Dude, I missed a 10 leg by 4 Aiyuk yards! 50:1 odds. Good news is I didn’t realize it until after the fact.
Silver Dollar - The Official NBA Betting Thread!
- Thread starter HomeRunBaker
- Start date
It will be interesting to see if any spots develop after halftime and espeically in the 4Q. There is a real chance this game never slows down if there is margin or if it's a close game entering the 4Q as the defense intensifies in the halfcourt.
I mean they have to average 5 points per minute to hit it and each team is routinely taking off 15 seconds on the play clock.
This is insanity. Game is on pace for 200 points (or under and still seeing 225. Again pace is totally different and the algos aren’t picking up on it.
Talk about shifting gears! I went from a gameplan of waiting until 2H and 4Q for pace to slow, defense to intensify....to pretty much making out my live action by mid-2Q! Ok so I'm now reloading my HardRockBet account. Great TT play on Pacers and even more valuable is what this may say about the other 3 games as well as the 3 in Vegas.
My only fear is Celtics come out hot and go up by 15 and stop the pace/intensity.
or the O word…
I capped this game very close as Celtics small favorite. My fear is the dreaded OT.
Gotta think this pace/style favors the Celtics. Pacers aren’t going to keep hitting contested 35 footers at a 44% clip…
I’m pretty much maxed out for my comfort level at this point but for those looking to keep firing, what are you looking for? At current pace, when do you expect the number to converge?
At this point if you can get big plus money at numbers Under 220 that would seem to be where the value would be. Risking less for greater return on what probably should be the real number.
Somehow we withstood the Pacers catching fire as the 2H is about on par 8 min in. One advantage we do have is even though Indy is in great rhythm offensively and confident in their 3's they aren't accustomed to a playoff type game and could use this confidence to take bad shots....like Halliburtons last 3. Still like where we are.
After 3, at 163. 60 point quarter. Average puts us at 217 if it continues. 3Q rates puts us at 223.
Made a smaller player U 218.5 at +320early in quarter. That’ll be it.
Made a smaller player U 218.5 at +320early in quarter. That’ll be it.
Need someone to have a 7+ point lead so neither of these occur. 221.5 live so we've done our job. Now time to close it out without craziness. My Bengals tied it up +10 not to get off topic. We still have another game to go!!
The good news is they’ll expand my limits!
Can’t believe he shot that with 0.1 left after holding it for 5 seconds.
Can’t believe he shot that with 0.1 left after holding it for 5 seconds.
If Tatum doesn't inadvertently run over Hield on the baseline these both get there. Welcome to end of game variance. Sorry man.
Better a good loss than a bad win. Sucks but that's the nature of this stuff, as variance is a hell of a drug. To the next one, just as fast as if you had won. Just remember, if you're hitting, winning 60% at -110 prices, you're a legit legend.
Yeah… that was 2 units worth. But had another 10 units at 229.5 and 228.5. So the Tatum Tackle cost me about 30 units of $$. Gambling gods wasting no time in coming after me for some big wins lately.
Oh and my Celts +950s for the tournament are gone too. Fun fourth quarter guys!!
The Celtics were prepared to allow the Pacers to run out the clock with the 3-possession lead before they got sloppy when Tatum grabbed the loose ball and went in for the layup. That was the catalyst to everything that followed. Hopefully you guys did well with the Pelicans and don't forget the Knicks tonight. This is a real good one here.
Tatum dunked with :31 seconds left to make it a 7 point game (114-107). Three possession lead with half a minute left. They then proceeded to score 13 points in 31 seconds.
The kicker is that the Pacers missed THREE free throws in that 31 seconds, too.
Absolute horror show.
The kicker is that the Pacers missed THREE free throws in that 31 seconds, too.
Absolute horror show.
For what it's worth, BBM and FanDuel usually have very close O/U totals. Usually within 0-3 points.
Tomorrow, the DET/MEM line is 218.5, and BBM has the total on the game at 203.5. That's *enormous*.
They also have Cam Thomas at 15.5, and BBM has him at 27. I've never seen two lines that differ than much from the projection.
Tomorrow, the DET/MEM line is 218.5, and BBM has the total on the game at 203.5. That's *enormous*.
They also have Cam Thomas at 15.5, and BBM has him at 27. I've never seen two lines that differ than much from the projection.
Check Fanduel again. Cam Johnson is at 15.5 - Cam Thomas is not listed. I do not have BBM to verify those numbers, but that O/U discrepancy will probably be adjusted soon.