September MLB Game Thread

jon abbey

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The Mets have a very well rested Edwin Diaz ready to go two or even three innings if they can get tied or ahead.
 

Petagine in a Bottle

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Feels like the vibes around the Mets are pretty bad for a team that may still win 100. All the Mets fans
I know seem resigned to the fact that this probably isn’t the year after all.
 

canderson

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Was waiting for our train tonight in NYC and the O’s were boarding theirs. Felt good to congratulate them on beating the enemy 2/3 this weekend.
 
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Petagine in a Bottle

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Also, Jansen tied Eck for 8th on the all time save list with #389. I know he’s been a solid closer for a long time but I frankly was not aware that he had anywhere close to that number of saves! With a few more good years, he can probably get up to 4th (behind only Mo, Hoffman, and Lee Smith).
 
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jon abbey

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Feels like the vibes around the Mets are pretty bad for a team that may still win 100. All the Mets fans
I know seem resigned to the fact that this probably isn’t the year after all.
They really miss Marte and their two aces look vulnerable all of a sudden. But also ATL's magic number is down to all of a sudden down to 1 for the division and then the Mets are the #4 seed and maybe having to face a road of SD/LAD/ATL/HOU, so their fans are probably correct. Similar to the Yankees, if their key guys are all healthy, then they are in the group with the three super teams but as it is neither is healthy and so they are a notch below.

Also we will see it play out for the first time in the next few weeks but it seems like the teams with the byes will have a huge advantage, their bullpen is fully rested and their rotation lined up just as they want, the advancing team will have to start their #3 or #4 guy in game 1 (depending on if it is a 2 or 3 game series). For that reason I will be very surprised if any team besides HOU/LAD/ATL wins the WS. 538 gives those three a combined 67 percent chance to win the WS, but I would put it much higher.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-mlb-predictions/?ex_cid=rrpromo
 

DeadlySplitter

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Just an unmitigated disaster for the Mets this weekend. But the Braves also played extremely well, winning all these playoff-type games with timely HRs and shutdown pen.

If the byes end up being that advantageous, then I guess the new playoff system will really work. It's still baseball though, let's see how it plays out this decade in those LDSes.
 

Ale Xander

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They really miss Marte and their two aces look vulnerable all of a sudden. But also ATL's magic number is down to all of a sudden down to 1 for the division and then the Mets are the #4 seed and maybe having to face a road of SD/LAD/ATL/HOU, so their fans are probably correct. Similar to the Yankees, if their key guys are all healthy, then they are in the group with the three super teams but as it is neither is healthy and so they are a notch below.

Also we will see it play out for the first time in the next few weeks but it seems like the teams with the byes will have a huge advantage, their bullpen is fully rested and their rotation lined up just as they want, the advancing team will have to start their #3 or #4 guy in game 1 (depending on if it is a 2 or 3 game series). For that reason I will be very surprised if any team besides HOU/LAD/ATL wins the WS. 538 gives those three a combined 67 percent chance to win the WS, but I would put it much higher.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-mlb-predictions/?ex_cid=rrpromo
Bullpen rested is good but the teams with the byes may have their batters rusty, perhaps?
 

jon abbey

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Bullpen rested is good but the teams with the byes may have their batters rusty, perhaps?
Yeah, we’ll see, supposedly this has worked both ways in the past when one team has a bunch of days off. I think the Yankees are planning a couple of intrasquad game days, which should actually be pretty intense given all the roster spot options.
 

Hendu for Kutch

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Also we will see it play out for the first time in the next few weeks but it seems like the teams with the byes will have a huge advantage, their bullpen is fully rested and their rotation lined up just as they want, the advancing team will have to start their #3 or #4 guy in game 1 (depending on if it is a 2 or 3 game series).
If the wild card team can win one of the first two, you probably see a much bigger odds shift in their favor than in previous years. Which puts some pressure on the bye team.

Otherwise, the wild card team is heading to their home field with their top starters going against the bye team's #3/4 guys. Interesting wrinkle to the whole thing.
 

SemperFidelisSox

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Zack Greinke made his final start of the season tonight. It will be interesting to see if he retires or not. He will be a free agent and 39. He’s 118 K’s away from 3000, if that’s important to him.
 

bosox188

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Zack Greinke made his final start of the season tonight. It will be interesting to see if he retires or not. He will be a free agent and 39. He’s 118 K’s away from 3000, if that’s important to him.
With where his K rate's gone in the last couple seasons, he'll have to either throw near 200 innings next season or stick around for 2024 if he wants to get there.
 

Jason Bae

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WOW. Christian Walker muffed a game ending line drive and the Brewers manage to score 2 to tie the game. Brewers are still alive.
 
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Max Power

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Renfroe got it started with a homer in the 9th and drove in the winning run in the 10th. The Phillies have the tiebreaker, but they're going to have to close it out on their own against the Astros.
 

jon abbey

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Renfroe got it started with a homer in the 9th and drove in the winning run in the 10th. The Phillies have the tiebreaker, but they're going to have to close it out on their own against the Astros.
And they did, 3-0, two hits allowed.
 

jon abbey

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Now the Brewers can fully focus on trading their star pitchers to the Red Sox. :)
 

jon abbey

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There have never been 5 100 win teams in the same season before. Right now there are three and both NY teams are at 98-61.
 

Tony Pena's Gas Cloud

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If this is it for Grienke, is he an HOFer? The resume:
223 wins, .613 winning %, 123 ERA+, 2, 881 strikeouts, 1.166 WHIP, one CYA, one second place CYA, six Gold Gloves, six ASG, and a compelling backstory with overcoming anxiety issues.
I say yes.
 

Kliq

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Grienke will waltz into the hall of fame. He's 32nd all-time in WAR for pitchers, 19th if you eliminate all pre-integration pitchers. We might never see a pitcher with that kind of resume again after the current crop of guys in the Verlander, Kershaw, Scherzer, Grienke class get voted in.
 

DeadlySplitter

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Toronto clinches the 4 seed. Rays control the 6 seed (CLE-NYY route) if they want it by losing out.
 

jon abbey

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No team would ever actually do this, but the Braves could fuck with the Mets even more by losing today and possibly forcing them to pitch DeGrom in game 162 so he wouldn't be available for the first playoff series. ATL's magic number for the division is one, they have two games left and the Mets have a doubleheader scheduled in rainy NYC today (good luck) and one more tomorrow.
 

axx

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No team would ever actually do this, but the Braves could fuck with the Mets even more by losing today and possibly forcing them to pitch DeGrom in game 162 so he wouldn't be available for the first playoff series. ATL's magic number for the division is won, they have two games left and the Mets have a doubleheader scheduled in rainy NYC today (good luck) and one more tomorrow.
Max Fried was the scheduled starter for the Braves tomorrow. I assume that he'd have to go if the Mets are still alive.
 
Here on BT Sport in the UK, the Braves-Marlins game is on right now. The color guy is Australian - I thought at first that it might be a UK-specific broadcast, but then I heard Chip Caray, so it's the Atlanta home broadcast. And it's former Braves reliever Peter Moylan doing the commentary; I had no idea he was involved in any Braves broadcasts, but it's pretty cool to hear a non-American accent on a mainstream American telecast.
 

jon abbey

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Here on BT Sport in the UK, the Braves-Marlins game is on right now. The color guy is Australian - I thought at first that it might be a UK-specific broadcast, but then I heard Chip Caray, so it's the Atlanta home broadcast. And it's former Braves reliever Peter Moylan doing the commentary; I had no idea he was involved in any Braves broadcasts, but it's pretty cool to hear a non-American accent on a mainstream American telecast.
I had this same thing earlier this season, but with Ryan Rowland-Smith doing the Mariners. When I first heard him, I was really confused how an Aussie could be so insightful about baseball until I figured out who it was.
 

axx

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Mets have 5 runs so far in the first. The Braves are winning their game but it's only 2-1.
 

LogansDad

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Kenley was a strike away from clinching the NL East with an Immaculate Inning, which would have been pretty damn awesome. Instead, it's just a normal clinch.
 

Gdiguy

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Well I'm obviously disappointed the Mets couldn't take one from the Braves this weekend, but barring insanity tonight (up 8-0 in the 8th) they're going to wind up with a 100 win season and either the same or a game better record than the Yankees, both of which I would've taken in a heartbeat a few months into the season

The NL playoffs are going to be crazy
 

jon abbey

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The NL playoffs are going to be crazy
I stopped betting sports when I was very young (I am not good at doing things casually, all or nothing) but HOU should be big faves to win it all IMO, they should coast through two series while the NL is beating the crap out of each other, and if it's not the Dodgers, they will have home field also.
 

jon abbey

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No team has ever gone a full season without a single sacrifice bunt. The Braves did not have one for the first 160 games this year but today, needing one win for the division and up 1-0 in the 4th, Michael Harris bunted guys over to second and third successfully. Thus ended the streak, and no surprise but the Braves did not score that inning, K/IBB/K.
 

Yelling At Clouds

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Missed this keeping an eye on the NL East race, Seattle did not care today and put out their backup catcher to pitch the 10th (trying to tank for the 6 seed?!?). The Tigers suck though so he won the game.
It was extra innings in game one of a double header and Servais didn’t want to further deplete his bullpen since the game two starter wasn’t expected to go too deep, either (the game one starter only pitched three innings). Kind of weird but somewhat defensible in a mostly meaningless game (technically they were playing for seeding, but the chances of their losing the five seed were slim).
 

Petagine in a Bottle

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Possible that there will end up being just two teams with winning records (Milwaukee, Baltimore) that miss the playoffs. White Sox could be the third if they win today.