Kemba 2021: The Jour-knee Begins

Cesar Crespo

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Yeah, the best strategy for Kemba is simple...



Kemba isn't opting out because you bench him, he'll just demand a buyout, and if you don't give it to him the whole league including your stars and almost as importantly every agent, will think you're an unreasonable asshole.

Kemba got hurt. That sucks, but trying to bully him into not picking up his option is such a violation of norms that it truly far more than something like IT in giving a negative perception. It would send a signal of..... this is a clown franchise, never ever sign here if you can help it, if you can't, get out as soon as possible.
Have him come off the bench for 25-30 minutes a game. Have him demand a trade and when no one wants him, you can buy him out for the 21/22 season. You can't buy him out of a season he hasn't opted in to yet (22/23). And if he opts into it while demanding a trade or buy out, he's the one who will look unreasonable. How bad does he really want out? The cards are in his hands.
 

pjheff

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Porzingis is a gamble on a guy returning to form in what should be his prime. Love is a guy who age makes unlikely to go anywhere but steeply downhill.
Porzingis is under contract for an additional year which would complicate any effort to liberate significant cap space in the summer of 2023.
 

Cesar Crespo

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So trading Kemba would get us like $12 mil under the cap. That would open up the possibility of S&Ts for the C's right?

After any S&T, could we then re-sign Evan Fournier?
 

Cellar-Door

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Have him come off the bench for 25-30 minutes a game. Have him demand a trade and when no one wants him, you can buy him out for the 21/22 season. You can't buy him out of a season he hasn't opted in to yet (22/23). And if he opts into it while demanding a trade or buy out, he's the one who will look unreasonable.
Yes you can.
A buyout is an agreement supplemental to being waived. Player option years almost always have a clause that they guarantee upon being waived. So you could (but they won't) make an agreement on reduction of payment for each year, then waive him, the year guarantees, then the agreement kicks in reducing the $ to the agreed amount.


Porzingis is under contract for an additional year which would complicate any effort to liberate significant cap space in the summer of 2023.
Oh I'm not for a Porzingis trade, just pointing out it's a different analysis than a fellow aging player like Love. The extra year adds downside, his age adds upside.
 

Cellar-Door

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So trading Kemba would get us like $12 mil under the cap. That would open up the possibility of S&Ts for the C's right?

After any S&T, could we then re-sign Evan Fournier?
No. In order to have cap space the Celtics would have to trade Kemba for cap space and renounce Fournier (and basically every other FA).

Also, they don't need to be under the cap to do a S&T.
The reason a S&T is unlikely is because if you receive a player in a S&T you are hardcapped. So they can be over the cap for a S&T it just means between the S&T and any future moves you can't exceed the tax.
The most likely way to do a S&T actually would be to send Kemba to a team with cap space and use the TPE created to absorb a S&T player. Probably couldn't re-sign Fournier.
 

Cesar Crespo

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Yes you can.
A buyout is an agreement supplemental to being waived. Player option years almost always have a clause that they guarantee upon being waived. So you could (but they won't) make an agreement on reduction of payment for each year, then waive him, the year guarantees, then the agreement kicks in reducing the $ to the agreed amount.
When can Kemba opt in? If it is at the end of the 21/22 season, I can't see how he can opt in and then demand a trade/buyout. At least not until buyout season. At that point, who cares.

If Kemba is on this team next year, I think he's here for 22/23 too. I'm guessing the C's will try to move him this off season and if they can't, he'll shut up and play good soldier until his contract expires.

I'd guess there's also a world where he does ok this coming season and gets like 3/60 and decides that's better than staying with the C's. I was hopeful of that 4-5 months ago, not so much anymore.

If there's a 3rd star to be had this offseason, I'd gladly staple the 16 and another future 1st to Kemba to get a 2 year head start. I guess that avenue would also be open after the 21/22 season too though, and the price to move Kemba would be less. If not, I'm fine with riding his contract out and having tons of salary room to build around the Jays after the 22/23 season.

This team really can't become a true contender until Kemba is gone.
 

Cellar-Door

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When can Kemba opt in? If it is at the end of the 21/22 season, I can't see how he can opt in and then demand a trade/buyout. At least not until buyout season. At that point, who cares.
Yes he can't opt in until 21/22, but if you want to buy him out this season you have to cut him, which guarantees the option.

I don't think Kemba plans to demand a trade, I also think ideas that the Celtics will bench him are silly. If Kemba is here he's going to play.

I was just pointing out that you are incorrect on his 22/23 option. If the Celtics want to buy him out they have to account for it, for 2 reasons...
1. It becomes guaranteed when he is cut (unless is has unusual language which I doubt)
2. You don't decline options in the NBA, you either accept the option (within the window) or let it expire, so Kemba can't decline his option.
 

Cesar Crespo

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Yes he can't opt in until 21/22, but if you want to buy him out this season you have to cut him, which guarantees the option.

I don't think Kemba plans to demand a trade, I also think ideas that the Celtics will bench him are silly. If Kemba is here he's going to play.

I was just pointing out that you are incorrect on his 22/23 option. If the Celtics want to buy him out they have to account for it, for 2 reasons...
1. It becomes guaranteed when he is cut (unless is has unusual language which I doubt)
2. You don't decline options in the NBA, you either accept the option (within the window) or let it expire, so Kemba can't decline his option.
He would be playing 25-30 minutes a game off the bench. That's probably what he'll be playing anyway. If you can't rely on him to start a majority of the games, having him come off the bench helps with continuity.

It seems like you are using "benched" in the Cavs benched Drummond sort of way.


Ok who else feels the chance of Kemba declining his option is 0%?

Go.
Everyone. That's why we won't hear anything from him if he's not traded. It'll be all silent like it was this year until the offseason.
 

the moops

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Porzingis is under contract for an additional year which would complicate any effort to liberate significant cap space in the summer of 2023.
The plan has to be to stay over the cap until well past that though, right? If you think Porzingis is a better gamble then Kemba, you just need to figure out how much better, and what would be the alternatives
 

Cesar Crespo

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The plan has to be to stay over the cap until well past that though, right? If you think Porzingis is a better gamble then Kemba, you just need to figure out how much better, and what would be the alternatives
Why? If Fournier is willing to sign for 2 years, it's easy to get well under the cap after 22/23. The team may have to make a choice on one of Smart and TL but they should have enough for a max.

edit: If they find the right player via trade, staying over the cap is fine. I just hope the team doesn't sign any marginal players/questionable players beyond the 22/23 season.
 

Jimbodandy

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Why? If Fournier is willing to sign for 2 years, it's easy to get well under the cap after 22/23. The team may have to make a choice on one of Smart and TL but they should have enough for a max.

edit: If they find the right player via trade, staying over the cap is fine. I just hope the team doesn't sign any marginal players/questionable players beyond the 22/23 season.
But is there any chance that Fournier will sign for 2 years? That would be pretty weird for a guy his age and status. He's good enough to get more but not good enough for those godfather 1+1 deals.
 

scottyno

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But is there any chance that Fournier will sign for 2 years? That would be pretty weird for a guy his age and status. He's good enough to get more but not good enough for those godfather 1+1 deals.
If you offer him a large enough 2 year deal he might. Like if another team offers him 3-60 would be take 2-45 or 2-50 to stay in Boston? Maybe, but it makes way more sense for the Cs than 3 years would.
 

scottyno

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He would be playing 25-30 minutes a game off the bench. That's probably what he'll be playing anyway. If you can't rely on him to start a majority of the games, having him come off the bench helps with continuity.
Is Pritchard starting in this scenario? Because if the plan is to start Smart at PG and bring Kemba off the bench then Pritchard has no role on the roster, and I'd argue that Pritchard is nowhere near ready to be a decent NBA starting point guard, if he ever is.
 

Devizier

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I don’t disagree. We all know agents wield a ton of power and we’ve all see “untradeable” contracts traded time and time again. Kemba will be an interesting see.
We are entering an offseason where Kawhi will get >$200M and a half dozen other guys will sign >$100M contracts.

There are no untradeable contracts.
 
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Cesar Crespo

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Is Pritchard starting in this scenario? Because if the plan is to start Smart at PG and bring Kemba off the bench then Pritchard has no role on the roster, and I'd argue that Pritchard is nowhere near ready to be a decent NBA starting point guard, if he ever is.
Yeah, TL, JT, JB, EF and MS. There was really no role for PP last season if the team was fully healthy. At least once EF arrived. Of course we were never healthy so it didn't matter.

A lot of players with no real roles get minutes during the regular season.
 

TripleOT

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I'd argue that Pritchard is nowhere near ready to be a decent NBA starting point guard, if he ever is.
On a team like Boston, with two do it all wings and a center who can pass the ball and rim run, like TL, PP could be an effective starting PG. Bring the ball up, get the offense into its set, and spot up for three. Or run p/r with TL and look for his three, or throw the lob. PP will need a better floater, will need to better figure out what he can and can’t do off the drive, and will need to dramatically improve his drive and kickout game.

I’m not willing to write him off as a possible starter. Time will tell on this one.
 

pjheff

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The plan has to be to stay over the cap until well past that though, right? If you think Porzingis is a better gamble then Kemba, you just need to figure out how much better, and what would be the alternatives
Not necessarily. Tatum and Brown are the only two players under contract beyond two seasons, and I could easily see Stevens tearing it down to the studs to add a third cornerstone player in the summer of 2023. I certainly wouldn’t complicate that possibility for the likes of Porzingis.
 

Cellar-Door

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On a team like Boston, with two do it all wings and a center who can pass the ball and rim run, like TL, PP could be an effective starting PG. Bring the ball up, get the offense into its set, and spot up for three. Or run p/r with TL and look for his three, or throw the lob. PP will need a better floater, will need to better figure out what he can and can’t do off the drive, and will need to dramatically improve his drive and kickout game.

I’m not willing to write him off as a possible starter. Time will tell on this one.
Sure if he drastically improved all the PG related skills he'd be an okay PG, but I wouldn't plan on that. In building a roster you basically have to treat him as a very small SG, that's his skill set
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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I know that there's not an easy solution and everyone's spitballing here. But there's "send him with a first for Al Horford" bad and Porzingis/Love bad. Let's put Wall on the table then. Perhaps the Mets can trade us what's left of Bonilla's contract in exchange.
Well, apparently NYK is interested in Wall - https://sports.yahoo.com/report-knicks-could-interest-john-154257699.html - so maybe Wall's not off the table. :)

I agree if the Cs could get Al for KW without giving up any assets that would be great but just don't see that happening. After that, all of the options are unpalatable to various degrees. It sucks that it had to come down to this.
 

scottyno

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On a team like Boston, with two do it all wings and a center who can pass the ball and rim run, like TL, PP could be an effective starting PG. Bring the ball up, get the offense into its set, and spot up for three. Or run p/r with TL and look for his three, or throw the lob. PP will need a better floater, will need to better figure out what he can and can’t do off the drive, and will need to dramatically improve his drive and kickout game.

I’m not willing to write him off as a possible starter. Time will tell on this one.
Sure, but we're talking starting pg in 5 months, not eventually. It's also pretty likely PP is never as good a point guard as current Kemba is.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Sure if he drastically improved all the PG related skills he'd be an okay PG, but I wouldn't plan on that. In building a roster you basically have to treat him as a very small SG, that's his skill set
Yeah he’s be one of the worst starting PG’s in the league which also means there is an even worse backup for those 15+ mpg. For a contender this isn’t even an option.
 

mcpickl

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When can Kemba opt in? If it is at the end of the 21/22 season, I can't see how he can opt in and then demand a trade/buyout. At least not until buyout season. At that point, who cares.

If Kemba is on this team next year, I think he's here for 22/23 too. I'm guessing the C's will try to move him this off season and if they can't, he'll shut up and play good soldier until his contract expires.

I'd guess there's also a world where he does ok this coming season and gets like 3/60 and decides that's better than staying with the C's. I was hopeful of that 4-5 months ago, not so much anymore.

If there's a 3rd star to be had this offseason, I'd gladly staple the 16 and another future 1st to Kemba to get a 2 year head start. I guess that avenue would also be open after the 21/22 season too though, and the price to move Kemba would be less. If not, I'm fine with riding his contract out and having tons of salary room to build around the Jays after the 22/23 season.

This team really can't become a true contender until Kemba is gone.
He doesn't have to opt-in. His contract has an opt-out. Unless he officially informs the team that he's opting out of the contract(he's not going to), it's guaranteed.
 

benhogan

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We should probably stop challenging every Kemba rumor or fake trade idea with "yea, but who will start at PG"

They have 4 months to find a starting ballhandler(or Smart). Doubt very much that PP would be used at a starter, I like him but wouldn't be surprised if they packaged him this summer.

I like Al for Kemba straight up also Wade (a healthy Kemba can still be a 22pt/gm scorer as a 1/2 option).
Horford would give the C's two passing Centers dragging BIGs away from the rim. This opens the lane for JT/Brown who will start drawing fouls at a higher rate next season. TT is a great guy but clogs the lane on offense and doesn't do much on D other than gather rebounds.
 

radsoxfan

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Had to be done, no complaints.

Horford is overpaid too but likely will provide some decent value this year.

Brad gave himself some time off also, essentially no draft this year. Shrewd!
 

128

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It'll be great to have Al's presence back in the locker room.
 

128

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Had to be done, no complaints.

Horford is overpaid too but likely will provide some decent value this year.

Brad gave himself some time off also, essentially no draft this year. Shrewd!
Horford gives the C's a 4/5 who can hit 3-pointers. Fills the void that Theis left.
 

lovegtm

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Had to be done, no complaints.

Horford is overpaid too but likely will provide some decent value this year.

Brad gave himself some time off also, essentially no draft this year. Shrewd!
This is the way this deal would always have to be: for someone else overpaid but who fits better this year.
 

lovegtm

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It's funny that multiple people were stating with authority, less than 2 weeks ago, that there was no way Kemba could be traded. This was in the context of the dealing being something like for Horford for a pick lol.
 

Cellar-Door

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It's funny that multiple people were stating with authority, less than 2 weeks ago, that there was no way Kemba could be traded. This was in the context of the dealing being something like for Horford for a pick lol.
Ii thought this deal was definitely on the table, I just didn't like it as an option. We'll see what Horford has left, maybe the rest will give him a bounceback.

Means they need to move Thompson now.

Wonder if Brown is gonna stick. Looks like basically rebounding is the only thing he does decently right now, but he's big and young so maybe he gets the 3rd C spot.
 

lovegtm

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Ii thought this deal was definitely on the table, I just didn't like it as an option. We'll see what Horford has left, maybe the rest will give him a bounceback.

Means they need to move Thompson now.

Wonder if Brown is gonna stick. Looks like basically rebounding is the only thing he does decently right now, but he's big and young so maybe he gets the 3rd C spot.
Yeah, this wasn't you, and I don't want to name names. Just making the general point that any NBA contract is moveable, and it's dumb to shut down people thinking of ways to move them.

They could move Thompson, or they could move Horford. I agree the former is much more likely, and he's a nice salary to match an average vet wing or guard.
 

radsoxfan

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Will OKC even pretend to do a physical on Kemba?

I would assume not, they know what they’re getting.
 

Jakarta

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Yeah, this wasn't you, and I don't want to name names. Just making the general point that any NBA contract is moveable, and it's dumb to shut down people thinking of ways to move them.

They could move Thompson, or they could move Horford. I agree the former is much more likely, and he's a nice salary to match an average vet wing or guard.
It also depends on what Horford’s role is expected to be. He seems like he could be content to be the 4th center (he sat out a large chuck of the end of the season despite not being injured) and then when TL inevitably gets hurt he can be the backup to TT. Would hopefully prevent him from being worn down to a nub. He likely would be more content than Kemba in a more limited role, and a good locker room veteran who can play the Udonis Haslem role.
 

lovegtm

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It also depends on what Horford’s role is expected to be. He seems like he could be content to be the 4th center (he sat out a large chuck of the end of the season despite not being injured) and then when TL inevitably gets hurt he can be the backup to TT. Would hopefully prevent him from being worn down to a nub. He likely would be more content than Kemba in a more limited role, and a good locker room veteran who can play the Udonis Haslem role.
He sat out because OKC sucks. He's not prime Al, but he's wayyy too good to be a 4th center.
 

HowBoutDemSox

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Would hopefully prevent him from being worn down to a nub.
This meme being back in the Port Cellar is a great side effect of the trade.

Between this trade and Tatum not making All-NBA, it’s a great week for Wyc’s bank account.
 

Cellar-Door

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I think Al Horford is probably the Celtics' best center as of right now. (because TL is never healthy)
I expect we'll see Thompson moved and TL/Al sharing the C role, with Al occasionally playing some 4 in big lineups because he can shoot. (not many minutes, but a few here and there based on matchups).
 

Senator Donut

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He sat out because OKC sucks. He's not prime Al, but he's wayyy too good to be a 4th center.
Likewise, I assume Kemba is going to be put on ice then traded in the next off-season for a first-round pick attached to an even worse contract (Porzingas? Hayward?)