Pats FA Watch: LGBT Back on a 1-year Deal

moondog80

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If they get a first, they are losing the highest one under the penalty.
Don't NBA teams get around this by simply executing the trade after the pick is made? Maybe another team might be reluctant do that in this case where you're helping another team get around an NFL punishment, but on the other hand, it's dog-eat-dog; team X is only going to trade down with NE if they think it is a good move for them, so maybe they say the hell with it, I'm not going to be a good solider only to see another team step in and make the deal they wanted to make.
 

Morgan's Magic Snowplow

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Well yes, I realize that. I just think Logan Ryan is overrated a bit on this site and others, and I don't think he will be all that difficult to extend, so I don't count it as a high priority. If he wants to sign for a good deal, swell. If I'm the patriots, I'm not putting it at the top of my to-do list.
I think the way the Patriots have proven to operate is to work on a bunch of deals at the same time, always looking to maximize value, and without really prioritizing the best players first. So I'm not sure why a potential team-friendly extension for Ryan would be buried at the bottom of the to-do list.

The context here is also important. It doesn't make a lot of sense to rip up Butler's contract this offseason because he is only RFA in 2017. We have one year of team control at the minimum and then another year in which we'll be able to either retain him at the first round tender level of 2.8M, get a first round pick for him if another team signs him to an offer sheet that we don't want to match, or match that offer sheet (which will be almost certainly below-market given that the other team had to give up a 1st in the equation). He's a tremendously valuable asset on his current contract and he'd have to sign an incredibly below market long term deal to make an extension worthwhile. Contracts like that just don't happen very often, where teams give up two years of cheap control on an extension because two years is a lifetime in the NFL for any position outside of QB. So if you can sign Logan Ryan to a fairly team friendly deal this offseason, it makes a good amount of sense as it decreases your uncertainty at the CB position going forward.

I also think that signing both Collins and Hightower to big money deals a year before their free agent year is a terrible idea and use of salary cap resources in a passing-friendly era. In general, the track record of big money second contracts to ILBs is pretty awful. Its a position where you very often get the best years out of players on their rookie deals and they then wear down a lot physically after age 26-27. Jerod Mayo is our own cautionary tale in this respect but there are many, many players just like him (Harris, Beason, Dansby, Butler, Laurinaitis, Lee, Cushing, Posluszny, Timmons are some examples) signed to big second contracts who have not lived up to their cap numbers due to declining performance or injury. I bet if you looked at the biggest 10-15 ILB contracts in NFL history you'd find only a handful that look good in retrospect and those would mostly be players that were great coverage linebackers. As established stars one year away from FA who are slated to make 7M this year anyway, both Collins and Hightower are going to want to get paid market value in any extension. There's not a ton of upside in locking them up early and a lot of downside. I'd probably still explore an extension with Collins because he's a special player with his mix of pass rush and coverage skills. As important as Hightower has been to our run defense, I want no part of extending him a year early to a big money deal. He fits the profile to a T of the kind of ILB that you don't want to get locked into on a big second deal (physical run stopper who isn't a coverage asset and could become a huge liability if he loses a further half step, has had a lot of injury issues and wear-and-tear on his rookie deal).
 

BigSoxFan

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Goes back to Spygate. They should have had two 1st round draft picks that year. People complained then because they didn't lose their more valuable draft pick.
Which is just fucking stupid. I really hate the NFL sometimes.
 
Apr 7, 2006
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I think the way the Patriots have proven to operate is to work on a bunch of deals at the same time, always looking to maximize value, and without really prioritizing the best players first. So I'm not sure why a potential team-friendly extension for Ryan would be buried at the bottom of the to-do list.

The context here is also important. It doesn't make a lot of sense to rip up Butler's contract this offseason because he is only RFA in 2017. We have one year of team control at the minimum and then another year in which we'll be able to either retain him at the first round tender level of 2.8M, get a first round pick for him if another team signs him to an offer sheet that we don't want to match, or match that offer sheet (which will be almost certainly below-market given that the other team had to give up a 1st in the equation). He's a tremendously valuable asset on his current contract and he'd have to sign an incredibly below market long term deal to make an extension worthwhile. Contracts like that just don't happen very often, where teams give up two years of cheap control on an extension because two years is a lifetime in the NFL for any position outside of QB. So if you can sign Logan Ryan to a fairly team friendly deal this offseason, it makes a good amount of sense as it decreases your uncertainty at the CB position going forward.

I also think that signing both Collins and Hightower to big money deals a year before their free agent year is a terrible idea and use of salary cap resources in a passing-friendly era. In general, the track record of big money second contracts to ILBs is pretty awful. Its a position where you very often get the best years out of players on their rookie deals and they then wear down a lot physically after age 26-27. Jerod Mayo is our own cautionary tale in this respect but there are many, many players just like him (Harris, Beason, Dansby, Butler, Laurinaitis, Lee, Cushing, Posluszny, Timmons are some examples) signed to big second contracts who have not lived up to their cap numbers due to declining performance or injury. I bet if you looked at the biggest 10-15 ILB contracts in NFL history you'd find only a handful that look good in retrospect and those would mostly be players that were great coverage linebackers. As established stars one year away from FA who are slated to make 7M this year anyway, both Collins and Hightower are going to want to get paid market value in any extension. There's not a ton of upside in locking them up early and a lot of downside. I'd probably still explore an extension with Collins because he's a special player with his mix of pass rush and coverage skills. As important as Hightower has been to our run defense, I want no part of extending him a year early to a big money deal. He fits the profile to a T of the kind of ILB that you don't want to get locked into on a big second deal (physical run stopper who isn't a coverage asset and could become a huge liability if he loses a further half step, has had a lot of injury issues and wear-and-tear on his rookie deal).
Ahhhh... I see your point. Fair enough. I still don't like Logan Ryan nearly SS much as many here do, but if we want to sign him to a verrrry team friendly deal, who am I to get in the way?
 

Shelterdog

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I also think that signing both Collins and Hightower to big money deals a year before their free agent year is a terrible idea and use of salary cap resources in a passing-friendly era.
One mitigating factor (for Hightower and for Chandler Jones) is that because of the structure of rookie contracts Hightower and Jones will have pretty high cap hits next year whether you re-sign them or not.

I'd be inclined to franchise and re-sign Collins and let Hightower go--I think, like you, I could imagine Hightower being Mayo part two and being slow and ineffective due to injuries by 2017.
 

Captaincoop

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How exactly does the Pats draft pick penalty work? I couldn't find the precise language anywhere. My understanding was that they have to forfeit their highest pick in the draft, so if they were to acquire, say, the 15th pick, they would have to give that one up and would keep #30.
 

MarcSullivaFan

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Hoo-hoo-hoo hoosier land.
I think the way the Patriots have proven to operate is to work on a bunch of deals at the same time, always looking to maximize value, and without really prioritizing the best players first. So I'm not sure why a potential team-friendly extension for Ryan would be buried at the bottom of the to-do list.

The context here is also important. It doesn't make a lot of sense to rip up Butler's contract this offseason because he is only RFA in 2017. We have one year of team control at the minimum and then another year in which we'll be able to either retain him at the first round tender level of 2.8M, get a first round pick for him if another team signs him to an offer sheet that we don't want to match, or match that offer sheet (which will be almost certainly below-market given that the other team had to give up a 1st in the equation). He's a tremendously valuable asset on his current contract and he'd have to sign an incredibly below market long term deal to make an extension worthwhile. Contracts like that just don't happen very often, where teams give up two years of cheap control on an extension because two years is a lifetime in the NFL for any position outside of QB. So if you can sign Logan Ryan to a fairly team friendly deal this offseason, it makes a good amount of sense as it decreases your uncertainty at the CB position going forward.

I also think that signing both Collins and Hightower to big money deals a year before their free agent year is a terrible idea and use of salary cap resources in a passing-friendly era. In general, the track record of big money second contracts to ILBs is pretty awful. Its a position where you very often get the best years out of players on their rookie deals and they then wear down a lot physically after age 26-27. Jerod Mayo is our own cautionary tale in this respect but there are many, many players just like him (Harris, Beason, Dansby, Butler, Laurinaitis, Lee, Cushing, Posluszny, Timmons are some examples) signed to big second contracts who have not lived up to their cap numbers due to declining performance or injury. I bet if you looked at the biggest 10-15 ILB contracts in NFL history you'd find only a handful that look good in retrospect and those would mostly be players that were great coverage linebackers. As established stars one year away from FA who are slated to make 7M this year anyway, both Collins and Hightower are going to want to get paid market value in any extension. There's not a ton of upside in locking them up early and a lot of downside. I'd probably still explore an extension with Collins because he's a special player with his mix of pass rush and coverage skills. As important as Hightower has been to our run defense, I want no part of extending him a year early to a big money deal. He fits the profile to a T of the kind of ILB that you don't want to get locked into on a big second deal (physical run stopper who isn't a coverage asset and could become a huge liability if he loses a further half step, has had a lot of injury issues and wear-and-tear on his rookie deal).
Great analysis. I feel even more strongly that Collins is a special case. He's got HOF talent and can play multiple positions. Can't let a guy like that get away.
 

MarcSullivaFan

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How exactly does the Pats draft pick penalty work? I couldn't find the precise language anywhere. My understanding was that they have to forfeit their highest pick in the draft, so if they were to acquire, say, the 15th pick, they would have to give that one up and would keep #30.
"For the violation of the playing rules and the failure to cooperate in the subsequent investigation, the New England Patriots are fined $1 million and will forfeit the club's first-round selection in the 2016 NFL Draft and the club's fourth-round selection in the 2017 NFL Draft. If the Patriots have more than one selection in either of these rounds, the earlier selection shall be forfeited. The club may not trade or otherwise encumber these selections."

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000492190/article/nfl-releases-statement-on-patriots-violations
 

I12XU

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Why does everyone hate Cannon? Was it yesterday? Was it this season? Does he suck as a guard? Is he overpaid?
 

Shelterdog

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Why does everyone hate Cannon? Was it yesterday? Was it this season? Does he suck as a guard? Is he overpaid?
He sucks as a guard and hasn't been good this year. I thought he was fine when he was purely playing RT at the end of 2013. Salary is a tough call-veteran olline players, even kind of shitty ones, get paid very well. He's paid reasonably for a third tackle right now (2.6 million cap hit) but that cap hit goes up next year and he has to play and perform like at least a mediocre starting tackle to earn his salary next season.
 

Captaincoop

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"For the violation of the playing rules and the failure to cooperate in the subsequent investigation, the New England Patriots are fined $1 million and will forfeit the club's first-round selection in the 2016 NFL Draft and the club's fourth-round selection in the 2017 NFL Draft. If the Patriots have more than one selection in either of these rounds, the earlier selection shall be forfeited. The club may not trade or otherwise encumber these selections."

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000492190/article/nfl-releases-statement-on-patriots-violations
Thanks. You know, it's lost in all the other garbage that went on, but that penalty as written is absurd. Basically, if they were to trade fair value outside of their forfeited pick to obtain a higher first rounder, the penalty effectively increases. F Goodell.
 

BigSoxFan

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"For the violation of the playing rules and the failure to cooperate in the subsequent investigation, the New England Patriots are fined $1 million and will forfeit the club's first-round selection in the 2016 NFL Draft and the club's fourth-round selection in the 2017 NFL Draft. If the Patriots have more than one selection in either of these rounds, the earlier selection shall be forfeited. The club may not trade or otherwise encumber these selections."

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000492190/article/nfl-releases-statement-on-patriots-violations
Reading this again just made me angrier than yesterday's loss.
 

PedroKsBambino

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Reading this again just made me angrier than yesterday's loss.
QFT. I agree with the comment in another thread that the pre-Super Bowl search for stories was also the best chance for public sentiment to continue to build around the inanity of punishment...an opportunity now lost, I am afraid.
 

Valek123

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Why does everyone hate Cannon? Was it yesterday? Was it this season? Does he suck as a guard? Is he overpaid?
I agree.

Also if he wasn't injured is yesterday the worst performance by a offensive lineman in post season history. He flat out WHIFFED on a solid 15%, and made even moderate contact on like 40% of the total snaps. We rewound the game several times and if wasn't a Patriots player having that performance would have likely laughed, instead tears and beers.
 

Saints Rest

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Not trying to nitpick here, but at some point don't your depth guys kind of have to be JAGs? I'm sure we'd all love starting quality players backing up every starter but that's not realistic. I guess you could argue that not all JAGs are created equal. I would suppose that is comes down to a mix of which positions do you like your JAGs vs. the available options to upgrade. For example, I'd be fine with keeping Freeney and Fleming as next two LBers up if the trade off meant they could significantly upgrade the depth/talent at OT.
My point was that they likely need a 3rd LB for a base defense (I know that "base" frequently means nickel, but even then, it would be nice to have the option to go 3-3 rather than 4-2).

I also left out the follow-on to my point, that being that if they don't/can't extend either DH or JC or (god forbid) both, they will need a new LB in 2017. I'd like to see that guy be drafted now. It has been a rare LB in the BB days who has contributed much as a rookie. Both Collins and Hightower were limited in Year One.
 

lexrageorge

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I think the way the Patriots have proven to operate is to work on a bunch of deals at the same time, always looking to maximize value, and without really prioritizing the best players first. So I'm not sure why a potential team-friendly extension for Ryan would be buried at the bottom of the to-do list.

The context here is also important. It doesn't make a lot of sense to rip up Butler's contract this offseason because he is only RFA in 2017. We have one year of team control at the minimum and then another year in which we'll be able to either retain him at the first round tender level of 2.8M, get a first round pick for him if another team signs him to an offer sheet that we don't want to match, or match that offer sheet (which will be almost certainly below-market given that the other team had to give up a 1st in the equation). He's a tremendously valuable asset on his current contract and he'd have to sign an incredibly below market long term deal to make an extension worthwhile. Contracts like that just don't happen very often, where teams give up two years of cheap control on an extension because two years is a lifetime in the NFL for any position outside of QB. So if you can sign Logan Ryan to a fairly team friendly deal this offseason, it makes a good amount of sense as it decreases your uncertainty at the CB position going forward.

I also think that signing both Collins and Hightower to big money deals a year before their free agent year is a terrible idea and use of salary cap resources in a passing-friendly era. In general, the track record of big money second contracts to ILBs is pretty awful. Its a position where you very often get the best years out of players on their rookie deals and they then wear down a lot physically after age 26-27. Jerod Mayo is our own cautionary tale in this respect but there are many, many players just like him (Harris, Beason, Dansby, Butler, Laurinaitis, Lee, Cushing, Posluszny, Timmons are some examples) signed to big second contracts who have not lived up to their cap numbers due to declining performance or injury. I bet if you looked at the biggest 10-15 ILB contracts in NFL history you'd find only a handful that look good in retrospect and those would mostly be players that were great coverage linebackers. As established stars one year away from FA who are slated to make 7M this year anyway, both Collins and Hightower are going to want to get paid market value in any extension. There's not a ton of upside in locking them up early and a lot of downside. I'd probably still explore an extension with Collins because he's a special player with his mix of pass rush and coverage skills. As important as Hightower has been to our run defense, I want no part of extending him a year early to a big money deal. He fits the profile to a T of the kind of ILB that you don't want to get locked into on a big second deal (physical run stopper who isn't a coverage asset and could become a huge liability if he loses a further half step, has had a lot of injury issues and wear-and-tear on his rookie deal).
Generally agree, except that the Pats may be able to reduce Hightower's 2016 cap number by signing him to an extension this offseason. So, if there is some wiggle room in Hightower's assumed desire to be paid at market level, an extension could be worth exploring.

Collins cap number this season is really low, but I can easily see him being useful for another 4 years; his is a talent that is not easily replaced.
 

DegenerateSoxFan

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Reading this again just made me angrier than yesterday's loss.
$25K fine. That's what it should have even if they were guilty (and the best evidence says nope). And the failure to cooperate charge is one that would be laughed out of court if could be litigated in one (yes, I know it can't).

$25K fine.

I love Bob Kraft, but he got completely hosed in a way that he absolutely should have seen coming. The loss of these picks - not to mention the way they structured it so as to make trading up useless - just when the Brady window is probably starting to close is utterly reprehensible. You're absolutely right. I, too, am far angrier about this than than Belichick & McDaniels outthinking themselves and the O-line soiling itself yesterday.

$25K fine.
 

Shelterdog

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I agree.

Also if he wasn't injured is yesterday the worst performance by a offensive lineman in post season history. He flat out WHIFFED on a solid 15%, and made even moderate contact on like 40% of the total snaps. We rewound the game several times and if wasn't a Patriots player having that performance would have likely laughed, instead tears and beers.
Max Lane and Logan Mankins vehemently disagree.
 

Hagios

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Dec 15, 2007
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I think the Pats are in pretty good shape. Outside of Brady, they're a young team and should be better next year than they were this year. I'd just like to see more depth (RB, OL, WR and secondary).

The big wildcards are (A) health, and (B) Brady's aging trajectory. I think they ought to be healthier next year (I think Edelman and the OL were probably operating at 80%), so it's really just Brady that I'm worried about. When QB's fall off a cliff they fall quickly. Hopefully he's got another good year or two.
 

MarcSullivaFan

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Don't NBA teams get around this by simply executing the trade after the pick is made? Maybe another team might be reluctant do that in this case where you're helping another team get around an NFL punishment, but on the other hand, it's dog-eat-dog; team X is only going to trade down with NE if they think it is a good move for them, so maybe they say the hell with it, I'm not going to be a good solider only to see another team step in and make the deal they wanted to make.
This seems like an awful idea. Guess who will be responsible for determining whether such an arrangement violates the terms of discipline? I'll give you a hint: He has red hair, his name rhymes with Godger Roodell, and he's a huge asshole.

Do the Pats really want to get cute with the league right now? The last thing they need is more lost draft picks and scrutiny.
 
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jablo1312

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Miguel (@patscap on Twitter, a must follow for anyone interested in the Patriots offseason) laid out a number of ways the team can create space this offseason in this article (http://www.patsfans.com/salary-cap/2016/01/24/how-the-new-england-patriots-can-create-cap-space-in-2016/). The main avenues to do so are:

-Cutting Lafell, Chandler, Mayo, (as RedOctober said), and potentially others (Bostic, Dobson, Cannon)
-Extending some of their notable current players (especially Jones or Hightower, but including Sheard)
-Restructure deals of current players, including Amendola,

So how can/will they use this space? I think they need to target another offensive lineman (as has been said) and maybe another WR. There are reports that Lafell has been more injured than the team has let on, and I wouldn't be totally opposed to bringing him back, but it would be nice to have more of an impact player out wide.
 

tims4wins

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How about Chandler Jones to Arizona for #29? The Cardinals want to upgrade their pass rush, and that way there wouldn't be any complications in terms of the pick # because it would be 29 either way.
 

dcmissle

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Don't NBA teams get around this by simply executing the trade after the pick is made? Maybe another team might be reluctant do that in this case where you're helping another team get around an NFL punishment, but on the other hand, it's dog-eat-dog; team X is only going to trade down with NE if they think it is a good move for them, so maybe they say the hell with it, I'm not going to be a good solider only to see another team step in and make the deal they wanted to make.
That would be asking for trouble.

I think they will try quietly to have draft pick penalties reduced. Don't expect much.

Suing the League would have been harmful and counterproductive. To join this band of billionaires as owner, you sell your soul and virtually all legal recourse
 

DJnVa

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The idea of Ivory is fun. But the last thing we need is a player with a history of having trouble staying on the field. Or at least staying relatively healthy throughout the year.
Why do people keep saying this?

Chris Ivory has played in 46 of the last 48 games.
 

ObstructedView

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Obviously need to bolster the O-line (maybe getting healthy does it?), but I also think they also need a WR who can make plays downfield. Doesn't need to be a Megatron or Dez, but it would be nice to have someone who can at least supplant James White as our primary deep threat.
 

Shelterdog

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Miguel (@patscap on Twitter, a must follow for anyone interested in the Patriots offseason) laid out a number of ways the team can create space this offseason in this article (http://www.patsfans.com/salary-cap/2016/01/24/how-the-new-england-patriots-can-create-cap-space-in-2016/). The main avenues to do so are:

-Cutting Lafell, Chandler, Mayo, (as RedOctober said), and potentially others (Bostic, Dobson, Cannon)
-Extending some of their notable current players (especially Jones or Hightower, but including Sheard)
-Restructure deals of current players, including Amendola,

So how can/will they use this space? I think they need to target another offensive lineman (as has been said) and maybe another WR. There are reports that Lafell has been more injured than the team has let on, and I wouldn't be totally opposed to bringing him back, but it would be nice to have more of an impact player out wide.
Even if they have money I don't see it--the Pats seem to prize continuity and developing talent on the line. Can anyone think of a big name OL the Pats have brought in other than Brian Waters? Waters is also a special case--he was a pro bowl player who was an unrestricted free agent who was willing to play for peanuts as long as we didn't make him do much in the off-season, and it was in also the year with the shortened off-season due to the lockout.
 

vadertime

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How about Chandler Jones to Arizona for #29? The Cardinals want to upgrade their pass rush, and that way there wouldn't be any complications in terms of the pick # because it would be 29 either way.
Because that would mean trading Jones for nothing. #29 falls in the first round. We can't a have a first round pick, unless we have a lower pick in that round. So unless you have another trade lined up for #30 or #31 we would be trading him for nothing. And even if you did adding in what we would have to give up in that deal would make it counter-productive.
 

Super Nomario

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Even if they have money I don't see it--the Pats seem to prize continuity and developing talent on the line. Can anyone think of a big name OL the Pats have brought in other than Brian Waters? Waters is also a special case--he was a pro bowl player who was an unrestricted free agent who was willing to play for peanuts as long as we didn't make him do much in the off-season, and it was in also the year with the shortened off-season due to the lockout.
The counter-argument is that the offensive line has never been such a dire need before. Ideally, you build every position through the draft and only go outside the organization when that is unsuccessful. The OL has been successful in the past, but clearly it isn't now.
 

Three10toLeft

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Why do people keep saying this?

Chris Ivory has played in 46 of the last 48 games.
I suppose my understanding of the true number of games missed by Ivory has been schewed by constantly hearing/reading about various injuries that the guy has been battling and the debate on whether he'll be playing or not on any given Sunday.

Taking a quick look at his game logs, I'm not sure if he was a factor for the Saints early in his rookie year, so I won't count the first year in which he didn't play in 4 games.

After that he's played in a total of 70 out of 80 career games. I guess that's not too bad. But not someone that would fill me with hope if the Patriots were to sign them in the offseason, considering he'll be 29 by the start of the season and coming off his only season in which he's been able to rush the ball over 200 times.
 

Stitch01

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Because that would mean trading Jones for nothing. #29 falls in the first round. We can't a have a first round pick, unless we have a lower pick in that round. So unless you have another trade lined up for #30 or #31 we would be trading him for nothing. And even if you did adding in what we would have to give up in that deal would make it counter-productive.
Under his scenario we should then have the 29th and 30th pick and we'd lose the 29th pick for deflategate leaving the Pats with the 30th pick.
 

vadertime

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Under his scenario we should then have the 29th and 30th pick and we'd lose the 29th pick for deflategate leaving the Pats with the 30th pick.
Exactly. Which means we would've traded Jones and whatever the team with #30 wanted for #30. Meaning we basically get raped for it to happen.
 

tims4wins

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Exactly. Which means we would've traded Jones and whatever the team with #30 wanted for #30. Meaning we basically get raped for it to happen.
Incorrect. We have the 30th pick, but it goes up in smoke. In this scenario, we trade for the 29th pick. We then have the 29th and 30th picks. The 29th pick then goes up in smoke and we still get the 30th pick.

Edit: do you really think that if we trade for a first round pick, we don't get to use a first round pick?? It is pretty clear that if we trade for a pick then we have to forfeit whichever is the better of the two picks - the pick we traded for, or our original pick. In this case the picks would be back to back so we wouldn't really be losing any ground
 

Stitch01

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We have number 30 now. At the time of the draft we will be docked the highest of whatever 1st round picks we have the rights to. If we trade for number 29 we'd then have number 29 and number 30. So we'd be stripped of the 29th pick and pick 30th. That's the point of tim suggesting a trade with Arizona. Because trading for a much higher pick doesn't make a lot of sense as the team would have to give up enough to pick 20th or whetever and then would end up picking 30th anyways. But trading for 29 doesn't really effect the value of the deflate gate penalty so its one of the few picks the team could actually trade for without destroying value.

I don't think its likely to happen or anything, but he's right, they wouldn't be trading Jones for nothing (although I have to admit that was my first reaction too)
 

jablo1312

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Sep 20, 2005
985
Even if they have money I don't see it--the Pats seem to prize continuity and developing talent on the line. Can anyone think of a big name OL the Pats have brought in other than Brian Waters? Waters is also a special case--he was a pro bowl player who was an unrestricted free agent who was willing to play for peanuts as long as we didn't make him do much in the off-season, and it was in also the year with the shortened off-season due to the lockout.
Yea, and maybe I'm just overreacting to yesterday a bit. Solder and Vollmer are good, not great, tackles (Vollmer has played poorly recently, but I have to think that's at least in part due to injury, and that he has a good track record of providing a lot of production at that position). They drafted 2 guards lat year, one of whom didn't play yesterday and the other that didn't seem too wretched to me (Mason). Stork struggled this year, but they do have him and Andrews as options moving forward. Kline looked awful yesterday, and I think a healthy competition between him, the two rookies, and Wendell (if they bring him back) should produce a solid combo (hopefully).

The Solder injury was a real killer. Cannon and Fleming both played horribly yesterday, and Vollmer couldn't compete either. Good tackles are hard to come by, especially when they're facing two Hall of Famers on Denver's defense
 

tims4wins

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We have number 30 now. At the time of the draft we will be docked the highest of whatever 1st round picks we have the rights to. If we trade for number 29 we'd then have number 29 and number 30. So we'd be stripped of the 29th pick and pick 30th. That's the point of tim suggesting a trade with Arizona. Because trading for a much higher pick doesn't make a lot of sense as the team would have to give up enough to pick 20th or whetever and then would end up picking 30th anyways. But trading for 29 doesn't really effect the value of the deflate gate penalty so its one of the few picks the team could actually trade for without destroying value.

I don't think its likely to happen or anything, but he's right, they wouldn't be trading Jones for nothing (although I have to admit that was my first reaction too)
Exactly, it obviously is not too likely, but it is one of the very few reasonable scenarios. NFC team, looking for pass rush, picking late in the first round, might be willing to give up a pick due to their situation - older QB, older coach, close to title.
 

Shelterdog

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The counter-argument is that the offensive line has never been such a dire need before. Ideally, you build every position through the draft and only go outside the organization when that is unsuccessful. The OL has been successful in the past, but clearly it isn't now.
I think (or more importantly I think BB thinks) that offensive lines are just built differently than other units: they just seem to believe that you want the same guys to be in the system for as long as possible. Whether it's keeping physically limited guys like Ryan Wendell or Dan Connolly with a ton of in system experience rather than trying to pick up slightly more talented guy without that kind of experience, or arguably overpaying to keep the line intact (I'm thinking of Connolly or Neal or Kaczur or (currently) Cannon), or managing the roster to generally avoid turning over more than one spot a year, the Pats have typically just tried to build lines slowly using a combo of high picks and some guys who just come off the scrap heap.

If he thinks talent is the issue (and looking to 2017 he probably does see OT talent as an issue; Vollmer will be an old UFA at that point) than what he's historically done is draft players pretty high. I could certainly see him picking a guy like Kyle Murphy to be the RT of the future with the second round pick.
 

BaseballJones

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Oct 1, 2015
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Exactly, it obviously is not too likely, but it is one of the very few reasonable scenarios. NFC team, looking for pass rush, picking late in the first round, might be willing to give up a pick due to their situation - older QB, older coach, close to title.
I think you're right that Arizona could actually be a good fit here.

From (http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000572265/article/2016-nfl-draft-order-and-needs-playoff-teams):

"Arizona will likely be on the lookout for an edge-bending, disruptive pass rusher. Defensive ends Frostee Rucker and Cory Redding aren't getting any younger and the Cardinals' defense feeds off of an active defensive front. Arizona could use a young, talented hammer with good size in the middle of its defense at linebacker. After spending money and draft picks on many positions along the offensive line, it is time for the center spot to be addressed."

So the Cards really need a disruptive edge rusher and a center. The Pats could offer Chandler Jones and either Stork or Andrews. Now the Pats need plenty of help on the OL as well, but I think that Solder's return will strengthen both LT and RT (Solder is near pro-bowl level at LT, and Vollmer is near pro-bowl level at RT, but not at LT), and another year of development by Kline, Mason, Jackson, and either Stork or Andrews will automatically bolster the line, and the Pats could address the line further through free agency and later rounds in the draft.

So what trade could the Pats potentially work out with the Cards? The Pats give up Jones and either Stork or Andrews - it gives Arizona quality young players at two huge positions of need for them. What would the expected return be? Is that enough to get their first rounder and, say, a fourth rounder? I dunno.

The Pats could roll with Sheard/Nink/Grissom/Flowers at the ends, and maybe Flowers especially gives them a reasonable facsimile of what Jones gave them. And then, again, they can bolster the OL through the middle rounds of the draft and free agency, so Andrews or Stork are probably replaceable.

Maybe there would be some way to make a trade there that works for both sides. Not sure NE would rather do that. I guess I'm supposing they'd be happy with Grissom/Flowers, and may want to move on from Jones if they're not planning on retaining Jones when his contract is up anyway.
 

Super Nomario

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I think (or more importantly I think BB thinks) that offensive lines are just built differently than other units: they just seem to believe that you want the same guys to be in the system for as long as possible. Whether it's keeping physically limited guys like Ryan Wendell or Dan Connolly with a ton of in system experience rather than trying to pick up slightly more talented guy without that kind of experience, or arguably overpaying to keep the line intact (I'm thinking of Connolly or Neal or Kaczur or (currently) Cannon), or managing the roster to generally avoid turning over more than one spot a year, the Pats have typically just tried to build lines slowly using a combo of high picks and some guys who just come off the scrap heap.
I agree that they value continuity and that they would like to build the line in the way you describe, but there's a limit to the value placed on continuity versus talent and financial considerations - they jettisoned Mankins, Devey earlier this year, played three rookie interior OL over Chris Barker (who had two years in the system), and picked LaAdrian Waddle off the scrap heap and played him at LT over Cam Fleming after just two weeks. There are points where talent and / or finances trump continuity, and I think we've reached a point where the group they have has failed and they have little choice but to go outside the organization.

If he thinks talent is the issue (and looking to 2017 he probably does see OT talent as an issue; Vollmer will be an old UFA at that point) than what he's historically done is draft players pretty high. I could certainly see him picking a guy like Kyle Murphy to be the RT of the future with the second round pick.
I agree they might do something like this, but this isn't a fix for 2016. Maybe they foresee enough growth from the kids to stand pat, but that seems pretty risky to me.
 

RedOctober3829

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I agree that they value continuity and that they would like to build the line in the way you describe, but there's a limit to the value placed on continuity versus talent and financial considerations - they jettisoned Mankins, Devey earlier this year, played three rookie interior OL over Chris Barker (who had two years in the system), and picked LaAdrian Waddle off the scrap heap and played him at LT over Cam Fleming after just two weeks. There are points where talent and / or finances trump continuity, and I think we've reached a point where the group they have has failed and they have little choice but to go outside the organization.


I agree they might do something like this, but this isn't a fix for 2016. Maybe they foresee enough growth from the kids to stand pat, but that seems pretty risky to me.
What about trading Vollmer and signing Russell Okung to play RT?
 

moondog80

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Sep 20, 2005
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Just to note it here in this thread: the 3-day tampering period is Noon on Saturday March 12th until Tuesday the 15th at 3:59 pm. Free agency and trading begins at 4:00 pm on the 15th.
There's over a month from the Super Bowl to FA? Or is that February?
 

j44thor

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I think you're right that Arizona could actually be a good fit here.

From (http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000572265/article/2016-nfl-draft-order-and-needs-playoff-teams):

"Arizona will likely be on the lookout for an edge-bending, disruptive pass rusher. Defensive ends Frostee Rucker and Cory Redding aren't getting any younger and the Cardinals' defense feeds off of an active defensive front. Arizona could use a young, talented hammer with good size in the middle of its defense at linebacker. After spending money and draft picks on many positions along the offensive line, it is time for the center spot to be addressed."

So the Cards really need a disruptive edge rusher and a center. The Pats could offer Chandler Jones and either Stork or Andrews. Now the Pats need plenty of help on the OL as well, but I think that Solder's return will strengthen both LT and RT (Solder is near pro-bowl level at LT, and Vollmer is near pro-bowl level at RT, but not at LT), and another year of development by Kline, Mason, Jackson, and either Stork or Andrews will automatically bolster the line, and the Pats could address the line further through free agency and later rounds in the draft.

So what trade could the Pats potentially work out with the Cards? The Pats give up Jones and either Stork or Andrews - it gives Arizona quality young players at two huge positions of need for them. What would the expected return be? Is that enough to get their first rounder and, say, a fourth rounder? I dunno.

The Pats could roll with Sheard/Nink/Grissom/Flowers at the ends, and maybe Flowers especially gives them a reasonable facsimile of what Jones gave them. And then, again, they can bolster the OL through the middle rounds of the draft and free agency, so Andrews or Stork are probably replaceable.

Maybe there would be some way to make a trade there that works for both sides. Not sure NE would rather do that. I guess I'm supposing they'd be happy with Grissom/Flowers, and may want to move on from Jones if they're not planning on retaining Jones when his contract is up anyway.
Doubt 1yr of Chandler Jones nets you a first rd pick but would one year of Chandler Jones net you one year of Michael Floyd? That might be a great trade for both teams. AZ still has Fitz, John Brown, Jerome Brown and JJ Nelson who is basically a John Brown clone. Michael Floyd is exactly the type of outside the #'s physical receiver this team needs.

Player for player trades are extremely rare but this might be one that actually makes sense.

edit: my master plan was to horde all the malcolms, thanks Dollar for catching that
 
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tims4wins

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Does the NFL allow agents / contract discussions with regard to trades like some of the other sports do? A Chandler Jones to Arizona trade would only make sense if Arizona could sign him to a multi-year contract, but not sure if those kind of discussions are allowed pre-trade in the NFL.
 

Dollar

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Michael Floyd, you mean. Malcom is the Chargers WR who recently retired. And you're right, that trade actually does make a lot of sense.