Not sure if I’m thinking of the same play, but I thought when Mac released the ball it was at/before Henry’s break to the right, and Mac thought he was going to break towards the endzone and he didn’t.Yeah. These massive variances in advanced stats for Mac’s game yesterday is only showing their limitations.
It’s kind of ridiculous that we’re having a debate over whether the pass to Meyers was lucky or intentional, irrespective of whether it was, you know, complete. Or whether Mac should get credit for the first TD pass to Bourne. I feel like this is a situation where the old Bill Parcell line “you are what your record says you are” is better than trying to divine intent.
Mac obviously missed the pass to Henry. Sometimes I might argue that the receiver wasn’t in the right place, but in that case Mac seem to have plenty of time to adjust even if he wasn’t. So that credibly should be on him. Other than that, he seemed a little less sharp, possibly due to the cold, but not that much. Thus, the VEF (Van Everyman Focus) grades him out at purple (our third highest rating).
but I mean seriously…purple? Is that eggplant or mauve? We need CMYK values!
(Or are we doing projective stats, so it needs to be RGB?)
I do think that ball was really nice, but a little underthrown. Nitlicking but that ball could have been like two feet higher and would have been safer. It would have had to have been a phenomenal play but if the defender has half a step more it might have hit him in the head, amd a Malcolm butler type or prep with one more step and turns around that’s a pickable ball.I haven't seen all the PFF grades for the Titans game, but it sounds like they're dinging Mac some for his first TD throw to Bourne. I would question that, if that's true.
0:45 mark of this highlight reel
It's 3rd and goal from the four, a chip shot field goal is nearly a certain make. The last thing you want is a turnover here, so Josh dials up a play to get a receiver in isolation away from the muck of the middle of the field.
The ball is thrown about 35 yards in the air (doing the geometry from where Mac throws it to where it's caught, given the dimensions of a football field), released just as Bourne is starting to make his break. 35 air yards later, it's thrown to a place where only Bourne can get it. The defender maybe could have knocked it away if he got lucky, but his back was turned to the pass, which Mac knew even as he released it. It was thrown to a spot where it could either have been a TD or an incompletion. Virtually zero chance of a turnover. The play, and Mac's throw, was designed so that it would guarantee the Pats points even if the pass fell incomplete.
It was also thrown to a guy who has shown he can make contested catches like that.
So it was the right throw to the right receiver in the right place at the right time. It was thrown 35 yards in the air to a teeny tiny window that offered a reasonable chance at a TD but reduced the chance of a turnover to virtually nil. And thus it virtually guaranteed that they'd walk away with points.
Could the throw have been five inches better? I guess. But it was one hell of a throw, and obviously a great catch, but that was the play design, for Bourne to make that kind of play.
Run that exact play 100 times with a random assortment of NFL QBs throwing it. How many times does the QB throw it better than that? What even would "better than that" look like? Not much different than what actually transpired. I'm not saying it was a *perfect* throw, but it was a damned good one. If PFF somehow dinged Mac for that simply because Bourne had to make a superb catch, well, their grading system needs some work.
I’m definitely picking at the decimal points…it was still a good throw.
I was also impressed by the play right before that on the reel. I’m dumb on the jargon…is that a draw play? But anyway, McCorkle stands in and delivers that ball as two titan Titans bear down on him. He’s staring down the barrel of the professional NFL level rush and seeing it through.