2021 Celtics LVSL Game Thread

reggiecleveland

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If the Celtics are going to be one of the top teams in their conference, two of that group, plus TL, have to become solid rotation players, and one of them has to become a better than average starter.

I’m looking for TL to have a breakout season, and both Nesmith and PP to be double digit scorers on 40+% shooting from three

Anything the team gets from Romeo and/or Grant is a bonus. I won’t be surprised if Grant becomes a solid three and D guy.
I disagree you don't need one of them to become a starter this year. From the group listed it is pretty unlikjlewy we get a better than average starter this year. They could be good this year.Last year they never had the same lineup more than a few games in a row. When healthy they were winning. The time is now. They hope Shroeder can be starter or 6th man scorer. I did not put TL in the group.
 

Fishy1

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I disagree you don't need one of them to become a starter this year. From the group listed it is pretty unlikjlewy we get a better than average starter this year. They could be good this year.Last year they never had the same lineup more than a few games in a row. When healthy they were winning. The time is now. They hope Shroeder can be starter or 6th man scorer. I did not put TL in the group.
I agree with your assessment. But I'll add that the Celtics place in the conference also has a lot more to do with whether their top-end talent (JB and JT) improve, stagnate, or regress, and how their veteran players complement them, than it does with what Pritchard and Nesmith do with 7th and 8th man minutes.

I think Schroder and Richardson -- the former a competent slasher, passer, and defender, the latter a slasher with an excellent defensive track record that's faded -- have the opportunity, both of them do, to really shine next to Brown and Tatum. Both Brown and Tatum can create off the bounce, but Brown in particular is much better when he's getting the ball off a drive-and-kick, or off a pin-down. And both Brown, Tatum, and Horford are all shooters who are really good in catch-and-shoot/spot-up situations.

Bottom line is if Tatum takes off into the stratosphere -- better scoring on greater volume, better play-making, etc. -- than the sky is the limit. Nesmith and Pritchard will really just be supporting roleplayers: but if they're much improved, as I hope they are, then it'll be miles better to have them getting 7th and 8th man minutes than it was to have Pritchard getting sixth man minutes and whatever dross Danny had on the bench last year getting seventh.

This team will be much deeper than last year's team. I feel that for certain.
 

reggiecleveland

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In this thread I was discussing the postive prognosis that PP, and AN looked really good, and ready to be solid rotation guys. Obviously your post is a more overall look at the team.
 

Fishy1

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In this thread I was discussing the postive prognosis that PP, and AN looked really good, and ready to be solid rotation guys. Obviously your post is a more overall look at the team.
Of course! Wasn't try to undermine or counter you... just noting that those two don't have to show out and start given the larger context.
 

Eddie Jurak

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In this thread I was discussing the postive prognosis that PP, and AN looked really good, and ready to be solid rotation guys. Obviously your post is a more overall look at the team.
And both are shooters, which means they can fit it well alongside Tatum and Brown & co.
 

radsoxfan

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And both are shooters, which means they can fit it well alongside Tatum and Brown & co.
This the key…. we need both Nesmith and PP to be playable 20 min per game guys. At least adequate D etc. Some playmaking would be a bonus too.

Really helps the balance of the team given Smart, Schroder, Richardson, and Romeo aren’t exactly marksmen.
 

HomeRunBaker

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This the key…. we need both Nesmith and PP to be playable 20 min per game guys. At least adequate D etc. Some playmaking would be a bonus too.

Really helps the balance of the team given Smart, Schroder, Richardson, and Romeo aren’t exactly marksmen.
Who is injured between Jaylen, Smart, Schroder and JRich?
 

HomeRunBaker

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Lots of maintenance days, especially for Brown, means that there will be at least 20-25 games were at least one of them will be unavailable.
I don’t disagree with this......which is far different than both AN and PP being 20 mpg guys.
 

radsoxfan

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I don’t disagree with this......which is far different than both AN and PP being 20 mpg guys.
I know we beefed up the depth this year, but PP averaged 19 and AN averaged 15 last season as rookies.

Both have had strong summer leagues and are the only above average shooting on the roster with a chance for regular minutes. I see them both as top 9 players on the team (apologies to your boy Romeo).

Smart
Schroder
PP
Nesmith
JRich
Tatum
Brown
Horford
Williams

This means there will be plenty of games they will be top 7 or top 8 guys (how often is everyone actually healthy?). I know there will be some minutes for Kanter, Romeo, etc too but I still see PP and AN in that 20 min per game range.

For comparison, last season TT was 7th on the team in minutes at 24min /game. PP and RW were 8th and 9th at 19 min per game.
 

scottyno

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To be fair, Nesmith didn't really average 15 mpg, he averaged 15 mpg not counting the 40% of games he was a DNP-CD and got 0 minutes, and many of those minutes he got were because someone was hurt or had covid. If he averages a legitimate 10-15 mpg this year in the regular rotation that's a pretty big step up from last year.
 

HomeRunBaker

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I know we beefed up the depth this year, but PP averaged 19 and AN averaged 15 last season as rookies.

Both have had strong summer leagues and are the only above average shooting on the roster with a chance for regular minutes. I see them both as top 9 players on the team (apologies to your boy Romeo).

Smart
Schroder
PP
Nesmith
JRich
Tatum
Brown
Horford
Williams

This means there will be plenty of games they will be top 7 or top 8 guys (how often is everyone actually healthy?). I know there will be some minutes for Kanter, Romeo, etc too but I still see PP and AN in that 20 min per game range.

For comparison, last season TT was 7th on the team in minutes at 24min /game. PP and RW were 8th and 9th at 19 min per game.
You are omitting all of these frontcourt minutes unless you feel our second unit is going to consist of 4 guards. Right now either Kanter or Grant is going to be in the rotation. I don’t see how Nesmith is in the rotation on opening night assuming everyone is healthy (big assumption I know) when he’s so far down on the backcourt depth chart. I don’t feel he did anything that was unexpected in SL, he made some shots, a lot in G2, and displayed a lot of his weaknesses as well.
 

radsoxfan

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You are omitting all of these frontcourt minutes unless you feel our second unit is going to consist of 4 guards. Right now either Kanter or Grant is going to be in the rotation. I don’t see how Nesmith is in the rotation on opening night assuming everyone is healthy (big assumption I know) when he’s so far down on the backcourt depth chart. I don’t feel he did anything that was unexpected in SL, he made some shots, a lot in G2, and displayed a lot of his weaknesses as well.
Please please don’t tell me Grant is going to be in a fully healthy rotation. I can’t take another year of that.

I think we may play small often, Tatum getting some time at the 4, matchup dependent to some degree.

I agree Nesmith can be seen as fringe right now, he could be 18-20 min guy or getting some DNPs if everyone is healthy. I still think their shooting is going to be valuable and more often than not, both will slot into the end of the rotation pretty consistently.
 

TripleOT

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Please please don’t tell me Grant is going to be in a fully healthy rotation. I can’t take another year of that.

I think we may play small often, Tatum getting some time at the 4, matchup dependent to some degree.
I am guessing that Tatum will play the 4 with the starters, with one big, Brown, Smart, and one of Schroder/JRich/PP/Nesmith.


Possible line ups that balance out the two units:

Tatum, Brown, TL, Smart, Nesmith (AN provides outside shooting, and allows the defense to be totally switchable)

JRich in for Tatum after the first seven minutes, then PP, Schroder, AL, for a second group of:

Brown, JRich, AL, PP, Schroder. (Keeping one of JT/JB on the court for most of the time)

Then come back with JT for Brown, and sprinkle in some Romeo and Grant when needed.

If healthy, this is a team with some quality depth.
 

JM3

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If the Jays played every minute of 4 that matters, that would probably be optimal.
 

mcpickl

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Please please don’t tell me Grant is going to be in a fully healthy rotation. I can’t take another year of that.

I think we may play small often, Tatum getting some time at the 4, matchup dependent to some degree.

I agree Nesmith can be seen as fringe right now, he could be 18-20 min guy or getting some DNPs if everyone is healthy. I still think their shooting is going to be valuable and more often than not, both will slot into the end of the rotation pretty consistently.
Unless they make another move, he's absolutely going to be.

He's the only guy on the roster, assuming Jabari is waived, that can play as a power forward or a small ball 5.

It's the one spot they haven't addressed this offseason, so for now Grant is it.

Unless they think Al can still do it. I hope they don't think that.
 

Cesar Crespo

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Unless they make another move, he's absolutely going to be.

He's the only guy on the roster, assuming Jabari is waived, that can play as a power forward or a small ball 5.

It's the one spot they haven't addressed this offseason, so for now Grant is it.

Unless they think Al can still do it. I hope they don't think that.
He may be the only guy on the roster who can do both but there are guys on the roster who can do one or the other. There isn't really a need for Grant to play that much unless he actually deserves to be playing.

Like, who can Grant Williams cover that someone else on the Celtics couldn't cover? Is there any unique sill that Grant brings to the table in isolation? I don't think positional versatility is all that valuable in basketball when it comes without the switchability.

It's like Chavis can play 1b and 2b, but you don't really want him playing either one and there are better options at both positions. Unless there was a roster crunch, I don't see how Williams ability to play PF and small ball 5 is of any value.
 

Eddie Jurak

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He may be the only guy on the roster who can do both but there are guys on the roster who can do one or the other. There isn't really a need for Grant to play that much unless he actually deserves to be playing.

Like, who can Grant Williams cover that someone else on the Celtics couldn't cover? Is there any unique sill that Grant brings to the table in isolation? I don't think positional versatility is all that valuable in basketball when it comes without the switchability.

It's like Chavis can play 1b and 2b, but you don't really want him playing either one and there are better options at both positions. Unless there was a roster crunch, I don't see how Williams ability to play PF and small ball 5 is of any value.
The Celtics have been a good defensive team with Williams at the 5 (which of course limits him to situations where they can do small ball). He's a career 34% 3-point shooter depite having missed his first 25 NBA threes. Last season he shot 45% on corner threes, 37% overall, not counting playoffs. He needs to improve to carve out a regular role for himself, but shooting and smallball 5 are useful.
 

HomeRunBaker

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He may be the only guy on the roster who can do both but there are guys on the roster who can do one or the other. There isn't really a need for Grant to play that much unless he actually deserves to be playing.

Like, who can Grant Williams cover that someone else on the Celtics couldn't cover? Is there any unique sill that Grant brings to the table in isolation? I don't think positional versatility is all that valuable in basketball when it comes without the switchability.

It's like Chavis can play 1b and 2b, but you don't really want him playing either one and there are better options at both positions. Unless there was a roster crunch, I don't see how Williams ability to play PF and small ball 5 is of any value.
People here have a tendency to speak of Grant as if he’s Dragan Bender. Hey I’m not really a fan of his either but he provides interior defense and toughness while is a role that is necessary in our rotation. If it’s not him it will be “somebody” that isn’t listed in many of these projected rotations that consist of 6 guards.
 

mcpickl

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He may be the only guy on the roster who can do both but there are guys on the roster who can do one or the other. There isn't really a need for Grant to play that much unless he actually deserves to be playing.

Like, who can Grant Williams cover that someone else on the Celtics couldn't cover? Is there any unique sill that Grant brings to the table in isolation? I don't think positional versatility is all that valuable in basketball when it comes without the switchability.

It's like Chavis can play 1b and 2b, but you don't really want him playing either one and there are better options at both positions. Unless there was a roster crunch, I don't see how Williams ability to play PF and small ball 5 is of any value.
Other teams are going to play small ball against you.

Unless you think having Rob/Al/Kanter chasing guys on the perimeter every possession while they're playing that way is a great idea, you're either playing Grant at the 5, or Tatum at the 5.

I'd choose against putting that burden on Tatum.

Grant was in the rotation last year for that purpose. Why wouldn't he be in this years rotation?
 

radsoxfan

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Unless they make another move, he's absolutely going to be.

He's the only guy on the roster, assuming Jabari is waived, that can play as a power forward or a small ball 5.

It's the one spot they haven't addressed this offseason, so for now Grant is it.

Unless they think Al can still do it. I hope they don't think that.
It comes down to how bad Grant plays and which version of him we see this year.

I agree positionally it makes sense for him to get some rotation minutes as a 4 or small ball 5. But you don’t just give someone’s those minutes if they’re terrible because they play the correct position.

They will play the Jays at the 4 more or some other combination of guys who are much better, even if positionally it makes less sense.

Grant certainly has an opening to get some playing time, but now that the depth is improved, he won’t just be given PT if he plays like last year.
 

radsoxfan

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Grant was in the rotation last year for that purpose. Why wouldn't he be in this years rotation?

Grant was in the rotation (sometimes) because other options were also terrible.

We should have more options that aren’t terrible, putting Grant’s minutes at risk if we see the same guy again this year.

You don’t play one of the worst players in the NBA if you can help it just because he’s the correct position. You play the Jays at 4, more time for Kanter, who knows. Something else.

Let’s all just hope he isn’t one of the worst players in the NBA again.
 

Jed Zeppelin

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Grant has a chance to surprise as someone who may have been affected more adversely by the weird, short offseason. The rookie into year 2 summer is hugely important and he went from effectively defending Bam on the perimeter to looking totally lost and a step behind on D for most of the season.
 

mcpickl

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It comes down to how bad Grant plays and which version of him we see this year.

I agree positionally it makes sense for him to get some rotation minutes as a 4 or small ball 5. But you don’t just give someone’s those minutes if they’re terrible because they play the correct position.

They will play the Jays at the 4 more or some other combination of guys who are much better, even if positionally it makes less sense.

Grant certainly has an opening to get some playing time, but now that the depth is improved, he won’t just be given PT if he plays like last year.
He's not terrible though. He wasn't terrible last year. He's never been terrible.

I wanted them to sign someone to compete with him for that spot, even a minimum guy like Ilyasova, but they haven't.

Someone does have to play that spot. It's necessary.
 

radsoxfan

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He's not terrible though. He wasn't terrible last year. He's never been terrible.

I wanted them to sign someone to compete with him for that spot, even a minimum guy like Ilyasova, but they haven't.

Someone does have to play that spot. It's necessary.
Grant Williams 2020-2021 was in fact, the definition of terrible.

I leave open the possibility he will be less terrible and slot into those minutes, I agree with JZ. Definitely a weird year.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Grant was in the rotation (sometimes) because other options were also terrible.
What options are better now to fill that role? We’ve loaded up on backcourt veterans and pure 5’s but haven’t addressed that versatile frontcourt role.
 

Cesar Crespo

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People here have a tendency to speak of Grant as if he’s Dragan Bender. Hey I’m not really a fan of his either but he provides interior defense and toughness while is a role that is necessary in our rotation. If it’s not him it will be “somebody” that isn’t listed in many of these projected rotations that consist of 6 guards.
He may very well play but it will be because he's the best available option or whatever. I don't think it will be because he's the only one who can play PF and small ball 5.

I think last year he was forced to play because there weren't any better options. Maybe that happens this year, too. Hopefully a lot less than 18 mpg. I agree with you about some of the 6 guard projected rotations and people like AN and PP scoring double digits on 40% 3 point shooting. There are too many guards for that too happen and there is only one ball. If people broke down minutes and shots, they'd find out there are less available than they think... unless your name is Bruno.
 

Cesar Crespo

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What options are better now to fill that role? We’ve loaded up on backcourt veterans and pure 5’s but haven’t addressed that versatile frontcourt role.
Isn't Bruno possibly this? He doesn't stretch the floor though. He also may very well be worse than Grant. He's got much better measurables, anyway.
 

JM3

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What 4s in the NBA would we rather Grant cover than either Jay?
 

mcpickl

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What 4s in the NBA would we rather Grant cover than either Jay?
Ones that are playing the 5 at the time.

Because you don't want either Jay being your biggest guy on the floor and have to play under the rim.
 

radsoxfan

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What options are better now to fill that role? We’ve loaded up on backcourt veterans and pure 5’s but haven’t addressed that versatile frontcourt role.
We'll find out how Grant plays this year. The opportunity is there, no doubt about it.

But if the depth of the team is as improved as we hope, Grant won't just be given minutes even if positionally he makes the most sense. Sometimes it's better to play guys that don't suck out of position than guys who do suck in position.

If we see this Grant Williams again, and we have 10+ solid rotation players ahead of him.... its end of the bench and start looking for your passport time.
 

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He may be the only guy on the roster who can do both but there are guys on the roster who can do one or the other. There isn't really a need for Grant to play that much unless he actually deserves to be playing.

Like, who can Grant Williams cover that someone else on the Celtics couldn't cover? Is there any unique sill that Grant brings to the table in isolation? I don't think positional versatility is all that valuable in basketball when it comes without the switchability.

It's like Chavis can play 1b and 2b, but you don't really want him playing either one and there are better options at both positions. Unless there was a roster crunch, I don't see how Williams ability to play PF and small ball 5 is of any value.
Yeah this "power forward" stuff is 1985 talk. Celtics have Al, TL, and Kanter that can play big. They have a bunch of other guys that can be the biggest wing on the floor, most notably Tatum. Grant is matchup or injury depth.
 

radsoxfan

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Ones that are playing the 5 at the time.

Because you don't want either Jay being your biggest guy on the floor and have to play under the rim.
For the record, Grant Williams had a total rebound rate of 8.7 last year.

11th on the Celtics, behind Tatum (11.5), Nesmith (10.6), and Brown (9.7). Just ahead of Ojeleye (8.6) and Javonte (8.4).

We don't want Grant playing under the rim either.
 

Jimbodandy

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P.s. if other teams want to throw super smallball wing lineups at us, fucking fantastic. That's a pretty dumb dice roll imo, since we're going to match up well.
 

mcpickl

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For the record, Grant Williams had a total rebound rate of 8.7 last year.

11th on the Celtics, behind Tatum (11.5), Nesmith (10.6), and Brown (9.7). Just ahead of Ojeleye (8.6) and Javonte (8.4).

We don't want Grant playing under the rim either.
The way this team is currently constructed, we absolutely do.

It's not about rebound rate.

It's about not having Tatum, or Brown or whoever, being the biggest guy in a small lineup.

It's asking way too much of those guys to be your offensive engines, also guard the star wings of the league, then oh by the way can you also be the center and have the Bobby Portis types of the world slamming into you and jumping over your backs to grab offensive rebounds while you're playing center.

If you want those guys worn out by Valentines day, that'd be the way to do it.
 

benhogan

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The way this team is currently constructed, we absolutely do.

It's not about rebound rate.

It's about not having Tatum, or Brown or whoever, being the biggest guy in a small lineup.

It's asking way too much of those guys to be your offensive engines, also guard the star wings of the league, then oh by the way can you also be the center and have the Bobby Portis types of the world slamming into you and jumping over your backs to grab offensive rebounds while you're playing center.

If you want those guys worn out by Valentines day, that'd be the way to do it.
Agreed, you don't want the Jays parked in the lane taking charges, or playing the 5.

The Grant bashing has reached epic proportions after last season. COVID-19 pounds was unkind to Granite. I'd give him a month this season before writing him off. If he shows up in shape (unlike last season) Grant will be very playable as our 3rd or 4th string Center (small-ball 5)
 

Auger34

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Who is injured between Jaylen, Smart, Schroder and JRich?
what am I missing with Richardson? Isn’t he the likely person to only get 20-25 MPG?

I thought the scouting report after these past two seasons that he needs to ball in his hands more than he would be afforded playing with the Jays?
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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What 4s in the NBA would we rather Grant cover than either Jay?
That's not the question. The question is if the opposing team is going small ball, which of the Cs bigs do you want guarding 1s and 2s on the perimeter? It isn't saying much but other than TL, whose minutes are going to strictly monitored I suspect, GW is the best big at moving his feet.

GW is going to have a role. His minutes will depend on the other team. But if GW didn't have a role, he would have been asked to play SL.
 

JM3

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Draymond, Blake Griffin, Markkanen, Love, Sabonis, Zion, basically any of the strength guys who aren't taking you off the dribble.
Most of those guys seem like excellent cross matchup options.

Put a Jay on Looney or Claxton or Myles or whoever if they're really playing PF & not C, & you have great mismatches on the other end if they try to go that big.

Markannen shoots more 3s than 2s & rebounds at a low rate so not sure why Grant would be useful against him.

Love also mostly camps out at this stage. He's definitely a good rebounder, but GW isn't a great rebounder anyway & Love or JA trying to defend a Jay is the much more scary half of that equation.

I couldn't imagine Grant successfully covering Zion, but yeah, he can take that pounding on that night I suppose.
 

radsoxfan

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The way this team is currently constructed, we absolutely do.
We'll see how Grant plays.

If he plays like last year, we either need to play our far superior other guys out of position or make some trades.

If he plays competently, he will get some minutes, I agree.
 

JM3

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That's not the question. The question is if the opposing team is going small ball, which of the Cs bigs do you want guarding 1s and 2s on the perimeter? It isn't saying much but other than TL, whose minutes are going to strictly monitored I suspect, GW is the best big at moving his feet.

GW is going to have a role. His minutes will depend on the other team. But if GW didn't have a role, he would have been asked to play SL.
I thought there were 2 questions:

Do you want GW playing any 4 & do you want him playing any 5.

I would be more ok with seeing him play 5. But if RW is deployed effectively, he should be able to eat most of those minutes. It's true that no one else really fits that role, but it's not like GW has elite rebounding or block rates. Like RL might do a similar job in that role. He's both longer & more athletic.
 

benhogan

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We'll see how Grant plays.

If he plays like last year, we either need to play our far superior other guys out of position or make some trades.

If he plays competently, he will get some minutes, I agree.
we'd all like a Nance, Kyle Andersen, Portis, Markkanen or PJ Washington instead of Grant.

BUT he's cheap and can be effective in short minutes if he lays off the Ben & Jerry's (as we saw in the bubble)

The off-season isn't done, wouldn't be shocked to see additional moves.
 

HomeRunBaker

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What 4s in the NBA would we rather Grant cover than either Jay?
Talking about providing an interior physical presence on the second unit. They aren’t playing 48 minutes.
Isn't Bruno possibly this? He doesn't stretch the floor though. He also may very well be worse than Grant. He's got much better measurables, anyway.
Bruno isn’t an NBA player. At least not close to one yet.
 

JM3

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Talking about providing an interior physical presence on the second unit. They aren’t playing 48 minutes.
Between the 2 of them, they should. But yeah, I would think that's what the actual center is for.

I agree with Grant's role ending up as being as big as his play warrants, though.
 

Jimbodandy

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we'd all like a Nance, Kyle Andersen, Portis, Markkanen or PJ Washington instead of Grant.

BUT he's cheap and can be effective in short minutes if he lays off the Ben & Jerry's (as we saw in the bubble)

The off-season isn't done, wouldn't be shocked to see additional moves.
I don't feel like I'm Grant bashing at all when I say that I hope that he doesn't see the court very much. Same as I'd really rather not have Nance, SloMo, Washington, or those others getting real minutes either. Had we brought them in, they'd be depth. Just like Grant is.

TL is way better of a small ball center, even if people go small against us. And if they go stupid small, then we have like a million wings to attack that.

Grant is a role player, not a rotation player. This shouldn't be a controversial take here.

Edit: yeah maybe SloMo cracks the rotation, but I'm not interested in any of those other guys.