Euro Quarterfinals Game Thread

Zomp

Moderator
Moderator
SoSH Member
Aug 28, 2006
14,013
The Slums of Shaolin
Today: Portugal v Poland 3pm Eastern
Friday: Wales v Belgium 3pm Eastern
Saturday: Italy vs Germany 3pm Eastern
Sunday: France vs Iceland 3pm Eastern


I'll go with Portugal, Belgium, Germany, France.
 

Dummy Hoy

Angry Pissbum
SoSH Member
Jul 22, 2006
8,479
Falmouth
I worry today's game takes on the look of Portugal-Croatia. I think the Polish attack and their quick passing and switches could shred the Portuguese back line, but conversely CR and Nani will have enough speed to get behind the Polish back line. I'll assume both coaches tighten up their respective sphincters given the gravity of the situation and focus on clogging everything up. Best thing that could happen would be an early goal either way.

I think Poland is better defensively, and while Portugal did a great job shutting down Croatia, they had a very specific area of the field to shut down (Modric and the middle) whereas Poland will spread things out and switch sides of the field. Poland takes this, hopefully 3-2 not 1-0.

Belgium and France will both face stiffer challenges than expected but will prevail, but I'm not calling the other game. Best team in the world against a well oiled machine functioning at its peak. I mean, Italy kicked the fuck out of Spain. No clue, but I'm very excited to watch it.
 

sachmoney

Member
SoSH Member
Jun 14, 2008
9,513
Tim Thomas' Bunker
Poland's defense has been extremely stingy. They didn't allow a goal in the Group Stage including against Germany. It took a wonder goal from Shaqiri to break through that. Fabianski has been wonderful deputizing Szczesny, though it looks like Woj is back for this game.

It's been Lewandowski and Milik that have struggled. Actually, I've been thoroughly disappointed with Milik's play. He has had many opportunities to finish, but his finishing has left much to be desired. While I don't think that Lewandowski has been great, I don't think that he has had the same opportunities to finish as Milik. Furthermore, I've seen him drop into midfield a lot away from goal. That's not where you want him playing.

I do think that if Poland can create as many changes as Croatia, they will be able to win this game. I've got Poland.

My semifinalists: Poland, Belgium, Germany, France

I've liked Italy a lot this tourney, but I'm not sure they can scrape together enough against the Germans. This is legitimately the first tournament that I've found myself rooting for Italy in games. I'm not rooting for them against Germany, but it's been a strange experience.

I'd love to see the Iceland Cinderella story continue, but France is the first team that they're playing with real quality...

Love to see Wales advance too - should add that Vertonghen may be out since he twisted his ankle in training.
 
Last edited:

Zososoxfan

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 30, 2009
9,644
South of North
Italy-Germany will be appointment TV. Italy is the most well-coached team in the tournament, but Germany is clearly more talented and while not quite up to Italy's level of organization, likely comes in at second among teams with that level of talent - i.e. I'm willing to admit that Wales, Iceland, and others may be more organized, but among teams with world class talent, Italy is best-organized and Germany is second IMO.
 

SilasCL

New Member
Jan 22, 2009
132
Big trouble for Belgian defense. Vermaelen is suspended and reports are out that Vertonghen badly sprained his ankle in practice and is out for four months.

Their backline is likely to be:
J. Lukaku - Denayer - Alderweireld - Meunier

Wilmots could shake things up and stick a more experienced midfielder back there but I don't think he will do anything that unusual. I still think they'll beat Wales but that is a really shaky back four against some quality attackers in Bale, Ramsey, Robson-Kanu.
 

Infield Infidel

teaching korea american
SoSH Member
Jul 15, 2005
11,463
Meeting Place, Canada
Not sure they can move a midfielder back, because they only brought 4. Along with 8 forwards (if one thinks England taking 5 forwards was bad, yeesh)

I saw that Ritchie De Laet hasn't played for Belgium since 2009, is he persona non grata? He'd be useful with all the defenders out
 

Gunfighter 09

wants to be caribou ken
Moderator
SoSH Member
Jul 31, 2005
8,553
KPWT
I wonder if that means Dembele will play in front of the centerbacks to protect them.
 

teddykgb

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 16, 2005
11,538
Chelmsford, MA
Poland's defense has been extremely stingy. They didn't allow a goal in the Group Stage including against Germany. It took a wonder goal from Shaqiri to break through that. Fabianski has been wonderful deputizing Szczesny, though it looks like Woj is back for this game.

It's been Lewandowski and Milik that have struggled. Actually, I've been thoroughly disappointed with Milik's play. He has had many opportunities to finish, but his finishing has left much to be desired. While I don't think that Lewandowski has been great, I don't think that he has had the same opportunities to finish as Milik. Furthermore, I've seen him drop into midfield a lot away from goal. That's not where you want him playing.

I do think that if Poland can create as many changes as Croatia, they will be able to win this game. I've got Poland.

My semifinalists: Poland, Belgium, Germany, France

I've liked Italy a lot this tourney, but I'm not sure they can scrape together enough against the Germans. This is legitimately the first tournament that I've found myself rooting for Italy in games. I'm not rooting for them against Germany, but it's been a strange experience.

I'd love to see the Iceland Cinderella story continue, but France is the first team that they're playing with real quality...

Love to see Wales advance too - should add that Vertonghen may be out since he twisted his ankle in training.
Milik has been devastatingly wasteful. He's fluffed so many chances. Portugal have struggled to create chances against weaker back lines. I'm rooting for Portugal but if I had to bet I'd bet Poland wins today
 

Dummy Hoy

Angry Pissbum
SoSH Member
Jul 22, 2006
8,479
Falmouth
Not sure they can move a midfielder back, because they only brought 4. Along with 8 forwards (if one thinks England taking 5 forwards was bad, yeesh)

I saw that Ritchie De Laet hasn't played for Belgium since 2009, is he persona non grata? He'd be useful with all the defenders out
I'd say that depending on the formation, DeBruyne, Hazard, Carrasco, and Mertens could be considered midfielders.

Big loss of Vertonghen...with Vermaelen out I'd guess you see two of Danayer, Lukaku, and Ciman.
 

Nick Kaufman

protector of human kind from spoilers
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Aug 2, 2003
13,995
A Lost Time
I think Portugal have been unlucky against their group opponents and they actually played pretty well. OTOH, said group opponents were pretty weak. So, I don't know what's going to happen, but if someone is looking at their three group draws and their tough/lucky win against Croatia -which did as a result of a specific defense-oriented plan- and they think they re not that good, I think it's a mistaken view.
 

BaseballJones

slappy happy
SoSH Member
Oct 1, 2015
26,967
He looked a step slow against Spain. It's a bigger issue because Thiago Motta is suspended.
Yeah, that position is going to be a major step down for the Azzurri. Plus, Germany is simply better. They have to be the favorites.

But............

Italy is still going to be a very tough out.
 

Morgan's Magic Snowplow

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 2, 2006
23,240
Philadelphia
Conte is now without his entire first choice midfield - De Rossi, Marchisio, Verratti.

I like Poland in today's game. Portugal hasn't been convincing at all so far. Hopefully we get an early goal that opens up the game as otherwise I envision a cagey 1-0 type match.
 

Ale Xander

Hamilton
SoSH Member
Oct 31, 2013
80,887
Today: Portugal v Poland 3pm Eastern
Friday: Wales v Belgium 3pm Eastern
Saturday: Italy vs Germany 3pm Eastern
Sunday: France vs Iceland 3pm Eastern


I'll go with Portugal, Belgium, Germany, France.
Portugal 2-0
Belgium 3-1
Germany 3-0
Iceland 1-1, penalties
 
Last edited:

tbrep

Member
SoSH Member
Apr 26, 2012
645
I think Portugal-Poland may end up 1-1 and head to penalties.
France should win comfortably.
Belgium has the quality to beat Wales but they have to be careful not to get caught out on the break.
Germany-Italy: I have no clue.
 

SoxFanInCali

has the rich, deep voice of a god
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Jun 3, 2005
15,955
California. Duh.
Ronaldo's got nearly 40 yards to get the ball up over the wall and back down, and hits it into the wall chest-high.

Never change, Ronnie.
 

Zososoxfan

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 30, 2009
9,644
South of North
Poland looks very organized so far. When the ball is deepest in their defensive zone, they almost drop into 5 or even 6 across the back. When the ball is in the middle third, they are in a typical 4-4-2 with 2 banks of 4. Tactical cam FTW.
 

Cellar-Door

Member
SoSH Member
Aug 1, 2006
37,964
Ronaldo in major tourneys:
0-41 on shots from DFK. He's a terrible free kick taker that everyone forgets about because he scored 2 good ones in his 10+ year career.
 

teddykgb

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 16, 2005
11,538
Chelmsford, MA
this has been more open than i expected. Portugal's attack remains the same. Wide and cross to Ronaldo. They need to play to feet and try to work a goal but don't seem interested in learning that lesson
 

tbrep

Member
SoSH Member
Apr 26, 2012
645
Unlucky deflection but Portugal deserved that goal - could easily have had a penalty few minutes ago when Ronaldo was pushed to the ground going for a header.
 

tbrep

Member
SoSH Member
Apr 26, 2012
645
Ronaldo's reactions when he feels he's open and been missed are hilarious
 

Cellar-Door

Member
SoSH Member
Aug 1, 2006
37,964
He's been getting bossed around a bit by some Poles with Old Man Strength, but he is comfoable on the ball and dynamic in the final third. Man U should take a shot at signing him.
Considering he just moved to a better club than Man U I really doubt he's going to be interested.
 

soxfan121

JAG
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Dec 22, 2002
23,043
Ronaldo's reactions when he feels he's open and been missed are hilarious
I know we agreed to call it The Chrissy Fit Award, but can anyone else really win it? No one, no one is more consistent. The man brings the whine on every ball in his area code.
 

teddykgb

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 16, 2005
11,538
Chelmsford, MA
i can't believe they didn't fix McManaman's hair during the commercial break. Maybe the production crew just hates him like everyone else