RedSox sign free-agent LHP Jose Mijares

mabrowndog

mabrowndog

Ask me about total zone...or paint
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Dec 23, 2003
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Hee Sox Choi said:
.410 BABIP last year for the Giants.
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He also had a career-high 30% LD rate. Over his first 5 years that rate was just 16%. Batters made line drive contact twice as often last season.
 
The breakdown is as follows: Of 603 balls in play from 2008-2012, 98 were LD. Had he kept that same rate last year (154 BIP), he'd have been expected to yield 25. Instead he gave up 46.
 
His BABIP over his first 5 years was .285.  Had that rate held last year, 44 of the 154 balls in play would have been hits. Instead, 64 were hits, an increase of 20 which nearly matches the extra 21 line drives.
 
Without a finite play-by-play breakdown and reliable trajectory descriptions, we can't know for certain if all of those LD were hits, or if, say, 5 were caught with the other 5 hits coming from fly balls that dropped in or grounders getting through the infield. But just as Salty's high LD rate last year showed his high BABIP wasn't entirely luck-driven (as many observers have continued to suggest), it's a safe bet that a decent chunk of Mijares' BABIP spike was due to hitters making more frequent solid contact, with more balls destined to evade fielders no matter what.
 
Still, this seems like a solid depth signing.
 
nvalvo

nvalvo

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Jul 16, 2005
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I follow SF moderately closely. Some Giants fans feel Mijares was misused by Boche. 
 
He's vulnerable to right handed hitters, but with the Giants last year he actually faced more righties (127 PA, .961 OPS, 15 XBH) than lefties (109 PA, .710 OPS, 6 XBH), and got tattooed. The high BABIP was consistent across the board, however, and the Giants are usually pretty decent defensively. It's puzzling, but there might be real upside there, if Farrell uses him more like a LOOGY than a set up guy.
 
Good slider, IMHO. 
 
Al Zarilla

Al Zarilla

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Dec 8, 2005
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nvalvo said:
I follow SF moderately closely. Some Giants fans feel Mijares was misused by Boche. 
 
He's vulnerable to right handed hitters, but with the Giants last year he actually faced more righties (127 PA, .961 OPS, 15 XBH) than lefties (109 PA, .710 OPS, 6 XBH), and got tattooed. The high BABIP was consistent across the board, however, and the Giants are usually pretty decent defensively. It's puzzling, but there might be real upside there, if Farrell uses him more like a LOOGY than a set up guy.
 
Good slider, IMHO. 
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Mijares is just 29 and was having a decent career until last year. Maybe Farrell and/or Nieves see something in him that make them think they can turn him back around. If he does get out there on the mound, get the rotund comments ready: 5'11, 265 according to BREF. 
 
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