- Oct 20, 2015
Jomboy did a breakdown. Not sure how there could have been a substance in his hair given the search.I don't know whether Karinchak is using anything on the ball or not, but he's a fidgety/quirky guy on the mound who's messing with the opponent. I watched the whole thing transpire with Baldelli and the Twins and if there was a foreign substance in his hair, the umpire certainly would have found it… that was the weirdest search I've ever seen. Afterwards, Karinchak went to his hair even more. It might be misdirection to what he's actually using, but he's getting a kick out getting into the heads of his opponents.
Maybe I didn’t explain the rule well.Maybe I’m misunderstanding but that sounds unworkable.
There will be a limit of two of what MLB calls disengagements—pickoff attempts or steps off the rubber—per plate appearance, and a balk would be called for a third or more unless there is an out. The disengagement limit would be reset if a runner advances.
We're going to see an absolutely massive increase in stolen base attempts: https://theathletic.com/3604919/2022/09/19/mlb-rule-changes-pitch-clock-shift-ban/Do we really think that the lack of stolen bases is because of fear of getting thrown out? Because the numbers show that success rates are higher than ever, even though attempts are down. Now perhaps that’s why rates are up but I question whether we will really see a big increase in SB attempts.
More details behind the paywall. If you're interested, pay for good journalism.Pickoff/stepoff limits and larger bases (18 inches-by-18 inches square, up from 15-by-15) — which shrink the distance between bases by 4 1/2 inches — have been in effect all season. And they’ve turned these games into the Penn Relays.
STOLEN BASE ATTEMPTS PER GAME
Minor leagues — 2.83
Major leagues — 1.36
Now here’s what that means: If big-league players suddenly started running at the same rate as minor-league players have this year, it would lead to a stolen-base attempt rate we haven’t seen in the major leagues in more than 100 years.
Not quite. The pitcher can still pick you off, but if he throws over a third time and doesn’t pick you off, it’s a balk. And, of course, the catcher can always throw down.So, say you're a runner on first, you just have to draw two throws during one PA and then there's nothing stopping you from taking second base, right?
Ok that's the part I was missing, that it's not a balk if it's a successful pickoff. Thanks for being patient with my apparent failure to read.Not quite. The pitcher can still pick you off, but if he throws over a third time and doesn’t pick you off, it’s a balk. And, of course, the catcher can always throw down.
This rule change in particular seems huge to me. How it plays out on the field will be interesting. If I’m a pitcher, I only throw over when I think there’s a reasonable chance of picking off the runner. If I’m a runner, I take bigger one-way leads, trying to draw two throws to put myself in a position to draw a balk or steal second more easily. The logic of it with runners on first and third are especially interesting.Ok that's the part I was missing, that it's not a balk if it's a successful pickoff. Thanks for being patient with my apparent failure to read.
I guess I'd have to see it to really know how I feel about it but my general instinct is against rule changes in baseball.
SB success rate went from 68% to 77%. Seems significant.To answer my own question, stolen base attempts went from 2.23 to 2.83 in the minors. If the majors saw the same % increase, it would jump to 1.73 per game.
This is all true. But maybe banning the shift means Duran doesn't have to swing for the fences anymore because ground balls aren't as bad. And not swinging for the fences means less Ks, and hopefully more BBs. And then he can do more damage on the base paths because of these other changes. He's still a disaster in the field but maybe he ends up as 2-win player for a few years before he slows down.I'm skeptical it will immediately and drastically change the way the game is played. It just doesn't seem like teams change their ways that quickly. I'll be happy to be wrong though, because few teams are better equipped to take advantage of the new rules as much as Cleveland.
One thing I can say with certainty is that fast shitty players are still going to be shitty players. There were a few guys in the '70s and '80s who made careers out of swiping bases without much talent otherwise, but talent evaluation has come a long way in the past 40 years. You're not going to fleece another team because they suddenly think Jaren Duran is a good ballplayer. He has a plethora of issues but the difficulty level of stealing second base was never one of them, and making it easier isn't going to fix any of them.
(This reminds me of my brother-in-law's story of going over by the players lot at old Municipal Stadium in the early '80s as a kid and getting all the players to sign... except Miguel Dilone, who would wave his finger in his face and yell, "Me no give autograph!".)
What was an entertaining oddity has become something that basically happens every night. I like that they're trying to keep it under control a bit.Position players pitching
The new rule: Teams will be more limited in when they can pitch a position player. The previous rule allowed them to use one when up or down by six or more runs, but the sides are discussing a tweak in which the leading team would have to be up by as many as 10 or more while the trailing team would have to be down by eight or more in order to pitch a position player. The league and players are finalizing the new rule.
What they're trying to change: The league and now even the players agree that too many position players are taking the mound over the course of the season. In fact, players believe it's having a bigger and bigger impact on production, from offensive numbers to even defensive metrics -- all of which come into play during arbitration and free agency. In 2017, there were 32 instances of position players pitching in a game. Last season, according to the Elias Sports Bureau, that number jumped to 132.
Wretched and unnecessary change. Rob Manfred will not see heaven.
IIRC this is one of the few things the MLBPA and owners agree on.. The players love the rule because it cuts down on marathon games
https://theathletic.com/3183373/2022/03/14/mlb-players-union-discussing-restoring-extra-inning-ghost-runner-rule/“We can appreciate the tradition,” one veteran pitcher, who is active in the union, told The Athletic in a text message Monday. “But I think it has worked. Games end sooner and in an exciting way. No more 18-inning games where guys get hurt or it kills your team for a week or two. Or a guy gets sent down for throwing four great innings in relief, but you need a warm body for tomorrow.”
I somewhat agree, but I'm reminded of the NHL and how they have one overtime rule in the regular season and then another one for the playoffs.I will always hate the new extra-inning rule. I don't want rules in the regular season that everyone can agree aren't good enough to use in the playoffs... yeah, I know the reasoning, but see my previous post about failure to construct a roster properly with 8-man bullpens. It can also be fixed by allowing an extra roster spot for a number of days depending on the number of extra innings played. However, I already assumed the change was permanent, so I won't be letting it bother me again.
I'm with you although I'd have given them the 11th too. What fraction of extra inning games end by the 11th? Thought it was like 70-80%. Shorten the stragglers after that point, I buy the need there... but until then just play baseball, I say.Good. I like that change a lot. Just keep it out of the playoffs.
Edit: I do wish it started after the 10th but that’s just being picky.
You just know certain pitchers and teams are going to have shit fits about this. I'll be curious to see what the outcry is and how they address it going forward. If enforcement continues at a high level, this will probably increase offense slightly as well and potentially ruin some careers.Passan writes that the league has informed umpires to call a balk (or an illegal pitch resulting in an automatic ball if no one is on base) if a pitcher takes more than one step to the back or side in his windup before moving towards home plate. Certain pitchers have previously used more complicated deliveries involving multiple toe-taps or sidesteps that’ll no longer be permissible.
Wait. An umpire is deemed to be shitty because he's enforcing a rule that is literally his job to do?
No, the suggestion is that the shittiest umps will have another area to express their shittiness by being terrible at enforcing the new rules. Sometimes they will nitpick and call slight movements, and other times they will ignore blatant violations.Wait. An umpire is deemed to be shitty because he's enforcing a rule that is literally his job to do?
That was a very long response. I don't necessarily disagree with anything you said.No, the suggestion is that the shittiest umps will have another area to express their shittiness by being terrible at enforcing the new rules. Sometimes they will nitpick and call slight movements, and other times they will ignore blatant violations.
Bill James just talked about the balk rules yesterday on the free part of his site. He was asked if he would still eliminate the balk rule, as he once said he would if there were corresponding adjustments.
Very interestingly, the other Rays RP who was in arbitration who also loss took his grievance public as wellRyan Thompson posted his experience on arbitration. I really hope this stupid system goes away next CBA.