Buster Posey to retire

Red(s)HawksFan

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Good for him to go out while he's still one of the best at his position rather than linger around until he's a shell of his former self. He's leaving a $22M option on the table too.

He just crossed the threshold for Hall of Fame eligibility and I think he gets in easily.
 

E5 Yaz

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34, four kids to raise, more money than he'll ever need ... sounds like a smart decision to me
 

Scoops Bolling

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Wow. Only 34. Seems like a surprise.
Catching take a major physical toll, and Posey has already made his way back from one major injury in his career. Given what he's won in his career, the money he has earned, and the fact that the Giants have a #2 overall pick in Joey Bart waiting to take the reins...I'm not shocked. Particularly given the fact that the Giants may have told him "we don't plan to pick up the option", and Posey may not have any interest in playing anywhere else, so this lets him go out on his terms.
 

nattysez

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I have a feeling he really enjoyed spending time with his family in 2020 and saw a chance to go out on a high after a very good season.

Giants have some work to do, as the org seemed to feel pretty strongly that Joey Bart isn't ready yet.
 

DeJesus Built My Hotrod

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Posey feels like he would have been a bigger star had he played in one of the major East Coast or midwest cities but I am biased to think this given where I live. There is no alternate universe where he receives more love and support than the Giants organization and fanbase have shown. He is essentially their Papi if you removed all elements of personality and swagger.
 

Harry Hooper

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Good for him. Apparently the prospect of being the DH for the Giants next year was not compelling.
 

scottyno

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Good for him to go out while he's still one of the best at his position rather than linger around until he's a shell of his former self. He's leaving a $22M option on the table too.

He just crossed the threshold for Hall of Fame eligibility and I think he gets in easily.
His numbers are pretty similar to Posada who didn't even make it off the 1st ballot and Mauer who I doubt is anywhere near getting in easily if he even gets in. Framing helps his case, but it's hard to compare to most other catchers since they didn't have framing metrics at the time.

I'd be shocked if he gets in easily after retiring now, I think he needed a few more decent years to really boost his case.
 

heavyde050

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Catching take a major physical toll, and Posey has already made his way back from one major injury in his career. Given what he's won in his career, the money he has earned, and the fact that the Giants have a #2 overall pick in Joey Bart waiting to take the reins...I'm not shocked. Particularly given the fact that the Giants may have told him "we don't plan to pick up the option", and Posey may not have any interest in playing anywhere else, so this lets him go out on his terms.
Everything I had read locally was that picking up the option was a priority. As a guy that really enjoyed watching him play, this is a super sad day.
 

heavyde050

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I have a feeling he really enjoyed spending time with his family in 2020 and saw a chance to go out on a high after a very good season.

Giants have some work to do, as the org seemed to feel pretty strongly that Joey Bart isn't ready yet.
Yeah. This is the sense I seem to get as well.
 

Sin Duda

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I saw Buster Posey and thought Buster OIney. I thought the line "Wow. Only 34." was a joke. Joke's on me I guess. I've never seen a Posy pic without a helmet. He's a young looking dude (or I'm getting old, or both).
46117 46116
 

YTF

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Good for him to go out while he's still one of the best at his position rather than linger around until he's a shell of his former self. He's leaving a $22M option on the table too.

He just crossed the threshold for Hall of Fame eligibility and I think he gets in easily.
I'll respectfully disagree on this one. An excellent player during an era that seems to have churned out a lot of great players, especially during the last half of Posey's 12 year career. I just don't think the numbers are there. Walking away after 12 years of playing at the level he's played at really says a ton about his priorities and I'm happy for him, but I think that also hinders his chance at being inducted into the HOF.
 

The Filthy One

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His numbers are pretty similar to Posada who didn't even make it off the 1st ballot and Mauer who I doubt is anywhere near getting in easily if he even gets in. Framing helps his case, but it's hard to compare to most other catchers since they didn't have framing metrics at the time.

I'd be shocked if he gets in easily after retiring now, I think he needed a few more decent years to really boost his case.
It will be a really interesting case. He has some black ink by virtue of winning a batting title, whereas Posada had none. And he has an MVP and a Rookie of the Year that Posada lacked. His 7-year peak is HOF-worthy, but the overall counting stats are low, even for a catcher.
 

RSN Diaspora

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Per ESPN, Posey will go out as one of the only players to hit .300 or higher in their final season. He's in some pretty spectacular company: David Ortiz, Will Clark, Kirby Puckett, Lou Brock, and Roberto Clemente.

EDIT: only players in the divisional era.
 
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sean1562

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Mike Piazza and Ivan Rodriguez are the only HoF catchers of the last thirty years? Joe Mauer should be in the HoF too. Returning to the Papi comparison, if Buster Posey and Joe Mauer are not HoF players, playing the most physical defensive position that limits their career length and is somewhat undervalued via WAR, than there is no way David Ortiz should be in the HoF as well.
 

scottyno

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Mike Piazza and Ivan Rodriguez are the only HoF catchers of the last thirty years? Joe Mauer should be in the HoF too. Returning to the Papi comparison, if Buster Posey and Joe Mauer are not HoF players, playing the most physical defensive position that limits their career length and is somewhat undervalued via WAR, than there is no way David Ortiz should be in the HoF as well.
Ortiz is largely going to get in due to having one of the best postseason resumes of any hitter ever and tons of memorable postseason moments. Mauer has essentially no postseason resume and though Posey did win 3 rings he actually sucked in the postseason.
 

snowmanny

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Per ESPN, Posey will go out as one of the only players to hit .300 or higher in their final season. He's in some pretty spectacular company: David Ortiz, Will Clark, Kirby Puckett, Lou Brock, and Roberto Clemente.
I don’t understand that list. There have to be more. Ted Williams and Ty Cobb definitely did, although maybe not qualifying for the batting title. I assume Joe Jackson hit around .350.
And I’ll guess Lyman Bostock.
 

Adirondack jack

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Posey hit some majestic moonshots in the Arizona Fall League that a blind man three blocks away coulda told you he was the real deal. Time flies..
 

Petagine in a Bottle

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Career .302 hitter but only 1500 hits. Only six seasons where he played more than 115 games. 7 time all star, 6 time too 20 mvp, ROY and 1 MVP award. Mediocre Post-Season numbers. Will be an interesting guys, I feel like guys who go out in too often get a bump (And it helps when your most recently remembered as a really good player after the five year wait). Tough call; his resume looks light to me.
 

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It will be a really interesting case. He has some black ink by virtue of winning a batting title, whereas Posada had none. And he has an MVP and a Rookie of the Year that Posada lacked. His 7-year peak is HOF-worthy, but the overall counting stats are low, even for a catcher.
Yeah, it's a quality v. quantity problem. I also immediately thought of Mauer. Aside from the rings (which are admittedly important; right, Papi??), I think it's fair to conclude that, over their best 7-8 peak years, Mauer was a slightly better player than Posey. Regardless, they're at least very close, and there certainly is no consensus that Mauer should be in (although I think his 3 unique batting titles, MVP, and gold gloves should get him in).

And I'd definitely vote for Posey and Mauer over Posada!
 

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I don’t understand that list. There have to be more. Ted Williams and Ty Cobb definitely did, although maybe not qualifying for the batting title. I assume Joe Jackson hit around .350.
And I’ll guess Lyman Bostock.
Sorry, in the divisional era, that is.
 

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Mike Piazza and Ivan Rodriguez are the only HoF catchers of the last thirty years? Joe Mauer should be in the HoF too. Returning to the Papi comparison, if Buster Posey and Joe Mauer are not HoF players, playing the most physical defensive position that limits their career length and is somewhat undervalued via WAR, than there is no way David Ortiz should be in the HoF as well.
Thank you for making all my arguments for me. Catcher is an under-represented position, especially for the last 30-40 years. I don't think Posey or Mauer should be penalized for playing a demanding position and retiring relatively early instead of hanging on and padding stats on to what were most definitely HOF-worthy peaks.
 

Adirondack jack

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It's an interesting and likely valid argument. Relievers were unfairly scrutinized not that long ago, but it seems to me, catching is a different animal altogether. The position on the whole is under-represented when Harold Baines etc are in the Hall
 

Ale Xander

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158 lifetime HR, 1500 hits, 129 OPS+, only 1 GG. Playoff WPA of 0.01, with a .667 playoff OPS in 13 series. .496 and .616 OPS, negatve WPA's in LCS and WS. He's not in despite the MVP and rings.
 

Adirondack jack

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158 lifetime HR, 1500 hits, 129 OPS+, only 1 GG. Playoff WPA of 0.01, with a .667 playoff OPS in 13 series. .496 and .616 OPS, negatve WPA's in LCS and WS. He's not in despite the MVP and rings.
Should catchers be held to the same standard seems to be the question. How many backstops have reached this glass ceiling in the past 25 years?
 

DJnVa

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Returning to the Papi comparison, if Buster Posey and Joe Mauer are not HoF players, playing the most physical defensive position that limits their career length and is somewhat undervalued via WAR, than there is no way David Ortiz should be in the HoF as well.
I need you to show your work here.

While I 100% agree that catchers are undervalued and their position is important and ridiculously demanding, I need to know how you are translating one to the other and how, despite the positional differences, you are somehow taking the Papi's 10,000 PA and superior production in them versus Posey's 5600 PA. The positional differences, in your mind, make up for essentially 7 additional years of HOF offensive production?

Can you walk me through it. I am not saying you are wrong, but I need to know how you worked that out.
 

E5 Yaz

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Posey should be compared to hitters in the HoF, but to the other catchers in the hall.
 

Saints Rest

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Career .302 hitter but only 1500 hits. Only six seasons where he played more than 115 games. 7 time all star, 6 time too 20 mvp, ROY and 1 MVP award. Mediocre Post-Season numbers. Will be an interesting guys, I feel like guys who go out in too often get a bump (And it helps when your most recently remembered as a really good player after the five year wait). Tough call; his resume looks light to me.
Remarkably similar to Pedroia.
ROY, MVP, 3 WS titles (although Pedy’s third was in name only).
.302 vs .299
WAR 51.9 to 44.9
 

Petagine in a Bottle

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Posey should be compared to hitters in the HoF, but to the other catchers in the hall.
His career numbers (games played, hits, homers) are not far off from Roy Campanella and Mickey Cochrane. There’s just no recent position players elected with less than 2000 hits, never mind 1500. Granted the game has changed to the point where the old benchmarks may be irrelevant.

(the Pedroia point is fascinating…I think Pedroia gets dinged because the last few years of his career were mired in injury. Whereas Posey goes out on top. That shouldn’t matter but it seems to).
 

coremiller

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The closest historical comp to Posey is probably Thurman Munson. Almost identical peak and career WAR totals, both won an MVP, both were key contributors to multiple championship teams, both had relatively short careers (although for different reasons). Munson, of course, is not in the HOF, although there's a good case that he should be, and it wouldn't be shocking if a Veteran's Committee puts him in someday.
 

scottyno

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Posey should be compared to hitters in the HoF, but to the other catchers in the hall.
It's so hard to compare because they aren't on an even playing field. Based on jaws, which uses Bwar he's 14th in jaws and 16th in WAR among catchers, which would probably put him about borderline unless we want to start putting a lot more catchers in the hall because they're underrepresented.

Based on Fwar which includes framing he jumps up to 8th, which seems like a guy that should definitely be in, but that isn't really fair because it bumps up a ton of modern guys because we have no clue what kind of framer Thurman Munson or Bill Dickey was.

He's somewhere between the 1st and 4th best catcher of the framing generation depending on which WAR you use and how much value you put in framing, and even that isn't perfect because Mauer was a very good framer, and half his career was pre framing data.
 

mauf

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Buster Posey is 96th all time in games caught. I don’t see how your HOF case can get dinged for lack of longevity when you’re in the top 100 all-time for games played at your position. (Not a knock on posters who have raised the issue; I do think it will cost Posey a few votes.)

Posey had the same career OPS+ as Mickey Cochrane in a similar number of games. He belongs in the Hall.

Joe Mauer is an interesting comp — better defender than Posey, and a similar hitter, but played about half his career at 1B/DH. That will be an interesting debate, and unlike Posey, I do think lack of longevity is a fair point against Mauer.
 

Ferm Sheller

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The closest historical comp to Posey is probably Thurman Munson. Almost identical peak and career WAR totals, both won an MVP, both were key contributors to multiple championship teams, both had relatively short careers (although for different reasons). Munson, of course, is not in the HOF, although there's a good case that he should be, and it wouldn't be shocking if a Veteran's Committee puts him in someday.
But Posey went out on top whereas Munson went out on blacktop.
 

Devizier

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His numbers are pretty similar to Posada who didn't even make it off the 1st ballot and Mauer
Posey accrued pretty much matched all of Posada's offensive value in 2/3 the number of games. When you consider his defense, it's not even close. Posey is an all-timer.
 

Comfortably Lomb

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Mike Piazza and Ivan Rodriguez are the only HoF catchers of the last thirty years? Joe Mauer should be in the HoF too. Returning to the Papi comparison, if Buster Posey and Joe Mauer are not HoF players, playing the most physical defensive position that limits their career length and is somewhat undervalued via WAR, than there is no way David Ortiz should be in the HoF as well.
Posey, Ortiz, and Mauer should all be in. They're all-time great players and any sort of celebration of the best players ever is worse without them. But there are people with votes who are power-tripping jackasses so who knows.
 

Sin Duda

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Posey, Ortiz, and Mauer should all be in. They're all-time great players and any sort of celebration of the best players ever is worse without them. But there are people with votes who are power-tripping jackasses so who knows.
Remember, sportswriters vote on the HoF, so the narrative still has some importance (though to a lesser degree than before better stats joined the conversation). To me, the narrative of the past 20 years cannot be written or spoken without David Ortiz as a key protagonist. And the story of MLB catchers in the past 20 years cannot be given justice without Mauer and Posey. They should be in (to me). By the way, let's not bring up the worst examples of HoF entries as an argument that someone should be in. We all know Harold Baines should not be in the HoF.

Which is to say, I agree with you CL, all 3 should be in.
 

drbretto

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It's hard to quantify catcher value already, but it's even hard to compare them across eras. Posey was one of the best catchers if his own time. As is Yadier Molina. Both should be in, IMO. The line for catchers these days should basically be just above Varitek and Posada and should skew heavily towards defense. Which is even harder to quantify.
 

B H Kim

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View: https://twitter.com/jay_jaffe/status/1456235909544820742


Jay Jaffe on Twitter: "by fWAR, Buster Posey was the most valuable position player in the game from 2012-17 this side of Mike Trout, and nobody else was particularly close during that span. In fact, by fWAR, only Trout surpasses him over the past *decade* even with Posey's decline and 2020 opt-out."

I'm not saying that he will, but he should be a first ballot hall-of-famer.