Let’s predict the 2020 Red Sox record

How many games do the Red Sox win?

  • Less than 20

    Votes: 25 9.3%
  • 20-25

    Votes: 64 23.9%
  • 26-30

    Votes: 95 35.4%
  • 31-35

    Votes: 68 25.4%
  • 36-40

    Votes: 9 3.4%
  • 41-45,

    Votes: 3 1.1%
  • 46+

    Votes: 4 1.5%
  • Playoffs - yes

    Votes: 24 9.0%
  • Playoffs - no

    Votes: 82 30.6%

  • Total voters
    268

nvalvo

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I predict 25–35, but I'm not confident in it: there's some real upside if Rodriguez can get back soonish.

We have 3 .900 OPS bats, so the pitching only needs to be okay. Without Rodriguez, I'm worried okay is a stretch.
 

jon abbey

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Jul 15, 2005
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We need one of these for the Orioles, especially given their opponents this season. 15-45?
 

Phil Plantier

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Mar 7, 2002
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The Orioles must be pretty happy that it's not a 162 game season, because they look capable of losing 125.

I think single digits are in play. They can aim for the second lowest winning percentage in US professional sports in the 21st century:

2017 Browns: 0-16
2011 Bobcats: 7-59
 

Red(s)HawksFan

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Jan 23, 2009
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I raised this in the game thread last night. If I gave you an O/U of 15.5 would you take the over or under?
Based on what I saw last night, I'd be seriously tempted to take the under.

Every time I see or hear how "bad" the Red Sox are going to be this year (or how "bad" they were last year), I look at the Orioles and realize how spoiled we've become.
 

greek_gawd_of_walks

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Apr 14, 2009
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I think it's very possible that it's under 15.5. The worst team Baltimore plays is Miami. Outside of that, it's the rest of the NL East and the AL East. Even if they take all four from the Marlins (who actually took one last night from Phila), it's pretty conceivable that they can't cobble together 12 other wins.

Toronto might be the team that determines if they get above or below that number. If the Jays mash all year and the young guns make strides, I think Baltimore might be a 12 win team.
 

jon abbey

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Jul 15, 2005
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Plus if guys start testing positive and BAL is already at 6-24, others could start opting out and going home.
 

The Gray Eagle

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Aug 1, 2001
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Lot of talk in this thread about how bad the Orioles are going to be, yet they kicked Boston's ass yesterday and are well on their way to doing it again today, which would win this series on the road.
 

greek_gawd_of_walks

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Apr 14, 2009
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I think it's very possible that it's under 15.5. The worst team Baltimore plays is Miami. Outside of that, it's the rest of the NL East and the AL East. Even if they take all four from the Marlins (who actually took one last night from Phila), it's pretty conceivable that they can't cobble together 12 other wins.

Toronto might be the team that determines if they get above or below that number. If the Jays mash all year and the young guns make strides, I think Baltimore might be a 12 win team.
Did I say the Os were the 12/15 win team? Meant the Sox...Jesus.

Just set up a pitching machine four out of five days and let eovaldi take his turn.
 

soxin6

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Apr 23, 2010
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When I picked less than 20 I really thought they would be close to 20, but I am not sure they break single digits with this pitching. I just don't see how they can turn things around when they start playing teams like the Yankees when the Mets and Orioles are destroying the pitching staff.
 

nvalvo

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Jul 16, 2005
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Ordinarily, a team that is a seller at the deadline gets worse.

Boston was 10-20 in the first 30 games (.333) and have gone 12-15 since (.444).

Meanwhile:
  • Kevin Pillar has posted an .806 OPS in Colorado, which is (hilariously) considerably worse on a park-adjusted basis than his .795 at sea level. 111 OPS+ in Boston; 102 in Colorado.
  • Mitch Moreland has posted a .498 OPS in 17 games for San Diego after posting a 1.177 for us. 8 HR in 22 games in Boston; 1 in 17 games in San Diego.
  • Heath Hembree posted a FIP over 13 for Philadelphia and is on the DL.
  • Brandon Workman has a FIP just shy of 7 and has blown 3 out of 8 saves.
Philadelphia traded us a haul in young starting pitching, and the guys we sent them made their bullpen worse. They're probably going to miss the postseason because they sent us a good package to acquire a proven closer instead of just, like, picking someone up off waivers or letting Pivetta close.