[LOCKED] 2019 AB Watch: Non-legal Views Only

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BaseballJones

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I hope it’s not sounding like I’m calling anyone wrong. I don’t think anyone here is good with rape. The rest is more personal opinion about what we get out of sports and how we view athletes and teams.

You ask a good question. Yeah, I guess I hope she was not raped. But I also hope she is not lying. It sucks that both can’t be true.
Isn't it possible though, for both to not be true? I mean there's a phenomenon where people's memories don't quite tell people the truth. It's possible that there was consensual sex, but the woman has regrets or whatever and her mind tells her she was raped/assaulted, and then that's how she remembers it. So it doesn't have to be a "lie" per se. It could be a faulty memory. (in this case not sure what to believe, to be honest, but I'm speaking generally)
 

OurF'ingCity

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I stopped putting athletes and entertainers on a pedestal years and years ago. And for most part, I'm a trust the art, not the artist, guy. But there are limits. Violent crime, like sexual assault, crosses the line(and yes, there is still significant doubt about AB's guilt). I find it hard to see or hear or appreciate Michael Jackson, due to the strong likelihood he was a serial child rapist. But Weinstein is an interesting, gray area example. Some of my favorite all time films were produced by Miramax. Whenever I come across one of them on cable or Netflix, seeing that logo always gives me pause now. I'm able to keep watching, and appreciate what I loved about the film in the first place. And I guess I rationalize by telling myself I'm really watching the work of Tarantino, or the Coen brothers, or Paul Thomas Anderson, etc. But the fact that a completely evil scumbag like Weinstein helped to finance it, and profited off it, absolutely adds an element of doubt to the experience that wasn't there before his crimes became public. I don't know, it's complicated.
I'm 100% with you on this, but I do think the case of athletes vs. artists is a bit different. With artists, I don't find it particularly hard to separate the final piece of art from the artist unless the piece of art implicates the "bad" parts of the artist. So, I have no real issue with watching and appreciating, say, Crimes and Misdemeanors or Zelig but Manhattan make me squirm. And it's even more removed when it's just someone financing a piece of art - I think it's probably true that virtually every piece of classical art was probably financed by some lord who, chances are, was a royal (no pun intended) scumbag so that seems like an extremely slippery slope.

But athletes are a bit different because you are actively rooting for them, and thus associate with them more directly than artists. When they are happy or successful (on the sports field), fans of that team are usually happy too, and vice versa. So I certainly think it's valid to, say, still listen to Michael Jackson but have issues with rooting for AB.
 

Saints Rest

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Ironically, I think the pressure to not play him could, and I really mean could, lead BB to play AB against Miami when he otherwise might have given him another red shirt week.

I have no idea what Bill will do. My gut is that the player plays if Bill thinks it helps him win. Period.

But this situation is so unusual that who the hell knows?

For those still reading, I have a question:

Assume AB plays. Will his presence do anything to you? Will it change how you root? Will you go so far as not to watch? Or just hold your nose when AB catches a pass or scores? Conversely, will you root for him like you would any other player?

This strikes me as possibly thread worthy but then again, we already have a bunch of threads on L’Affaire Brown. I guess a Dope can do Dope Magic if it should be one.

I will root for him if he plays but I have to admit that it will be less intense than with respect to the other players on the offense. Which sucks.
I would love to chat about AB the player, and how his on field role might take shape in both the short-term (this Sunday) and long-term (say, by Week 5 and after), assuming he remains on the team.
My sense is that this Sunday he will be active, and play somewhere between the amount that Meyers and Dorsett did. (I think Meyers will be inactive). I guess he will run a few simple routes, like gos, slants, bubble screens, and buttonhooks.
 

reggiecleveland

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He sort of did this, but I wish he'd have simply said, "I'm not going to answer any - repeat ANY - questions about Antonio Brown. None. Not one. I know you guys have a job to do, and feel like you need to ask questions about this anyway, but I'm telling you right now if any of you asks me even ONE question about Antonio, we're done here. Am I clear on that?"

And then when the first guy does the inevitable, he just turns and leaves. Not like he didn't give them fair warning.

He kind of did that, but I wish he would have done it like this.
That would play even worse and give them what they want. He played it correctly, said th elittle he could, it's serious, waiting for investigation, jut heard about it, nothing to add.
 

DennyDoyle'sBoil

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Isn't it possible though, for both to not be true? I mean there's a phenomenon where people's memories don't quite tell people the truth. It's possible that there was consensual sex, but the woman has regrets or whatever and her mind tells her she was raped/assaulted, and then that's how she remembers it. So it doesn't have to be a "lie" per se. It could be a faulty memory. (in this case not sure what to believe, to be honest, but I'm speaking generally)
I guess I’m already buying into the narrative that it is either rape or extortion, since that seems to be how the lawyers framed it. Truth is I guess we don’t know shit.
 

lambeau

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AB will have to talk with Lisa Friel, probably week after next. She spent over 8 hours with Tyreek Hill.
If he bullshits her, he'll likely go on the Exempt List. Even if he's not guilty, he need a better attorney--
Brady stupidly went into his interview with Don Yee, another sports lawyer, and ended up suspended.
 

Nator

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He sort of did this, but I wish he'd have simply said, "I'm not going to answer any - repeat ANY - questions about Antonio Brown. None. Not one. I know you guys have a job to do, and feel like you need to ask questions about this anyway, but I'm telling you right now if any of you asks me even ONE question about Antonio, we're done here. Am I clear on that?"

And then when the first guy does the inevitable, he just turns and leaves. Not like he didn't give them fair warning.

He kind of did that, but I wish he would have done it like this.
I think that by even giving a statement about the allegations he said more about a non-football issue than he normally does.
 

InstaFace

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I learned two things from Adam Schefter on this segment from Sunday that I don't think I'd heard discussed here before (can start around 6'45" for context, key bits start around 7'50"):

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=75tVqByTsHo


1) After a great practice on Weds, he went to management and said he needed an MRI on his hamstring because it was bothering him. The Raiders sent him home.

2) He was supposed to meet with Jon Gruden on Thursday night, and stood him up for that meeting.
 

bsj

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I was wondering if he would have to cave on the number for no other reason than I dont think the NFL is exactly going to fast track waiving his number change in light of what is going on. Clearly 17 cant be worn in game to my knowledge but still curious if the current situation will change the number scenario

As an aside, i suspect the NFL puts him on exempt tomorrow PM, allowing him to practice this week, but not play this weekend. They will then meet with the accuser next week and then decide whether to remove him or keep him on there indefinitely. I just think they would rather go to war with the union than the optics of AB playing.
 

tims4wins

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I was wondering if he would have to cave on the number for no other reason than I dont think the NFL is exactly going to fast track waiving his number change in light of what is going on. Clearly 17 cant be worn in game to my knowledge but still curious if the current situation will change the number scenario
17 is legal for WR.
 

Time to Mo Vaughn

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I was wondering if he would have to cave on the number for no other reason than I dont think the NFL is exactly going to fast track waiving his number change in light of what is going on. Clearly 17 cant be worn in game to my knowledge but still curious if the current situation will change the number scenario
Wide Receivers can wear numbers from 10 to 19 and 80 to 89.
 

Reverend

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Is it wrong to hope there wasn't a rape? I'd rather the girl was lying as opposed to hoping she was raped. To be clear, I am NOT hoping that they can't prove there was, I'm hoping there simply wasn't one.

I don't know where my line is. But I'm pretty sure that AB simply being an a-hole doesn't cross it. Him being a rapist, or at least credibly accused? Then yeah, that's a lot different. And I just don't know if we're there. Yet.
What he’s saying, I believe, is that we’re at a point in this case-as sometimes happens-where every possible outcome is shitty.

By no means is it wrong to hope there was no rape. But here, in what generally would be the hoped for outcome, that would give us a high profile wrongful rape accusation for money that would set back #metoo significantly, or however you want to put it. Assuming we don’t think that is good, we have a kind of Sophie’s choice with respect to what we hope for.
 

BaseballJones

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Brown really isn’t in any position at the moment to demand or whine about getting the number he wants. He’s lucky he’s employed in the NFL right now. I’d like to think he isn’t so stupid as to not understand at least THAT.
 

BaseballJones

ivanvamp
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What he’s saying, I believe, is that we’re at a point in this case-as sometimes happens-where every possible outcome is shitty.

By no means is it wrong to hope there was no rape. But here, in what generally would be the hoped for outcome, that would give us a high profile wrongful rape accusation for money that would set back #metoo significantly, or however you want to put it. Assuming we don’t think that is good, we have a kind of Sophie’s choice with respect to what we hope for.
Not only that (though you are entirely correct), but it’s also a horrible wrong to lie and accuse someone falsely of rape. That charge alone can ruin someone’s life. I’ve no sympathy for guys who actually rape; but some guys don’t and when falsely accused its devastating for them. So this whole situation sucks on every level.
 

Reverend

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It's an interesting hypothetical. Suppose the NFL didn't exist and these players were forced to live "normal" (i.e., non professional athlete's) lives. Would this group be more likely to commit crimes at a higher rate than the general population? In other words, does being a pro athlete actually have a reducing effect on crime? Or is this just statistical coincidence?

I think the money may be a factor. I think the rigid structure may be a factor. I think the fact that they play a violent sport and can take out their violent tendencies (such as they exist) on other men in a legal way and get paid for it, instead of taking it out in criminal activity may be a factor. I'm not a sociologist so I'm just guessing here.
As to the bolded, perhaps that is not advisable?

As with the stats you provided, it missed some key control variables that others immediately pointed out, rendering what you had thought to be compelling evidence null-and it’s stuff that has been addressed before on this message board.

Asking questions is good. Speculation is usually bad, because so much of this is counterintuitive or not intuitive.
 

BaseballJones

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As to the bolded, perhaps that is not advisable?

As with the stats you provided, it missed some key control variables that others immediately pointed out, rendering what you had thought to be compelling evidence null-and it’s stuff that has been addressed before on this message board.

Asking questions is good. Speculation is usually bad, because so much of this is counterintuitive or not intuitive.
That’s fine. But if people on a sports board aren’t allowed to speculate.... I mean.... isn’t that what happens here every day?
 

Reverend

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Not only that (though you are entirely correct), but it’s also a horrible wrong to lie and accuse someone falsely of rape. That charge alone can ruin someone’s life. I’ve no sympathy for guys who actually rape; but some guys don’t and when falsely accused its devastating for them. So this whole situation sucks on every level.
If there is a hell, there’s a special place for those who knowingly falsely accuse, not just because of the harm to the individual, but to the harm it does to the social perception of accusers and accusations.

I’ve been involved in cases with false accusations. They suck. They’re rare, but they suck. And they so much more harm that is not isolated to the individual case.
 

Reverend

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That’s fine. But if people on a sports board aren’t allowed to speculate.... I mean.... isn’t that what happens here every day?
Of the posts that come from a place of ignorance (which is fine), which do you generally find better: the ones that focus on asking questions and learning new stuff, or those that throw spaghetti at the wall?

I think you’re curious about valid things. But the “What if?” game is bad in these situations due to a whole bunch of logical fallacies humans are prone to. We tend to come up more with things that are imaginable while in the process sacrificing a focus on what did actually happen.

Like, your raising the possibility that she could be mistaken and not lying is a really delicate matter. It doesn’t need to be ignored, and perhaps shouldn’t be. But it deserves a more involved treatment about how such things work rather than sorta just throwing it into the pot as a possibility.
 

Reverend

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On a less delicate matter, I’m happy to speculate:

What are the odds that even if he could, Belichick wouldn’t give Brown 84 just to see how he handles it?
 

E5 Yaz

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Of the posts that come from a place of ignorance (which is fine), which do you generally find better: the ones that focus on asking questions and learning new stuff, or those that throw spaghetti at the wall?

I think you’re curious about valid things. But the “What if?” game is bad in these situations due to a whole bunch of logical fallacies humans are prone to. We tend to come up more with things that are imaginable while in the process sacrificing a focus on what did actually happen.

Like, your raising the possibility that she could be mistaken and not lying is a really delicate matter. It doesn’t need to be ignored, and perhaps shouldn’t be. But it deserves a more involved treatment about how such things work rather than sorta just throwing it into the pot as a possibility.
Is it going into a pot or against the wall? Make up his mind
 

TFisNEXT

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AB will have to talk with Lisa Friel, probably week after next. She spent over 8 hours with Tyreek Hill.
If he bullshits her, he'll likely go on the Exempt List. Even if he's not guilty, he need a better attorney--
Brady stupidly went into his interview with Don Yee, another sports lawyer, and ended up suspended.
Yes, this is a dangerous interview for him. Lisa Friel is the one who overrode the recommendation of Kia Roberts in the Ezekiel Elliot case.

As a refresher for those who either didn't know or forgot, Kia Roberts was the lead investigator in the Zeke case and was the only person to interview all witnesses including the alleged victim. She determined that the alleged victim was not consistent in her story and had a credibility problem....and she recommended no suspension for Elliot. Lisa Friel ignored the recommendation and convinced Roger Goodell give Elliot 6 games anyway.

The cases are different obviously in that Elliot's case was a criminal investigation (later dropped by police), but there's more than a whiff of preconceived notion that came out Lisa Friel in the NFL investigation. AB will need some top end representation.
 

BaseballJones

ivanvamp
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Oct 1, 2015
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Of the posts that come from a place of ignorance (which is fine), which do you generally find better: the ones that focus on asking questions and learning new stuff, or those that throw spaghetti at the wall?

I think you’re curious about valid things. But the “What if?” game is bad in these situations due to a whole bunch of logical fallacies humans are prone to. We tend to come up more with things that are imaginable while in the process sacrificing a focus on what did actually happen.

Like, your raising the possibility that she could be mistaken and not lying is a really delicate matter. It doesn’t need to be ignored, and perhaps shouldn’t be. But it deserves a more involved treatment about how such things work rather than sorta just throwing it into the pot as a possibility.
Interesting side conversation we're having here. I generally like asking questions. But there's real value in speculation. When people speculate, they're suggesting alternative possibilities. Sometimes such speculation results in real leads, or real discovery. Sometimes it prompts an idea that ends up being really useful. Anyone engaged in creative processes has experienced this. Someone throws out an idea and says, "This may be a crazy thought but..." and then speculates on a possibility. That gets the people in the room thinking and asking a bunch of questions, and the result is a winner of an idea or a plan. And it may not have started without that initial speculative comment.

In SoSH we have people who are experts in all sorts of diverse fields, and it's always better to grant those folks a wide berth as they ply their expertise. So here in this conversation, it's really helpful to get the thoughts from lawyers and sociologists. But I'll wager that in this AB conversation the vast majority of people who have actually offered their opinions on the matter are not "experts" at all in this. But none of us are writing a paper for peer-review. None of us are seriously here advancing some sort of social theory or whatever. We're just sports fans of a team that is going through a crazy situation, and we're all wondering just what the heck is going on and why. We're just a group of fans trying to make sense of things. Speculation is very much a natural part of that. And quite obviously, it's not just me...this happens every day on SoSH and every other discussion board in the world.

But I do hear what you're saying. I'm just not sure I 100% agree.
 

Jimbodandy

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I can't speak for Rev, but I interpret his remarks as a caution against speculation in a very specific band. We have folks on the board for whom sexual assault isn't an academic thing, but rather a first hand experience. Within those domains, perhaps the untrained should hold back speculation more than in other areas.
 

InstaFace

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That’s fine. But if people on a sports board aren’t allowed to speculate.... I mean.... isn’t that what happens here every day?
FWIW I didn't have a problem with you identifying some factors that would make a straight comparison to the population difficult, and musing about which direction those factors cut. I don't think you need a PhD to do that, and sociology is a pretty fuzzy science to begin with.

That line of conversation began with the opinion - from a small-time twitter advocacy group, but echoed by a few here - that the NFL has "an epidemic" of domestic violence. I think it's certainly possible that NFL athletes, due to demographics or the arrogance of sudden wealth, over-index in that regard; and equally possible that, due to leading highly regimented lives (or the other things you mention) they under-index in it. But one thing that's clear is that the NFL's prominence means it has an outsize ability to set the tone and drive national conversation around domestic violence, as it does in many other social issues. And that is and ought to be a consideration, both for their own brand as well as for the possibility of what message they want to send. They have a now-100-year history of treating employees like cattle, and sometimes literally referring to them as such. If Brown is one more pawn that needs to be sacrificed, I'm sure they'll do it, but they like other things too (such as attention). So whether there actually is "an epidemic of DV" in the NFL may actually be a secondary question to, "does the NFL need to show leadership, or at least make people think they're taking action, in this area?".

If you ask me, letting the Tyreek Hill thing slide was a bit of a black mark, and they've been anything but consistent in adjudicating the individual cases that come up. We also know the union thinks that the whole Wheel Of Justice approach is bullshit, and may even make a major issue out of it. Given that people remember (and are persuaded by) anecdote far moreso than they are by actual data, I think there's actually a pretty good argument that they should have a special crackdown on DV. Ideally I'd want to see that start with an explicit policy that can be applied fairly and consistently, and one which prioritized criminal issues over civil. Given the current facts of the Brown case, it seems unlikely to me that they'd pick this moment to make a scapegoat out of one of the league's top stars, but I suppose it could happen.
 

j44thor

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Yes, this is a dangerous interview for him. Lisa Friel is the one who overrode the recommendation of Kia Roberts in the Ezekiel Elliot case.

As a refresher for those who either didn't know or forgot, Kia Roberts was the lead investigator in the Zeke case and was the only person to interview all witnesses including the alleged victim. She determined that the alleged victim was not consistent in her story and had a credibility problem....and she recommended no suspension for Elliot. Lisa Friel ignored the recommendation and convinced Roger Goodell give Elliot 6 games anyway.

The cases are different obviously in that Elliot's case was a criminal investigation (later dropped by police), but there's more than a whiff of preconceived notion that came out Lisa Friel in the NFL investigation. AB will need some top end representation.
Sadly I have a feeling AB is more likely to bring his social media consultants to the meeting than top notch legal representation.
He will be surprised to find out he can't live tweet the meeting. Gotta keep appearances up yo.
 

tims4wins

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Given the current facts of the Brown case, it seems unlikely to me that they'd pick this moment to make a scapegoat out of one of the league's top stars, but I suppose it could happen.
Yeah that's NEVER happened before. Substitute Brady for Brown and backdate this post to February 2015.
 

BaseballJones

ivanvamp
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I can't speak for Rev, but I interpret his remarks as a caution against speculation in a very specific band. We have folks on the board for whom sexual assault isn't an academic thing, but rather a first hand experience. Within those domains, perhaps the untrained should hold back speculation more than in other areas.
FWIW..... I have a daughter who was raped. So this is very raw for me as we work through it.

My speculation was specifically about why NFL players might be arrested for crimes at a lower rate than the general male population of the same age. Not specifically about sexual assault or rape.
 

Jimbodandy

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FWIW..... I have a daughter who was raped. So this is very raw for me as we work through it.

My speculation was specifically about why NFL players might be arrested for crimes at a lower rate than the general male population of the same age. Not specifically about sexual assault or rape.

I saw what I thought was your response to this below from #1323:

Like, your raising the possibility that she could be mistaken and not lying is a really delicate matter. It doesn’t need to be ignored, and perhaps shouldn’t be. But it deserves a more involved treatment about how such things work rather than sorta just throwing it into the pot as a possibility.
Clearly I read something wrong. No offense was intended, sorry.
 

lexrageorge

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FWIW..... I have a daughter who was raped. So this is very raw for me as we work through it.

My speculation was specifically about why NFL players might be arrested for crimes at a lower rate than the general male population of the same age. Not specifically about sexual assault or rape.
I will say I don't think you did anything wrong. You made a hypothesis in response to some posts, did some research, and stated your assumptions. When challenged on some of your assumptions or methodology by people with more expertise in the area than you or I, you acknowledged them. That sort of dialog happens all the time on this board, and the topic should be innocuous enough (general crimes) that people should not have been offended.

Nor do I believe @Reverend was accusing you of any wrongdoing. I cannot speak for him, however. But I can see his point that in some cases, poorly informed speculation can cross a thin line.

Specific to this case, it's fair to speculate whether the accusations against Brown are an extortion attempt. Brown put it out there, and make some specific and potentially rebuttable statements. Similarly, the plaintiff's case made some statements that AB has already attempted to rebut (purely professional relationship). And we all know that real examples of extortion do exist. There is an alternative universe scenario where the accuser makes first a criminal complaint, and AB does nothing but simply deny, deny, deny. I'll speculate that speculation of Brown's guilt or innocence would be far less well received in that alternate universe.

Similarly, some folks have speculated on the timing of the lawsuit. Such speculation really didn't add anything to the discussion, at least until a couple of actual litigators jumped in and discussed and speculated upon some of the reasons for the timing, and why civil not criminal, etc.
 

BaseballJones

ivanvamp
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I saw what I thought was your response to this from #1323:



Clearly I read something wrong. No offense was intended, sorry.
Oh no offense taken. And I wasn't really speculating per se on that comment you're referring to. I was just saying that in response to someone else offering a list of only two possibilities (the rape happened or she's lying). I was just saying that there's a third possibility, but I said I have no idea what happened here of course.
 

dcmissle

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If people can’t watch because they think he is a rapist, or because of any of the other stuff, I get it.

I continue to believe he plays Sunday, unless the League puts him on the Exempt List, which I think is unlikely.

https://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2019/09/12/patriots-are-planning-for-antonio-brown-to-play/
And if you’re looking for positive contributions from him this season, playing him is almost certainly good for him and the team. He needs to get on the field and out of his three-month self created circus.
 

jose melendez

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Wonderful WaPo column by Sally Jenkins on AB's disgusting texts, referencing her reverence for athletes'
"exquisite physical precision and ephemeral beauty...but I've never reconciled myself to the clumsy, casual 'all my bitches' way some of them talk."
It's a lot easier to root for class acts like DMac, Slater, Mayo, etc.

https://beta.washingtonpost.com/sports/nfl/i-dont-know-what-antonio-brown-did-but-hes-already-damned-by-misogynist-language/2019/09/11/3f42c4e8-d4c0-11e9-9343-40db57cf6abd_story.html
She might be the best sports columnist in America.
 

lexrageorge

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Last two players to wear 17 for the Pats were kick returners: Riley McCarron returned 1 punt last year, and Bernard Reedy returned 4 in 2017. Both were listed as wide receivers. The last #17 to catch a pass for the Pats was Aaron Dobson. It was also worn by John Friesz, 2nd string QB during Brady's rookie year; and Steve Grogan's long time backup, Tom Owen.
 

Sox and Rocks

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She might be the best sports columnist in America.
Agreed. It's a terrific article. Thanks for posting this, lambeau, and for quoting it, jose melendez; otherwise, I wouldn't have seen it.

Frankly, I'm surprised the NFL didn't suspend Brown a game or two for threatening Mayock and calling him a "cracker." The NFL shouldn't tolerate threats and racist language of any kind.

I suppose it's still possible they might. Friday suspensions are somewhat common, aren't they?
 
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