far from untouchable in my opinion. I just don't see his ceiling being much higher than he is, and I think he has a pretty low floor given his injury risk. He's a good passer, and he's a good rim runner, and I think he could potentially develop a 10 foot jumper. But, that's his ceiling as an offensive player, I think. That just doesn't seem all that valuable or hard to replace.

Again, I enjoy TL, and would much rather have him on the team than not have him on the team. But, if we got back another young player with equal or greater promise - I'd be fine with giving him up. I just don't see the 5 as being a terribly valuable position in the NBA.
He's signed to a reasonable contract through 2025-2026. And you neglect to mention his defense. Blocks, steals, and improved quite a bit in his ability to be switched out onto a perimeter player and hold his own. Here's where clining the glass has him on defensive and rebounding:
  • Blocks: 94th percentile
  • Steals: 64th
  • Fouls: 83rd (meaning he fouls less than 83% of bigs)
  • Offensive rebounding (missed FGs): 90th
  • Defensive rebounding (missed FGs): 38th (worse than 62% of bigs)
  • Defensive rebounding (missed FTs): 93rd
On a team with a couple of ball dominant stars it is easy to find room for a low-usage guy on the other end. I think it would be hard to trade him and get reasonable value back in return because the contract is very favorable for the player we have this year.
It's certainly not exactly "Sophie's Choice" but which of the following would you prefer as a fan?

OPTION A: Celtics more or less stand pat at the deadline. Maybe they staple a 2nd rounder to Hernandgomez to make sure they are under the tax. Celtics finish the season with around 41 wins, win the necessary play-in game(s), and lose in the first round of the playoffs in 5 games. Nesmith, Pritchard, and Langford are used minimally the rest of the season as Ime goes with his top 8 guys (Grant, Schroder, Richardson) the rest of the season.

OPTION B: Celtics offload anything of value. Schroder and Richardson are both off-loaded for some constellation of ~3 second rounders, or a late first, or whatever. Celtics win around 37 games, don't make the play-in game, or they are the 10th seed and lose (so no first round series). Nesmith, Pritchard, and Langford are used extensively the rest of the season (at least 20 minutes a game). Celtics get some sort of late lottery pick (10-14).
Option B is a no brainer. You get some type of value even if it isn't great, you get to see which of the kids can handle a role going forward, you get under the tax. All that in exchange for 6 fewer wins.
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

Member
SoSH Member
Mar 26, 2005
30,726
It's certainly not exactly "Sophie's Choice" but which of the following would you prefer as a fan?

OPTION A: Celtics more or less stand pat at the deadline. Maybe they staple a 2nd rounder to Hernandgomez to make sure they are under the tax. Celtics finish the season with around 41 wins, win the necessary play-in game(s), and lose in the first round of the playoffs in 5 games. Nesmith, Pritchard, and Langford are used minimally the rest of the season as Ime goes with his top 8 guys (Grant, Schroder, Richardson) the rest of the season.

OPTION B: Celtics offload anything of value. Schroder and Richardson are both off-loaded for some constellation of ~3 second rounders, or a late first, or whatever. Celtics win around 37 games, don't make the play-in game, or they are the 10th seed and lose (so no first round series). Nesmith, Pritchard, and Langford are used extensively the rest of the season (at least 20 minutes a game). Celtics get some sort of late lottery pick (10-14).
What about

OPTION C: POBOBS stands pat; Tatum starts shooting better and Cs feast on weaker schedule while IME rides the veterans. They run out to 48 wins. Gets MIA in first round and beats them. However, they then play BRK in the second round and lose in 6. GW, RL, AN, and PP show various amounts of promise but none of them separate. They've taken a minor step forward but still appear to be short.