Justin Turner declines option (11.03.23 update)

TomRicardo

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Urias and Reyes can each cover 3rd, but Reyes has more career innings as a pitcher than 1B and Urias has never done it.
You want to cut Dalbec? I don't think he is a terrible bench 1B who can give you a little bit of flexibility and can hit LHP (.877 OPS for his career). Not sure what else you would want.
 

Sad Sam Jones

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From an offseason primer that Bob Nightengale/USA Today published Sunday:

The Arizona Diamondbacks, who desperately want a third baseman, plan to pursue free agent Justin Turner, who exercised his opt out with the Boston Red Sox. He is atop their wish list.
Considering that source, you can pretty much bank on him returning to Boston.
 

chawson

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JM3

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If Urias's true market # is less than his arb #, they could always agree to something below what he would earn in arb in order to avoid letting him go. But I tend to agree with chawson that he doesn't have to be particularly good to be better than a lot of the alternatives & $4.7m isn't exactly a prohibitive sum of money if they like the player.

What if they did like a 1/$4m contract with a $10m team option in '25 with a $700k buyout?
 

simplicio

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Did Cotillo (source of that SI article) ever state what he expects them to do in place of Urias? I'm deeply skeptical of them trying to "save" by cutting him.

You want to cut Dalbec? I don't think he is a terrible bench 1B who can give you a little bit of flexibility and can hit LHP (.877 OPS for his career). Not sure what else you would want.
A K rate under 50% would be a good place to start. I don't want to see him in Boston again. Hoping they can trade him to give him a shot with a tanking team or something.
 

Heating up in the bullpen

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Edit - Because I don't think Trevor Story can play 150 games out in the field anymore (really ever but not worth quibbling about). It is more a matter of health and load management than he can't field.
We should all be ecstatic if Story’s bat bounced back enough next year to be a viable sometime DH. If it doesn’t bounce back, we should enjoy his superlative defense at SS and keep his whiffing bat at the bottom of the lineup. (Edit: and give DH at-bats to players who can actually hit.)
 

JM3

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Did Cotillo (source of that SI article) ever state what he expects them to do in place of Urias? I'm deeply skeptical of them trying to "save" by cutting him.
This is the article it's from:

https://www.masslive.com/redsox/2023/10/red-sox-roster-analysis-infield-largely-set-but-2b-dh-questions-linger.html

& here's his paragraph about external options...

Whit Merrifield, who turns 35 in January and can also play the outfield, is the top available free agent second baseman and would make a lot of sense for the Red Sox on a short-term deal. Elvis Andrus, Adam Frazier, Tony Kemp and Jonathan Schoop are among the veteran options and the Sox could look to get creative by moving someone like Gio Urshela or Nick Ahmed from another position to second. The trade market boasts options like Minnesota’s Jorge Polanco, Cincinnati’s Jonathan India and the Angels’ Brandon Drury. Again, a long-term addition at the position seems unlikely considering Mayer is coming. But the Red Sox should be on the lookout for a clear upgrade, at least for 2024, and don’t have anyone in the organization who projects as an everyday starter.
 

simplicio

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That's kinda nonsense imo. Merrifield was a worse hitter this year than Urias was for the Sox.
 

Fishy1

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That's kinda nonsense imo. Merrifield was a worse hitter this year than Urias was for the Sox.
Agreed, and I think @JM3 is on the same page. Urias is not very expensive, adequate defensively, and has a pretty high floor as a high OBP guy even if his power doesn't bounce back all the way. He was a 3 bWAR player in back-to-back years, which would've made him one of the best players on the team last year. We need solid two-way position players like him.

I think going in with him and Valdez is a good option, and hopefully allows us to spend and/or trade for better elsewhere
 

JM3

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Agreed, and I think @JM3 is on the same page. Urias is not very expensive, adequate defensively, and has a pretty high floor as a high OBP guy even if his power doesn't bounce back all the way. He was a 3 bWAR player in back-to-back years, which would've made him one of the best players on the team last year. We need solid two-way position players like him.

I think going in with him and Valdez is a good option, and hopefully allows us to spend and/or trade for better elsewhere
Yeah, not really a Whitliever. Blue Jays only gave him 2 post season PAs, among the numerous other issues others have mentioned. Not really someone I want to spend $$$ on. Would rather hand the position to Yorke than pay real $ for Merrifield. & would probably rather start the season with Urias & maybe Valdez than either of those options.
 

Sandy Leon Trotsky

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Yeah, not really a Whitliever. Blue Jays only gave him 2 post season PAs, among the numerous other issues others have mentioned. Not really someone I want to spend $$$ on. Would rather hand the position to Yorke than pay real $ for Merrifield. & would probably rather start the season with Urias & maybe Valdez than either of those options.
Valdez seems like he'd be a decent backup corner IF too.... is he just stupidly too short for 1B?
 

JM3

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Valdez seems like he'd be a decent backup corner IF too.... is he just stupidly too short for 1B?
I mean, a 5'8 guy doesn't present a great target at 1B. He's played all of 6 games in his career at 1st, all in '22 with the Astros AAA team & made 1 error.

Here's his breakdown of games by position across all levels...

2B - 384 games, 51 errors
3B - 135 games, 19 errors
LF - 23 games, 1 error
1B - 6 games, 1 error
SS - 3 games, 0 errors
RF - 1 game, 0 errors
C - 1 game, 0 errors

So far in the Dominican Winter League he has played exclusively 2B & has 2 errors in 9 games & is OPS'ing .499. Not really prepared to count on him in the field right now.
 

jteders1

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I genuinely don't mean to single you out here, but...



It's amazing to me how many people write literally the opposite of what they want to say because they don't proofread their posts. Presumably you mean he is 'cost-prohibitive' here?
No, I think if AZ is trying to lure Turner, they're probably going to need to go two years. I don't think he makes much sense on the current roster, forget about giving a second year.
 

E5 Yaz

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No, I think if AZ is trying to lure Turner, they're probably going to need to go two years. I don't think he makes much sense on the current roster, forget about giving a second year.
I've seen it posted elsewhere, but Matt Chapman makes more sense for Arizona ... given the premium they place on defense, and the veteran (if in decline) bat
 

jteders1

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I've seen it posted elsewhere, but Matt Chapman makes more sense for Arizona ... given the premium they place on defense, and the veteran (if in decline) bat
Problem is I don't see them giving the money it will take to get Chapman, but a two year 24 millionish deal for Turner makes sense for them and doesn't break the bank.
 

joe dokes

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Didnt Turner's imjuries start when he started playong more defense after someone got hurt? I think his back-up-the-corners potential is pretty limited due to his age.
 

JM3

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View: https://twitter.com/alexspeier/status/1723133087469478085


From @byjulianmack: Justin Turner loved his year in Boston, but unsure another year in store https://bostonglobe.com/2023/11/10/sports/justin-turner-loved-his-year-boston-unsure-another-year-store/?event=event25 via @BostonGlobe
Turner said he’s had more teams reaching out this offseason than he did last year. He said he’d love to be back with the Red Sox but will wait to see what direction they want to go. He had an hour-long non-business meeting with Breslow at Fenway last week
Turner and his wife, @court_with_a_K, have stayed in Boston for the first months of the offseason. Turner said he loved the Boston experience - marveling that it was great despite finishing in last, suggesting he can only imagine (and would love to experience) a winning team here
There's also a MassLive article:

https://www.masslive.com/redsox/2023/11/justin-turner-still-hopeful-for-red-sox-reunion-but-free-agency-heating-up.html
 

StuckOnYouk

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An hour long non business meeting? That can’t be real when you’re talking to a FA to be for an hour and the future never comes up?
 

Harry Hooper

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Breslow won't be able to meet with Turner once he's signed elsewhere, so maybe he wanted to get a veteran's opinion on Sox operations, especially one who came from years with a successful club.
 

E5 Yaz

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If moving Suarez and his $11M was a cost saving move then bringing in Turner at what might be a higher price probably isn't in the cards.
And it wouldn't exactly be an upgrade either. Turner = 2.1 bWAR/1.2 fWAR. Suarez = 2.3 bWAR/3.2 fWAR. Turner may have been more productive at the plate this season (114 OPS+ vs 101) but Suarez played in all 162 games and played average at worst defense (-2 DRS, +1 Total Zone).