Larry Bird in NBA 2022

BaseballJones

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Serious question: If Bird was in today's NBA, what kind of scorer would he be? Last 8 seasons of his career, he was a .398 shooter from three, and a .906 shooter from the line. I get that defensively he'd have problems, but I'm just thinking about Bird on the offensive end. Would he be putting up 40 points fairly regularly? I imagine he'd average around 30 without too much difficulty.
 

sezwho

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Serious question: If Bird was in today's NBA, what kind of scorer would he be? Last 8 seasons of his career, he was a .398 shooter from three, and a .906 shooter from the line. I get that defensively he'd have problems, but I'm just thinking about Bird on the offensive end. Would he be putting up 40 points fairly regularly? I imagine he'd average around 30 without too much difficulty.
Considering that Birds 50point games included just a handful of threes (sorry can’t find link) and his ability to finish in the paint, it’s hard not to imagine him being dominant offensively.
 

Cellar-Door

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Serious question: If Bird was in today's NBA, what kind of scorer would he be? Last 8 seasons of his career, he was a .398 shooter from three, and a .906 shooter from the line. I get that defensively he'd have problems, but I'm just thinking about Bird on the offensive end. Would he be putting up 40 points fairly regularly? I imagine he'd average around 30 without too much difficulty.
He'd probably be something like Kevin Durant.. less explosive, better passer, but just an ridiculously efficient scorer from anywhere on the court.
 

Kliq

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Serious question: If Bird was in today's NBA, what kind of scorer would he be? Last 8 seasons of his career, he was a .398 shooter from three, and a .906 shooter from the line. I get that defensively he'd have problems, but I'm just thinking about Bird on the offensive end. Would he be putting up 40 points fairly regularly? I imagine he'd average around 30 without too much difficulty.
I'd like to think Bird would be some combination of Luka/Jokic. He'd definitely play mostly the 4/5 and wouldn't really be a wing.

The biggest difference is that Bird would have way more spacing on offense; this would theoretically enable his passing game even further while giving him more space to score.
 

Spelunker

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I'd like to think Bird would be some combination of Luka/Jokic. He'd definitely play mostly the 4/5 and wouldn't really be a wing.

The biggest difference is that Bird would have way more spacing on offense; this would theoretically enable his passing game even further while giving him more space to score.
Right: I was thinking a hardnosed Luka, but I think the Jokic comp is spot on.
 

Kliq

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Right: I was thinking a hardnosed Luka, but I think the Jokic comp is spot on.
Yeah, I don't think Bird would be a primary ball-handler that is running a million pick-and-rolls. I'd see him more as a guy doing a lot of pick-and-pops as the screener and playmaking from the elbows.
 

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Considering that Birds 50point games included just a handful of threes (sorry can’t find link) and his ability to finish in the paint, it’s hard not to imagine him being dominant offensively.
I think Bird in today's game would be remarkably similar to James Harden. A guy who can drop 30+, grab a dozen rebounds, or hand out 15 assists on a regular basis.
 

Cesar Crespo

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Lazy comparison but wouldn't Bird just be Luka?

I guess it depends on what you think of Doncic's shooting going forward.
 

Cellar-Door

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Lazy comparison but wouldn't Bird just be Luka?

I guess it depends on what you think of Doncic's shooting going forward.
I don't see it at all.

Bird was a good passing, good rebounding PF (yes he played 3, but only because of the roster, he'd have ended up a 3/4 in the modern game), who could shoot lights out and score in ISO.
I'm not sure why everyone wants to compare him to every white guy who can pass in the league, but his game was not that at all.

Game wise Bird's closest comp on offense is current Kevin Durant. 50/40/90 contenders with size to shoot over guys and who mostly win with footwork and unstoppable jumpers, but can put it on the floor if you want.

Edit- Bird was a better passer/rebounder, Durant probably a better pure scorer off the bounce, but some of that is about role/pace/era too.
 

slamminsammya

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Bird was a great passer but his passing style was nothing like Luka's. Bird was the greatest off the catch passer / one touch passer ever. He was not the floor general initiating offense and running PnR.
 

PedroKsBambino

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Bird would have been even better today. He is a better passer than anyone playing right now, and likely only Steph Curry is a better shooter. As a 4 in a smaller league, he'd also be a viable post-up threat. He's a smart defender and while he's obviously not super athletic he wouldn't be awful overall.

I'd imagine something like a 30/11/8 line on 50/40/90 shooting with a bunch of steals.

So, more or less Jokic+ offensively and a different version of same strenghts/challenges defensively really.
 

slamminsammya

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Bird would have been even better today. He is a better passer than anyone playing right now, and likely only Steph Curry is a better shooter. As a 4 in a smaller league, he'd also be a viable post-up threat. He's a smart defender and while he's obviously not super athletic he wouldn't be awful overall.

I'd imagine something like a 30/11/8 line on 50/40/90 shooting with a bunch of steals.

So, more or less Jokic+ offensively and a different version of same strenghts/challenges defensively really.
Caveat I never saw Bird play and also caveat that assists aren't everything but is he really a better passer than Jokic? Bird's all time best ast% was like 29, Jokic is at 44% this year.
 

Cellar-Door

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Bird would have been even better today. He is a better passer than anyone playing right now, and likely only Steph Curry is a better shooter. As a 4 in a smaller league, he'd also be a viable post-up threat. He's a smart defender and while he's obviously not super athletic he wouldn't be awful overall.

I'd imagine something like a 30/11/8 line on 50/40/90 shooting with a bunch of steals.

So, more or less Jokic+ offensively and a different version of same strenghts/challenges defensively really.
I don't think he'd get that level of assists, he was a good and willing passer, not a maestro like Jokic, he didn't hit 30% AST rate a single time in his career, and some of his AST raw numbers are a product of pace.
 

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I think that the Durant comparisons are fairly apt. He had more of a game around the basket and posted, rebounded like a 4. But most of the rest of his game looks like Durant.

He doesn't have Durant's length, but he had a little more diversity to his game. And with the space in this era, he would get shitloads of assists.
 

jmcc5400

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I don't think he'd get that level of assists, he was a good and willing passer, not a maestro like Jokic, he didn't hit 30% AST rate a single time in his career, and some of his AST raw numbers are a product of pace.
He was much more than a good and willing passer. He had elite court vision and anticipation. We can argue about whether he’s at Jokic’s level but he was , for example, half a notch better than LeBron as a passer.
 

Eddie Jurak

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Bird would be great today. The increased use of the three would have been great for him, obviously. In addition, I think he was a better athlete than he gets credit for and today's more modern player usage and conditioning techniques would have been better for him than what he did back then.

Because he was (rightly) known as a great shooter, people forget that he was a career double-double guy (24-10) who also averaged 6 or 7 assists per game. And he used his anticipation in the defensive end to generate a lot of steals. Marcus Smart for his career so far is at 2.6 steals per 100 possessions - Bird is at 2.2 for his whole career.

Calling Bird merely "a good and willing passer" is ignorant blasphemy. NBA offenses run differently today and more assists are given out today.
 

PedroKsBambino

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I don't think he'd get that level of assists, he was a good and willing passer, not a maestro like Jokic, he didn't hit 30% AST rate a single time in his career, and some of his AST raw numbers are a product of pace.
He was a better passer than Jokic and it isn't all that close---the difference is that the Celtics didn't run the offense through him while Denver does. I'm a huge Jokic fan, but what Bird did without being a primary ballhandler is pretty mcuh unprecedented, and that's because of how exceptional he was at creating in the times he did have the ball.

Luka, to me, is really the better overall comp though.

While Bird's shoting is similar to Durant (not as good) the rest of their games are pretty different, imo.
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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He wouldn't have played because he wasn't switchable on defense?

Kidding.

It's hard to imagine Larry playing against today's switching, non-contact defenses. There were only a few guys who could credibly guard him (Cooper, Rodman, etc.) and being able to switch his defenders to guards or big guys, he's feast. He's a lot like KD (and Tatum for that matter) in terms of scoring but is a way better playmaker. My guess is that teams would have to double him constantly to get the ball out of his hands so his points would be down but his assists way up. Really would depend on what kind of team he had around him. After all, he just wanted to win. But yeah, he'd have some ridiculous 10 or more 3P made games that would leave us giddy.
 

Kliq

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Beyond his skill set, Bird's career definitely would have unfolded very differently. He wouldn't be 23 when he started his NBA career for sure; and he wouldn't have been grinded down to a nub by playing a million minutes and never resting. Modern medicine and more rest would have really salvaged a lot of his career.
 

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Bird was a great passer but his passing style was nothing like Luka's. Bird was the greatest off the catch passer / one touch passer ever. He was not the floor general initiating offense and running PnR.
This comment is so spot on. It should be the auto-reply to every comment in this thread asking about his passing. Here are some of his incredible passes.
 

benhogan

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a better 3pt shooting Joker. Similiar facilitator, rebounder. The same calm, confidence on the floor

Larry moved at his own speed and made anyone that tried to speed him up pay
 

Toe Nash

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Bird would be great today. The increased use of the three would have been great for him, obviously. In addition, I think he was a better athlete than he gets credit for and today's more modern player usage and conditioning techniques would have been better for him than what he did back then.
This is key. He played a ton of minutes, the schedule had a lot of back-to-backs and I can't imagine travel was as comfortable as it is now. Famously he had his career cut short by some debilitating injuries, but I think he'd probably be even better early on if he had gotten modern amounts of rest and had easy access to the best doctors and physical therapists. Of course everyone does now, but I think it would benefit Bird more than some other guys.

I mean, just as a random example in the last 20 regular season games in 84-85 he averaged 42 minutes per game with three back-to-backs and didn't play fewer than 39 minutes in a game until the last week of the season. I can't imagine a modern player would be allowed to do that for a team that was easily going to make the playoffs.
 

Jeff Van GULLY

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I always imagined a really really good Gallinari (one who really never existed and would have been one of those matchup nightmares) as Larry Bird's current era analogue in terms of size comparison and usage on the basketball court. Could swing him as a wing and PF. Both really tall, of course, and can stretch the court with the three. Obviously production is a lot different and stats aren't close but that's who I could visualize .

Dirk and KD obviously as well as they certainly do matchup up better in terms of production.
 

Auger34

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He was a better passer than Jokic and it isn't all that close---the difference is that the Celtics didn't run the offense through him while Denver does. I'm a huge Jokic fan, but what Bird did without being a primary ballhandler is pretty mcuh unprecedented, and that's because of how exceptional he was at creating in the times he did have the ball.

Luka, to me, is really the better overall comp though.

While Bird's shoting is similar to Durant (not as good) the rest of their games are pretty different, imo.
I never saw Bird play live but couldn’t your argument against him being similar to Jokic be applied to Luka as well?

I mean, both Doncic and Jokic have the ball in their hands at pretty much all times
 

CreightonGubanich

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Kevin Durant with better passing and worse defense is probably the best comp.

But I think the Luka comparison was too swiftly dismissed. I agree that when Bird played, he didn't initiate the offense on the perimeter like Luka does, but he played in an era that defined positions much more rigidly. If Bird played today, with his handle and shooting ability, a modern NBA offense would hand him the ball like Dallas does with Luka. Everything would run through Bird as the point forward. I think the comparison to Doncic is less about how similar their games actually are/were, and more about how the modern NBA would deploy a guy with Bird's skill set.

And really, I get the urge to call out the Luka comps as defaulting to comparing two white guys, but honestly I think the criticism itself is a bit lazy. Bird's tough to find comps for - he really was a unicorn. A 6'9" guy who was the best shooter in the league, could handle the ball like a guard, and score from anywhere on the floor? Plus a limited but effective defensive game? I guess you could say he's Antoine Walker if Antoine believed in concepts like efficiency and actually impacting winning. Tracy McGrady if T-Mac was a worlds better shooter and passer. "Playmaking Paul George" sells Bird short, in my opinion. I dunno, he's a pretty unique combination in terms of skillset, and I don't think it's crazy to point out that there's similarities in Luka's game.
 
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Euclis20

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Kevin Durant with better passing and worse defense is probably the best comp.
That's always been my general impression as well (and it will be interesting to see how they rank career-wise. If Durant wins another MVP and another title, they'll be awfully close), but is Durant really a better defender? I barely remember watching Bird play live, but I know he made the all-defense team 3x (2nd team, but still) and in his prime averaged just under 2 steals and 1 block per game. Durant has never made an all-defense team and never averaged over 1.4 steals per game. Maybe Bird's selections were reputation based, but I can't say.
 

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That's always been my general impression as well (and it will be interesting to see how they rank career-wise. If Durant wins another MVP and another title, they'll be awfully close), but is Durant really a better defender? I barely remember watching Bird play live, but I know he made the all-defense team 3x (2nd team, but still) and in his prime averaged just under 2 steals and 1 block per game. Durant has never made an all-defense team and never averaged over 1.4 steals per game. Maybe Bird's selections were reputation based, but I can't say.
People tend to rate defenders by on-ball ability. KD can cover guards and wings pretty efficiently because he's so long. Bird couldn't because his length wasn't enough to make up for his stiffness (compared to KD). I'm the biggest Bird fan in the world, but KD is better at manning up a wider variety of guys.

Off-ball, KD is no slouch either (again, Darantula), but Bird was a genius at anticipation. I'd give him an edge at being able to disrupt offense overall off-ball, and he was a great defensive rebounder.

I'd give up a couple of toes to watch those guys go at it in their primes. Bird might be the only guy who played the majority of his career in the 1980s who you could drop into the 2022 NBA and he'd be completely at home in this era.
 

CreightonGubanich

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That's always been my general impression as well (and it will be interesting to see how they rank career-wise. If Durant wins another MVP and another title, they'll be awfully close), but is Durant really a better defender? I barely remember watching Bird play live, but I know he made the all-defense team 3x (2nd team, but still) and in his prime averaged just under 2 steals and 1 block per game. Durant has never made an all-defense team and never averaged over 1.4 steals per game. Maybe Bird's selections were reputation based, but I can't say.
I think it's really hard to compare because they played defense so differently in those two eras. The current NBA allows, and rewards, really sophisticated help defense that would have been illegal when Bird played. Bird was a limited athlete, but great at jumping into passing lanes for steals. He benefitted from playing with really good defensive players around him. Durant at his peak was a defensive monster, though; a guy who could switch at least 1-4, while also providing a decent level of rim protection. Similar to Tatum but longer. His man to man defense was maybe average to above average (I'd say worse than Tatum), but it was his defensive versatility that made him so valuable. Bird, if he played today, couldn't do that.
 

jmcc5400

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That's always been my general impression as well (and it will be interesting to see how they rank career-wise. If Durant wins another MVP and another title, they'll be awfully close), but is Durant really a better defender? I barely remember watching Bird play live, but I know he made the all-defense team 3x (2nd team, but still) and in his prime averaged just under 2 steals and 1 block per game. Durant has never made an all-defense team and never averaged over 1.4 steals per game. Maybe Bird's selections were reputation based, but I can't say.
To add to this, Bird led the NBA in defensive win shares (a stat, incidentally, that Tatum leads the league in this year) four times in his first seven seasons, and was in the top 6 in the league each of his first eight years. He had preternatural anticipation and was a great ball hawk and defensive rebounder. Durant is no slouch (top 11 in defensive win shares five times in his career), but I think Bird certainly was comparable if not better.
 

Kenny F'ing Powers

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To add to this, Bird led the NBA in defensive win shares (a stat, incidentally, that Tatum leads the league in this year) four times in his first seven seasons, and was in the top 6 in the league each of his first eight years. He had preternatural anticipation and was a great ball hawk and defensive rebounder. Durant is no slouch (top 11 in defensive win shares five times in his career), but I think Bird certainly was comparable if not better.
People underestimate his defense because he was unathletic. But what he did well, he did REALLY well. His court vision let him play defense like a free safety. He was amazing at off ball steals and play disruption.
 

slamminsammya

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To add to this, Bird led the NBA in defensive win shares (a stat, incidentally, that Tatum leads the league in this year) four times in his first seven seasons, and was in the top 6 in the league each of his first eight years. He had preternatural anticipation and was a great ball hawk and defensive rebounder. Durant is no slouch (top 11 in defensive win shares five times in his career), but I think Bird certainly was comparable if not better.
It should be noted defensive win shares (at least the one I am familiar with) is purely a function of the team's defense during the player's minutes on the floor. It doesn't try to disaggregate according to teammate contributions.

EDIT: I am wrong.
 

Ale Xander

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To add to this, Bird led the NBA in defensive win shares (a stat, incidentally, that Tatum leads the league in this year) four times in his first seven seasons, and was in the top 6 in the league each of his first eight years. He had preternatural anticipation and was a great ball hawk and defensive rebounder. Durant is no slouch (top 11 in defensive win shares five times in his career), but I think Bird certainly was comparable if not better.
People underestimate his defense because he was unathletic. But what he did well, he did REALLY well. His court vision let him play defense like a free safety. He was amazing at off ball steals and play disruption.
Someone say preternatural anticipation and amazing at off the ball steals?

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LYKdI_Xm9es
 

Bernie Carbohydrate

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The other thing to note about Bird’s defense was that he was very strong, and in the 80’s even “small” forwards had to defend the post. He wasn’t athletic, but he didn’t fall for pump fakes often and his exquisite footwork meant he could adjust on a hook or drop step.

The steals made the highlight reel, but he could muscle up if a team wanted to bang inside.

The Celtic from that era with the most un-2022 skillset was McHale.
 

Eddie Jurak

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The other thing to note about Bird’s defense was that he was very strong, and in the 80’s even “small” forwards had to defend the post. He wasn’t athletic, but he didn’t fall for pump fakes often and his exquisite footwork meant he could adjust on a hook or drop step.

The steals made the highlight reel, but he could muscle up if a team wanted to bang inside.

The Celtic from that era with the most un-2022 skillset was McHale.
I don't know. Pre broken foot, McHale generally guarded the better forward on the other team. And he was so dominant in the post that he could do it today. And he even flashed a little ability to hit the three, so he would have had that.
 

Ale Xander

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I don't know. Pre broken foot, McHale generally guarded the better forward on the other team. And he was so dominant in the post that he could do it today. And he even flashed a little ability to hit the three, so he would have had that.
I think Bernie's point was that no one today has his post moves.
 

RG33

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I drool at the thought of seeing 33 playing in today’s NBA. I still can’t believe that he retired 30 years ago (I still have the Globe Sports page from that day).

As others have said, his shooting was elite and he would absolutely destroy teams with 3-pointers — he’d average 8-10 3PA a game at least. His passing was virtuoso as seen in that video, and his court vision just incredible. The anticipation and seeing plays developing 2-3 seconds before anyone else on the court did was what really set him apart.

He would be a 50/40/90 guy averaging 30/10/8 in this version of the NBA and if there was a God, he would let him play 15 years healthy.
 

Spelunker

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People tend to rate defenders by on-ball ability. KD can cover guards and wings pretty efficiently because he's so long. Bird couldn't because his length wasn't enough to make up for his stiffness (compared to KD). I'm the biggest Bird fan in the world, but KD is better at manning up a wider variety of guys.

Off-ball, KD is no slouch either (again, Darantula), but Bird was a genius at anticipation. I'd give him an edge at being able to disrupt offense overall off-ball, and he was a great defensive rebounder.

I'd give up a couple of toes to watch those guys go at it in their primes. Bird might be the only guy who played the majority of his career in the 1980s who you could drop into the 2022 NBA and he'd be completely at home in this era.
I think Magic would be incredible now.