Trevor Story has signed with the Boston Red Sox
- Thread starter mikeford
- Start date
It’s nice the people responsible for making Boston a toxic media environment are standing up on that wall to reinforce the crappy norms they’ve fostered. I’m sure fan experience is really tainted not hearing Story Nuke Laloosh his way through some pablum about how he feels about his early season struggles. Let me mad lib it - disappointed, working hard to turn things around, excited to show Sox fans what he’s truly capable of, one day at a time.
Isn’t it obvious that Henry and Co are disappointed in Story’s contributions so they sent out their best knife thrower to make him beg to leave town?
when the government controls the media this shit is child’s play.
Looking at his career splits, March/April is definitely his worst month in terms of AVG/OBP/SLG and strikeout rate.
His 2022 start of striking out in 43% of his AB with an OPS of .568 resembles his March/April of 2017 where he also struck out in 43% of his AB and put up an OPS of .683.
Good news/bad news?: for his 2017 campaign overall he ended up striking out in 38% of his AB and got his OPS up to .765.
His 2022 start of striking out in 43% of his AB with an OPS of .568 resembles his March/April of 2017 where he also struck out in 43% of his AB and put up an OPS of .683.
Good news/bad news?: for his 2017 campaign overall he ended up striking out in 38% of his AB and got his OPS up to .765.
I wonder what his longest HR drought is. Might already be at a record for him. We knew there would be a lot of swing and miss to his game but where is the freaking power?!
Red Sox fans are idiots, news at 11.
Since April 17, when Story's early season struggles began to iron out (along with a lot of other hitters after a short spring), here are his stats relative to the league:
Avg. Exit Velocity: 91.8 mph (30th in MLB, tied with Freddie Freeman)
Avg. Exit Velocity on fly balls: 94.5 (49th in MLB, tied with Carlos Correa)
Barrels per Batted Ball Event: 10.9 percent (46th in MLB, tied with Anthony Rizzo; ahead of Devers, Mookie, Correa, Suzuki)
Trevor Story did have a bad first week or so. His contact rate through 4/16 was 50%. Then, from 4/17 through 5/4, it was 77.4 percent, which is right in line with his career average. Then he ran into Ohtani and Dylan Cease, who have two of the highest whiff rates in the game.
Seeing him booed makes me embarrassed to be a Sox fan. I'm sure he's pressing a bit to get that first homer, which is probably why the exit velocity he's been running the last three weeks would be the highest of his career.
Story will be fine. The problem is the ball.
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I half-apologize for citing Gammons here when it's clear Gammons has largely lost the plot, but as a Sox fan, I'd be very curious to know more specifics about what he is enigmatically talking about here. Does Story need elbow surgery to go back to his old self?
View: https://twitter.com/pgammo/status/1523425972791377920
View: https://twitter.com/pgammo/status/1523425972791377920
Is he impugning the Sox medical staff here? If Story has an elbow problem that needs surgery, shouldn't that have been caught during his exams when they signed him? Especially if it's not a new injury that he's trying to hide, but one he had last year and no one would be unaware of.
Trevor Story has to use the same ball as everyone else. If his exit velocity is high on the rare occasions he makes contact, yet he still can't hit the ball over the wall, then he's going to have to figure out another way of succeeding.
Again, his contact rate had been right in line with his career average since April 17. Then a couple tough games against Ohtani and Cease.
Expected wOBA on fly balls last 19 games (April 17 on): .392
Actual wOBA on fly balls last 19 games: .129
Expected wOBA on ground balls last 19 games: .314
Actual wOBA on ground balls last 19 games: .224
Is it that hard to be charitable and acknowledge the many factors that affected his play? He signed late, had a short spring, new baby, new bad ball, illness, etc. You're being glib, I get it, but it's driving me crazy that so many posters here are committed to seeing Story's .194/.276/.269 line as his actual true-talent level so they can act like they've been stolen from. Just let the dude play baseball!
He didn't face any tough pitchers in his career before Ohtani and Cease? You can't just cherry pick out all his bad games and tough pitchers to show his contact rate is still just fine. The guy has struck out in 1/3 of his plate appearances this season. He's making contact way less often than major league average and gets much worse than average results when he does. There isn't anything positive to pull from his performance so far even if it's not his true talent level.
It seems odd that the same baseball that held Trevor Story to 0 HRs, despite his barreltude magnifique, and has likewise limited our players to 16 HR, should also result in our pitching staff giving up 31 HR, in the same parks, with the same game conditions.
That's like, weird man.
After typing a few billion words on the subject over the winter, here's a quick glimpse at where things stand thus far:
Xander: .343 .393 .472 .865
Lindor: .239 .323 .419 .742
Correa: .255 .320 .372 .692
Baez: .236 .286 .389 .675
Turner: .250 .306 .350 .656
Seager: .231 .289 .356 .645
Story: .194 .276 .269 .545
Semien: .178 .244 .234 .478
Xander: .343 .393 .472 .865
Lindor: .239 .323 .419 .742
Correa: .255 .320 .372 .692
Baez: .236 .286 .389 .675
Turner: .250 .306 .350 .656
Seager: .231 .289 .356 .645
Story: .194 .276 .269 .545
Semien: .178 .244 .234 .478
Interestingly enough, if we go by WAR, Xander (plus 11 PAs by Arroyo) is tied with 4 other shortstop combos for 7th place in MLB. Which is pretty good. Can anyone name the six more productive tandems off the top of their heads?
He's hitting 50 points above his career .290 average in a year when the league is hitting something like .230, lowest in forever, and his BABiP is .432. Maybe he keeps it up?????
He was getting that anyway but he has a .432 BAbip currently. 35/81.
Over his last 10 games: .229/.342/.343 with a BAbip of .269.
Some of this is the ball, but his ISO is the lowest it's been since 2015. His GB% is the highest it's been since 2015 and his FB% is the lowest it's been since 2015.
This isn't a slight at you, so please don't take it that way, but I've noticed recently that when a player's been sucking for a long period, our trend is to point to barrel and exit velo rates as if they were a proxy for, you know, actually getting some hits. We did it with Dalbec and Franchy last year, and we're doing it again with Story. The continued struggles of the first two should tell us that something is missing in that equation.
If his drop in OPS+ last year was attributable to his elbow injury and he is still having problems with the elbow, then everyone associated with that signing is being impugned.
Dude he just missed a couple in the last week because the wind was blowing in. Take your non-analysis to sports radio
Let's try this again:
Since April 17, when Story's early season struggles began to iron out (along with a lot of other hitters after a short spring), here are his stats relative to the league:
Avg. Exit Velocity: 91.8 mph (30th in MLB, tied with Freddie Freeman)
Avg. Exit Velocity on fly balls: 94.5 (49th in MLB, tied with Carlos Correa)
Barrels per Batted Ball Event: 10.9 percent (46th in MLB, tied with Anthony Rizzo; ahead of Devers, Mookie, Correa, Suzuki)
Story is 1 for his last 16 with 10 k’s. But I guess the EV has been strong in those 6 at bats where he has made contact?
Dalbec had a 1.205 OPS in August and .922 in September. Can someone here tell me if that's good?
He tore the cover off the ball the last 2 months of last season after his elbow was already hurt.
Story is struggling. Anyone saying he’s not and pointing to exit velocity is picking and choosing things. I’m not overly concerned because of the aforementioned exit velocity but to say he isn’t struggling is a head in the sand mentality.
I failed to include Jose Iglesias: .319 .367 .407 .774
(batting only .189 at Coors Field)
All of which is to say, it is still early.
After a good series in ATL (3 hits, 4 RBIs in 9 ABs, including his 1st home run), we're at .206/.281/.304 on the season. Raised his OPS by 40 points in 2 games. Seems to be getting a little more comfortable at the plate.
He may not (ever?) reproduce Rockies numbers, and it’s certainly pretty ugly at the moment, but for me he’s been too good for too long to be truly worried about him long-term.
The fact that he could raise his OPS 40 points in two games should tell you it's too early to get out the pitchforks. Hopefully in a few months when some regression to the mean happens up and down the lineup, we can find new ridiculous sources of outrage.
Yeah, I’m not worried about Story. He got off to a slow start and he compounded it by pressing at the plate.
I generally agree with you and think that Story will likely be fine, but, uhhh, Carl Crawford.
Hell of a game. Suddenly, the team is about to be 16-22. Go like 5-2, and suddenly you are 21-24. Then go 5-2 again, and you’re at .500.
Mr. Bloom, Scott Boras is on line 3.
Just a small dose of cold water on Story: looked like all 3 of the HR pitches were inside when he's been getting killed by stuff away.
Just a small dose of cold water on Story: looked like all 3 of the HR pitches were inside when he's been getting killed by stuff away.
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