So, some thoughts about the implications of all that, if we take (for the purposes of discussion) the scenario where Brugler is accurately reflecting where NFL front offices will end up with their evaluations by the draft*.
- The Patriots have two clear areas of need where getting a top performer usually calls for drafting them high. That's OT and a DT/DE who's disruptive in pass rush. We then need a WR1, where the top talent often emerges in a more scattered fashion out of the first few rounds.
- The lack of one or more clear top QB prospects significantly reduces the likelihood that the Pats could trade a top 5 pick for some big draft haul. Yes, there are always people who want to trade up. But you don't get the same bidding war for other great young players that you do for a great young QB
- I can't tell right now how big a difference there is between the mid-first round OTs-- like Will Campbell-- and the guys Brugler has in the mid-second round-- like Conerly or Ersery
- To my mind, the Pats need a receiver who can stretch the field vertically more than they need another receiver who projects to mostly work short-to-medium routes. So if you're thinking in terms of old-timey receiver roles, we're looking for someone who projects more like a Z than an X, F, or slot. Which isn't my read of how most of first round receivers project, if I'm following things right.
Putting that all together, if Bruger is right* in this ranking and if I could wave some magic wand I'd use it try and get some additional picks high in the second round to pick up multiple guys like Josh Simmons/Conerly/Ersery (OT), Tyler Booker/Wyatt Milum (OG), or Evan Stewart (WR)
And if we end up drafting in the second half of the top 10, then I think Mason Graham and Tetairoa McMillan are the two you look at hardest. And if both are off the table then I'm not sure the value/fit for us is there, and it's not better to trade down, perhaps for that additional pick in the second.
[*obvious disclaimer: things will shift and Brugler's board is not where the Pats or other NFL front offices will end up]
Edit/Update: Re: my 'trade down' point at the end... our team would be better off with every single player on it that Brugler has top ten. Since his top ten doesn't include a QB, we could take any of 'em and they'd start and make us better. So that's not my issue. I'm more nervous that drafting, say, a great LB like Jalon Walker with this pick doesn't move the needle for us as much as turning the pick into multiple chances to get guys who are better value/fit for us, given where they're drafted.