Crystal Palace: Under Renovation

candylandriots

unkempt
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Mar 30, 2004
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I've been reluctant to start this thread. The last few times I started dedicated Crystal Palace threads in Gazza, they ended up in relegation battle Last year they cruised comfortably to retaining their spot in the Premier League as I kept my piehole shut. I'm going tempt fate this year

A mere six months ago, this was a team turning in yet another season in the bottom half of the table. Workmanlike, experienced (read: old), boring. Unlike the years immediately prior, there really was no drama, as Roy Hodgson kept the team very organized and they were successful at the primary objective of surviving. After Hodgon's departure (and he will always be loved and respected at Palace), the team has made a significant departure from its previous strategy. The last time Palace tried to expand its horizons....well, it didn't go too well, with Frank deBoer going 0-4 and the team looking like it didn't have a clue. That year, they would lose their first 7 games and became the first PL team to lose their first 4 without scoring a single goal. Jose Mourinho described deBoer as "the worst manager in the history of the Premier League". Hodgson put out the fire, but did it his way: boring, effective. But the deBoer experiment clearly must have made an impression on chairman Steve Parrish and the board. For a team like Palace, where survival is priority #1, getting experimental can be a good way to lose PL status, even though it is necessary to do if they ever want the team to advance from its current station.

Palace fans and management were excited about change, but who would the replace Roy after his retirement? After qualifying for their team record 9th consecutive PL campaign, it seemed it might an auspicious time to take some calculated risks and attempt to move beyond their well-worn ass grove of the mid-teens places in their Premier League recliner. Many names were discussed. Sean Dyche and Eddie Howe have been repeatedly linked with the club for years, though to me, interest always appeared lukewarm. (Honestly, to me, had one of those guys been picked, I would have been so frustrated because it would have been apparently that the board permanently prioritized staying in the league at the expense of ever advancing. Not that I don't want them to stay in the league, it's just nobody wants a perennial loser, in any competition. Naturally, every fan, even of teams like Crystal Palace was the season Leicester had few users ago.) Then, Nuno Espirito Santo's firing from Wolves put him on the table, and seemed both a likely and strong candidate for the job, though it was clear he had his eyes on a bigger prize at Tottenham. Next, it looked like Lucien Favre was coming to South London, which was a very exciting proposition but naturally fell through after his hiring had been announced, but before he signed the contract. Fans were disappointed all over again. Time was wasting, and it would be clear to everyone that neither manager nor team was anyone's preferred dance partner. Fans were worried about getting a retread like Howe`. Then came a name on nobody's radar: Arsenal legend, Patrick Vieira.

After a successful stint as an assistant in Manchester City, Vieira went on to his first head coaching job at NYCFC. He was very successful there, taking the team from 17th to 4th to 2nd. He went on to manage Nice in Ligue 1, actually replacing the aforementioned Favre. After a run of five losses in the league and a bad loss in the domestic cup, he was fired, despite having finished 7th the year prior.

While chairman Steve Parrish brought in the new coach, Director Of Football Dougie Freedman was seeking new talent, while also knowing that perhaps the team's all-time best player had had a transfer request in since last season. Wilfried Zaha is sometimes called the best player outside the "top 6" and Zaha had been looking to put that talent to use elsewhere. The problem is that Zaha is worth so much more to Palace than to any likely bidder. In the past, he was perhaps the difference between survival and relegation. If you examine the NPV of that, it seemed even more unlikely that another team would make it worth Parrish's while to sell. Freedman had had mixed success in his recruitment effort to overhaul the oldest team in the league, and one with a surprisingly high wage bill. The top acquisitions of the previous season (Eberiche Eze and Nathan Ferguson) were both injured with achilles problems, Ferguson also a knee problem. I don't remember the exact chronology, but Freedman's recruiting efforts seemed to be made easier by the appointment of Vieira. Freedman and Palace sought to get younger and better by finding more top young (and Championship) players to build on the talent of Eze and Ferguson. They brought in Michael Olise from Reading, Marc Guehi from Chelsea (after playing on loan at Swansea last season), Joachim Andersen (Lyon/Fulham loan), and finally Odsonnne Edouard (Celtic) to complete the bigger acquisitions. When one thinks about getting Olise, Guehi, Andersen and Edouard on permanent deals for roughly what they received for Aaron Wan-Bissaka from Man U, so far it looks like they have done very well reinvesting those proceeds. They also resigned a rejuvenated Christian Benteke (free) and a few spare parts. They also chose very wisely with their annual loan player from Chelsea, this season getting Conor Gallagher. The team was still missing a bit, but going into the season, there was quite a bit of optimism, as the team said goodbye to a number of older (and well-loved) players and simply got younger with a core that they could develop around. In the aftermath of Covid, perhaps they got some players that might have been less affordable to them prior.

This being Palace, naturally, they got curb stomped in their first match of the season against Chelsea followed by an uninspiring 0-0 draw against newly promoted Brentford. The first half of the third match (West Ham) looked like more of the same, down 2-0 at the half. The deBoer mentions and comparisons were already there, but here we were 2.5 games into the season without a goal (though they did have a point more than deBoer did), so Vieira was 5/8 of the way to deBoer's ignominy. But in the second half of that game, the team came alive, with Conor Gallager scoring two goals, and basically being the engine room for a team that has so desperately lacked that, at least since Yohan Cabaye was at the tail end of him playing at a top level. I, as well as most other Palace fans, thoroughly enjoyed the play of Ruben Loftus-Cheek in his season at Palace (especially when played in midfield, rather than out wide, which is where Hodgson often used him), but through 10 games, Gallagher is making us forget all about Loftus-Cheek and Cabaye. Gallagher has been arguably one of the best midfielders in the league so far this season. Palace received a new investment of £87.5 million from American businessman, John Textor. The way that Gallagher has been playing, it may cost something like that to make his move permanent, that is, if Chelsea would even sell.

Ten games in Palace is sitting in 13th place, with 2 wins, 6 draws and only 2 losses (to Chelsea and Liverpool, with the Liverpool game described as the "hardest ever 3-0 win" that Jurgen Klopp ever had). If not for a few late defensive lapses that turned wins into draws, along with a difficult VAR decision against Newcastle, instead of having 12 points, Palace could have at least 18 points and be sitting in 5th. I understand that if ifs and buts were candy and nuts, we'd all have a merry Christmas, but 18 points, or even more, would not have been undeserved had you seen those games. The last match against Manchester City, a 2-0 at the Etihad, demonstrated the quality that this team has, and it seems that it believes that it has it too. Wilf Zaha said that he absolutely hated Vieira his first two weeks, as the conditioning work was that rough. But the team seems very much to be buying into the gaffer's system, and fans are genuinely enthused about the play out on the field. The high press is working, the team is playing with far more possession than under Hodgson (who relied primarily on counterattacking to score), and the mood around the team seems to be that anything is possible right now. Added to this, both Eze and Ferguson are recovering quicker than expected from their injuries, with Eze already playing U23 games. The team also got some very good news about Ferguson, as a tribunal ruled that they will only have to pay West Brom just £900k for Ferguson, instead of the original price of £8million.

Despite the impending return of Eze and Ferguson, the team does still need some additional depth. Zaha seems (we hope) content to stay at the club where he's played most of his career (he reached 50 PL goals on Saturday), the team seems to be in sound financial shape, just opened its state-of-the-art academy, and Vieira has energized with his tactics and attitude and seems to have the cachet to help bring in players who want to play and learn from a legend they grew up watching. That has put me in the odd position of rooting for Mikel Arteta to continue his recent success. Crystal Palace fans are accustomed to "Typical Palace" to describe any number of usually unsatisfying outcomes, but it would be peak "typical Palace" to have so much early success that Arsenal comes in and swipes him away before the team has the opportunity to truly advance with him. The optimism though surrounding the team, at least among fans anyway, is as high as I remember it, with the possible exception of the Pardew mirage at the beginning of the 2014-15 campaign, when Palace was 5th (I think) as late as December maybe...and that season ended with a relegation fight, so we know not to get too ahead of ourselves. But these are good times for the team and fans. Although many (most?) pundits picked Crystal Palace for relegation this year (though in fairness, most did so before their late player acquisitions), at this point anyway, it seems pretty clear that there are at least three teams worse than them in the league. I feel good enough to have started this thread! Hopefully that's not a sign of the impending apocalypse, but I'll enjoy it in the meantime.
 
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candylandriots

unkempt
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I heard some amazing stats on the Five Year Plan podcast today comparing Palace so far this season to 11 games in last season. Going off of memory (this year/last year).

XG created 13-9
XG allowed 11-17
121 shots vs 102
5026 passes vs like 4200
etc.

This team has transformed itself with a lot of new players, a new style and a new manager. It's been nothing short of remarkable. It's especially noteworthy given that the quality of opposition they have played in their first 11 games this year.

They also had serious kudos for Roy keeping it all together over the last few years without the investment in the squad, which allowed them to invest in these new players and get the new academy up and running now. They really have run a gauntlet, and appear to be both lucky and good so far.
 

luckiestman

Son of the Harpy
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Jul 15, 2005
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I’m happy to read this. I think I mentioned once I got to go to see Palace in Jan 2019 and it was a blast. Some season ticket holder gave my brother in law pretty good seats so I was talking to some people that had been going to games for decades and I liked these guys a lot.
 

candylandriots

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I’m happy to read this. I think I mentioned once I got to go to see Palace in Jan 2019 and it was a blast. Some season ticket holder gave my brother in law pretty good seats so I was talking to some people that had been going to games for decades and I liked these guys a lot.
And I'm happy to read this. It's a really fun club to root for, and the whole South London angle is such a contrast from the other clubs from the area. Given the diversity of South London, I think it's particularly important (and exciting) to see the success that a black manager is having there. I think that Palace would lock Vieira into a 10-year contract right now if they could.
 

Mr Jums

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I was looking through the Help Me Pick a Premier League team thread as I wanted to start following more international soccer and your post got me interested in the team and I've really enjoyed the bit I've been able to see so far this year. I'm curious both your impressions of how the season has gone so far and if you have any recommendations in terms of podcasts/websites/sources of information to learn more about the team.
 

candylandriots

unkempt
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I was looking through the Help Me Pick a Premier League team thread as I wanted to start following more international soccer and your post got me interested in the team and I've really enjoyed the bit I've been able to see so far this year. I'm curious both your impressions of how the season has gone so far and if you have any recommendations in terms of podcasts/websites/sources of information to learn more about the team.
Wow, this kind of made my night! Welcome aboard. But please be aware -- this is not for the faint of heart.

I've been really impressed by the team so far this year. They have made a number of smart acquisitions, Vieira has been much better than expected and the team has been (finally) fun to watch. I have nothing but respect for Roy Hodgson and what he did with the little he was given, but it got to be a slog watching them. That's not all Roy's fault, but it is exciting to see some different styles and an attacking outlook this year.

As far as Palace resources, I can't recommend the Five Year Plan podcast enough. It's really, really good (especially if you luck out and get a week with Andy Street - someone who would fit in well on SoSH with his focus on stats, and he's naturally, a lawyer.) I've learned a lot about the sport from listening to that every week, and I think you'll find it interesting. They usually cover the previous match, a story from The Athletic, discuss questions from listeners, and then a preview of the upcoming match.

Feel free to ask any questions to me here, and hope that this doesn't induce too much nausea. Best of luck.
 

Mr Jums

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Wow, this kind of made my night! Welcome aboard. But please be aware -- this is not for the faint of heart.
Man, you weren't kidding.

So the game versus West Ham was the first game I was able to sit and watch from beginning to end and boy, so many feelings. Top 5-6 team, no Zaha, no Gallagher, so my hopes were not high. And obviously seeing two goals scored in the span of 2 minutes with a 3-0 deficit at the half was... not ideal.

And yet, if I hadn't seen the score and just seen the play, I would have thought Crystal Palace was the better team. Both the commentators and the play by play I was following in the Guardian commented on hard they played, they had two shots off the post, Guaita had an amazing double save about 13 minutes in, they played really hard the entire way, controlled time of possession , had 3x as many shots (not sure how important that is in soccer but it explains why they appeared to me to be doing so well) and of course had the very spirited comeback. If they had ended up tying it on Mateta's spin kick right near the end I would have lost my shit.

In short, it was a highly entertaining game and such a fun club to watch who didn't give up despite missing some of their best players against a much more highly ranked team. I am all in.
 

Mr Jums

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Am I a bad person for wanting Newcastle to go down (no offense to our Toon Army here)? Because besides the obvious, this (making a strong play for Eze) makes me really want them to go down:

https://metro.co.uk/2022/02/17/newcastle-united-confident-of-completing-45m-deal-for-crystal-palace-winger-eberechi-eze-16120692/
No, no you are not. And now I have an active reason to root against them which is always a delight because hate watching a team is one of the greatest joys in sports.

My understanding is that the significance of this is that it would make it more likely for players from Botafogo to be on loan to Palace or to be on the team in some capacity? Again my knowledge of the workings of the football system is limited.

I'm also glad you posted because I've been meaning to do so. I can't tell if I like or hate what I've seen of the season so far. I keep watching Palace go up against these monster teams (West Ham, Liverpool, Chelsea) and one of two things happens. They fall behind by 3, or they play them really hard and even to slightly better with some bad ball luck for ~60-70 minutes before falling behind. And every time the commentators, the recaps, and my own eyes tell me the same thing, Palace is giving this team all it can handle, they're not giving up when they're behind, they're just missing some shots to put things away. On the one hand, it's very exciting to root for the underdog and to see true promise, on the other it's frustration to so consistently watch promise and so consistently see it not quite break through.

Of course, now that I typed all that up, I've decided I actually kind of love it. It's painful but in an exciting and hopeful way.
 

candylandriots

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@Mr Jums I think that would be the implication of the arrangement with Botafogo. It’s an encouraging development.

It’s been fun to watch (especially compared to the last few years - I have enormous respect for Roy Hodgson, but watch how his Watford team likely plays today and contrast with Vieira’s style), but there is a potential and excitement about advancing from this spot in the table instead of feeling rooted to it. Your eyes don’t deceive you. It’s a good team, but prone to the kind of occasional mental lapse or mistake that will crush your soul (and sometimes your PL status).

These two games against Watford and Burnley are important for keeping that status. I’d think 4 points from these games, and it’s pretty much assured. 6 and I totally sleep easy. Even two takes two games off the board for two teams that need every opportunity. One or zero starts me getting very anxious.

And to leave Palace nation on a typical note, apparently Olise is on the radar of the big boys.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/football/article-10538057/Arsenal-Chelsea-Bayern-Munich-interested-Crystal-Palaces-rising-star-Michael-Olise.html

People smarter than me: how much is Olise worth do you think? He represents France internationally, but was born in London (does that make a difference?), just turned 20 and is signed through 2026. Transfermarkt has him at only €18 million, which seems absurdly low.

I’d prefer they hold onto him, but it could be tough.