Confidence: The Monday Night Preview

KFP

Well-Known Member
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Sep 5, 2014
65
http://central.sonsofsamhorn.net/nfl/confidence-the-monday-night-preview/
 

bowiac

Caveat: I know nothing about what I speak
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Dec 18, 2003
12,945
New York, NY
Love using PFF data to bet against the spread with. It's always been my goal to integrate it into my models, but never was able to get it to work, so this is nicely done.
 

SMU_Sox

queer eye for the next pats guy
SoSH Member
Jul 20, 2009
8,978
Dallas
I generally loathe week 1 and even though San Diego lost they covered. San Diego absolutely did not meet my expectations on offense. True to form they blow another late lead and lose another close game. Thankfully I had those three helpful points to make this a win. I'm eager to see which teams the general public is going to overreact to this week. I can't wait to see what types of inefficiencies we can exploit this week.
 

Stitch01

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 15, 2005
18,155
Boston
Yeah SD offense was disappointing.  They seemed uber-conservative with a lot of short crossing routes that weren't really getting them anywhere.  Combined with a couple drops and some typical Rivers Monday Night magic at key moments and you have a very disappointing loss.
 
Bright side was their defense played pretty well.  Let Palmer scramble a bit much and they let Floyd loose, but decent pressure up front (albeit not against an elite OL), competitive against the run game, and mostly shut down Fitzgerald.