Also I was responding to CC who was lamenting the run defense status given the number of high picks invested in the front 7. Jordan was one of them. Saying he isn't a run stopper is something we would both agree with.
I honestly have repeatedly credited Ireland for making a bold move and taking the best player available in a draft that was considered deep, but not heavy with elite level talent. Pass rush was actually an area of need. Not as great as O line, but a need nonetheless. For what they gave up, I still have no issues with Jordan.SMU_Sox said:Fair enough. Although if we were bearish on him pre draft I think it's fair to say he hasn't done much to change our minds whether that is due to extenuating circumstances or not. Lane Johnson was available. I never claimed he was a run stopper. He was drafted where he was because he profiled as athletic freak pass rusher. But when you already have an average to above average pass rush and you could use a boost to your T position and a solid RT is sitting there why swing for the fences on the other side of the ball?
Vernon hadn't really emerged yet, and Wake is 31. How many more elite years does he have left? Again, at the time Miami was set on letting Martin try his hand at LT. In retrospect, you can say Lane Johnson would have been the better pick, but Miami's pass D was atrocious in 2012, and their run D was actually pretty stout. Getting a guy like Jordan brings not only a young pass rusher to groom, but a guy that offers a lot of versatility.SMU_Sox said:With Wake and Vernon did you really needed another pass rushing de or olb? If anything you needed a DT who could rush the passer and dt depth in general as your dts after 2012 were... disappointing. We can agree to disagree on Jordan. I am not a fan and thought he was entirely overrated going into the draft. But that's me. I still think OL was much greater of need than olb de pass rusher given your personnel going into the draft.
Who would have had more of an impact on the fins this year, Jordan or Johnson? I don't see how you say anyone other than Johnson. Even going forward Johnson would be a rock at RT (perhaps LT).
I'm not sure why you keep emphasizing DT over DE. Miami has Starks, Soliai, and Odrick at DT. It's arguably their deepest and strongest position. The play against the run this year has been disappointing, but I feel like that's attributed to the LBs rather than the line.SMU_Sox said:Hold up. Lane Johnson was far from a sure thing at LT maybe but he was considered a top OLine prospect who could at least play guard. I remember reading Muth, I think it was Muth anyway, say that he was a beast at run blocking but had to improve his foot work pass blocking but that he deserved to be rated a 1st round prospect. Dion Jordan was all potential but didn't exactly have a tremendous amount of success in college. Iirc he was 3rd on his team in sacks. Feel free to google that if I'm wrong. Johnson had a much higher floor but lower ceiling. And frankly you can wait a year and get a pass rusher this year while Wake and OV handle that. Again... even assuming you need a pass rusher why not get a DT?
Nitpick but that's not quite right. He came to OK as a QB and was RSed in '09, played DE and TE in '10, played RT in '11, and LT in '12.Super Nomario said:Lane Johnson was far from a sure thing, too, and Philly's been able to play him at RT (where he has more experience) whereas Miami would have probably been playing him at LT. The jury's still out on this one.
pdaj said:With Odrick, Soliai, and Starks, a rookie DT wouldn't have seen the field at all, never mind at the rate Dion has this season. I expect Soliai and Odrick to be the full-time interior linemen next year, with Starks moving on. I think Jordan was selected as a very high ceiling, project pick, which doesn't happen very often at #3. But if he develops into a premiere pass rusher, he validate the spot quite easily.
Soden, you just replied as I was typing this, but I'm not starting over, haha.
The more I look at the O-line situation, I don't think there was a single solution to be had during the FA/draft period, outside of trading for KC's Albert, who PFF has rated as the #6 overall tackle this season. (But, of course, he's hurt now.) PFF has Lane Johnson ranked as one of the very worst tackles in the league. While I wouldn't bet against him developing into a very good player, he wasn't going to handle Miami's LT any better than Martin did this season.
Edit: Corrections.
That's a solid read.SMU_Sox said:http://www.footballoutsiders.com/word-muth/2013/word-muth-eagle-twists
This is definitely counter evidence to PFF re Johnson.
The other point is that I disagree that a rookie DT wouldn't play. You're telling me Star Lotulelei wouldn't have been an instant upgrade? What about Sheldon Richardson? In retrospect wouldn't you rather have either of those two over Jordan? Granted neither of those guys are racking up the sacks but they are consistently generating pressure by pushing back the guards and centers and they absolutely crush the run.
I suppose this is just going to be one of those to agree to disagree issues.
Thanks for the correction (which just emphasizes more his rawness). I don't think you're wrong that he's had the best season of the rookie tackles, but I think he has the best situation, too. He's a raw, gifted athlete who is a better run blocker than pass blocker, and he plays RT on a team that's 4th in the league in rushing attempts and just 25th in pass attempts, while using a hurry-up system and zone blocking scheme that plays to his athleticism and youth. I don't think he would have been as successful right away in Miami, which is 12th in pass attempts and 30th in rush attempts, largely uses a man / power running scheme, and likely would have called on him to play LT.phragle said:Nitpick but that's not quite right. He came to OK as a QB and was RSed in '09, played DE and TE in '10, played RT in '11, and LT in '12.
He's had - IMO - the best season of the rookie tackles from the first round.
That's the thing that never made any sense to me about the Jordan pick. He seems like a much better fit for a team running a 3-4. I get taking him if he slipped to them at 12 or something (too much value to pass up there), but I didn't understand giving up a 2nd to move up and get him.phragle said:My problem with Jordan is that he hasn't played much, and he's not the best DE prospect. He's more of an OLB.
I certainly agree that all of Jordan's strengths seem to say 3-4 OLB. He's fast, long, and very athletic. You can have him cover and chase tight ends, and also obviously send him off the edge to rush the passer.Super Nomario said:
That's the thing that never made any sense to me about the Jordan pick. He seems like a much better fit for a team running a 3-4. I get taking him if he slipped to them at 12 or something (too much value to pass up there), but I didn't understand giving up a 2nd to move up and get him.
Super Nomario said:Thanks for the correction (which just emphasizes more his rawness). I don't think you're wrong that he's had the best season of the rookie tackles, but I think he has the best situation, too. He's a raw, gifted athlete who is a better run blocker than pass blocker, and he plays RT on a team that's 4th in the league in rushing attempts and just 25th in pass attempts, while using a hurry-up system and zone blocking scheme that plays to his athleticism and youth. I don't think he would have been as successful right away in Miami, which is 12th in pass attempts and 30th in rush attempts, largely uses a man / power running scheme, and likely would have called on him to play LT.
Super Nomario said:That's the thing that never made any sense to me about the Jordan pick. He seems like a much better fit for a team running a 3-4. I get taking him if he slipped to them at 12 or something (too much value to pass up there), but I didn't understand giving up a 2nd to move up and get him.
sodenj5 said:I certainly agree that all of Jordan's strengths seem to say 3-4 OLB. He's fast, long, and very athletic. You can have him cover and chase tight ends, and also obviously send him off the edge to rush the passer.
The way Miami has deployed him has been in primarily their sub packages on passing downs. When he's on the field, he can either rush or drop into coverage. He gives their speed package a lot of versatility in that regard.
I still think that with pass rush being a need for Miami, the low price of trading up with the Raiders, and the immense ceiling that Jordan has in a draft with very few elite talents, it's still a solid selection.
With an offensive line of Johnson at LT and Martin at RT to start the season, I don't know if Miami is any better off.
There weren't / aren't any questions about Johnson's athleticism; his combine numbers dwarfed Fisher's and Joeckel's. The questions were about technique and experience, and going to a run-first ZBS offense was a good fit for him as a rookie. Maybe, like Staley, he develops into the kind of player who would succeed in any system, but getting drafted by the Eagles was a better fit for his current skill set than the Dolphins would have been.phragle said:Yeah he's certainly in a great situation but I don't think the other tackles are in poor situations either. In Miami Johnson may not be as good as quickly, but I don't think scheme is a reason he couldn't fit in Miami. Left tackles have to be great athletes in every scheme, not just Zone ones. Johnson's combine numbers are almost exactly the same as Joe Staley's who is the best there is and in a power scheme.
I'm dubious of the idea that there's a "Von Miller" role, because we haven't seen anybody really succeed in it other than Miller. At the end of the day, unless you're going to run an overload blitz, mathematically you can only have two edge rushers, so one of Wake / Jordan / Vernon has to kick inside (not really their skill set) or come off the field.phragle said:I think he could play in either defense. In a Von Miller role in a 4-3, or a Justin Houston role in a 3-4. I'll give them credit on one thing. They are dropping him in coverage about 20% of the passing plays. That's the highest in the league for a DE, but it's still lower than ideal for him. He's just not a DE, he's a SLB in a 4-3.
Super Nomario said:There weren't / aren't any questions about Johnson's athleticism; his combine numbers dwarfed Fisher's and Joeckel's. The questions were about technique and experience, and going to a run-first ZBS offense was a good fit for him as a rookie. Maybe, like Staley, he develops into the kind of player who would succeed in any system, but getting drafted by the Eagles was a better fit for his current skill set than the Dolphins would have been.
Super Nomario said:I'm dubious of the idea that there's a "Von Miller" role, because we haven't seen anybody really succeed in it other than Miller. At the end of the day, unless you're going to run an overload blitz, mathematically you can only have two edge rushers, so one of Wake / Jordan / Vernon has to kick inside (not really their skill set) or come off the field.
I think a good part of their problem is Tannehill's inability to set protection and recognize blitzes. (FWIW, PFF appears to agree, ranking Miami's "pass block" as a team at +0.5, 16th in the league). But tackle's definitely been a problem, and Johnson would have helped.phragle said:Right, but I don't think theres anything that suggest he wouldn't also play well in Miami. In his last 7 games he's positive11.6 at PFF with only 13 pressures allowed. I think that's good enough to translate.
Poor Ryan Tannehill has been sacked 58 times. 58! In 15 games that's already 8 more than the the second highest since 2008. I'm surprised he's still standing. Do you think Tannehill would trade Jordan for Johnson? I do.
If Jordan really was fantastic in coverage, wouldn't Miami have dropped him back more than 42 times? He seems like Miami's version of the Jamie Collins problem, except the Pats knew he was raw going in and picked up picks trading back for Collins, while the Dolphins traded up for Jordan.phragle said:Well I don't think he'd do it as well as Miller, but when you have a very athletic pass-rusher that's too light play on the line, then the Von Miller role is the only option if you want him to play a lot. Plus Jordan is fantastic in coverage. In theory that'd put less pressure on is pass-rushing ability.
I guess you could do this every once in a while but I have a hard time seeing it as a regular thing.phragle said:I think Wake would do fine working on a guard man up, especially if Jordan is out wide taking the tackle up the field. There just has to be proper spacing.
Jordan is a lot like Collins, but instead of only having the tools to play in coverage (like Collins) Jordan has actually done it. At Oregon he played slot cornerback all the time. He is fantastic in coverage. I don't know why Miami uses him wrong.Super Nomario said:If Jordan really was fantastic in coverage, wouldn't Miami have dropped him back more than 42 times? He seems like Miami's version of the Jamie Collins problem, except the Pats knew he was raw going in and picked up picks trading back for Collins, while the Dolphins traded up for Jordan.
Spacing is the same principal the Wide-9 defense is built on. It's a great defense in passing situations.Super Nomario said:I guess you could do this every once in a while but I have a hard time seeing it as a regular thing.
Clears Cleaver said:I want to see stats when Miami goes no back. I think Tannehill gets sacked an inordinately high % of those plays. And I agree he sucks at calling protections. Oddly, Miami has only thrown deep to Wallace a couple times while doing play -action max protect. Huh?
Lose today and season seems like a complete fail. Win today and get in and it hits most people expectations. Weird.
Super Nomario said:That's the thing that never made any sense to me about the Jordan pick. He seems like a much better fit for a team running a 3-4. I get taking him if he slipped to them at 12 or something (too much value to pass up there), but I didn't understand giving up a 2nd to move up and get him.
SMU_Sox said:Both the Jets and Bills have stout front 7s that can generate pressure both up the middle and at the edges. Possibly their greatest strengths too... coincidence? Hardly.
All 2013 NFL QBs in wins: 64.9% completion, 7.8 Y/A, 480 TD / 157 INT, 100.0 ratingrymflaherty said:At the risk of over-simplyfying this and placing too much importance on the QB position -
I think we saw an overall mediocre to poor roster of talent, and the overall ebb's and flow's of this team mirrored the QB play.
Has anyone taken a look at Tannehill's splits?
In wins
66% 2,146 yds. 7.58 ypa 13 TD 5 int 96.4 rat
In losses
55% 1,767 yds. 5.79 ypa 11 TD 12 Int 68.0 rat
Now I realize Tannehill shouldn't get all the blame, or credit in either case....but I think you look at those numbers and are led toward one of two conclusions - Either this was a good to great Dolphins team brought down by Tannehill, or a mediocre to poor team that Ryan at times elevated.
When I look at who the win's and losses were against I'd lean toward the latter.
@MiamiDolphins: Head Coach Joe Philbin has announced that offensive coordinator Mike Sherman has been relieved of his duties