The Magic Number

Red(s)HawksFan

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You don’t think the Twins lay down for the MFY? After that (in MN) they get TOR at home. Pretty small odds, IMO, that your 3 or 4 happen, but I would certainly love it.
Sox have six games that they could theoretically sweep, which by itself would get the magic number to 5. Frankly, I'll be happy if the Sox are at a position where they could clinch in the Bronx.
 

Al Zarilla

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Sox have six games that they could theoretically sweep, which by itself would get the magic number to 5. Frankly, I'll be happy if the Sox are at a position where they could clinch in the Bronx.
So do the Yankees (have 6 games they could sweep). I also see Syndergaard and deGrom lined up to pitch against Brian Johnson and Porcello. One game, actually two at a time (ours and NYY).
 

oumbi

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Jun 15, 2006
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Sox have six games that they could theoretically sweep, which by itself would get the magic number to 5. Frankly, I'll be happy if the Sox are at a position where they could clinch in the Bronx.
Maybe I am missing something. But if the Sox sweep the MFY in 6 games, that adds up to 6 Sox wins and 6 MFY loses, no? If so, it is a clinch.
 

simplyeric

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Maybe I am missing something. But if the Sox sweep the MFY in 6 games, that adds up to 6 Sox wins and 6 MFY loses, no? If so, it is a clinch.
There's 3 v. Yankees next week (at toilet), and then 3 at the end of the month.
We don't want to need to be sweeping the MFY's during the final games of the season in order to clinch.

If Red Sox and Yankees both split the next six games (before they meet next week) then Sox would need to sweep Yankees to clinch.
Which would be fine with me.

Edit: I think you're missing that the six v. Yankees are not the next six games, and that is is not a series of six v. Yankees. Technically you're correct, but it's a worst-possible-case scenario, no?

You are missing nothing. If the Sox were to sweep, they clinch.
But that would mean that the Sox don't win a single game except v. Yankees (and that Yankees conversely wine every game except v. Sox)
 
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Red(s)HawksFan

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Maybe I am missing something. But if the Sox sweep the MFY in 6 games, that adds up to 6 Sox wins and 6 MFY loses, no? If so, it is a clinch.
Was referring to the six games leading into next week's series in the Bronx (home against the Jays and Mets), since the previous poster was referring to the Yankees' next six games (at Minnesota, home against Toronto). Even if they win five out of six, if the Yankees drop one or two, the Sox could be in position to clinch the division in New York.
 

PedraMartina

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I’ve been waiting for this point — it means that if the average outcome is that the Sox LOSE every series 2-1, and the Yankees WIN every series 2-1...still they don’t catch us.
This past weekend is a good illustration of the above. Dropping 2/3 to the Astros while the Yankees took 2/3 from the Mariners didn't feel great...but it was as many good outcomes as we needed from those two series.

p.s. 12 passed so quickly I didn't get a chance to post this:

<iframe src="" width="640" height="360" frameborder="0" webkitallowfullscreen mozallowfullscreen allowfullscreen></iframe>
<p><a href="">Bob Dylan - Rainy Day Women #12 &amp; 35</a> from <a href="https://vimeo.com/user59189115">Rael21</a> on <a href="https://vimeo.com">Vimeo</a>.</p>
 

Mike F

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I don't know how to post a picture but my offering would be an open carton of one dozen eggs with one empty slot.
 

Archer1979

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There's 3 v. Yankees next week (at toilet), and then 3 at the end of the month.
We don't want to need to be sweeping the MFY's during the final games of the season in order to clinch.

If Red Sox and Yankees both split the next six games (before they meet next week) then Sox would need to sweep Yankees to clinch.
Which would be fine with me.

Edit: I think you're missing that the six v. Yankees are not the next six games, and that is is not a series of six v. Yankees. Technically you're correct, but it's a worst-possible-case scenario, no?


But that would mean that the Sox don't win a single game except v. Yankees (and that Yankees conversely wine every game except v. Sox)
The bolded can't be repeated enough. The Sox need to have the division and home field advantage locked in before that series.

That said, should the Sox go .500 (which is nine wins at this point), both the Astros and the Yankees need to go 18 - 1 to tie them.