I am away so I will just be able to provide a quick overview. Take the link to see the data.
FO's Playoff odds through week 16: http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds
Pats make the AFCCG in 73.6% of the sims, win the AFCCG in 45.7% of the sims and win the SB 25.9% of the time.
The likely playoff scenario based on their sims:
AFC:
1) NE 100%
2) Den 96.7%
3) Pit 69.1% (Cincy @ 27.7%)
4) Indy 100%
5) Cincy 69.1% (Pit @ 30.9%)
6) Balt 54.8% (SD @ 32.3%)
NFC:
1) Sea 69.8%(GB @ 21.6%, Det @ 7.9%)
2) GB 50% (Sea and Dal @ 22.5%, Det @ 20.5%)
3) Dal 77.5% (Sea @ 22.5%)
4) Atl 66.8% (Car @ 33.2%)
5) Ari 92.3% (Sea @ 7.7%)
6) Det 72.6% (GB @ 28.4%)
FO's DVOA through week 16: http://www.footballoutsiders.com/dvoa-ratings/2014/week-16-dvoa-ratings
Pats (24.9%) are 3rd behind Denver (29.2%) and Seattle (28.9%) in Total DVOA but well ahead in Weighted (NE = 35.8%, Sea = 29.1%, Den = 24.3%). Offense, Defense and Special Teams are all ranked in the top ten (6th, 9th and 6th respectively). They are the only team in the NFL with this distinction. Balt is close @ 11th, 8th and 1st. Both Sea and Den STs are in the bottom half of the league.
FO's Playoff odds through week 16: http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds
Pats make the AFCCG in 73.6% of the sims, win the AFCCG in 45.7% of the sims and win the SB 25.9% of the time.
The likely playoff scenario based on their sims:
AFC:
1) NE 100%
2) Den 96.7%
3) Pit 69.1% (Cincy @ 27.7%)
4) Indy 100%
5) Cincy 69.1% (Pit @ 30.9%)
6) Balt 54.8% (SD @ 32.3%)
NFC:
1) Sea 69.8%(GB @ 21.6%, Det @ 7.9%)
2) GB 50% (Sea and Dal @ 22.5%, Det @ 20.5%)
3) Dal 77.5% (Sea @ 22.5%)
4) Atl 66.8% (Car @ 33.2%)
5) Ari 92.3% (Sea @ 7.7%)
6) Det 72.6% (GB @ 28.4%)
FO's DVOA through week 16: http://www.footballoutsiders.com/dvoa-ratings/2014/week-16-dvoa-ratings
Pats (24.9%) are 3rd behind Denver (29.2%) and Seattle (28.9%) in Total DVOA but well ahead in Weighted (NE = 35.8%, Sea = 29.1%, Den = 24.3%). Offense, Defense and Special Teams are all ranked in the top ten (6th, 9th and 6th respectively). They are the only team in the NFL with this distinction. Balt is close @ 11th, 8th and 1st. Both Sea and Den STs are in the bottom half of the league.
