Over the offseason, I couldn't help but shake the feeling that this team was run by amaeturs who ran the team like a fan off the street or someone just trying to follow the conventional wisdom would.
The first reason was that there was significant buzz about the Patriots trading the #3 pick. You would've like to seen a more professional FO who realized that franchise QBs, especially on rookie deals, are golden in the NFL and a shot at one on a rookie contract is so immensely valuable that it doesn't make sense to seriously entertain trade discussions. While I'm happy with the outcome that we got Maye, it was crazy to me that it seemed like the FO was even considering passing up on a franchise QB and entering QB no-man's land. There were also credible rumors that the Patriots tried to trade #3 + more for Justin Herbert, which would've been total malpractice. While Herbert is a great QB, why would we want an expensive QB who doesn't make a team a super bowl contender on his own instead of a shot at a star at #3? All the excuses people make for him in LA (bad coaching, bad talent around him) would also apply here moreso.
The draft also appeared to be completely laser focused on "supporting Maye" instead of taking good players. The 2nd and 3rd round picks were massive reaches compared to consensus, which, on average does destroy value per people like Arif Hassan's work. Polk was probably the 3rd best receiver on his college team and analytics were very down on him and we passed on significant defensive talent (DeJean, McKinstry, Cooper) for him. He had a coaching connection and was probably the highest WR on the board, but I find it very hard to believe that he was the team's BPA. We likely laser-focused on the "best WR" and lost a ton of value for it. Then, in the third round, we took a guy way off the board to "give Maye O-Line help." The problem being, it's rare to find quality tackles in the third round, the guy has a very limited ceiling, and will likely end up as a backup long-term and not fill any holes at all. This was at a pick where there was a ton of defensive talent available again, but it seemed like we locked in on the offense.
Lastly, in FA, we spent a ton of money on mediocre players, or good players at non-premium positions. While I know we have an abundance of cash, and a paucity of players wanting to come here, it was still disappointing to see all the money spent on safeties and players like Rhamondre.
Lastly, I know my post will be met with the obvious objections of "well how did you know Polk or Wallace wasn't the best player on their board?" Of course I don't know. Maybe they were not locked in on the position and they really just loved the players, who knows? But even if they were, the stats suggest that we should give a ton of caution towards reaches. And one point I would make in my favor is that, the reason it probably seems like we're run by old schoolers who hate stats or amaeturs is that we probably are:
https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/41328710/nfl-analytics-survey-2024-most-least-analytically-inclined-teams-predictions-stats
A survey around the league rated us as the second least analytically inclined team in the NFL. Our FO is behind the curve and is going to be a problem for this franchise, despite them seemingly lucking into a potential franchise QB in Maye. Let's hope we don't squander him. I'd suspect, given the public criticism of the line, the team is going to lock in on the best OT available next draft, regardless of whether or not there's a better, more franchise changing player available at another premium position. I hope that's not the case, but given what we've seen so far, it seems likely. I hope we luck out next year and coincidentally draft in a spot where the best OT is actually the best pick, like Maye was. Because otherwise, we might squander a huge opportunity.