Tracking the Mendoza's (league batting average).

Cesar Crespo

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Dec 22, 2002
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But how does it compare to Aprils, historically?

And how does it compare to Aprils during a pandemic, in a year after there were no minor leagues?

I'm sure the information exists to answer your first half of the question but I can't find it.

edit: Never mind, I found it. Batting averages:

2019: .245
2018: .244
2017: .247
2016: .249

I'm seeing a trend. If anyone cares to look more into it: It's month by month splits. https://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/split.cgi?t=b&lg=MLB&year=2016 You can go to previous year.
 

caminante11

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Nov 17, 2006
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Part of it is the rising strikeout rate which is setting another record this year. But part of it is a drop in BABIP and that could be fluky. BABIP is .283 this year, was .292 last year and .298 in 2019. That should even out as the year progresses.
 

Ale Xander

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Oct 31, 2013
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A lot of it is shifts being successful and batters not willing/able to bunt or go the other way
 

Max Power

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Jul 20, 2005
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It's not just shifting, it's that every team has immediate information about the batted ball tendencies of every single hitter. Everyone can perfectly position every defender for every at bat and it's killing BABIP. Especially on grounders.
 

BaseballJones

ivanvamp
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Oct 1, 2015
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Runs per game per team, by year
2021 - 4.25
2020 - 4.65
2019 - 4.83
2018 - 4.45
2017 - 4.65
2016 - 4.48
2015 - 4.25
2014 - 4.07
2013 - 4.17

I think 2016 is when the launch angle revolution began, if memory serves. You see the rise in runs per game from 2016-2020 compared with the years preceding the LAR. Now runs are back down as defenses are catching up with all the shifts and strikeouts. So I wonder if this really could mean that small ball needs to return to baseball in some way. Bunting for hits. Stealing bases. That kind of thing. Manufacturing runs by moving the ball and runners around in old-fashioned ways.
 

Cesar Crespo

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Dec 22, 2002
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Half way thru May, the line now stands at .235/.311/.391.

So far in May: .240/.316/.394. BAbip of .292. In April, it was .283.

.240 would be 5th worst of all time. So while better, not much.



Seattle, Cleveland and Milwaukee are currently hitting below the Mendoza Line. (.204, .210 and .213 respectively). 7 teams are hitting below .220 (Det, TB, NYY, Oak).

The worst Team batting average in the modern era is .2106 by the White Sox in 1910. The 2020 Reds had the 2nd lowest batting average but it was also a very short season.

Up until the end of 2019, 6 teams had hit below .220 in the modern era. 4 teams did it last season. There are currently 7 doing it now.
 

Cesar Crespo

79
SoSH Member
Dec 22, 2002
15,664
At .238/.313/.398 now.

April: .232/.309/.389
May: .239/.315/.397
So far in June: .247/.318/.419

I wonder if maybe we are already seeing an impact of the new rules. No way to actually know for sure though.