I Believe in Time Lord...Why Can't You?

Koufax

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Piling on here - and his passes are generally excellent. Unlike the passes of his teammates, which often require the receiver to go off balance to catch them or at least to move their hands away from a shooting position. He ain't Rondo, but he's the closest they've got.
 

MyDaughterLovesTomGordon

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Piling on here - and his passes are generally excellent. Unlike the passes of his teammates, which often require the receiver to go off balance to catch them or at least to move their hands away from a shooting position. He ain't Rondo, but he's the closest they've got.
Tatum is a straight-up bad passer. His lobs to TL seem almost intentionally terrible, like he's fucking with him.
 

TripleOT

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TL is a quick screener up high, and we know how much perimeter players like Kemba and apparently Fournier like taking threes off that pick, either with the dribble or a TL handoff.

When he gets the ball up high, his defender is usually sagging off him, which gives him great sight lines and passing lanes to spot up shooters. He drove once against KO for a contested layup. I’d love to see him put the ball on the deck once and drive to the rim, but he just doesn’t seem comfortable doing that yet. Maybe he comes back from the summer with that in his bag.

TL is showing some emotion on the court now, which is great. He obviously took the matchup with Christian Wood personally, and while Wood’s statline of 19/10/3/2 looks ok, it took him 16 shots to get his points. TL’s 20/9/8/2 without missing a shot was sterling. CW minus19, TL plus22. No turnovers for TL, despite handling the ball a ton.

Looking forward to how he plays against the Hornets, with Zeller, Biyombo, and PJ Washington as bigs
 

EddieYost

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I imagine Tatum hollering “right back” after every pass to TL.
 

TripleOT

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I imagine Tatum hollering “right back” after every pass to TL.
Tatum’s apg has gone up around 50% each of his four seasons. He’s never going to be a Doncic or LBJ passing-wise, but showing improvement each season is encouraging. A fully developed Tatum should average 6+ apg.

For comparison, Kawhi didn’t get more than 4 apg until his ninth season. JT did it in his fourth. Paul George never averaged the 4.3 apg that Tatum had this season in his first 10 years in the league. He’s at 5.5 assists this season
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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Tatum is a straight-up bad passer. His lobs to TL seem almost intentionally terrible, like he's fucking with him.
The Tatum attempted lob and the GW attempted lob were probably the two worst attempts I have seen in basketball and that includes college. I mean I've seen lobs that are several feet offline vertically (like over the backboard) but I've never seen one - much less two - that were several feet offline horizontally. I mean Grant almost threw his lob to the FT line.
TL is showing some emotion on the court now, which is great. He obviously took the matchup with Christian Wood personally, and while Wood’s statline of 19/10/3/2 looks ok, it took him 16 shots to get his points. TL’s 20/9/8/2 without missing a shot was sterling. CW minus19, TL plus22. No turnovers for TL, despite handling the ball a ton.
Just from my eyes, Wood got most of his stats when TL wasn't in the game. He really stung Murder Kornet.
 

lovegtm

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The price tag just keeps going up: there isn’t any young, high-defensive-upside big with anything near the facilitating+court awareness.

Health is the only real question imo, and the only reason the Cs might get a discount.
 

Cesar Crespo

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One of the many appealing features of Time Lord's game is the way, when he grabs an offensive rebound and doesn't have a clear path to a basket, he immediately looks to see who's open on the perimeter and then fires the ball back out. Tristan Thompson needs some lessons in that.
I'm sure TT could improve a little but TL's court awareness isn't something that can really be taught. It's all something we've seen glimpses of but I don't think anyone envisioned a world where TL is averaging 5+ assists a game.
 

Euclis20

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The price tag just keeps going up: there isn’t any young, high-defensive-upside big with anything near the facilitating+court awareness.

Health is the only real question imo, and the only reason the Cs might get a discount.
Yup. It was fun to compare him to Capella (and in a lot of ways it's still a good comp), but since his second year Capela has averaged 1.3 assists per 36 with an assist rate of 5.9%. Since the start of last year Rob is at 3.1 assists per 36 with an assist rate of 12.6%, and obviously still improving. There is tremendous value in a big man who not only makes the smart pass quickly and consistently, but also is able to thread the needle with guys cutting to the hoop.
 

Cesar Crespo

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The price tag just keeps going up: there isn’t any young, high-defensive-upside big with anything near the facilitating+court awareness.

Health is the only real question imo, and the only reason the Cs might get a discount.
Yeah. I've been saying for awhile he's going to get closer to 4/80-4/100 than 4/40-4/60.

We can't have our cake and eat it too. Though if he's getting paid 4/100, it's probably great news.
 

NomarsFool

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He’s shown excellent passing in his prior seasons, but the volume of assists is really quite remarkable and unexpected
 

BigSoxFan

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The price tag just keeps going up: there isn’t any young, high-defensive-upside big with anything near the facilitating+court awareness.

Health is the only real question imo, and the only reason the Cs might get a discount.
Yup. He was hurt much of his first 2 years and has had to be babied a bit this year. Hopefully they can find a reasonable price and lock in an extension. If not, he has become a legit trade asset.
 

benhogan

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TL is a quick screener up high, and we know how much perimeter players like Kemba and apparently Fournier like taking threes off that pick, either with the dribble or a TL handoff.

When he gets the ball up high, his defender is usually sagging off him, which gives him great sight lines and passing lanes to spot up shooters. He drove once against KO for a contested layup. I’d love to see him put the ball on the deck once and drive to the rim, but he just doesn’t seem comfortable doing that yet. Maybe he comes back from the summer with that in his bag.

TL is showing some emotion on the court now, which is great. He obviously took the matchup with Christian Wood personally, and while Wood’s statline of 19/10/3/2 looks ok, it took him 16 shots to get his points. TL’s 20/9/8/2 without missing a shot was sterling. CW minus19, TL plus22. No turnovers for TL, despite handling the ball a ton.

Looking forward to how he plays against the Hornets, with Zeller, Biyombo, and PJ Washington as bigs
Celtics are 15-3 in games where they have 25+ assists/gm this season.

Rob's assist #s in the four (4) recent games he has started are: 6, 2, 5, 8. I imagine now that TL's playing with the starters we'll see a jump in his apg.

Just note Tristen Thompson has never had more than 3 apg for the Celtics this season. In Thompson's 655 career games (many w/ Bron, Love and Kyrie) he has never had more than 5 assists in a game.

Ball movement is something many have rightfully bitched about around here. When Tristen gets the ball, with his man playing off him since he can't shoot, he puts his head down and tries to bull rush him. OR when TT gets an offensive board he immediately goes back up with it. So as pedestrian as a shooter TT is, he's probably an even worse ball mover.
 

lovegtm

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Yup. He was hurt much of his first 2 years and has had to be babied a bit this year. Hopefully they can find a reasonable price and lock in an extension. If not, he has become a legit trade asset.
As Cesar notes, if he looks likely to get 4/80+, he’s good enough that you pay it. We’re already seeing with Fournier that you can save money other places by getting good wings who aren’t stars, and can do similar at PG going forward.

I predict he’ll sign an extension this offseason, at Sabonis/Turner money.
 

BigSoxFan

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As Cesar notes, if he looks likely to get 4/80+, he’s good enough that you pay it. We’re already seeing with Fournier that you can save money other places by getting good wings who aren’t stars, and can do similar at PG going forward.

I predict he’ll sign an extension this offseason, at Sabonis/Turner money.
Yeah, I want him back at almost any price in that range. The real challenge will be dumping Kemba this offseason. I just don’t see many landing spots but you obviously just need 1.
 

benhogan

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The price tag just keeps going up: there isn’t any young, high-defensive-upside big with anything near the facilitating+court awareness.

Health is the only real question imo, and the only reason the Cs might get a discount.
Agreed, his injury history will suppress the size of the contract offer. Since Rob hasn't made big money yet, that may also drive him to take 4yr guaranteed money

Nerlens Noel is a cautionary tale for all these Centers that have an injury history that want to bet on themselves.

TL's efficiency numbers make a Turner contract look like good value
 

BigSoxFan

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Agreed, his injury history will suppress the size of the contract offer. Since Rob hasn't made big money yet, that may also drive him to take 4yr guaranteed money

Nerlens Noel is a cautionary tale for all these Centers that have an injury history that want to bet on themselves.

TL's efficiency numbers make a Turner contract look like good value
It also makes passing on Turner a good decision. Would much rather have Fournier now that we know what TL has become.
 

bigq

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In February Robert Williams averaged 6.9 points, 5.4 boards, 1.1 assists, 1 steal and 1.1 blocks in 15.8 minutes per game while shooting .688 from the floor. I remember being excited about his emergence in an otherwise unremarkable month for the team.

In March he put up 10 points, 8.8 boards, 2.8 assists, 0.7 steals, and 2.9 blocks in 23 minutes per game while shooting .714 from the floor. Of course per game rates go up with more minutes however he appears to be steadily improving in all facets of the game.

Can’t wait to see what April will bring.
 

Jimbodandy

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Congratulations to those that more or less saw this coming. Some of you were literally barking for more Time Lord weeks ago.

I didn't expect him to plug the holes in his rotational or help defense this quickly. But not only has he done so, he's basically another quarterback there.

And while he was always a lob freak and excellent distributor, he's now comfortable enough that he's taking advantage when the defense ignores him or he has a mismatch down low. And his passing has somehow even improved from very good to amazing.

His motor is high on every possession. And his most important ability (availability) has improved exponentially. Increased utilization has improved him, not exposed flaws.

Fucking nice to be so wrong about a guy.
 

lovegtm

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Despite the “omg Tatum can never throw lobs” hand-wringing, he has a few nice ones in that TL highlight reel.
 

128

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I'm sure TT could improve a little but TL's court awareness isn't something that can really be taught. It's all something we've seen glimpses of but I don't think anyone envisioned a world where TL is averaging 5+ assists a game.
It's unrealistic to think TT will become an above-average passer. I just want him to kick the ball out when he grabs an offensive rebound and finds his path to the basket blocked. He's not tall enough or explosive enough to finish in most of those situations.
 

benhogan

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https://www.celticsblog.com/2021/4/3/22365411/boston-celtics-robert-williams-dominates-against-houston-rockets-brad-stevens-tristan-thompson

It's unrealistic to think TT will become an above-average passer. I just want him to kick the ball out when he grabs an offensive rebound and finds his path to the basket blocked. He's not tall enough or explosive enough to finish in most of those situations.
old dog/new tricks

if he wasn't kicking it out of the paint to Bron, JR, Korver, Kyrie, Love... he won't be sending it out to our group
 

lovegtm

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benhogan

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TT is what he is. He’s a competent backup center, whom a lot of teams would want for that role, who will probably be salary filler.

TL is one of the most promising young centers in the league, health permitting. I don’t think it’s super relevant to compare them.
Yep, hopefully, TL is our starting Center that gets at least 28mpg going forward (in tight games).

Obviously his game is enhanced playing with the starters, and not the bench, since he's a plus passer
 

Imbricus

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I've always liked Rob a lot. I thought the complaints about him getting lost on defense were overblown. Sometimes he was sagging off to help protect around the rim. The conventional wisdom is that it takes longer for centers to develop -- say three or four years -- so, by that calculus, we're just starting to see what he can be.

I think the other one that this board is too negative about is Pritchard. The consensus seems to be his ceiling isn't that high. I think he's got a lot more room on the upside. What worries me most about him is how he develops defensively. I've been watching him closely on offense though, and he's the kind of guy you can run an offense through. Unselfish, quick passer, probes the defense, doesn't commit too many turnovers, smart. But he's a rookie, and so Brad's not going to give him too much responsibility yet. I'd like to revisit the Pritchard predictions in four years.
 

Cesar Crespo

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TT is what he is. He’s a competent backup center, whom a lot of teams would want for that role, who will probably be salary filler.

TL is one of the most promising young centers in the league, health permitting. I don’t think it’s super relevant to compare them.
TL is turning into our version of Bam (less scoring, more deflections). Granted they are the same age but when players take the leap, they take the leap.

I'm not saying he's Bam, but I think he's going to be closer to Bam than TT by the end of the season.
 

Jimbodandy

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I've always liked Rob a lot. I thought the complaints about him getting lost on defense were overblown. Sometimes he was sagging off to help protect around the rim. The conventional wisdom is that it takes longer for centers to develop -- say three or four years -- so, by that calculus, we're just starting to see what he can be.

I think the other one that this board is too negative about is Pritchard. The consensus seems to be his ceiling isn't that high. I think he's got a lot more room on the upside. What worries me most about him is how he develops defensively. I've been watching him closely on offense though, and he's the kind of guy you can run an offense through. Unselfish, quick passer, probes the defense, doesn't commit too many turnovers, smart. But he's a rookie, and so Brad's not going to give him too much responsibility yet. I'd like to revisit the Pritchard predictions in four years.
Yeah PP is going to be downgraded by the tools scouts because his physical traits aren't great. His brain and shot seem fine, but crafty only gets you so far at the NBA level. I do think that we're underestimating his ceiling as a group, but he has to build up his strength a lot and improve his first step before he is an impact guy IMO. Some of the guys on this board could back him down now. He's like a fucking scarecrow.
 

Cesar Crespo

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I've always liked Rob a lot. I thought the complaints about him getting lost on defense were overblown. Sometimes he was sagging off to help protect around the rim. The conventional wisdom is that it takes longer for centers to develop -- say three or four years -- so, by that calculus, we're just starting to see what he can be.

I think the other one that this board is too negative about is Pritchard. The consensus seems to be his ceiling isn't that high. I think he's got a lot more room on the upside. What worries me most about him is how he develops defensively. I've been watching him closely on offense though, and he's the kind of guy you can run an offense through. Unselfish, quick passer, probes the defense, doesn't commit too many turnovers, smart. But he's a rookie, and so Brad's not going to give him too much responsibility yet. I'd like to revisit the Pritchard predictions in four years.
What do you think his upside is? It's not FVV. I still don't see anything more than decent bench player/fringe starter. Maybe on a crappy team he puts up 15 points, 6 assists and 4 boards in 30+ minutes of play.

Chances are if you think the whole board is being too negative on PP, it's you who is being too positive. You could end up being right but I see a guy who is going to put up something like 10/4/4/1 on decent shooting and ok defense. 25 minutes a night for a long time.

edit: Maybe his ceiling is higher but I think decent bench player is by far his most likely outcome.
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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SSS alert but the Cs are 3-7 when TL does not play, and the only three teams they've beaten are: ORL, TOR, and WAS.

I think the other one that this board is too negative about is Pritchard. The consensus seems to be his ceiling isn't that high. I think he's got a lot more room on the upside. What worries me most about him is how he develops defensively. I've been watching him closely on offense though, and he's the kind of guy you can run an offense through. Unselfish, quick passer, probes the defense, doesn't commit too many turnovers, smart. But he's a rookie, and so Brad's not going to give him too much responsibility yet. I'd like to revisit the Pritchard predictions in four years.
Are you kidding? I'm pretty sure I saw "HOF" and "Pritchard" in the same sentence in December. :)

Seriously, he's a solid rotation piece which is a win for where he was picked. He has a lot to learn and I think he will. He'll also gain some strength physically. However, the real question is whether he'll be able to play 30 mpg for a contending team or whether he'll max out as a career backup.
 

lovegtm

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TL is turning into our version of Bam (less scoring, more deflections). Granted they are the same age but when players take the leap, they take the leap.

I'm not saying he's Bam, but I think he's going to be closer to Bam than TT by the end of the season.
That’s a really interesting comp in terms of high passing ability from the big spot.
 

Cesar Crespo

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That’s a really interesting comp in terms of high passing ability from the big spot.
It used to be a pretty rare skill but it's becoming more in more common (still relatively rare). It makes sense given how the NBA has evolved. For bigs who can't shoot, TL is ideal offensively for today's Game. He can get the offensive rebound and dunk/tip it in for easy baskets. When the basket isn't easy, he can pass it to a teammate for an open 3. He's also perfect for this team because it struggles with ball movement. The team has missed Al Horford in this regard.

I've had to adjust my ceiling on TL a few times. I knew he had a decent passing game but I didn't think he'd be one of the 5-6 best passing bigs in the NBA. I'm really bullish on him. In some ways, I wish the C's would have kept playing him 15 minute a game to suppress his value for an extension this summer. I knew once he started playing 25+ minutes a game, his price tag would go up considerably.

I'm not sure he gets there, but I could see him emerging as the true 3rd piece to pair with JT and JB. That would be something else because at the beginning of the season I never envisioned him being able to impact the game enough to be the 3rd as a non stretch big. I also thought the 3rd piece would come from outside the organization or that it would be AN or RL.

Now I'm dreaming of a TL who is playing 30 minutes a night putting up lines of 16/12/6/2.5/1.0 on 70% shooting and playing elite defense.

Seriously though, TL's 1-5% outcome is ridiculously high.
 

slamminsammya

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I know this isn't very rational but the success of Timelord makes me equally upset that Danny spent a draft pick on a classic low ceiling guy in Grant Williams.
 

Cesar Crespo

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His TO rate has also dropped a lot the last month. It was at close to 25.0% for the season, now it's at 15.1%. His assist rate was close to 10.5% for the season, now it's at 14.0%.

It's fun to watch a player make the leap.
 

luckiestman

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Is PP, MS, JB, JT, TL one of the best homegrown team that could be put on the court in the NBA? What is the competition? Nuggets
 

Imbricus

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What do you think his upside is? It's not FVV.
Well, okay. You started it. :)

Seriously, I don't want to hijack the Williams thread too much. Just briefly: I'm not a fan of the FVV comparison. Still ...

PP first year (age 23): 45.6% FG, 41.4% 3P, 57.2% eFG, 87.5% FT
FVV first year (age 22): 35.1% FG, 37.9% 3P, 40.1% eFG, 81.8% FT

He suffers a bit on other stats (per 36):
PP first year: 4.0 TRB, 3.6 assists, 1 steal, 1.6 turnovers, 13.2 points
FVV first year: 5.1 TRB, 4.3 assists, 2 steal, 1.8 turnovers, 13.1 points

So it looks like first-year PP is a better shooter, FVV a better defender/rebounder. His upside? I think starter for a good team, and a bit more (goes off for a 35-, 40-point game? becomes a key cog in the offense?) Doesn't mean he gets there, but I think there's a decent chance. Let's see where he is in 4 years. Okay, back to Rob, who we all agree Danny should sign in the off season. :)

Edit: to fix percentages.
 
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lovegtm

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It used to be a pretty rare skill but it's becoming more in more common (still relatively rare). It makes sense given how the NBA has evolved. For bigs who can't shoot, TL is ideal offensively for today's Game. He can get the offensive rebound and dunk/tip it in for easy baskets. When the basket isn't easy, he can pass it to a teammate for an open 3. He's also perfect for this team because it struggles with ball movement. The team has missed Al Horford in this regard.

I've had to adjust my ceiling on TL a few times. I knew he had a decent passing game but I didn't think he'd be one of the 5-6 best passing bigs in the NBA. I'm really bullish on him. In some ways, I wish the C's would have kept playing him 15 minute a game to suppress his value for an extension this summer. I knew once he started playing 25+ minutes a game, his price tag would go up considerably.

I'm not sure he gets there, but I could see him emerging as the true 3rd piece to pair with JT and JB. That would be something else because at the beginning of the season I never envisioned him being able to impact the game enough to be the 3rd as a non stretch big. I also thought the 3rd piece would come from outside the organization or that it would be AN or RL.

Now I'm dreaming of a TL who is playing 30 minutes a night putting up lines of 16/12/6/2.5/1.0 on 70% shooting and playing elite defense.

Seriously though, TL's 1-5% outcome is ridiculously high.
Yup, when a young guy really pops, you need to put aside earlier plans and just let it happen.
 

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It used to be a pretty rare skill but it's becoming more in more common (still relatively rare). It makes sense given how the NBA has evolved. For bigs who can't shoot, TL is ideal offensively for today's Game. He can get the offensive rebound and dunk/tip it in for easy baskets. When the basket isn't easy, he can pass it to a teammate for an open 3. He's also perfect for this team because it struggles with ball movement. The team has missed Al Horford in this regard.

I've had to adjust my ceiling on TL a few times. I knew he had a decent passing game but I didn't think he'd be one of the 5-6 best passing bigs in the NBA. I'm really bullish on him. In some ways, I wish the C's would have kept playing him 15 minute a game to suppress his value for an extension this summer. I knew once he started playing 25+ minutes a game, his price tag would go up considerably.

I'm not sure he gets there, but I could see him emerging as the true 3rd piece to pair with JT and JB. That would be something else because at the beginning of the season I never envisioned him being able to impact the game enough to be the 3rd as a non stretch big. I also thought the 3rd piece would come from outside the organization or that it would be AN or RL.

Now I'm dreaming of a TL who is playing 30 minutes a night putting up lines of 16/12/6/2.5/1.0 on 70% shooting and playing elite defense.

Seriously though, TL's 1-5% outcome is ridiculously high.
NBA contract rules always confuse me. So can someone smarter than I explain RW’s contract status from the Celtics POV? Can they sign him at any number up to the Max? Are they constrained by the cap in some form? Do they have matching rights? Bird rights?
 

Lazy vs Crazy

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NBA contract rules always confuse me. So can someone smarter than I explain RW’s contract status from the Celtics POV? Can they sign him at any number up to the Max? Are they constrained by the cap in some form? Do they have matching rights? Bird rights?
He'll be a restricted free agent after next season, meaning they get the right to match any offer he signs with another team. They can pay him up to the max, but that will cause a huge luxury tax bill. The only way they wouldn't be able to match is if they do a sign and trade that season, which puts a hard cap on them.
 

lexrageorge

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NBA contract rules always confuse me. So can someone smarter than I explain RW’s contract status from the Celtics POV? Can they sign him at any number up to the Max? Are they constrained by the cap in some form? Do they have matching rights? Bird rights?
Williams is signed for one more year before he becomes restricted free agent. The Celtics can negotiate an extension this summer, however. They have Bird rights, so can sign him up to the max.
 

benhogan

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Now I'm dreaming of a TL who is playing 30 minutes a night putting up lines of 16/12/6/2.5/1.0 on 70% shooting and playing elite defense.

Seriously though, TL's 1-5% outcome is ridiculously high.
Do you think the 16/12/6/2.5/1.0 on 70% line over 30 minutes is a 1-5% chance?

To break it down:
1. He'd have to be peak Capela to get to 16/12, so that's not out of the realm of possibility since they have similar styles of play.

2. IMO he's already skilled enough to average 2.5 blocks / 1 steal / 70% shooting over 30 mpg.

3. averaging 6 ast/gm is the really tricky one. Al Horford topped at 5 ast/gm over (in 32 mpg). I guess playing with ascending Jays over the next 4 seasons could help with that number


Then again, all TL projections come with the health caveat.
 

Jakarta

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He'll be a restricted free agent after next season, meaning they get the right to match any offer he signs with another team. They can pay him up to the max, but that will cause a huge luxury tax bill. The only way they wouldn't be able to match is if they do a sign and trade that season, which puts a hard cap on them.
What is the timing around when that season begins and ends? I ask because I’m interested to see if TL’s emergence had any impact on utilizing a portion of the Hayward TPE this year. I.e., if they used it in the coming offseason on a sign and trade, would that have hard capped them and prevented them from being to match an offer sheet for TL in the following offseason?
 

lexrageorge

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What is the timing around when that season begins and ends? I ask because I’m interested to see if TL’s emergence had any impact on utilizing a portion of the Hayward TPE this year. I.e., if they used it in the coming offseason on a sign and trade, would that have hard capped them and prevented them from being to match an offer sheet for TL in the following offseason?
Williams is already under contract for 2021-22. A sign-and-trade utilizing the Hayward TPE that would hard cap the Celtics in 2021-22 season would have no impact on the Celtics being able to re-sign Williams for the 2022-23 season. Any extension would not kick in until 2022, even if done this summer.

The biggest constraint is that Marcus Smart is also UFA in 2022-23, and that is also Kemba's option year. It's all about the Ben Franklins.
 

lovegtm

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Apr 30, 2013
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Do you think the 16/12/6/2.5/1.0 on 70% line over 30 minutes is a 1-5% chance?

To break it down:
1. He'd have to be peak Capela to get to 16/12, so that's not out of the realm of possibility since they have similar styles of play.

2. IMO he's already skilled enough to average 2.5 blocks / 1 steal / 70% shooting over 30 mpg.

3. averaging 6 ast/gm is the really tricky one. Al Horford topped at 5 ast/gm over (in 32 mpg). I guess playing with ascending Jays over the next 4 seasons could help with that number


Then again, all TL projections come with the health caveat.
It’s also really hard for centers/wings to average high assists—PGs pick up a ton of cheap assists just from being primary ball handlers and passing to a guy who takes a shot, without it being a huge value add.

Obviously some superstar wings/centers do it (often they are more like point forwards), but the raw assist number is less meaningful in general.
 

benhogan

Granite Truther
SoSH Member
Nov 2, 2007
20,368
Santa Monica
I know this isn't very rational but the success of Timelord makes me equally upset that Danny spent a draft pick on a classic low ceiling guy in Grant Williams.
I think we need to write-off Grant this season. He came in out of shape and he's still waddling around with a Mrs Doubtfire bodysuit underneath his uni. He'll get another chance next year since his 3pt stroke looks legit and he's cheap. BUT the dude needs to drop 20lbs and work on his defensive footwork this summer.

Marcus Smart is also suffering from COVID-19lbs, probably why his defense has been pedestrian from day 1. Contract year Marcus will probably get in tip-top shape this summer or he's costing himself big $$$.
 

RetractableRoof

tolerates intolerance
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Dec 1, 2003
3,836
Quincy, MA
I know this isn't very rational but the success of Timelord makes me equally upset that Danny spent a draft pick on a classic low ceiling guy in Grant Williams.
I think for Grant, it was where he was drafted and building an inexpensive high IQ support piece low floor guy. I think Brad/Ainge view Grant a bit higher than most posters here as well.
 

Cesar Crespo

79
SoSH Member
Dec 22, 2002
21,588
Do you think the 16/12/6/2.5/1.0 on 70% line over 30 minutes is a 1-5% chance?

To break it down:
1. He'd have to be peak Capela to get to 16/12, so that's not out of the realm of possibility since they have similar styles of play.

2. IMO he's already skilled enough to average 2.5 blocks / 1 steal / 70% shooting over 30 mpg.

3. averaging 6 ast/gm is the really tricky one. Al Horford topped at 5 ast/gm over (in 32 mpg). I guess playing with ascending Jays over the next 4 seasons could help with that number


Then again, all TL projections come with the health caveat.
The 1-5% is hoping for him to become a Point Center.