You make a valid point that no one really knows the ultimate impact of any drafted player. I don't. You're also correct that scouts will hopefully be able to more closely follow prospects next spring that leads to better picks. However, with the 2021 Red Sox success, what are the chances the Sox could draft a "top 3" starting pitching prospect with their late 1st round pick, let alone their later round 2 comp pick?? We can only follow how Jaden Hill recovers from TJ surgery and his ultimate impact in 4-5 years. It was a calculated risk I would have taken with the 40th pick.Still a year early to say they blew it. A second rounder next year, assuming things open up a bit more in the spring, may be more valuable from a scouting perspective because teams will have more opportunities to evaluate. Time will tell.