Yeah, I think you're right. I couldn't remember how exactly I moved around.
My guess is that none of your first 4 picks are going to be available at the slots you have them.
I would drunken hump that draft.
It was one of the first mocks I've done where I've gone OL with my first 3 picks, but I like how it worked out. I've typically been going OT, Edge, WR and then grabbing an interior lineman, and those are pretty nice too. I guess when you've got holes all over the roster, it's pretty easy to tick off important boxes
FWIW, I'm hoping that the FO attacks the most glaring problems with a combination of FA and draft. They've done such a poor job of the former in the last couple of offseasons that I too have been wishcasting magic fixes via the draft, but hopefully it's sinking in now. If they ever listened to or watched the broadcast feeds and not just the 22 film, they'll hear the color guys talking about how the OL pass blocks like they hate Drake Maye. It's obvious to us, but the TV guys spent the whole year asking out loud WTF the Pats are doing on the OL. It'd be hard not to see.
Looking at the Mike Evans comp gets me thinking....it must be insanely difficult to evaluate WRs and know if they're actually going to be good in the NFL. Like, here we have a tall, slowish (by NFL burner standards, a 4.53 in the 40) WR in Evans, who put up excellent numbers at pass-happy Texas A&M. Good at high-pointing the ball, excellent hands, but how good was he, really?
Seems like they throw all the info into a blender and it spits something out...but they are wrong half the time (or more). I would imagine scouts have their favorite traits that they believe will translate. RAS, route running, contested catch %...whatever. But it is quite the inexact science. Maybe ask Deion Branch. That's the guy that stands out to me as someone who "got it" right away and got the most out of his physical ability.
Ain't that the truth. I guess it makes sense, in that you're a) making predictions about the future (ask meteorologists and stock traders how easy that is), and b) unlike evaluating the NASDAQ or the atmosphere, you're making those predictions about individual human beings.
Super Nomario is a poster here too. He's brilliant. His book is brilliant. He is a top 3 poster here imo.
Speaking of... look at last years draft for example. Guys like Jermaine Burton and Jerome Baker had better tape than where they got drafted. Both guys have coachability and character issues.
I guess this is why you need to devote many, many picks to the same position, hoping that some of them will pan out.
Yeah it does seem like throwing crap against a wall. And some of it is scheme related. Like player X would be a good player in scheme/system A, but not scheme/system B, but the team that drafts him runs scheme/system B, so the guy ends up sucking and is out of the league in three years, and we'll never know how good he could have been on a different team.
Also ties into something that gets discussed a lot (I think we did even more in the NBA forum)... high floor.... it's mostly bullshit. Because often the floor is based on something (3pt shooting, hands for a WR, contested catches, etc.) that just ends up not translating.
Yes, but let me offer up some caveats.
100%. I’m not a part of that forum. I wish I had time for basketball. I love watching the Celtics in the playoffs but I just don’t have time for more than football.
Reminds me of KVN and Haason Reddick. This is one of the strategies I alluded to up thread about ways you can lose the draft. If your front office and coaching staff aren't aligned you are... well fucked really and not in the good way. Great callout.
That's an interesting point.
Also speaks to why teams with a high FO and coaching turnover continue to struggle. Changes of system can happen faster than personnel. Guys get lost in the wash, maybe hit with their third team on their second or third contract (if at all).
Thank you to you (and SMU) for weighing in. I value your opinions. What are your general thoughts of the analysis, draft-wise, from Evan Lazar and Alex Barth?
Bear in mind this is coming from a REALLY limited sample-size and totally amateur eyes, but: I like that he makes plays, shows up a lot and does so in big games.
I think Lazar's draft takes are pretty bad. Not sure about Barth. Lazar to me is not my cup of tea scouting wise. Lazar thinks Banks is a top 10 guy for example. I think he's more of a late first early 2nd.
This looks too good to be true. Love "getting" Skattebo at 142. Carter, a tackle at 37, and Shepard at 200? Sign me up!
